Turn up the bass turn up the bass. Let's turn up the bass. Welcome, welcome, welcome. I hope you had an absolutely fantastic weekend, but if you're like me, there's a very good chance, you got the most minimal amount of sleep possible because you were just doomed scrolling on twitter and paying attention to the news and trying to figure out what in the World is going on in putin's mind.

Obviously, that's a lot about what we're going to be talking really through this morning to try to figure out. There were some interesting developments that related to pretty serious financial sanctions uh. So we're going to be talking about those we're going to be looking at the overall market. I have many many news sources just from the things that have happened in the past couple hours, no less the past weekend really, so we have a lot to dive into there and then, when we wrap that up of what's the newest update on russia, ukraine right Now, they're, actually in some talks some delegates from russia, some from ukraine uh speaking um in belarus right now, so we're gon na be talking about that overall market we'll do some charts and then we're gon na get into some stuff with individual stocks.

I already see a lot of people pretty stoked about m-u-l-n this morning, uh congrats, if you got into it just you know, i have absolutely no position, but i'm more than happy to talk about it because i see quite a bit of excitement. As you know, it's a very, very crazy situation globally right now, which is leading to a crazy situation within the markets uh. So with all of this remember, this is not the time that you need to be a hero and use an excess amount of leverage leverage. Now, more than other, you need to be sticking to your training plan.

You need to be paying attention to risk. You need to be paying attention to your reward. Don't let something get out of hand that you cannot recover from so so much to talk about, but before we get into all that once again shout out to our sponsor here public. If you are a us resident, it is currently pinned to the top of chat.

It's also in the description of the video uh public.com coors or you could just put in the code matt no payment for order flow, no market makers, it's awesome, um, it's exponentially better than weeble. It is exponentially better than uh robinhood, no payment for order flow. Folks, you're not selling your orders to the likes of citadel to the likes of virtue 75, and they you could get all this. They have like public posts about this blog post 75 of the orders hit a lit exchange and the only time it doesn't that leftover quarter is when they legally have to go somewhere else, because they found you a better price.

This is not an options. Brokerage. It's a stock brokerage, but what i really like about it is: it has more of that social media aspect, so you can see, for example, what i'm in. If you go to my profile on public, you can see that i'm in amc, gme, prog corsair, that type of thing.

So, if you get your friends on it as well, you can see what they're in and just kind of track it uh. I do like that. Spin on it, but mostly i like the fact that finally we're getting a brokerage, that's a bit more transparent with the public, and i obviously really really enjoy the fact that they are not paying getting paid by citadel, not getting paid by virtue. Uh.

Very, very much. A fan of that so once again shout out to this stream sponsor public with all that being said, let's hop right into it, so in the pre market right now we are down, dow is down, the s, p is down and the nasdaq is down. Oil is up and yields are down. What this really relates to is some developments over the weekend that we're a lot more on the financial side.

Of course, there is horrific things going on lives are being lost, there's attacks, there's buildings being destroyed, there's a lot of in terms of human cost going on, but a lot. What you're, seeing in the financial markets relates to additional, very, very hardcore financial sanctions from many global leaders, global country leaders on russia, dow futures fall more than 200 points as sanctions, slam, russia and leaders meet for talks, so right now, uh, actually in real time. If you're watching this live, there is like there's a little confusion. Some people are saying the talks are already over as in just finished, and then other people are saying no they're actually still going on.

So i'm sure that's something we're going to be talking about, but a very, very fluid discussion. Uh russian troops advance on kiev, as ukraine continues to resist as ukrainian and russian officials prepare for peace talks monday. Once again they are going on right. Now.

The uk defense ministry issued a statement saying british intelligence supports ukrainian forces claims that they've slowed down. Russia's offensive, adding logistical failures and staunch ukrainian resistance continue to frustrate the russian advance so overall, a common theme, especially if you're not like me, doom-scrolling every single second, a common theme of what we're seeing from many. I guess people who are fancy titles, defense, ministries, things like that across the world. A lot of them are saying that it is their belief that putin thought this would be a lot more efficient.

A lot quicker and uh ukrainians are putting up one hell of a fight. That allegedly was not expected, and this is kind of throwing in a wrench into all of putin and his cronies plans remember this is not russia. This is putin his cronies invading ukraine. This is wildly not accepted by many people within russia.

This is obviously not accepted by many people within the world. So with it remember uh. This is an attack on like all of russia ban. In fact, it's a small amount of people that have an absurd amount of power within the country who are doing these horrific attacks really against humanity.

But overall, these logistical failures were obviously not expected. The amount of resistance from ukraine not expected kind of really really messing up, allegedly what putin had planned at all eu to purchase and deliver weapons to ukraine in historic. First, the eu's foreign policy chief uh borrel said during the q, a portion of a press conference that member states will provide fighter jets to retain not just any munition if you've been looking at uh kind of like that story, that's been going around ghost of kiev. Uh kind of interesting connection there, just a fighter pilot if you haven't read that pretty cool story of allegedly an ace, that's already been going.

Uh like buckwild on russian jets. Ukrainian foreign minister has been asking us what they need. The kind of fighter jets that the ukrainian army is able to operate and we know what kind of uh plans excuse me and some member states have these kind of planes. Uh burr royal cell and one is likely a reference to soviet area jets possessed by eastern european countries, so getting them some planes.

Uh eu closes airspace to russian aircraft and blocks state-backed media uh. This just kind of came out, uh the i guess like retort to it from russia was they banned 36 or 37 countries from flying into russia. So it's very much a tit-for-tat thing, but also it's kind of interesting, so they're blocking state-backed media. If you haven't been really tracking it anonymous, the hacker group over the weekend has really been messing with russia taking down various uh websites that are important to the government and then on top of that in terms of their media.

They've been hijacking some of the channels and showing what's actually going on in ukraine or playing the ukrainian national anthem. So a lot of things are in flux, right now and you're. Seeing a lot a lot of people in this world using their particular skill, set to help in the way that they can, which hey, i think, that's pretty cool. I think that's a pretty cool statement for humanity as a whole, so many people coming together to fight one enemy in this scenario as war reshapes, europe, germany, pivots on defense and aid - so you have the german chancellor or not the chancellor.

Here, olaf schultz changes his cor country's foreign policy paradigm to resist putin's imperial ambitions as russia. Invasion of ukraine transforms the continents, post, cold war order, okay. So what in the world's going on here, germany, because of all this they've, definitely taken some serious, i guess changes and new outlooks on like how they should be positioning themselves. First of all, they're doing a lot more money in their defense budget.

That's gone up a multitude and then also they are heavily dependent, heavily dependent on russia for like within the energy sector. So they're really realigning some of their. I guess own previous conceptions of how it should be run in terms of the energy sector and they're trying to take themselves off of the reliance on russia for energy uh, speaking of which the u.s i know. Obviously, gas prices have been going up.

I'm sure many of you if you've filled up your gas lately you're noticing an abnormally large bill. Well, i mean in terms of imported gasoline, the us, and most of you watching right now, according to my analytics, are from the us over 20 of our imported gasoline is from russia and as we're continuing to hit them with various sanctions which we're about to get Into more details of man like they're, going to hit us back so folks, energy, think of gasoline natural gas oil. Those things are they're already high. I mean oil right now.

95. Last week it hit 100 came down to 91.92 back up to 95.. I don't think this is slowing down anytime soon in terms of the energy sector. I i just see higher and higher and higher.

This is the type of stuff that it's the position globally of. What's going on is not going to be unwound rapidly, i mean we're hitting them with serious sanctions. It's natural for them to hit back the supply. Is opec lightened up a little bit they're, giving us some extra barrels of oil, but overall the supply is low.

It's getting crunch and the demand is actually increasing. Thus, the price of energy related stuff is going to go higher and higher and higher, which is why i think it's worthwhile to look at energy right now in real time. Some equities that i think are interesting to look at are obviously defense, such as lockheed, martin or crowdstrike, and then also more in the energy sector. If you want to look at the oil field, that's uso or you could look at exxon, there's a whole host of them, but right now it really does seem like defense and energy are some very, very viable plays.

Why is this? Well? It's because it's the sanctions. We were talking about biden, administration, expands sanctions against russia, cutting off u.s transactions with central bank. So i covered this a little bit in more detail yesterday when, on the crypto stream, we were talking about swift uh. Basically, that is the world system for financial transactions.

Money wires: it's how, on an international level, how different banks talk with each other and under the swift system, there's about 11 000 institutions represented by over 200 countries. It is a big big deal for russia partially to get kicked off of it is all of russia. Kicked off of swift, no, but some of their biggest banks are their biggest bank is actually down over 70 on the london stock exchange. As we're speaking right now, uh, you may have heard even me or various other people talk about their reserves.

They've been building up. Other countries, fiat currency reserves - well that's kind of rendered useless if they have no connection to the rest of the world. I mean you're, seeing a lot of countries right now from a central bank perspective, just freezing their assets like even what they did have in stockpile. It's rendered useless right now, if many of these banks, if there's no connection, there's no connection uh, the biden administration announced sanctions against russia's central bank on monday, a move that prohibits americans from doing any business with the bank as well as freezes assets within the us.

So, on top of swift, it's getting worse and worse and worse and you're actually seeing other countries take the exact same. Let's say financial attack. The new measures will also target the national wealth fund of the russian federation and the ministry of finance of the russian federation. A biden administration official who spoke on the condition of anonymity in order to share washington's thinking, said that the new sanctions will take effect immediately, and this is all on top of what happened.

Saturday. The swift thing uh, the u.s european allies in canada, agreed to remove key russian banks from the inter-bank messaging system, which is swift, not all russian banks, but the major players, which is an extraordinary step that will sever the country from much of the global financial system And just so, you know: swift stands for society of worldwide interbank financial telecommunication. Basically it's how international banks talk with each other, so taking them off of it when they can't talk. We were talking about this over the weekend, most likely when people saw this coming.

It's been hitting the ruble as we're about to see right here. Russian ruble plunge is nearly 30 against the dollar, amid sanctions over ukraine invasion because of this uh in comparison to the usd ruble pairing, it's the lowest. It's ever been as in the relative value of a ruble. We, it's never seen these lows before it's a new low and it's a lot because of this of who would want the ruble if it's not really gon na right now, in real time, be used anywhere.

Uh we were talking about this. I believe dave, lauer quote tweeted something from bill. Ackman and ackman was kind of pointing out hey. This couldn't cause solvency issues at russian banks.

It's gon na cause bank runs and that's exactly what we were seeing. He was calling for it to happen today, but like if you're watching any of the video footage or anything like that it actually all started playing out yesterday. People were also seeing a spike in usd uh, but the ruble. It's who wants that? No one's gon na want it if it can't really be used anywhere, uh right now, these economic sanctions, the financial sanctions, are astounding, um and i'm in no way saying that of like it's somehow worse than the the missiles, the tanks the lives lost, i'm not at All obviously, that stuff is far far worse when there's like a human cost to it, but right here, i'm just trying to better articulate.

What's going on in the financial realm of things, so the ruble going down russian president putin says his country's nuclear deterrence forces on high alert that was yesterday. Obviously, people not liking this, and actually because of the whole swift thing, that's why we saw the gap down in the markets if you were looking at the futures market when that opened at 6 p.m. Et yesterday, all of these gap, downs across the board, was because of this pretty like crazy, crazy financial saying like it's a big deal, this shouldn't just be like. Oh, we took him off of swift.

It's truly isolating russia from the rest of the global system and at this point the only player that like might play nice with them - and this is, i guess, a little tin, foidy tinfoil hattie - probably is china um in terms of their currencies with each other? There's a little bit of an overlap there of who has what stored that beyond that, though, like i just, it is really really a crazy development. Last week, president joe biden responded to russia's unprovoked attack on ukraine by announcing several rounds of sanctions on russian banks on the country's sovereign debt and putin and foreign minister lavrov. On top of that, they are also putting quite a few sanctions on oligarchs and you're. Even seeing people on twitter, who are now posting, the like location of russian oligarch, their jets, their yachts, as in like trackers, like people, can see what they are or aren't doing, you're having various coalitions within the crypto community, starting to track well-known, like rich russian, of Their crypto wallets to see what they're doing with their money.

Like i said a little bit ago as i was alluding to it's interesting to see so many people using like what their expertise are in banding together and like doing what they can to assist with the situation, russia's biggest bank plunge is 77, while the ruble hits A record low as sanctions threaten to the country's economy and is exactly what's going on. Ukraine. Officials arrive at belarus border for talks, russia, central bank hikes rates to 20 right before this it was at 9.5 and they more than doubled it up to try to battle. What's going on, but right there, the rights going through the roof.

Let me give this a quick reload just to see what some of the newest updates are us expand: sanctions against russia target central bank and ministry of finance. You had to consider whether russia has committed war crimes in ukraine. I feel like the answer is an obvious. Yes, u.s closes minsk embassy scales back personnel in moscow ecb ready to act to prevent market dislocation over ukraine uh.

Just so, you know the russian market, the equivalent to the u.s s, p 500, their m-o-e-x actually not even opening today and there's in other market things like they're stopping international people from selling in the russian market. It's getting pretty pretty wild um. I do want to go over some of the more quote. Unquote, recent updates, like i'm sure things, have been playing out in real time as i'm speaking, but very quickly.

Let me just rip through this list. Here's what you should know today, markets gapping down a little bit because of the swift thing: we've increased, our sanctions, oil is going higher, the ruble is going down and talks are happening in real time and actually, by the time i switch over to this, they may Have already been concluded, let me check this out right here, all right. What do we have swiss government says? Adopts eu sanctions on russia interesting most of the time. Uh switzerland stays pretty neutral.

So it's interesting to see them taking a sign. Russia says it closes its airspace to 23 uh 23 other countries. There we go. I believe the list is now at 36.37.

Russia borrows airlines from 36 countries. This is an interesting one, u.s delegation to taiwan to demonstrate our continued robust support for taiwan. U.S president biden sending delegation of former senior defense and security officials to taiwan today monday. This is a big deal and obviously you can see a different aspect of global tensions, rising as it's now involving the whole u.s relationship, not only with russia but with china, and then russia's relationship with china.

It's a crazy, crazy time and, like i said i, i can't stress it enough that i am fully fully aware. The most paramount thing right now is the lives the lives being lost in ukraine as we speak, and the terror that's being involved with this. But throughout the weekend it's kind of interesting - and maybe maybe it's tinfoil hatty - to see the connection of. What's going on on the global financial scale, uh, for example, there were economists in austria that for a couple years now, maybe the better part of a decade who they were kind of pushed out to the side as like just crazy people when they were trying to Really bring to light that it seems like russia and china are making moves to de-dollarize themselves as in getting off the u.s dollar.

Even if you look at russia and china since 2008 till now, their gold raisers have gone through the roof. If you look in china, they are doing everything they can to rapidly get their own digital currency. There have been various things. Those are just two among many other things.

A myriad of reasons that people over the past decade have really been like, hang on. What's going on here, and you almost wonder, not only is this a war on ukraine is this: potentially a war on ukraine and the us dollar. There are people who are far more intelligent, far more articulate and are far more informed about this situation, who have been doing interviews who have been writing up articles. I really implore you to check it out.

I myself was reading a lot of it over the weekend and it's interesting because, right now the us dollar does dominate really the world economy everything's based in usd but we've been seeing with this is like. Is this all a ploy for some other big? I guess, like global power, move a global power shift. Uh, i don't know obviously hindsight's gon na be 2020.. I just wanted to bring it up because, especially with the world of crypto, now people talking about fiat and what's actually backing it and then you're, seeing certain countries load up on gold right now.

It's a very, very interesting thing to at least dive into so uh hang on. Let me just check to see. Let's see what the ukrainian account has been. Posting lately realize the scale of ukraine heroism that is actually pretty crazy right there.

I want to go to this one. The kiev, independent uh, japan, joins western sanctions against russia's central bank. Once again, their bank is getting absolutely crippled, uh all right. What else do we have there's a curfew? We knew that.

Okay, okay, okay, all right, we will come back to the breaking news like i have all the different sources up here: we're gon na bounce in between them very quickly, though, just because we have 10 minutes, i do want to go over some of the charts, so, As you can see a gap down in the s p 500, the nasdaq the same with the dow the same with the russell uh. They are attempting to fight back a little bit. I posted this on macquarie.locals um. It does seem like remember what happened last week when things gapped down, it seems like the market, did the exact opposite whenever it almost seemed, as if, like there was worse news, the market did better and then, if there was good news, the market went down we're In a very, very weird, highly volatile time, so with this do not use excess leverage, keep your risk reasonable pay attention to rewards.

Stick to your trading plan. Don't get whipsawed expect large gyrations in the market. Uh the vagueries throughout it are going to be very, very evident and obvious throughout the trading day. I am slightly bullish going into today, just because we um a lot of the unknowns are now officially known and that typically helps the market calm down.

But i want to be very, very clear: i am only slightly bullish and that's very much in the short term, i'm not saying hey. This is the bottom and i'm buying everything right now and i'm looking for like rip city, i'm saying in the short term, i'm kind of looking for this isn't technically a gap bill, but i'm looking for the low of when the post market was training on friday. I'm looking for the spies and the queues to recapture that speaking of the spy in the queues. Just so you know, the s p 500 has a short interest of 16.

The queues have a short interest of almost 15 and then the russell 2000. All of last week it was at 38 39. This is now hopping up at 41.6, so the small cap sector getting more shorted speaking of small cap. Just so you know, amc is currently at 20.3 percent, once again.

Utilization 100 and gamestop short interest, actually taking a little bit of a drop down at 17.7 and a lot of the reason. This is just because of a recalibration in their estimation of what's going on, and that's just because we got the newest release. Date was last week, the 25th, but same with amc gme has a utilization of 100 percent um. Before we get into amc and jamie's charts.

Like i said, the s p 500 doesn't technically have a gap uh to be filled like we're still within or if we open up roughly right here, we're gon na be within the bar from friday. I'm looking at the support of 429 and then i'm looking for kind of a break of 435, currently turning at 432, and i will be watching this wedge. But i would switch to being bearish in the short term if we break below friday's low, which is currently 427.86 in terms of the qs once again, technically, not a gap we're coming down, but we didn't create a gap within the chart. I'm looking for a breakout above basically 344 and i'm looking for support to be found between 340 334 336 and in terms of the russell once again uh.

We are seeing a little bit of relative outperformance in the small cap, which is kind of interesting because it has the highest short interest. Definitely feel the need to bring that up. Looking for 200 199 to hold and looking for a recapture of 202.50, which was the high from friday and then maybe we could push to 205.. Those are generically the levels i'll be watching for the indices, i'll call those out in real time.

In terms of amc, it's currently down one percent. Looking for the push above that key resistance at 18.25 and looking forward to hold on to 1670. That is the closest support in terms of gme. I'm looking forward to hold above 112 ish and i would love for it to recapture 120..

Now with all that being said, i'm looking in chat - and i know, there's a lot of excitement again about m-u-l-n. It is up 48 in pre-market right now. Just so you know, m-u-l-n has a short interest of 12.6 utilization of 22 costs to borrow of 9.55, and it's a low float shares on loan 1.62 million uh before we get into it like the chart breakdown. I just want to make it explicitly clear that i have no mul in position i'll keep it up if there's a high enough demand, but it's just not my play.

I don't like penny stocks, it's not for me. If you're in it. I hope you make a stupid amount of money. I want you to be wildly wildly successful.

It's just not my type of play, uh. Obviously it's up in pre-market right now, i'm telling you don't get too greedy with it. Yes, this can totally get going, but obviously you have to be careful of a gap filled to the bottom side, pay attention to that, whatever you're doing, if you're up a lot of money right now, if you got in on this on friday, you're already up 48, Just don't let it all of a sudden go red on you in terms of like you should be green in your p, l uh make sure you're keeping yourself green, especially in a crazy market like this green is good folks, don't all of a sudden hold a Position if it goes against you, i don't know if it will, i hope it opens. I hope it holds on to a dollar and i hope it just gets pushing pushing pushing.

I would love to see it hit 150. Two dollars two dollars would be an awesome test level to see how it reacts, because after that you could be watching 270, but right now, buyers are stepping up it's a huge amount. I'm just saying: don't think that this has to go higher. That's not like just because something's up doesn't mean it has a hold; it totally could but uh make sure your mindset is right on it, especially when we're in such a volatile market time, but with that being said, i should really take the time to articulate when You see a play like this of, what's currently going on, there's a good chance that it's correlation to the overall market like goes closer and closer to zero, as in there's a good chance, it won't be correlated with the overall market.

But i see a lot of excitement within it um. I know people have been talking about it pretty heavily now for the past week or two i'll, keep it up as long as it's moving and if you're in i hope you make a stupid amount of money. I have no position in it. I have no plan to make a position in it, but it does seem like those shorts are currently in uh, quite a bit of trouble uh.

So with all that being said, the belt is about to go diggity ding, ding ding, we'll watch market open i'll turn it over to some of the news, but just to turn it over to all of you. If you have any questions before the market does open up like definitely let me know, let me switch up the charts here. All right. Let me get to the one minute we'll get to the one minute over here.

Let's go, let's go, let's go all right. I think there's gon na be i'll, throw up, how's amc amc, let's see if he could go green out of the gate. We have gme as well i'll put that up there uh, obviously, if something's moving, if something's ripping whether very very high or very, very low. If something's volatile, let me know more than happy to put it up: recovery, tuesday, recovery tuesday on monday, could be.

I mean, we've been kind of noticing. This interesting trend of the market seems to just do the opposite of where a lot of people's mindset is at of like when everyone's like. Oh, this is like doom and gloom. Those are the days it's green and then, when people are like hang on, are we? Finally, gon na get a bit of a recovery.

Those are the days that are more red, uh, definitely an excessive amount of whipsaw going on. Let me clean up my immense amount of tabs right here. We have all the news going all right, we'll watch market open and then we can switch it over to the news. The news, the news, the news have i watched trey's new video, no uh, i don't really.

I mean when you're doing this so much your your own youtube consumption goes really really low. I mean i, i don't. I used to watch a lot a lot of youtube, but then, as you get into this, it's just i i don't really have the time to watch so much youtube. I there's a lot to still like learn and study and just i guess become more informed about so i could share that all with you, my own youtube consumption across the board has really really taken a dive.

If you haven't already uh, it would be awesome if you could hit a like button. Help me out with the algorithm. It would be sick if we could just jump over that thousand like mark and also if you're on rumble drop a like if you're on twitch. Don't forget to follow also on rumble and youtube.

If you haven't already don't forget to subscribe, liking subscribing it is completely free. It helps me out immensely ding ding ding. The casino is open and a quick reminder for all of you shout out to public no payment for order flow, no market makers, this opening bell is brought to you by public one of the most transparent brokerages that we currently have access to in the u.s. That is still commission free.

It is free to sign up and you could get up to 70 of stock after verifying your account making a valid deposit, i believe, of 100, but you could get up to 70 of free stock, so really no harm no foul. To get rocking with it keep up the good work, i'm hodling for the apes shout out shout out. I think, there's a lot. How many uh drop some the uh? Oh we're almost at a thousand likes.

I appreciate all of you. Thank you. That was very, very quick. Um drop, some uh some diamonds in chat.

If you're still a diamond-handed ape. Let the world know, i already know you guys are, but let the rest of the world know all right, m-u-l-n up 51, that is so wild amc. Remember the closest resistance is 1820 1830, we'll just call it 1825, but um in minute. One we got as high as 1812.

gme would love her to hold above 120. you're, seeing the spy push right. Now i like that. Actually, let me see, what's going on over here, all right, we're seeing the market push a little bit push a little bit.

Hey big fan, big fan of that uh i'll, most likely be doing some spread it or some spread it. Some credit spread plays like just apparently push all those words together, um, if that, if i make those today i'll be posting all those in locals just so, everyone is well aware all right, cool cool cool cool. Let's see how this is going to get going today. Uh, the qs and the russell not that far off from going green, the russell has another dollar and the queues have a dollar seventy, but the spy looking strong.

That has a little bit more. That has four dollars but buyers. Remember just short term: i'm feeling a little bit bullish, uh, let's see as the market's opening remember um, i usually like to wait those first 10, 20, 30 minutes and times like this. I actually like to wait a little bit more just because i'm fully expecting whipsaw volatility.

We are in a super high volatility environment so as we're letting things calm down for market open, especially on a monday, also the last training day of the month, which we need to talk about that a little bit more uh today is a pretty special monday, and I was alluding to this, and actually before we go to the news i'll clarify this. This is kind of a big development right here. So if i show you the 200-day moving average, as you can see, it is 445 and we're currently trading at 432. Yes, we have one more trading day, there's a chance.

We get above that that is totally possible, but as of right now we are below the 200-day moving average. In a very very long time. We have not had the start of a new month below the 200-day moving average. It has just not happened.

This will be potentially one of the first months in quite a while um honestly, it actually might even be may of 2020 that we've started the month. A new calendar month below the 200-day moving average. Why is that a big deal? There are many. Let's call them quote unquote, just these very traditional long.

Only like hedge funds, banks, institutions and their methodology. Is that simple going to be long we're going to be risk on if the s p 500 is above the 200-day moving average and they rebalance it every single month? If we end up closing the market today below the 200-day moving average as tensions with russian, ukraine are still very high, as we're heading into the first rate, hike that we've seen in now two years, remember march, we're gon na get our first rate hike. This is all a very, very interesting situation that could relate to some serious selling in the overall market. Does it have to happen this way? Absolutely not it doesn't have to, but i'm just telling you there's a lot of these big money managers that it's that simple and they're going to be switching from more of a risk-on mindset to a risk-off mindset, they're kind of a longer-term trend following and now to Them the trend will be breaking if we end up below the 200-day moving average remember.

This has not been seen since may of 2020. It's been a while we've just been coasting above the 200, just on top of it on top of it, on top of it. If the spy does not rip about 11 today, this will tomorrow could represent the first day that we're starting a new calendar month below the 200-day moving average, which could lead to some big pivots uh, just from your classic money managers, and obviously you have russia to Consider i should say you have putin to consider. You also have to consider the first rate hikes from a big global perspective, a macroeconomic perspective, there's some serious change afoot.

So i just want to call that out to all of you. It should definitely be on your radar or something in the back of your mind as you're, making your decisions all right, amc look at that. What was i off? I was off by ascent. I guess this morning, my apologies.

I know you guys expect better. I know you expect better, but the spy looking good jimmy coming down amc had a nice push. Uh actually jimmy is still holding green. I would love for jimmy to get above 120.

if gme pushes above 120. Definitely let me know prague is up. 3.7. Muln is still up 57.

That looks it's like looking. Actually what nuts today how's the tech sector doing uh tech scepter very, very choppy as the spy is pushing right in front of us. Um amc diverted beta the concept of negative beta. There are various people, uh, there's a mindset and, in my opinion, it's an incorrect.

It's an erroneous mindset to think that for a moas to happen, you're gon na want the market to crash. I don't believe in that. If you see the markets going down, there's a good chance that some of the big players like large whales banks, hedge funds, that are long on amc - will sell it because amc is considered to be a higher risk. Investment uh this and really it's stemming from a misunderstanding of what negative beta is uh and you're.

Also it's too short of a time frame. Remember negative beta, that's maybe on the one year. But if you look at the five year, it's a positive beta beta change like you get a beta for a certain time frame. So when people are pointing out the negative beta of amc, i don't even think it's a good correlation to begin with, because it's trying to say that amc and the spy have some sort of relationship and it does.

But i think it's a weak one. But when you're using beta you're saying that there is already some sort of underlying inherent connection between the two, so that one i don't really like that argument the most and on top of it it's very nitpicky, depending on your time frame, you can find a positive Or a negative beta, but overall, if we think through it. Logically, if the market goes down, the first thing: that's sold is high risk investments i.e. What mainstream media would refer to as meme stocks and also maybe something like crypto higher risk.

High growth high risk. Those are the first things that get sold when the market gets funky. All right, i would love for the queues to get above 344.. Look at this wall.

Are we just getting a wall of puts uh 11 days out 11 days we get some puts puts some puts puts and some some calls calls interesting. The queues look, how much the queues are getting smacked exactly at 344., uh mulin coming down, but still up 50 on the day, uh gme, not holding 120 at 118, let's see if it can base soon the queues come down a little bit the russell. Oddly enough, still holding on the best uh, we've been seeing this now that the small caps performing outperforming relative to the spine, the cues i mean even look at this chart. The russell had a nice pop, it's only down by point four percent and then look at the cues.

It's actually down by point. Seven, and just the intraday chart looks a little bit more as, if they're running into a wall of sellers. Why does it sell off? Like that at open uh, why does what sell off? I don't know what the it is in the scenario, my apologies, ukraine is not ready. Okay, yeah.

We do need to turn it over to some of the news to see. What's going on here, u.s and western allies set up pressure on russia with new economic sanctions, we've kind of gone over that? Where do we have russian? Cyber attacks hit ukraine banks? Let's, let's listen into that one for a second things like data exfiltration generally, so we've seen these attacks and of course we see this behavior happen every single day. We process something on the order of trillions of requests every single month and for us it's not abnormal. To see it, but what is abnormal is the rate all right, we're just seeing some attacks and allies, including sweden, that are stepping up their aid to say we're prepared to escalate this.

If needed, we have the capacity we are prepared to impose additional threats. You know i i it's important to note how much of this is being happened in coordination at the same time, and a lot of you know military analysts, a lot of you know, people close to president putin have have noted that he might have underestimated just how Coordinated this response might be diane all right: elizabeth chelsea forrest from dc thanks elizabeth thanks and the u.n now says more than 500 000 people, half a million have fled ukraine, since russia invaded most are making their way to poland, hungary and romania, or at least trying To our chief national correspondent, matt gutman is in la vie, ukraine, with more on the refugee crisis. This morning, the escape from ukraine is going nowhere. Thousands packed into this tunnel beneath the lavee railway station in western ukraine, closer to the polish border and to safety refugees dragging what they could whipped by wind and snow traffic snarled for over 15 miles.

The u.n telling us at least 422 thousand people have fled the violence so far in the thick air of that train station babies screaming adults shouting out a railway spokesperson telling us that every hour, five to ten thousand more people arrive. This is absolute chaos. There is no scheduled training. There is no information about some clear training, just in line for some possible - maybe tonight maybe tomorrow morning, maybe in two days in the meantime, they wait young and old scurrying over the tracks clutching hands.

The talks are still going on ukrainian presidential advisor says. Talks with russia are still ongoing. Swiss defense ministry says we'll have concluded use of our russian nuclear weapons. Relatively unlikely population should not be afraid every few minutes the crowd would rise and bolt a train and another false alarm.

This train is going to keeve only women and child caught in limbo, african and middle eastern immigrants. These men telling us they believe they've been discriminated against waiting. This mother, smoothing her son's jacket weeping through her mask unsure when or if she'd see her son again they're now closing the doors to this train. It is about to leave the station.

You can see they're crying people on this train. It is packed to the absolute gills. This is the hub of this mass ex ukraine is not ready to surrender or capitulate to russia, foreign minister, in the shortest amount of time foreign minister says diane, all right, matt, gutman forrest and levi ukraine. Thanks matt abc news, live's, continuing coverage of the ukraine, russia crisis will return in just a moment, stay with us in just a moment, but as ukraine holds ground, there's more and more perseverance, not to surrender an inch of ukrainian soil and to push russians out uh.

Ukraine's are subscribing to the armed forces, territorial defense units, so there is the national mobilization to fight russians in ukraine. So what do you think moscow now then is looking to you know? What's its endgame, do you think its conditions have changed? Well, as i said, i mean putin had a war and game scenario in his head, but it's clearly failing. He was hoping for this blitzkrieg to take over kiev to topple and kill zelensky and basically install a puppet military regime uh it's only in a kind of uh pathological brain that such scenario could uh imagine as a possible scenario, because he clearly miscalculated for what ukraine Has become in the last 30 years, and especially in the last eight years since the annexation of crimea, russia has always been viewed since then, as an aggressor in ukraine, as the country that is bringing that horrendous devastation. People are now seeing on the screens.

So, there's no doubt that um ukraine will not capitulate as putin wants and nobody truly believes, there's any kind of uh um. You know cracking within that position. So far, is anybody helping me at the airport in zuchaba? Yes, the two cases and the children? Can you take them only after crossing the borders and leaving ukraine behind them that refugees can rest for a while? Sometimes their relatives and friends greet them in the north of romania, while hundreds of volunteers offer foods and drinks vasily is a refugee with double citizenship. He left ukraine to germany to put his relatives into safe place, but he decided to return home and resist.

He must have to say he's not ready to russia me many foreign. Where are you? Ukraine is ready to continue seeking a diplomatic solution, but ukraine is not ready to surrender or capitulate. The comments come as ukrainian and russian officials are holding talks in belarus, which neighbors both ukraine and russia. So it's to the north of ukraine, west of russia, uh russian forces have attacked various cities and areas of northern eastern and southern ukraine with the troops approaching the capital kiev from the north.

So it sounds like the talks really didn't go too far. What else do we have any other pressing updates? Let's check this out, that was an hour ago uh, so the intraday low in the queues a bid was found and then the spy is making a higher low look for that breakout of 434 and then look for the cues to break out of 344.. Amc ran up to its resistance and thus far got smacked, but if it can come back around 18, i would love to see another test of 1826 m-u-l-n, somehow finding support just below a dollar recaptured it up. 47 uh man, oh man.

How is this actually going to play out today interesting day? How is the small cap sector doing holding on? I mean down 0.48 another day that we're seeing small caps outperform, even though on a relative basis, they have the highest short interest, so relative outperformance, with the relative highest short interest between the spy, the queues and the russell interesting interesting, interesting, very interesting uh. What else so prague is in the green lucids in the green tesla in the green up 1.6 uh, and then you have crypto overall crypto getting a nice pop right now. That should bode well pretty for the nasdaq. I'm thinking look at crypto right now doing its thing.

Uh russian ruble to the u.s dollar, look at that just getting absolutely demolished absolutely demolished ever since february 17th. It's come down 23. At one point. Today it was down over 70, the ruble just getting destroyed m-o-e-x.

This is the russian exchange not actually even open, as you can see, similar to the ruble. Getting pretty beat up down 34 percent, currently down 32 ever since feb 17. m-o-e-x is once again the moscow exchange similar to the s p. 500..

Let's take a quick look at oil, i believe it's just below 95 dollars a barrel 94.88 in real time, but you can see oil's been going up and up and up, let's take a look at gold, gold, similar scenario going up and up and up yes, it Was higher on thursday same with oil uh, but it came off, but now we're seeing a kind of a spike back. The q's coming back around uh the spy coming back around m-u-l-n. Look for that to get above 1.04 if you're in that crypto going from there. We go qs there we go, cues matt won't cover cei, i'm not a fan of cei.

Folks, that's not ripping! This is just an oil play, but i'm a little bit iffy about it because the last time this did anything. This was uh kind of like a twitter pump and dump scenario um. It makes me uneasy, because there's going to be quite a few bag holders in here, as this gets going, especially if it gets a doubt above 1.50 you're going to have all of these bag holders who are gon na try to get out for break even um. This was not a natural play, this very much related to twitter, and then there was some really confusing things coming about out about the leadership of cei and then the people who were pumping it on twitter, never even retorted, like they didn't even have a defense about Coming out of like like really weird accusations against their leadership, so just like there's, there's too much baggage, not only in terms of bag holders, but in terms of just like how weird of a situation this is.

If i'm looking for an energy play, i mean there's better ones that i trust more, such as uso. You could look at exxon, exxon, mobil xom, like i, i think, there's more there's safer energy plays out there, i'm not if you're in cei. I hope you crush it, but it's just definitely not a play for me all right: the queue struggling above 343.50, but the spy looking good. I don't know i'm thinking, i'm thinking we might be hitting some of these levels that we saw 430.

760. I think we might be going up to it. My reasoning for it is it basically feels like we're in the upside down and everything that makes sense doesn't end up playing out. So i'm just kind of almost trying to wire my brain to do the opposite of.

Like hey everything, looks bad. The market might go up while on the other thing it seems like when we get positive news, the market goes down. Look at these people trying to pump cei curb man he's getting like super mad because he's in it he's like. I need you to say something positive, because i own it do your own research folks, this dude do your own dd on it.

If you like it get into it, i'm just saying it's not for me. If you're in it, i want you to make money, but also cei will eventually come down. It might go up quite a bit before that happens, but eventually cei will come down all right. Amc one of the few things still holding green uh, obviously muln, is still very green.

Tesla is green. Let's throw up tesla a little bit. Tesla ooh might break out of 832 somehow tagged that resistance, cei is only promoted by bag holders could be, and with it like. I want you to make money.

I obviously do how do i know if my public account is set up in cash or margin um? It should be in your account settings, but just for everyone, especially if you're in the us generally, when you create an account, it starts as a margin account like most accounts. The default account type is a margin, account when's. The next amc earnings great question tomorrow, night at 5 p.m and yeah i'll stream it starting at like 4 45 eastern, but amc earnings announcements tomorrow, tuesday march 1st 5 p.m. E t, i will start the stream at 4 45.

I will be streaming the entire thing. So, wherever you're watching it, whether it's rumble twitch or youtube, i will be streaming it. Cei is better than amc. That's just factually inaccurate.

It has less of a supportive community, has a worse fundamental situation and it's really the product of like a twitter pump like a twitter group pump, there's actually no aspect of cei. I like more than amc. It has a worse technical situation, a worse fundamental situation and has less of a supportive community like across the board, technicals fundamentals. Community support, amc and gme would beat cei, tesla poppin spy, new intraday high tweet, says earnings 4 p.m, central time, yeah, 5 p.m, et.

Usually, when you're talking about market related thing, just because the new york stock exchange and like wall street is on east coast time, most of the time like the default time, you're going to use is like e.t cues. The tech sector tried to get that breakout, but then quickly got smacked uh have you adjusted your portfolio to hold more commodities uranium gold? I don't own any uranium, but i do own gold. I own gold through gld, and that's currently in my long term, account hey matt with all the stuff going on overseas. Would it make sense that shorts would attack amc today before earnings is usually read before earnings um? I don't really think anything with the overseas situation.

Has a connection with amc? I think the overseas situation has a connection with our overall market despite the cues and the russell and then inherently has a connection with amc but um. I i just don't see a connection of a war of like russia, basically declaring war for all intents and purposes on ukraine. I just don't see the connection to amc or gme on a specific basis. Do you not like sofi uh i've never used sofi as in the app, so i have like no opinions on that, but in terms of the stock it's been beaten up recently we're bouncing off.

We just made a new low, so i guess if you like it, i've never used the product. So it's hard for me to really judge it. They have an earnings tomorrow as well, so i'm going to be expecting some volatility, but if you just want to risk the recent all-time low and see if it bounces off of that, that could be a solid play. But i can't really pass any judgment on it because i've never used their product and if i were to invest in a company like this well, the first thing i would do is download the product and use it.

Can i please go over amc, there's really nothing to go over right now, it's green on the day, but it's been kind of it popped and then we came down and now we're back halfway. So it's not really moving. Today, um there might be some movement as we get closer i would actually tomorrow. I think it would move more as people are going to be jockeying for position before earnings after the market closes tomorrow.

Uh today, i think it's going to be roughly aligned with whatever right here, whatever the russell 2000 is doing um if the russell, even though intraday this looks better, please understand that the russell's actually red, while amc is currently green. If the russell continues to push that will bode well for amc, if the russia, if the russell, if the iwm gets hit, that's gon na not bode well for amc, it'll, most likely drag amc with it. Um hey green is green. I, like that you're looking for the breakout of 1825 there's not really much to talk about until we get more information from the earnings which is once again after the market closes tomorrow, all right.

If it gets above 18 25 1826. There could be some excitement there. Maybe a push to the low 20s, but i'm watching that resistance closely. Speaking of things not moving.

Muln is still up a lot, but it's just trading sideways. So, let's pull up something: that's maybe a little bit more active, tesla, move and move and move in when and why credit spreads uh. When i mean that comes down to your own methodology and how you want to do it, but why? It's a very nice! It's a conservative way to engage in the market. You take low risk, but also you have low reward, but your accuracy should be high.

I've been posting, all of my credit spread, plays on locals and thus far we're four for four literally. If you took one of them, you could have paid for like the full year on that it's ten dollars a month or a hundred dollars for a year, um and right now we're four for four. We locked in two additional ones on friday and depending on how things go here, i'll probably be locking in or i'll be placing more trades today and those will all get posted on locals. Do you have any active spreads? No, they all closed out on friday uh, and there was two on friday.

They both closed. We did an iron condor on friday and those hit very very nicely. What are my thoughts on lmt lockheed, martin um right now, i'd be bullish on it i mean this is a very well-known well-respected defense contractor technical breakout. I think the next major resistance is 440..

It's a bit chasey right now. The time to get in was late.