So deep, what's up so shut up, mama mama gang folks, folks, folks, what is going on ape family? What is going on moon gang so so excited to be back after our extended weekend. I hope you were able to enjoy your long weekend, but man, oh man, was there a lot of geopolitical developments that will clearly have an impact on the overall market. So we have a lot to talk about to hopefully identify some attendees making opportunity today. Here's what i have for you this morning before that bell goes digging ding, ding ding.

We have to talk about everything that played out over the weekend. Yes, i'm referring to the geopolitical tensions that are boiling over between the russia, ukraine border, that's obviously involving us, and we have to talk about all the sanctions and what that might or might not lead to. I want to talk about seasonality and where we're at as we're getting to the end of february, we got to talk about some individual stocks. I have an update, particularly for you on dwack and amc and actually some exciting updates for both of them.

Some very bullish updates for both of them, and then i have a very interesting story for you. That's coming to us from, i believe california, about a very, very large bear. So, as you can tell quite a few things to go over before the equities market, at least officially opens uh, we could take a sneak peek, yes at the futures market, but uh even check out the title for today. I don't think volatility is going anywhere.

I think the volatility will remain high. I think there's going to be quite a few fluctuations gyrations throughout the market, which means money making opportunity if we just know where to look so i'm very very excited to get into it today, because i think it's going to be a money making day and when We get closer if we have enough time, we could do some chart review i'll, give you the short interest numbers for the various markets, and i could also give you an update on the positions i'm currently in, at least in, like the the public ones like with Uv xy and the credit spreads and all that good jazz a lot a lot to go over. I hope you had a phenomenal weekend. I hope you're feeling rested, relaxed and all that good stuff, but let's get right into it all right.

So here's a quick sneak! Peek at the s p 500 in the futures market, the futures market was actually open until 1 pm yesterday, even though the equities market was closed, um kind of wild, actually it sold off pretty bad and right now we're getting a little bit of a bounce back And um, i have some data points. I want to go over with you, that of just kind of relating to the announcement of an invasion and that type of a thing um, so overall we're seeing a little bit of a bounce back. Yes, the futures are still technically red: the dow the s p and the nasdaq all slightly down 0.3 0.06 and 0.3. Oil is up once again trying to push 94 and yields are up, but they are not back above 2.

So that's a quick snapshot of what's happening and all this this volatility it's produced like unless you haven't been paying attention to the news. You know something crazy is going on with russia, dow futures down slightly after erasing earlier losses amid russia, ukraine tensions. So yesterday, when the futures market was open and then like when it reopened at 6 pm et last night, there was quite a bit of red, but it kind of caught itself and we're seeing a little bit of a bounce back right now. So, just to give you the most recent updates of what's going on here's, what went down yesterday.

Putin orders russian peacekeeping operations in eastern ukraine. So here's what happened yesterday, our boy putin - he recognized two regions as independent regions as in not part of ukraine, which a lot of the rest of the world does identify them as ukraine. But he said he doesn't anymore so now he's moving soldiers into them and it's this weird thing where they're kind of pushing the line, because the rest of the world's like whoa dude you're going in ukraine and he's like no i'm not like they're, not ukraine anymore. I identified them as different regions, so it's very much um it has this.

Vibe of both sides are doing things to really piss off the other side. It almost seems like to get them to do something just so everyone can fall back and be like whoa. They were the first person to do something i didn't do something they did something so um, it's very much an extreme geo-political tit for tat, but that's what's going on right now. Yesterday, two regions were identified as independent regions.

The world did not like that and that led to remember about a week or two ago, when they ever said there was going to be like some form of a quote-unquote invasion. It was going to lead to the mother of all sanctions and we're seeing the start of that process right now, referring to the mother of all sanctions, um. So right here, the ukraine, russia plans biggest war in europe since 1945. This was according to boris johnson, and after that we got some statements from him.

Uk announced his first tranche of russia, sanctions target banks and wealthy individuals, and the assumption is that the u.s will follow with our form of sanctions. Today. This is more of just like a time frame, type of a difference, so there's various other countries and world leaders that are going to hit russia with sanctions, and a lot of it relates to kind of financial base, sanctions and right here off the bat we can Pretty much assume that russia will no longer have access to, like basically the local currencies of the us and uk, which is big for obviously international trade corporations that type of stuff. So that's one of the sanctions, but if you really dive into it, i have some metrics for you here.

Russia clearly has had this kind of on its mind for a hot second, this wasn't an impromptu decision, because over the past, whatever amount of time, most likely various years they've been building up a little bit of an economic fortress. So, for example, in terms of those foreign currencies, russia, even though we're going to cut them off the u.s is going to cut them off. The uk is going to cut them off most likely. Other nato allies will follow this type of a sanction.

They already have 631 billion in foreign currency reserves, so various currencies, 631 billion with a b that puts them as number four in the world, so they already have quite a bit of this shored up locally, which will give them a bit of a runway. Other things that they've done to help them uh as a country they've been trimming their expenses um. There are, if you've ever heard, of swift s-w-i-f-t, that's our financial messaging system. So whenever you're doing like a wire transfer or something like that, you might need the swift.

So that's one sanction that we can impose on them once again kind of hindering their overall like world trade, but they've already been working on making their own new equivalent to swift um. Recently, they've had their own homegrown industries to drive imports down, so they, like, i said, they've, been preparing for this now, people that have all those fancy pedigrees on their wall and are far more intelligent than i am say that all of this stuff, it's just putting A band-aid on a bigger issue like as in our sanctions, are more severe than the protection they've already given themselves, but it does give them a little bit of a runway, and i was looking at the russian indices like in the us. We have the s. P.

500 well, russia has their own for their own market and even with all this, it was down 11 on the day. So obviously, their own equivalent to our stock market is feeling quite a bit of the pain and once again we are expecting from the us to get the specifics on the sanctions that we're going to. I guess hit them with today, so be on the lookout for how that does or doesn't go um. But this whole scenario has led into another interesting thing and i don't want to like give everyone horrific flashbacks, but we got to talk about the fed.

The federal reserve monetary policy once again um escalator, escalating. Excuse me, russia, ukraine, crisis, ripples through the markets, and you can check this out. This is on reuters, but the one thing i want to bring right here - and this is coming to us from an analyst - a chief equity market strategist at jp morgan. While the path for the russian ukraine crisis remains unclear with potentially elevated market volatility in the short term, tightening monetary policy, in our view, still remains the key risk for equities as central banks attempt to aggressively re-anchor inflation expectations lower now, like i said, i don't want To cause any horrific flashbacks, but don't forget, inflation is sky high and the fed is attempting to fight it, i.e becoming more hawkish, which is less accommodative for the overall market.

This is the interesting part. Overly restrictive monetary policy could result in an outrage policy error, especially if the business cycle continues to deteriorate. At the same time, the russia ukraine crisis could force a reassessment of the fed tightening path resulting in central banks, turning less hawkish, i.e, more dovish, i.e better for stonks, but it pushes inflation higher and higher and higher, while policymakers may consider additional fiscal stimulus. This is wild.

This is wild right here, according to this person, with a very fancy title chief equity market strategist from jp morgan. This, if it does play out this way like inflation, is already horrific. Inflation is already super super high, we're looking at a four decade. High, apparently to this person, there is a scenario in which this makes the situation even worse.

So i wanted to bring that up, because all this stuff is clearly intertwined, like you have to pay attention to all of it, because this has an impact on the overall market which is clearly going to have an impact on individual equities. So whatever your favorite equity is, if you want to have a better idea of like could this happen? Could that happen? You have to pay attention to the overall market there. You can't just pay attention one and not the other. It doesn't really work that way.

So right here i wanted to bring this up, because i myself even thought: okay, we're gon na be able to get into march without talking about monetary policy without talking about the fed, and then this whole scenario has brought them right back into our life. So once again, yes, we have to pay attention to geopolitical developments, concerns tensions, and now we have to pay attention to what the hell pal is going on about, and i saw a funny tweet this morning. I just wanted to share with all of you that basically, the person who ended up bailing out pal potentially in this whole scenario might end up being our boy putin. Now i'm in no way here to be like the doom and gloom fear monger we're going down.

It's crashing; no! No! No! I'm just here to, i guess, share my opinion on the most recent developments in the markets more of a stock market commentator, so i also want to share a little bit of positive news, covid australia's border reopens to international visitors. So, though, at one point rona the thing that was controlling the whole dynamics of the market, the whole direction and trend of the market is oh we're getting some positive news. That's calming down we're seeing various countries, especially australia, to my understanding - was uh, particularly tough, with their borders. Well, they're, actually reopening now, so we do have a bit of positive news in some of these world developments.

Um with all that being said, i do want to give you a quick reminder of where we're at seasonally now remember. Seasonality doesn't have to play out. It just gives us a little bit idea of headwinds tailwinds of what's the sentiment for this portion of the year. Well, by the time you get to the end of february, there is a bearish trend um.

This is for the s p, 500. There is a bit we had a bullish, push and a bearish push, and then, by the time you get to about two-thirds three-quarters of the way through march, it's a lot of chop and then we get into a nice bullish push in april. But once again, that is april march is choppy. The end of february has um from a just a seasonal standpoint, a bearish connotation.

I just want to share that with all of you, so that's the dealio and obviously there are going to be developments throughout the day with the overall market. But let's turn our heads to what's going on with some individual stocks, so home depot reported before the market open today did very, very well uh. They beat on earnings. They even announced that they're going to be increasing their dividend by 15, so some solid developments there.

We also have macy's, um and then uh macy's also doing very well. They beat on earnings and i even think that they announced a buyback which is typically a bullish development. The fact that home depot beat makes me feel a little bit more comfortable about lowe's. Beating home depot is a great in my opinion.

Remember not a financial advisor, don't take anything. I say to be a buy, sell or hold signal. All i do is share my own opinion. I have no idea about your financial situation, your personality, anything like that, but in my humble opinion i really like home depot.

It has a solid balance sheet, solid dividend. It was actually one of the few during the craziness of the onset of rona home depot did well because we saw a shoot up in diy projects. Uh, so home depot has been performing pretty pretty well the ticker symbol hd i like it uh. I think it's a very solid long term hold, in my opinion, something that you could probably get in just forget about uh, so i will also be paying attention to lowe's and overstock i'll, be paying attention to coinbase and alibaba modern.

That might be interesting just because we have some updates. These are all on thursday um and oh uh virgin galactic after the close today spce uh. We know that they're finally selling some stuff lemonade, that's an insurance company. So if you want to take a quick screenshot of this or if you just want to go to at e-whispers to get some of the major uh earnings announcements for this particular week overall, we are kind of pivoting out of earnings season.

So things are definitely calming down there now. Another thing i want to talk about with individual stocks is d-wack, d-wack had a crazy pre-market and it's all because it finally hit the app store. In fact, it is number one in the free app store right now. Trump's truth: social tops downloads on apple app store many waitlisted um.

When i saw that this went live and like what was happening with it. I try to get on and i'm very deep in the wait list right now. Um, i'm just trying to get on to see if it's good, if it's bad anything like that, but i am personally wait listed uh and i'm really really mad that i got out of my dwac calls, because i think this equity is one that could have quite A bit of individual volatility today, because it has a catalyst specific to its own company, i.e the fact that people are out there you're starting to see downloads people creating accounts, all that good stuff, donald trump's, new social media venture, true social launched late on sunday in Apple's app store potentially making the former president's return to social media after he was banned from several platforms last year. The app was available shortly after midnight et and was the top free app on the app store early on monday, and this is even the message i got due to massive demand.

We have placed you on the waitlist, that's exactly where i'm at um. So with this i mean, if you check out dwack and we will be taking a look at the overall market. I mean it's trading at 97 at one point in pre-market: it hit 121. I believe uh.

Actually, no excuse me even higher 138. So i'm expecting clear volatility in dwack today, and one thing i wanted to say is: whenever you say trump: half of you are probably stoked that i said it, the other half of you are not. You might have your own political ideologies on this, but for this, like it's a money-making opportunity, whether you see a bullish trend or a bearish trend, i'm here to give you a little gentle reminder of if you're in the market you're attempting to make money. Don't let your own political opinions and beliefs get in the way of making money and, more importantly, don't let them get in the way of you like making a bad decision.

It's one thing: if you miss out on a play, you might be sitting here and be like okay, i understand the catalyst i see that dwack might be going crazy. I see that i might make money, but maybe for whatever reason you decide to not really pull the trigger on it. Maybe you just don't want to trade it okay, whatever, if you want to hold your ideologies that strong go for it, but don't do the opposite of where you're actually putting money on the line to bet the other way when, like you're, fighting against the current you're Fighting against the trend - and you might actually lose money on it. So obviously, that's up to everyone here, but i'm not here to tell you what your political beliefs should be if they're right, if they're wrong, i'm just here to cover the fact that it's up a lot and there's money making opportunity.

Why would you not want to make some of the money there's going to be clear volatility? Let's see how it plays out, let's see if we can spot a good opportunity, this not really related to a stock, just kind of a crazy story: porsches lamborghinis, bentleys audi's lost at sea may cost volkswagen 155 milli russell group's estimate assumes all vehicles are lost. Total 401 million worth of cars may have been on board. So basically this thing caught fire and uh. There was a lot of expensive cargo on him.

The cargo ship carrying 4 000 volkswagen ag vehicles that caught fire last week could cost the automaker at least 155 milli. According to some early estimates of the roughly 438 million total value of goods aboard the felicity ace which went up in flames off the coast of portugal, um there's right here: volkswagen porsche, audi, bentley, lambo, um, so hey. If someone is watching this stream, that was about to like order one of these - and yours might have been on that - i have a little bit of bad news, for you just wanted to share that obviously could have an impact on volkswagen. This has nothing to do with the market, but it also might have a lot to do with the market.

Hank the tank, a 500 pound bear ransacks, a california community. Do i know exactly what this has to do with the market? No, but when there's certain stories i come across and i'm like, i need to share this because this chubby guy hank, it's just so big 500 pounds. Apparently, these bears typically 100 to 300, so he's almost double the size. More than double the size and he's just been breaking in over 28 homes eating their pizza.

It's actually become like a serious problem. There's been over 100 unique, like police call-ins. For this scenario, uh they're trying to figure out what to do with them, there's even some people pushing to euthanize them the fact that it's getting this type of, i guess story - i would assume they're more going to tranquilize them and just get them to an area Where it's more appropriate for this chunky monster to be uh but yeah, as you can see, bear is apparently getting ready for some hibernation pretty pretty bearish in california uh. I wanted to cover that.

I just i don't know. I thought it was absurdly funny all right. Let me cover one more thing: let me switch it out folks, folks, folks, you know my opinion um. I love covering any updates related to amc and jimmy where there are those updates some days there's quite a few other days, there's not many, but today i have a very, very interesting one related to one of the world's largest pensions funds.

Getting more amc getting more gme, let's get into the details of that story and the specific numbers i'm going to share those all with you. This is just coming out of the most recent 13f filings, uh, pretty pretty exciting, to see large money still supporting amc, gme and obviously some various other stocks, and here are the details right here: largest u.s pension bought amc, gamestop and berkshire hathaway stock. Here's what it sold the largest public pension in america, the largest public pension in america, loaded up on some volatile stocks invested more in warren buffett's, firm and trimmed the position in a slipping software stock. In the fourth quarter, the one that ended december 31st, a california public employees, retirement system more than quadrupled more than 4xed its investment in amc and gamestop, two high-profile meme socks and dramatically lifted its holdings in berkshire, hathaway buffett's investment, firm and probably the polar opposite of Meme stock, so the fact that it went in on both - i don't know you could take away what you want from that.

I do find it to be noteworthy. Just so. You know the world america's public pension, the biggest one. It manages 400 480 billion, with a b in assets more than any other public pension in the us.

Now, obviously, that's exciting stuff, that's quite a bit of an increase, but sometimes when you're just saying 4x. Well, if you own 10 shares and you forex it now. Okay, what are you at 40 50. um? So i wanted to give you the specific numbers of what's going on and they're pretty sizable, so right here, california, public employees, retirement system - this is the 13f.

This is the one ending december 31st. Remember it's always for the previous quarter. Well, if you go on fintel, you can kind of see what they're in they own over 1 200 distinct equities, and i just wanted to show you amc right here. So in the last quarter they owned 116 000 and obviously they more than 4x 4x.

All the way up to 619 000 of amc and remember pensions are not really active. Traders they're not like buying and selling day in and day out, pensions are very well known to be a little bit more of okay they get in and they hold they're. Looking for a nice return on that and like it's a little bit more of a medium to long-term type of play, you're not really commonly hearing about pensions that are actively trading. So that's amc, an interesting uptick there and then on gme.

They went from just under 15, 000 to 85, so another noteworthy increase on gme. Once again, this is all from the filing of the 13f that ended december 31st. California, public employees, retirement system. You can find this data if you want it's the us's biggest pension and it is loading up on amc, gme, apparently berkshire hathaway, and if you are curious about the one that it sold off, it is palantir ticker, symbol pltr.

So i just wanted to share that news with you, obviously, with my own financial interest in intertwined with amc and jimmy. I hope that clearly, this pension fund is absurdly right and is about to make a nice chunk of change off of this investment just wanted to quickly share that with all of you all right. So we went over that speaking of amc and gme. I just wanted to share this morning before the bell goes: ding ding, ding, ding ding in just over five minutes.

The short interest is just under 21 utilization, still at 100 in terms of gme, it's 21.1 and yes, utilization is still at 100 in terms of the overall market, the s p 500, just under 17 in terms of the nasdaq 100 just over 13 and in terms Of the russell still hanging out just below 40 around 38, once again, that's for the spy, the qs and the russell uh. So we already took a look at dwack. We're definitely going to be paying attention to it. Today i mean it's already up 15 in pre-market.

Already number one on the app store - that's very, very, very impressive - that in one day it shot up that much, but let's take a little bit of a bigger view of the s p. 500. So here is obviously the s p. 500.

What i'm looking for is we have the support at 430. um on the crypto stream. I was showing some data that was really kind of pointing out that, after the announcement of an invasion of a country to country invasion, that's actually over what six separate invasions. That's actually been a pretty good, buy signal, i'm in no way saying it's going to play out this way.

I just wanted to share that data point with you so feel free to dive a little bit more into it from that crypto stream. Yesterday, um, but right now i have this clear support at 430 on the spy so i'll be watching that and i'm looking for the breakout, ideally of 437 438 and maybe from there we can get another re-test of the 200-day moving average in terms of the queues. I am watching very, very closely 338, so the nasdaq this tech sector has been hit the hardest. So i'm looking for that to hold.

If we see a breakdown and a hold below 338, there might be additional capitulation in the tech sector, which would most likely drag the overall s, p 500, with it and in terms of the russell the one that's been outperforming over the past two three weeks: uh. It is below 200, so obviously i would love for it to recapture that and i'm watching this support at 198 and then from there we have a support of 195. folks. I have no idea how this stuff is going to play out today.

I'm expecting extreme volatility. If the volatility is to the upside i'll go along, if the volatility's to the downside, i'll bet against the market, i've been telling you this i've been preaching this as long as we're below the 200-day moving average, which we are on the spy, the queues and the Russell, it makes me a bit more bearish um, especially if we get to the end of the month, and you have these portfolios that are going to end up doing the rebalancing. That's going to be more selling because they're going to trigger the fact that we're below the 200 moving average so especially with the seasonality right now and the tensions that's what's going on, and that's also exactly why. I'm in uvxy calls uh for 22 strike expiration march.

4Th and i also have a spy credit spread. Those all of that stuff is posted on locals all the exact details and everything so make sure you're checking out locals. That's where i post my trades during the stream and also, if i'm not streaming, that's where all that information goes on my quote-unquote active trades. If you want to know - and that's really for futures and options, if you want to know what's going on with my stock, make sure you're on public public.com coors, but i do have something exciting to talk about that.

I want to share with you before the bell goes: ding ding, ding, ding ding, and what we're doing here, let me just bring this up for you hang on uh. Actually i think i can get it out uh. You can see that there is a new thing pinned to the top of chat, and i think this is so cool um, i've known about this for a hot minute and i'm just excited to bring it to you all now um, just because of some excitement with Amc and gme the us's biggest pension finally buying it remember all this got started on wall street bets subreddit. By far my favorite reddit by far i've been reading this thing actively since 2015 2016..

It's honestly one of the things that got me through the start of the pandemic. I was reading it day in and day out and that's how, in august september of i guess 2020 that's when i came across at that point, deep, f in value, then we found out. He was roaring kitty. Then we found out his name was keith gill, the guy who started all this.

There is no, if ands or buts about it. We would not be here right now. We would not be fighting for market equality, we would not be fighting against naked shorts. We wouldn't be fighting against any of this stuff without keith gill, who is posting his gamestop.

His awesome dd his thesis his position on wall street bets well with all of that. Obviously it bloomed and flourished into so many other things, and what i have for you is attendees. Attendees is an app that is specific to wall street bets. So you can see social sentiment, so it's just a phone app right now, if you download it, it's pinned to the top of chat.

Currently it's just for ios. They are rolling out android soon, but you can see the stocks that are most like talked about. Like i don't know, if you could see that, so i have tendes up right here so number one this morning, they're talking about gamestop number two is the spy and number three is amc. That's for stocks.

You can see what's going on with crypto bitcoin doge east and about next week they're going to be rolling out free options, i guess like alerts and all that stuff. So when we look at unusual whales, which is a paid service to see, what's going on, they're about to roll out it for free, the app is 100 free, f-r-e-e free, free, free social sentiment see what's going on, pin to the top of chat attendees, i think It's so cool uh they're, just getting going with it. I'm i'm personally very excited. So if you have an iphone ios i'll get you the android link, hopefully next week, the week after, but definitely very cool to check it out.

So the bell is about to go. Ding any ding, ding ding and with all that being said, let's watch market open and just because we know about the pension, let's pull up amc and jimmy. I want to see how things are reacting, but obviously we have to watch the overall market today as well, because crazy things are gon na, be going down, um, all right and i'll like. If you have questions, let them roll in right now, because you guys know me, i like to wait those first, whatever 10 15 20 minutes, that type of a deal uh before i open any new positions, i'm more than happy to give you an update on my Current positions, actually speaking of which, how is my future, is doing you've been logged out due to inactivity, oh cool, it covered me cool.

I made a thousand bucks, your boy, starting out this training week up a thousand dollars already locked in hey, hey, hey, hey ding, ding ding, the casino is open, i'm feeling good. My futures positions are completely flat locked in 1k right there. We have a new free app for all of you to check social sentiment across equities and crypto and they're rolling out the free options information soon. I i'm being told next week, man what a day, what a day, let's see how this all is going, which app is that it's pinned to the top of check.

It's called attendees, but it's pinned right top. It's also in the description of the video. If you're watching on rumble or twitch check out the description um, but you can get going with it, let's get going. Let's get going, let's see how the market's going to look today, i'm stoked today, i think there's just going to be - i don't know, maybe i'm just being optimistic.

Maybe i was just cooped up too much for a three-day weekend. I just also had a good day yesterday. Yesterday was not only the president's birthday but uh more of the president of my life. It was my mom's birthday, so we were able to have some cake and stuff, and i love cake.

We had some. I don't know if any of you are whole food fans, but there's like a strawberry cream cake at whole foods and if you've had it, you know exactly what i'm talking about. It is superb cake. Let me know in chat if any of you have had the strawberry cake from whole foods.

It's where it's at man like that's. If, if you have not had this cake, that's your homework assignment for today, the strawberry cake from whole foods. I don't know what bezos was doing when he was in the back baking that up for all of us, but potentially one of amazon's best products. Oh man, oh man, oh man, oh man, all right.

Let's see how it's going today, a little bit of a bounce. Let's see how this all goes: uh i'm gon na be closely watching 432 at the open to see if we're above it below it type of a deal, and then you guys know me with spy i'm still calling out 430.. You know whenever i talk about jeff bezos. Now i keep thinking about that um! Oh man.

What's that the song how's that song come on jeff, you can do it like the billionaire song about jeff bezos come on jeff. You can do it! Oh brother, oh brother. Oh brother, oh brother, how we going on the spy today? Where is the spy going? Is it apparently not holding 432 just to give you an idea of where we are at um for all the the pre-market talk here? I just wanted to share you with all this. I post this type of stuff before the market opens and then, if there's any updates to the place, i post them when um like throughout the day as it happens, but anyway, the current creds spy call credit spread.

So it's a bearish call spread uh, as in i sold the 448. I bought the 449. It expires this week max return 32 max loss 68. So as long as you have 68 dollars in your account you'll be able to trade.

This my goal is to take 50 uh gain and then roll it into another spread, and just so you know if we are below 448 on feb 28, you will get 100 of your profit, which is 32 and the percentage of profitability your chance of making, at Least, some money is 70 according to ortex um. This was my trade idea. From this morning. Tensions are still very high.

Sanctions against russia are currently being made by various countries. Mainly the uk started it. The u.s will be following today, uh i'm watching for the spy to hit 430, but i want to see weakness in the charts before taking the trade going long on oil is also a play. I personally, like you, could look at there's.

Various oil plays there's many. Many oil plays and then also uv xy march, 4th uh strike 22 premium 1.58. I got in at 1.58, it ended friday down um and it's currently trading at a dollar 48. So actually, anyone who is interested in this particular play can get in at a better price than i actually got in, but once again this is all on macquarie.locals.com.

That's where i just post everything um all right. Let me get back to the market and we're very close to my target. Already out of the gate, uh looks like we are seeing some selling out of the gate. Unfortunately, oh we're seeing some red team we're seeing some red, so i'm watching 430 as previously discussed, and that actually might be where man my uv xy, is just not playing out the way.

I thought it would um gamestop, unfortunately not holding 120 amc. We have an upcoming support at 1670, let's see if it can hold that, but as you can see across the board, rivien's in the green d-wax on the green cfe eyes and the green amd's actually in the green there's not too many green things, uv xy. I need this thing: poppin um, i'm actually still. I should be break even on it.

Now i'm almost break even uv xy come on give me my money. Give me my money all right, pretty much break even now, and the spread play is actually up uh, so uv xy, i'm personally down four percent and on the spy i'm up 69 um. So like i said, i should probably roll that yeah all right i'll. Let you know when i do roll it uh.

I i just want to do a different spread, so my whole reasoning with posting those spreads is, i think, there's too much of like oh hype of like this has to go a thousand percent tomorrow, like all everyone trading to some people, can be about attempting. Very rarely to hit like a home run slam type of a scenario, but most traders, if you want to be successful, it's going to be consistently just hitting like first base hits just singles um and that's exactly why i'm just going to keep showing off these credit Spreads because to someone paying attention well that 30 bucks of just doing one like uh, you already know the odds 70 of making money you're, risking whatever it was 68. This one, your max return is 32.. I mean there's your lunch for the week.

I like to think of these things of like what is nice, consistent, monthly and or weekly income, and one of the main ways to do that will be through like selling premium. Whether it's calls whether it's put there is a statistical advantage to doing that type of stuff and that's exactly what i wanted to share and i'm gon na keep sharing it just because i feel that strongly about it, um, amc and jimmy those crazy numbers. Obviously it can happen a lot of you watched it play out in real time, but that stuff isn't normal. If you're saying hang on amc and jimmy attracted me to the market - and you might want to stay in your amc and jimmy hey, that's all up to you! But baby you're, like i've, seen the money that a market can produce, and maybe you kind of have like the stock market or the overall market like bug now, and you want to make this an aspect of your life.

I'm telling you start off slow and simple, and it's just i know it's boring, but i'd rather be bored making money than not bored, not making money like. If you need me to be absurdly bored and just sell credit spreads, but i'm consistently my p l is slowly but surely going up compound interest. Remember, as warren buffett said, the eighth wonder of the world, it's a slow start. But if you extrapolate out half a year one year, two years three years, all of a sudden, you might be replacing your yearly income by doing this and like you, could borderline automate it and then now you're in the world of financial freedom.

Folks, uh to me that's one of the coolest things about the market. Is it's the best vehicle humanity has ever created to get to financial freedom, there's no. If ands or buts about it. That's not an opinion.

That's hard fact backed up by academia all right. So as this is all playing out, um uh, maybe a little bit of a bounce going on in the spy amc right above its support, gme uh, unfortunately not holding on to 120. We have do have additional support at 112. dwack trying to come around at 92-ish right now, uh.

What's the spy doing the spy, the spy, the spy ever since it went below 432, my target is 430. My short term target today tomorrow, the next day as long as we're staying below 432, i'm watching it and, as i said, with my uv xy, that's probably when i'll take my like profits on it uh. We know there's a lot of support. I don't know if it will or won't break down there.

I don't know, i'm not clairvoyant, i'm just playing. I play from level to level to level it looks like we are heading to 430. uh. Some people shouting out ocgn ocgn ocgn coming around that's up 13.

This for quite a while there, i believe it was quite a bit higher yeah. This is kind of a pretty noteworthy fall from grace. It might bounce back a certain percent um. This is more in the farmer world, it's a biotech play which is just not where my knowledge really lies.

Prong, looking strong dollar 52 um, how's prong looking it has a nice push this morning. It's still technically down. I need i mean my cost average on prague is essentially four bucks, so i'm holding holding holding i'm quite a bit a ways off, but uh. You can check in public that i'm still in it, but prague, it's a long term hold for me and it's gon na be quite it's gon na be under pressure as the overall market's under pressure.

I mean uh the nasdaq trying to bounce actually the spy, seeing a little bit of weakness, not coming down of wow cap under pressure today, small cap kind of bucking. The trend of what we've seen recently iwm is down the most in terms of the overall market. Definitely putting extra pressure on amc and by relation to gme as well. What are we doing? Tech actually just made a new intraday high tech kind of leading the way, at least on an intraday basis, all right so as we are waiting for this to still kind of play out and get a better sense of what's going on today.

Let me get over to some of your early morning. Questions germany killed nordstrom 2.. That's actually a pretty big deal. Nordstrom 2.

I believe at least for a bit most likely right now has actually been trending on twitter, so check that out. It's obviously an important development. Uh holding with all of you thank you, matt wildfire, shout out. Pltr announced parting up with cdc.

Do you have any more news about that? I do not that's news to me more than happy to dive into it and see what is or isn't going on, but palantir in the short term. Obviously getting beat up pretty pretty bad. I mean that large pension fund we saw just sold it. One partnership is not going to be changing the direction of it.

It's going to need quite a few, and that's not completely new for pound tier, i mean most of volunteers. Money comes from government contracts; anyway, it's probably just a new contract. All right we're getting a pop in the queues and in the spy so 432, not acting as resistance. It was support last week, but kind of easily slice through it on the downside and on the upside.

So today, no respect for 432 uh, the queues looking strong iwm, getting above some of its resistance at 198.50. Let me close out all these extra tabs before i lose my mind, all right: cool uh, the spy fighting fight and fighting roku, ripping roku's, ripping up six percent uh roku having a nice push like overall we're seeing some of the tech i mean cues are about To go green, it looks like so overall uh tech performing the best, thus far um granted we're only 13 minutes into the day. There's still a lot more to play out a lot more to play out shout out dallas jackman sensei good morning good morning, good morning. All right we're seeing a little bit of green little bit of green um, i'm still not buying what i'm seeing yet.

I like, i said, i'm still. What whoa was that a misprint appeared to be i'm still watching 430 on the spy, but amc finding support right. Where we're calling it out 1670, what did we hit 1672? I guess i must have slept in a little bit this weekend being off by two cents there, but uh nice bounce from there intraday high. Let's watch 17.50 we'd love a recapture of 18.25, speaking of which gamestop also coming back around bouncing early getting above 117 would love to see a test and get above 120 and then, from there 125, then 130.

uh tesla, coming down to 842 bouncing off of 830, Been beat up lately, bbig never really got that breakout above 375 still watching that d-wack getting hit right here, 94 coming out, man d-wax someone's selling it. I guess. Maybe i don't know if it's bag holders, maybe but someone with large size, is taking some of their money right now or maybe it's getting hit with shorts or something going on still green on the day, bbig getting a little bit of an uptick there, amc potentially Forming a cup and handle we're still not even done with the cup, though a little bit early to call out tech sector looking strong, which leads me to believe things such as apple thought, it would be doing better microsoft. Very nice.

Pushing nvidia nvidia is pushing uh amd all right, so semiconductors are doing well today, micron, probably also doing well so nvidia doing well amd doing well, micron doing well semiconductors in the tech sub sector, the semi sub sector of tech doing pretty pretty well today. So if you're looking for a tech, uh snowflake, that's up as well bitcoin still sub 38 - oh, we never did a check-in on crypto. Uh crypto was pretty hit over the weekend. It's been hit, but hopefully a bottom is put in uh we're going to be covering that, obviously in more detail, uh for the crypto stream today, at 2 p.m.

Eastern all right things are starting to come back, let's just see if it actually holds or not did dweck finish its gap fill some people are asking about that. Almost the dewac gap fill is to 96.80 and thus far we hit 87 18 so off by about 30 cents right there. So still a little bit of a gap to be filled on dwack, the spy very volatile, 430. 50.

All the way up to 433 250 move q's still pushing. What's your new strike on d-wack, i have no d-wack position right now, so i have no strike vrm. What is going on with vrm uh? This does not look that good to me. I just see a downtrend uh in fact, did it make an it made an all-time low this morning i don't know much about it.

I mean in terms of risk. You could risk the low, but uh i'm i mean the the bears have been in control ever since august 30 or 28th 31st. Whatever this is, the bears have been winning the party on vrm all right, we're still seeing some green. I get people buying the dip.

People behind the dip, thus far interesting uh, if you haven't already just while we're waiting to, i guess, see how strong these bulls really are. If you haven't, it would be awesome if you could help me out with the algorithm by hitting that like and don't forget, to join up with the moon gang by hitting that subscribe button. If you like this content, if you like this 100 free content and just diving into everything, um, i'm never going to ask you for a single penny. But i will obviously ask you just to help me out with social media.

If you want drop that like hit that subscribe button, that stuff helps me more than i could possibly articulate. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you.

I appreciate everyone that goes out of the way to help me out in that manner. Draftkings is down draftkings uh. I believe wells fargo lowered their price target on it. So that's why draftkings is getting an abnormal hit this morning, uh in analysts, i'm pretty sure it was that wells, fargo lowered their price target on it.

Have you done amc or text? Yes, lmt all right. Let's take a look at lockheed lockheed, it's had quite the push, as tensions were building up today, it's down a little bit, but overall it's been a pretty noteworthy push. It ran right up into resistance like look at this region. Basically, 400.

Just re rejection, rejection, rejection, rejection, uh it might be forming a cup and handle i'm curious to see a re-test of 400. man. This is still going draftkings it's up now, but i'm referring to the gap down uh i mean this morning. It started down four percent and it was down four percent in pre-market because of the analyst, but we're going a little bit green today, uh and the analysts i believe the concerns was about profitability of like what their rundown way to profitability actually looks like, but also Whenever we get to a gap situation, i get very interested in playing that.

So if we see a little bit of momentum, turning around i mean i really like playing. Gap fills 2190 from the low on february 17th, whoa whoa whoa the spy, the spy, the spy hello cr like ever. Since i mean the first five minutes was selling but 9 36. Until now, it's just been pure buying led by tech, tech's, actually green and the spy's about to go green um.

We've kind of seen this before, and this is a little bit of what i was alluding to this morning, but also i got into more detail on the crypto stream. Uh people were kind of pointing out of after the quote-unquote announcement of invasion historically, at least over. I believe five or six data points that was actually ended up being a solid, buy signal, and then i was getting a little bit more into it and there's various people that i respect that one degree or another on twitter who were pointing out it wouldn't be That crazy, if we actually closed the day green granted, maybe that's a little bit early to call out right now, we've seen these scenarios where we see just the opposite being undone like we see sell-offs, and then it bounces or days like today, where it goes up And then, by the end of the day, it just continues to sell off just because you see a push right out of the gate. That doesn't mean that's going to be the push on the full day.

We've i mean check out. What's happened over the past two weeks, we see these crazy v scenarios, it shoots all the way up. It comes all the way down it. It happens, uh and obviously vice versa.

So with this, i'm not making any crazy moves any crazy decisions quite yet, just because i'm not that confident. I know this is a very fluid uh situation, speaking of which are there any updates right here. Shareholder germany, schultz halts nordstrom 2, as ukraine crisis deepens. Probably really gives like, i guess, a little bit more of credence, so i guess my prediction of i feel absurdly confident oil's going above 100 a barrel this year, most likely above 120.

uh. What else putin's aggressive moves against ukraine leads? The blood path in global markets, asia, crypto us futures, suffer gold, oil c, major spikes. Well, right now the u.s equities market, at least over the past 10 minutes 15 minutes has been looking strong um. Let's see how this goes, though, i wonder i wonder if you bring up something like the keltner, if you're more of an active trader, i just want to point something out if you're an active trader going long like making a bullish bet when you're, whatever time frame, You're paying attention to on the top side of the keltner, it is not statistically advantageous.

Can you make some money? Can it keep ripping 100? Is that likely? Is that something you should do time and time again? I would vehemently argue against that right here. You're already uh multiple standard dv deviation away from the moving average. It is not common for this to act like it it it's just not right there. If you bought.

Apparently it turned out well um, but it this type of stuff. It does not happen commonly. That was a huge push. What just happened! This is about to be a big volume bar pushing four dollars now the spy of the queues and the russell are all green wow.

What a day, what a day all right amc making its move to 18. man, this winter has my lip so chapped and just i feel like i talk so much and then my like i'm just like breaking my face: uh how's d-whack going the uak uh uh. Still going down, but with everything else, pushing it's hard to think that this thing isn't going to keep pushing him on my watch list. It's still actually the most green uh kind of battling it out with rivian right now and amd amd.

Doing very well aim c. Well, at this point, that means that gme has to be okay. I was going to say 120. all right, so we see some green and amc.

What a bounce back it didn't even do the cupping handle it just cupped it and started ripping it. Amc going for the lattes what's going on, do you think the apes mentality has taken a toll on the market's unusual psychology? Predictability, just curious! No, i don't um. Remember the total amount of money represented by the apes is the it's a drop in the bucket. If you take all people who identify as an ape and all the money they have in the market relative to all the money in just the u.s equities market, it's smaller than a drop in the bucket.

I think the bigger influence is actually more of like the news coverage, the mainstream media, that type, but not necessarily like the numeric impact. More of uh, like i said news and people covering it and that type of a thing a little yeah um. I guess much more of a like a a personal of like what's being covered because i don't know the the voice of the community. I guess has a bigger impact in my opinion than the finances of the community.

I think the voice is a more powerful tool. What's your take on the spy one month chart at the moment my take is is if we close below the 200-day moving average at the end of this month, the end of february, i think we're going to see more selling in march, just because there are so Many large funds that that's what they look for, they're going to stay long as as in bullish on the overall market. As long as we are above the 200, so i think there's going to be and we still have some time - i'm not saying it's going to happen. Obviously, we still have a full week of training, but that's something to pay attention to the the monthly chart is starting to look a little bit.

Sus great question, great great question. All right, dwack coming back around, i would be watching 94 on an intraday basis. That would be uh 94 and some change just if you wanted to look at these wicks, but somewhere between 94 and 94 50. Something like that um.

So right here. This is kind of a good explanation of why i really really dislike going long on whatever time frame when it's on the top side of the keltner or going short when it's on the bottom side of the keltner. It's you're kind of going against the concept of mean regression, it's very abnormal to be absurdly far away from some sort of average, a moving average um and there's actually many trading strategies that are built around that, and it's referred to as mean regression overall, when you're Talking about systematic trading, you're, there's really two types trend following and mean reversion trend following is trying to identify, i.e, a trend that you think will continue and persist, and then the other hand is going to be more of some movement with too much and like, like A rubber band it needs to snap back into the mean mean reversion um. So when i look at something like keltner or bollinger, i am mainly using it for mean reversion to me.

Some movement like this. That's statistically abnormal and you could probably play mean reversion back to the mean so basically uh you could have played 435 back to at this point 433 434, or something like that. The news won't report on d-wack good news. They just post fud, i mean reuters, already posted some stuff on it, of how it was the number one.

So i guess it depends like the news source you're like looking into but um.