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Is so so mama, hello, hello, hello and welcome to the pre-market action for today, thursday march 9th, and it is not a thursday, i believe it's actually wednesday. But who knows if this is all just if you believe in the gregorian calendar, let's not get caught up in the whole? What is time type of a thing? Let's talk about the stonk market, instead crazy, crazy volatility, we're gon na be going over a quick recap of what played out yesterday some of the interesting developments in the overnight session and also this morning as it relates to ukraine, putin, the commodities market, the equities market, Lots and lots to talk about, and then i have some two like pretty wild stories to share with you and then also just a couple little updates here and there that in one way or another impact the economy, especially in the us. So a lot to talk about and then ideally we'll be able to look into some of the charts, we'll break down some of this short interest. And maybe we can really come up with a little bit of a trading plan today, especially for all of you active traders.
That is the name of the game today and with all that being said, let's hop right into it. So in the pre-market action the dow is up, it is green. The s p is up green nasdaq green oil down turning out 117.. We have a lot to talk about with oil, i'm already seeing it in chat a lot of questions about.
Why is it down? So much i have that exact answer for you and then the yields are also green. So right now we're seeing the equities market bounce and the commodities market go down. What does that add up to? Basically, it's seeing a little bit of a recovery, i would say: equity is up commodities down it's saying kind of tension's coming off and we're going to have the exact reasons of what is or isn't going on. But before we get into all that on more of an individual basis, if you want to know what people are talking about and if you want to see social sentiment like the most highly discussed equities check out, what's pinned to the top of chat shout out to Attendees, it's analytics for the wall street bets subreddit, and on top of that they just rolled out free options flow.
You heard me right: f-r-e-e, free, free, free, free, free and right now it is for ios. So if you have an iphone and they are currently working on android and that should be rolling out in the near near future, but once again it's pinned to the top of chat. It's also in the description of the video. So let's talk about this yesterday, dow drops 180 points after volatile session, as traders try to assess impact of russia, ukraine war, so yesterday was a very very wild day.
We were down trending on monday. We continued that downtrend into tuesday and we were all kind of waiting around to figure out what was going on, and it was also at this point that oil was pretty much sky high and there was a lot of people banning like betting on the fact that The us would be banning russian petroleum imports and that's exactly what happened so that was putting some pressure on the market. You saw oil going high, you saw gold going high, really all commodities were going, high volatility was going high and the markets were going down. Then, just before old noon o'clock, it was reported that ukraine would no longer be seeking uh becoming a member of nato, so that was actually a positive sign, because we know it's a big thing that basically putin wanted so okay, that was a little bit of a Relief because people were viewing it as well, hang on a second. This actually might be uh in one way appeasing what the leadership in russia wants. So things were kind of calming down. It was viewed as a positive development. Also, i wouldn't be surprised if some market shorts got a little bit squeezed in here as well, and then it didn't last that long about an hour hour and a half people realize well hang on tensions are still really high.
There was reports that all these humanitarian corridors within ukraine are still being shelled by russian forces and overall there was still a lot of concerns of what's going on because, yes did, we see a small pullback in commodities overall in a short time frame 100 we did, But if you look at a bigger time frame, things are still super super elevated and then this bearishness came right into market. Close, we bottomed a little bit early in the evening and then from there you can see that we've been ripping ripping ripping, and there are some interesting updates of why we're seeing some bullishness right now, and this actually more so relates to the world of commodities rather Than the tensions simmering down in ukraine, in fact, the tensions in ukraine right now are still very, very high. So let's talk about what's going on in the commodities market that is leading to this dow futures jumped more than 500 points, as rallying commodity prices driven by ukraine, conflict eases so they're saying a ukrainian conflict eases. I don't know i'm going to go through some things that were just reported.
Then it doesn't really tell me that the conflict is easing down it's more so particularly in the commodity prices. So remember this was yesterday and i want to show you the dichotomy of what happened yesterday to today. U.S strikes harder at putin banning all russian oil imports striking harder at russia's economy. President joe biden ordered a ban on russian oil imports in retaliation to vladimir putin's onslaught in ukraine, and in this this came out yesterday that he followed up by once again doubling down on the fact that americans will feel pain as well at the gas pump biden.
In knowledge declaring defending freedom is going to cost. Well, just so you know the average gas price in the us right now is four dollars and 17 cents, which means in one week it has increased by 55 cents, a gallon that increase happened in one week. The average u.s national cost per gallon of gasoline is now 417 and it does not show any signs of slowing down. We will not be part of subsidizing putin's war wardens biden said calling on a new action a powerful blow against russia's ability to fund the ongoing offensive uh. So the u.s basically saying we're not going to do it. The uk, and really europe in general, is far more dependent on russia and getting them for energy supplies. So they - and we know this from yesterday - he was also on the phone most likely with european allies uh before he announced it, and it sounds like the european allies will not be able to take the same, really action. We are just because they're too dependent on russia, so the uk will be kind of coming off of their petroleum, their crude oil by the end of this year, and then the rest of europe is going to kind of scale down from their gasoline imports.
By about two-thirds by the end of the year, so we're being a little bit more brazen with it, and europe is in one way or another following suit, but they're going to take a little bit longer or do it to less of a degree. Biden said the us was acting in close consultation with european allies who are more dependent on russian energy supplies and who he acknowledged, may not be able to join in immediately. Just so. You know in terms of our imported petroleum products before this, only eight percent of our imports came from russia, so it was from just a pure math standpoint, a little bit easier for us, the u.s, to wean ourselves off of that russian dependency.
While europe, their imports, are like borderline 20, 25 percent, so that double triple number uh, that's why the situation is where we are right now, with the u.s action and also with the european uh little difference there. Ukraine will never be a victory for boone uh. The president of the u.s continued ukrainian president zielinski, then tweeted thankful for the us and potus personal leadership in striking in the heart of putin's war machine and banning oil, gas and coal from u.s markets encourage other countries and leaders to follow so within 24 hours. We have a very, very positive - i guess - follow-up from the president of ukraine, zielinski applauding president joe biden and as you're about to find out in a little bit um.
There was another thing that happened in the u.s that zielinski was not so happy about, but before we get to that, there's more developments in oil, so oil went sky high. When the futures market opened on sunday evening, it went up to 130 monday, tuesday chilling somewhere in the mid-120s, and right now we're sub 118 and oil is going down. Fair question is like what's going on here, oil falls almost three percent pulling back on its rally. After the iea, the international energy uh agency says it will work on easing oil prices in a hurry.
The iea chief uh told an energy conference in paris that energy will that the agency excuse me will release more oil from stocks to ease surging fuel prices. His plan is a response to president biden's ban on imports of russian oil and gas to the us. Brent crude fell three percent on this news and it's actually going down even more as we're speaking with all this. That's the thing of what's going on in the market right now, commodities are coming down a lot to do with iea and some developments there, but remember there is still a very serious human issue going on in ukraine right now. Suffering goes on in encircled maripool as evacuation fails, so this is a very important city that russian forces are still attempting to take, and it seems like some of these humanitarian corridors, for people to leave and for goods to come in are not being respected. At least that's: what's being reported, corpses line, the streets of maripool, hungry people, break into stores in search of food and melt snow for water, thousands huddle in basements trembling at the sound of russian shells pounding this strategic port city. A humanitarian crisis is unfolding in this encircled city of 430, 000 and tuesday brought no relief, an attempt to evacuate civilians and deliver badly needed food water and medicine through its designated safe corridor failed with ukrainian officials saying russian forces had fired on the convoy before it Reached the city mayorpool according to the deputy prime minister, is in a catastrophic situation. So when we were looking at that other article for cnbc of saying that we're seeing a relief in the markets because of uh lessening tensions in ukraine, i'm not seeing lessening tensions.
I'm seeing for one reason the commodity market is coming down and we're kind of seeing that play out in the inverse manner in the equities market, but to say that the tensions are calming down, at least for some of these. What i consider to be neutrally reporting news sources we're seeing kind of the opposite, so i just wanted to share that with all of you. Pentagon says poland's jet offer for ukraine not tenable. Now, yes, we had president zillions give ukraine kind of padding joe biden on the back yesterday for banning or basically putting an embargo on russian petroleum imports.
But then we have this coming out that he's not so happy with. So you got to know something, and it's a little bit more. I guess detailed and a little bit more complicated than just wait hang on. Why did the u.s not want ukraine to have these extra aircrafts? The pentagon, on tuesday rejected poland's surprise announcement that it would give the united states its mig-29 fighter jets for use by ukraine, a rare display of disharmony by nato allies seeking to boost ukrainian fighters while avoiding getting caught up in a wider war with russia.
So this was kind of a workaround opponent like hey we're, going to kind of give them to the u.s. The us can give it and it's one of these things where now it's one of the like people are worried that this, if it were to follow through, would basically be crossing the line of what is or isn't considered war. What is or isn't considered an official like conflict by nato pentagon spokesman kirby, said poland's declaration that it intended to deliver. The 28 jets to the u.s base in germany raised that concerning prospect of warplanes departing from a u.s and nato base to fly into airspace contested with russia in the ukraine conflict. So basically, these planes leaving from the us's base in germany going into ukraine, could in one way or another, be kind of construed, especially by russian forces. As in like act of conflict, we will continue to consult with poland and our other nato allies about this issue and the difficult logistic challenges it presents. But we do not believe poland's proposal is a tenable one. The proposed gift of more warplanes would be a morale booster for the ukrainians under pounding russian assault for nearly two weeks, but it also raises the risk of war expanding beyond ukraine.
Now, with all this um, you can understand why it kind of pissed off zielinski ukraine zielinski says he has cooled on joining nato and is open to discussing about control of russian-backed, separatist regions. So sorry, this was a little bit out of line, but that's exactly why we saw that pump. But this is the thing right here: live updates, zielinski, slams, u.s refusal to help poland send fighter jets to ukraine right now. So we have one thing that he's happy with what we did in the energy and then this one obviously like i said it was a morale booster.
Obviously they would like these aircrafts, but the u.s and poland and germany are saying, hang on. We don't want to do something that could kind of open up the door for russia to have a reason to try to invade poland or something along those lines. Zielinski slammed the u.s for rejecting poland's offer to send fighter jets to the us air base to pass on to ukraine. He also addressed russian soldiers saying only captivity and death were waiting for you in ukraine.
The un's nuclear monitor confirmed a power outage at chernobyl. Nuclear pan but said it remains safe, so those are some of the most recent updates and not as big of a story, but still a crazy story that i just want to share with you. A 600 million dollar super yacht linked to russian billionaire has left a spanish shipyard after undergoing repairs. Since 2021, a super yacht linked to an oligarch has left a spanish shipyard.
The 600 million yacht has been docked there for repairs since late 2021 uh. He hasn't yet come under sanctions imposed by the u.s or european union referring to this oligarch, but it sounds like he kind of maybe knows, what's coming his way and he's just trying to get the hell out of dodge before it's taken from him, like we've seen With these other yachts, and when i read this uh, i just had this like a weird image of like a russian jack sparrow, just trying to get like out of dodge with his yacht. I guess, like his boat, his vessel uh before there's a good chance that this would be taken from him, especially if it was left in a spanish shipyard, so wanted to share that. Just because it is like a side story line that we've been kind of covering between these oligarchs, with their yachts their jets, basically trying to avoid sanctions in one way or another. I have an absolutely crazy story for you and it's talking about a big player. Getting absolutely like teared apart, face, ripped off in the really a horrific short squeeze. Well, so the long players they loved, what happened but to the short player. This particular uh chinese, nickel, giant, sing-shon, uh billy in paper losses.
So far. This is a wild wild story. Chinese nickel giant xing shan faces 8 billion trading losses as ukraine. Warren up ends market talk about a brutal, brutal short squeeze.
The chinese nickel titan faces billions of dollars in trading losses uh according to people familiar with the company after russia's war in ukraine, set off an unprecedented rise in the price of key metal used in the stainless steel and electric vehicle batteries. So this company, in one way or another, it's very common for um you to kind of hedge, your own business off of the commodities that you need so because of this they had a huge short position against nickel. Well, in the span of two days, nickel ran up 250 percent and they a paper loss, is standing at eight billion and actually things got so out of hand that the london metals exchange actually shut down the trading of nickel most likely up until this friday. The paper losses at 8 billion on monday before violent moves in nickel prices led to the london metal exchange to suspend trading in the metal on tuesday uh late tuesday.
The exchange said it anticipates. Training won't resume before friday of this week. Uh chinese media outlets reported the 8 billion loss earlier on tuesday, so there's most likely. This could end up being even like a greater value.
Uh mr zhiang was also quoted, saying that relevant government departments and leaders are all very supportive of the company um. It is a solid chinese enterprise and our positions and operations do not have problems. You know, i think, we've heard this before with the likes of melvin capital. If everyone says hey, it's not a big deal, we got it under control when in reality it was an absolute dumpster fire of a situation.
I don't know how you could just so calmly, uh take on an 8 billion dollar loss, especially right now, when it's not actively training. I think when there's blood in the water people are going to be cognizant of that and the situation could get even more out of hand. I'm curious what nickel is going to do when the market reopens, maybe on wednesday, some of the creditor banks in china have become concerned about the effect of the company's trading losses on its balance sheet yeah. I would too, they were assured by the firm on tuesday that its financial position was sound and that it could weather even extreme losses from the forward contracts. Uh, i'm going to call bs on that one. The financial position was sound and it could weather extreme losses. There's not too many companies on this planet that can sustain an 8 billion loss, and even if you could, i don't know if i would say it's a financially sound position. So i just wanted to share this story, especially if you remember the saga of gme and amc of shorts getting absolutely brutally squeezed.
It seems like another one just went down and this one particularly related to the world of nickel eight billy, absolutely crazy. I should say 8 billion and counting wild wild wild wild five things to know before the stonk market opens today wednesday march 9.. That future's rise 600 points a day after wild swings. We kind of went over.
Why we're seeing a little bit of relief in the world of commodities, namely oil, and that's because of the iaea, basically saying they're going to try to solve? What's going on, or at least help evacuations continue in ukraine, as russia's march on kiev slows remember, there are still many reports of these humanitarian corridors not being respected. Uh four big u.s brands, including mcdonald's hall operations and russia, mcdonald's pepsi, coca-cola and starbucks all said no way not doing business in russia and what's kind of crazy, is for mcdonald's. Russian business actually represents a considerable percentage of the overall business so for them to pull out it's kind of at least signaling to me that they're putting their humanitarian opinions ahead of their bottom line. Congress reaches a deal on the 13.6 billion in aid to ukraine.
Another update of just kind of some congressional things going on. I believe it was just reported this morning that nancy pelosi has kind of postponed that vote on the u.s embargo on russian petroleum imports. Bitcoin jumps as binding announcements, executive order on cryptocurrencies. You know we got to talk about this, because this is like kind of interesting, so btc eth definitely we're seeing a lot of green in crypto, and a lot of this relates exactly to that uh to biden's announcement.
Janet yellen accidentally released basically some of the major speaking points beforehand like it was she like kind of leaked it on herself uh, which was a weird development, but anyway it came out and it was super super like it was just word. Vomit uh, like i read through the whole thing, and it was just it was really benign, i would say, is the best way to describe it to the point that people were like. Okay, the us said that it wants to become like a crypto mecca, crypto hub, a crypto leader in the world, and they didn't really outline any specific. I guess regulations or maybe really signal that they were going to provide much headwind. So the fact that it was so benign - and it was basically just like a bunch of random government words that they put together in somewhat of a cohesive manner, people were like, oh okay, cool we're not going to run into those serious head ones. This is looking good. It's taking just one uncertainty out of the equation and that particular uncertainty was. Is the u.s gon na come down hard on crypto? The answer was: no, it was leaked by janet yellen and then biden officially followed up on it, but i will be talking about that in more detail in the crypto stream today, at 2 p.m, et make sure you are subscribed to the crypto cores channel check it Out uh, if one of the mods could throw that in chat, that would be awesome, so people could easily find that um.
This is something that just came out not too long ago. Education department sends another sign that student loan payments may not restart in may. So. Hey if you're looking at student payment, like you're you, the can's gon na, get kicked down the road a little bit more so right.
Here, ukraine, chernobyl, disconnected from grid moscow, says u.s has declared economic war. Those are some of the most recent updates, as there are more and more updates we'll be covering it. I have all or some of the major news stations right here as anything is developing, we'll be covering it in real time uh, but before we get to that, i do want to take a quick little sneak peek at the market just to kind of cover. Maybe some training plans we're seeing that the s p 500 is looking a bit green right now and i posted this uh, where i post all the trains and breakdowns of what's going on, and that is on the locals page backwards.locals.com and right here i wrote this Seems a little sus to me.
I really don't have any active positions right now. Of course, i still have all my stock and that type of stuff, but in terms of like my active, like options plays um, i told you about the oil one, the expiration that for that is april. So i have a lot of time. I'm talking about, like my one to two day type of trades, i'm there's bullishness in the pre-market, but i want to see if it actually holds.
If we start to see weakness. Well then, i'll play the s, p, 500 or the qs or the russell back down to the recent lows. But if it doesn't right here, okay, i'll just let it continue to ride up and maybe i'll see, what's happening at the top of this wedge. We are seeing the bullishness, but i just want to make it very clear that i'm not all of a sudden in the very short term, some sort of gung-ho bull trying to play this uh.
I think things are still a little bit sus and my reasoning, for that is just the tensions - do not seem to be getting better in ukraine. So with that, it's a very headline driven market right now, not really fundamentals, not really technicals. It seems to be very headline driven and don't forget: we get the consumer price index tomorrow, it's going to be coming out at 8, 30 a.m et and that's just a very popular inflationary gauge that the world uses and particularly the fed uses, and then don't forget. Next week is the march fed meeting between tuesday and wednesday and on wednesday, it's most likely going to be announced that we're going to get a 25 bips rate hike. So, in terms of the macro economic backdrop, there's some things to consider, especially between today and to tomorrow, um we're seeing lots of volatility, a continuation of volatility in the commodities market and then tomorrow we're getting that cpi report which will be important for inflation. So i just wanted to call that out and i'll be watching him and obviously, in real time i'll, be telling you my thoughts on. What's going on with the intraday chart, similar situation in the queues similar situation in iwm. The spy right now has a short interest of 15.6.
The queues have a short interest of 14.9 and the small cap sector. The russell 2000 tracked by iwm has a short interest of 43 in terms of amc. It actually has an increased short interest. 21.1 and gamestop has an increased short interest now at 18.5.
I know some people i'm already seeing people talk about cei. Just so you know cei in my mind, is not really a short squeeze play. It's more of people saying hey. I really see that, like i'm.
Seeing all these reports that oil is going higher, what's an equity that other people have been talking about to get exposure to the world of petroleum? Well, that's how i see cei. I think it's more of people looking at the commodity backdrop and also uh, trying to follow the social sentiment of what's being discussed on the places such as twitter and reddit and youtube. So does it have a short interest that some shorts can get squeezed without a doubt, but this is not going to be one of those mega squeezes. I think it's going to be potentially a part squeeze and a lot of like fomo, especially if you're like saying it's tied up with oil oil right now, i'm trading at 1 18..
So the s p 500. We're kind of coming to that battleground of the high that we saw yesterday um. Let me switch over to the one minute and this is kind of like roughly the setup on the day. Let me throw up some of these other ones, so we'll throw up cei which is going to be down in pre-market, because oil is coming down, we'll throw up m-u-l-n just because people are talking about it and bbby is now the number two discussed ticker on wall Street bets, but just so you know, bbbyy was actually uh.
If you follow ryan cohen on twitter at first he was kind of calling out the board saying they haven't responded to him, but then he tweeted, okay yeah. They finally responded to him, but we haven't had much more detail than that um. Actually, let me see what amc currently up two point: five percent. We could definitely have that up. How is gme jimmy actually had a pretty solid day yesterday, all right so we'll have amc, gme and cei, and then the overall market just for market open to see what's going on, and we could also check in on muln. Let me just see where that one's at really quickly a dollar 26. all right! So that's going to be the game plan for market open um we're seeing some bullishness in the spy and for me i'm just kind of waiting to see if it legitimately holds or not hey, matt uh. Can you do me two favors? Can you show m uln on nortex and uh? Two? Can you add it to your watch list, uh sure, m-u-l-n, no problem m-u-l-n has a more considerable short interest without a doubt.
Mulln 34.6, with a utilization of 92 costs. A bar of 8.27 shares on loan of 9.92 mil uh, so those that's like the quantitative numbers for muln, and you also said throw it up here. Muln we'll add that all right, all right, all right, we'll just top that up by prog, give it a random color there we are there. We are set up for the day all right.
What other questions we have? Oh before that bell goes ding-ding-ding ding, two things that i could uh quickly ask of you. If you haven't already, it would be awesome if you could help me out by hitting that like button, it just gets this video promoted to other people who might be interested in the markets so slapping that, like it really helps me out, and if you haven't already Don't forget to join up with the moon gang by hitting that subscribe button, whether you're on rumble or twitch or youtube uh. Well, i guess on twitch you'd have to follow, but all that stuff completely free and then uh second reminder for all of you is, if you want the free analytics of what's going on in wall street bets and some free options flow. That's exactly what's pinned to the top of chat um.
That is what i have pinned is for an ios download android's, not out yet, but they will be rolling out with that uh. Ideally in, like asap shout out jimco shout out sam flip flop, ricardo ec, great randu cootery, all the cool kids are doing it be, like me, is travis in here this morning. What's going on ben lawless growth with travis isn't hasn't stopped by yet old saucy. Let's get going today, i guess before that bell goes ding ding, ding, ding, ding right now, the s p 500 is green.
Actually, a lot of the markets are green. My question to you is: does the s p 500 end in the green or the red today? What is your vote, green or red? How do we end today and that's in reference to the s? P 500. I would love to know all your thoughts and you got to get them in quick, because we only have 30 seconds left. Why would oil companies stock drop after the us cuts oil from russia? Wouldn't it go up and two please stay sexy uh the devil. You know they did go up and then they dropped, because the iea actually said that they're going to be helping with supply issues. That was a recent development coming out of paris, so they're kind of in a certain sense like undoing what we just saw in terms of the supply crunch, posted by biden, green, green, green, green, green red red red red all right, slightly green red uh. I mean ding ding ding, ding ding, the casino is open. Let's do this thing.
Let's do this thing. Let's do this thing, whoa no way jose all right. Let's see how this goes today, uh matt from one channel owner to another. Did you see proper different? Likewise, in youtube analytics um, i would have to i guess: did you see a proper difference likewise, like as in they changed a lot of those? Is that what you're asking um, i don't think i've seen a big difference, the in terms of like youtube analytics and i've talked to some other uh finance like content creators, the big change a lot of us are seeing is um a lot less promotion to new Viewers, the new viewer number for a lot of people has been going down so basically uh.
A lot of content has been promoted to already your core audience, but for some reason, youtube is not really getting it out. I i suppose to like a new audience and uh my personal. I guess opinion on that is that it's gon na, i think it's youtube trying to be uh in competition with both instagram reels and tiktok, and i think they're putting a bigger emphasis on like kind of forcing the content creators to do shorts. That's just my thought.
Yes, i mean the difference uh it makes when viewers click like yeah, i mean that's just another engagement thing that they're going to be looking at youtube, definitely likes engagement, whether it's comments, whether it's likes, whether it's new subs, obviously it'll, be positive. The higher engagement you have, but overall i would say, and for any of the other content creators out there uh, it really does seem like the youtube algorithm is currently trying to get people to in one way or another make shorts all the best. Investment comes from tick, tock, all right. The spy battling it out at 425.
We know the major resistance is actually all the way up at 427. Just so everyone knows cei coming down as oil is coming down. Oil currently trading at 117, it's down 5.4 percent. Yesterday again like six or seven percent shorts and tick tock are pointless uh, it's really tough.
To get a like. I mean i enjoy the comedic aspect, but it's really tough to get away like get through financial discussion in a quick 15. Second video um to me. That's like a really it's a different type of content.
It's it can't it's tough to explain financial stuff in like sub one minute, but maybe someone will pull it off. How are you feeling about your uso call position? I mean right now, i'm down, but that's exactly why i bought april, like i gave myself a ton of time, i wasn't expecting it every day to rip rip rip. That's why exactly i got uh. I gave myself what six weeks i gave myself a decent amount of time, but i wish it were going up right now. Obviously i want to be in the green, but it's exactly because of this or i wish i waited even till today to create the position, because i would have like gotten myself a better position. I still think oil is going higher. I don't think oil has seen it's relative high, all right the spy coming down oil company that is popping in tanker ship company imp we've talked about that a little bit um all right, gamestop, we'll switch it out with this one just because they are similar type Plays inp is actually up 16. Today, that's kind of crazy, huge volatility in these plays huge volatility.
Ah, we'll leave up imp for a little bit. It seems like there's a lot of interest. Well, what are you guys more interested in imp or cei i'll? Just leave up whatever you guys are more interested in you got ta. Let me know, let me know, let me know the queues are up, the queues are ripping this morning.
I see you pee c e. I c e. I c e. I c e.
I c e, i c e, i c e. I okay, i think, there's a little bit more cei, we'll we'll cycle back to imp for sure uh. I need someone with a larger audience to base an opinion off this series. It's called amc: the corrupt financial cycle on youtube, all right, i'll check it out i'll write that down amc, corrupt financial cycle.
All right wrote it down all right. Let's see right now, thus far the spy not making any two like crazy decisions went a little down going. A little bit up. People are trying to decide how they want to run this one today cei bouncing off of 101, let's check out muln m-o-l m-u-l-n training at 122..
What is any other thing? Having a nice lucid another green day, tesla's training at 840 d-wack at 78., we're seeing some green in the markets, uh cei doing its thing, oil uso uso at 80. I need this like go way higher. I need this up at 100 120. Something like that.
Indo is halted, okay, so oil see - and this is what i'm talking about - i just because oil's down right now, i don't think it's like the iea. They didn't come out with any specific thing of like we're. Gon na. Do this or like hey, we're just basically gon na help like we're gon na, do what we can quickly to try to help with the supply issues.
But it was no thing of like hey we're going to release this much oil or blah blah like that type of a thing i think, and maybe i'm being biased, because, as i shared with all of you, i'm very much long on oil right now through uso Call contracts so i might be biased, but it's just it's not adding up to me. I think oil continues higher. Maybe i'm right, maybe i'm wrong. Remember i am not a financial advisor. Nothing i say should ever be a buy, sell or hold signal. I'm just sharing. My opinions, if you agree great, let's party together, if we disagree well, i hope we still somehow both make money all right. Definitely a couple, no worries.
I have much better bit overall, at 38. semiconductors wait are semiconductors, doing something crazy. Today, nvidia is up, four percent amd is up. Two percent uh micron is up two point: eight percent man semiconductors smh.
I think it yeah. This is the etf uh, four semiconductors up three percent all right, so i'm seeing oil go up right. Now, oil crude oil going back to 118. uh, let's see if it recaptures 120 cei kind of doing its thing.
The spy came down to sub 424 and then a little bit of a bounce um just volatile weird opening. This is a whip, saw opening. I'm just gon na wait a little bit on that one. I know some people are calling out for a nice green day.
Other people are calling out for a rug pull day. Is this my and that's the title of this video is? Is this a bull trap or a legit bounce um? Actually i'll, just ask all of you that in a poll pull trap, lid legit bounce all right! There posted the poll hard to believe it's been a year since i met matt, stop to help him load a couch into his van and woke up in the cellar. What's going on jackie you're, definitely one of my best abductions. All my bonds are just unsuspecting people that one at one point were having a benign normal, stranger type of an in-at interaction and then boom they wake up in my cellar and forever and forever.
They are forced to be a mod cei doing its thing. Uso. Coming back up was above 80 semiconductors looking good. Let's change this up a little bit just so we can see some other things.
Amc up, 2.5 battling it out, just below 16 would love to see it. Recapture 1660. gme is holding above 105.. I actually like the fact that it's holding above 105.
tesla apparently got back over its 200-day moving average tesla trading at 8.45. Look for that to battle it out at 8, 50 8. 55 is actually key level, so the spy showed some weakness and then being bought right back up right back up interesting. Let me check one thing: let me see the internals of the futures market for you just to kind of shout that out quickly.
It's actually bullish on the smaller time frame, but it was really bullish yesterday and now it's like kind of calming down just to give everyone a little bit of an insight. Some of these indicators that i use in the background once again showing a bullish phase, but the the strength of it is calming down a little bit, but once again it's just market open. So, let's give it a couple like we just need more data and obviously, as it trades, we get more and more data on it. I know it's not oil, but thoughts on feelings.
Have a firm amazon either bought or partnered with a firm months back, causing it to run over to 170., so a firm, i believe it's kind of like just like the payment coming afrm how's this one. Looking right now, looking pretty weak to me, it's just an all-time low uh. If you're i mean i'm seeing some bullish divergence, the price has gone lower. The rsi has gone higher. So that's a positive thing because you ideally could get a bounce off of this, but also since it literally just made an all-time low. Yesterday, you're in this scenario of attempting to catch a falling knife, so just be careful. My risk would literally be that low. If it goes below 3178, i would just pull it because i don't know how much further it could go down you're, definitely in a bit of a bull flag, just kind of a perfect channel you're.
Looking for the breakout to the top side, i just don't know when it will come. I think it will come. But when it comes is the golden question because it might come right now or it could come down at like five dollars for all. I know i don't know too much about the deal.
I heard about the deal of kind of that partnership with um amazon, but this is, as you could tell ever since november, a pretty bearish looking chart all right, so cei made a push to 114. I would love for this to get back up to that two dollar area m-u-l-n broke resistance. What's going on with m-u-l-n lots of movers this morning a lot of whipping stocks uh, it did not break resistance. I don't know who said that, but i didn't see that uh clove is pushing, it is pushing.
I really haven't. I mean it's life and life health insurance, not really my kind of play, but clove it is up. I just have no position and i don't really know too much about it. What else do we have today, but lucid another day of just moving green seems like for this whole, like past two weeks, past two weeks, lucid, somehow been green uh, the spy just got a nice pop broke out of its what time it will be interesting broke Out of 425, let's see if it can actually hold this cei uh oil back above 118 heading to 119 - i don't know, i know oil's down i just to me.
It doesn't make sense how it could stay down. Husa cei seems to be doing a little bit better. I n. What is it indio this one still halted the indonesian energy corporation company.
It looks like it's still halted: crazy, crazy volatility, how's truth social doing thus far, not the best that dewac call. I still have it most likely gon na expire worthless, but let's see, if cei will make me my money back on that one. How are the queues doing the tech sectors? Well, they try to move, but is it going to hold lucid kind of? Are we seeing a little bit of turn for the the bearishness, the xy volatility's, picking up folks uh? They tried to push it, and then we had one bar that quickly undid it things are getting spicy getting a little bit spicy all right. What else do you? You hooligans want up amc, low volume today, three mil uh gme, also to be low volume. They look very very similar - has traded 138 000 just not being actively traded. Uh cei, 45 mill already traded. Today, muln, oh mulan, had almost made a new intraday. I already traded 25 mil.
Obviously these are cheaper stocks, so people can easily trade more um, but even if you do on a relative rate of their price to their like volume right now, there's a little bit more activity in this re cei ortex. Can you talk about the divergence between ffol and share ol 12 9 design theory ffol and shares shares on loan and is ffol free float on loan? Is that what you're using ffl um, cei or text? Let me check that out really quickly. I think you mean free float on loan and shares on loan, which i didn't even know. There was a free float on loan.
I just thought it was a shares on loan. If that's what you mean from o l, let's see if i can find yeah free flow on loan, where did that just go free flow unload? Let me hide these other things and you were asking about. Twelve nine looks like i need to go back a little bit more free flow on loan 20.17 mill right now we have 64. and then the shares on loan.
I i guess i'm not. It seems like there's continually divergence in here. It must just be. Oh, wait.
Wait is this a percentage yeah, so it's a percentage and a free flow is a portion of the overall. So that makes sense like unless the free float number is the same as outstanding or very close uh. But you're gon na see a divergence like that uh, depending on what percentage of shares are free flow versus outstanding. I believe, unless i'm talking about something completely different design theory like definitely let me know if i'm talking about something that you're not even asking about.
Sorry all right, weird wild whipsaw kind of a day, the spy it seems like it's trying to continually push 425 and it got above it. Then it quickly got smacked and now the question is: is there enough buying aggression to actually get the spy up there? Cei uh, currently down seven eight percent of the day, uh trading at 114, mulln tagged 132.. I know there's some resistance at 136. uv xy volatility coming down as the spy is coming up, uh extend timeline.
They always track together, but remember design theory. They changed. It. Remember they did some offerings, so they could track if the free flow is essentially the outstanding, but then, if they're doing some sort of offering or warrants or dilution like that, that's going to mess with it.
It's not going to be. It hasn't been a consistent amount of outstanding shares on cei, like historically like they've, been doing some splits. They've done this they've done that there's just like various things you have to dive into bb has design wins with 24 of the top 25 ev automakers representing 82 percent of ev production volumes. Bb cyber security protects all seven of g7 governments, 18 of the g20 um. When it comes to blackberry, i actually like them more for their cyber security than what's going on in the world of evie, especially right now, as we're potentially facing a cyber security threat with russia, i would think that cyber security plays are going to pay handsomely. I, like the odds of that, are you in cei. I have a call position um and that exact call position posted on locals whenever i do something with options, whether it's a straight up call a straight up put or some type of spread. All of that is posted on locals.
If you want to know what stocks i'm in, that's where it's on public the brokerage, but it also shows you what i have and then i don't really uh share the exact details of futures. Just because, like i don't like i've kind of gathered that not too many people have a futures account but hey, if there's a demand - and you want to know my exact numbers and my exact trades on futures, i just kind of let you know if i have Like a bowl play or bear play on in like the direction that i'm doing it, but if there's other people who have the futures account you're like no, i like want the exact numbers and want to know exactly what you're, seeing i'm more than happy to incorporate That as well happy hump day matt, could you please take a look at v change chart anything to see in the chart from technical perspective all right. Let's take a look at v chain. You have support between uh 3, 6 and four four.
So i'd look forward to hold above that we're seeing a little bit of bullish divergence. The price has gone lower, the rsi has gone higher and then i would just want to see the breakout of six cents on v chain um. Overall, though it's it's been kind of bearish um. Well, you could argue ever since november, but also i guess since april.
So i would look for this wedge, this clear downward top trend line to get that break. Actually. What does that really look like it's kind of at the trend line? Right now, i would say confirmation of if it gets above. Sixth sense, that's what i would be uh watching on that here's, the futures market, so it's a little bit more of a filled out.
Chart so you can see what happened in the overnight session and from the overnight session kind of a clear watch for the day, just kind of watching this support, support, support and then from there it kind of lifted off. And it's done even better. But if we do see a downside movement, basically, if the futures market breaks below - and this is for the s - p - 500 - 4200 - let's just call it 25 - it's easier, then i'll be watching this trend line and kind of 4200 flat, but trendline first. But it's trying to make a decision.
It had a nice push-up and now we're seeing lower highs higher lows. It's a classic wedge. We just have to wait and see. Look, it doesn't even know which way it wants to go. It's just crazy. Barcoding up down up down up down no clear trend, yet i am seeing volatility pick up, though, which is making me feel a little bit more comfortable in the short term on the bear side. Just because i see what's happening with volatility as we speak, muln is picking up cei coming off of that 116 intraday high. What else do we have going on? Rivien is up four percent on the day.
Tesla's up uh tesla, not looking the best, but it is in the green. We have amc up 1.6, it's just going sideways in the mid 15s and then gme, unfortunately, giving up that 105 support level. Uh volatility is currently spiking. I think the spy is going to keep coming down these if you have it, set up like this, with the spy on the top left and volatility in the bottom left.
These are either going to be moving together or moving apart, pretty much like magnets they're, going to be either trying to touch each other or trying to repel each other. Amc doesn't follow nasdaq movement. No it. If it's going to follow any movement.
It'd be the russell 2000 tracked by iwm monday oil gap down what was missing. One cent maybe now happening one year. Big fan thanks. Oh oh you're, talking about that gap, though, technically that gap wasn't filled, i'm surprised you remember that, but shout out yeah.
So, there's a one cent gap, though, that we still have to see in oil, and actually i haven't checked that out. Where is that gap phil right now? Did it perfectly fill it this time? No way, no way. No way no way is that what this was all about, just a gap fill hang on. Let me clean up the charts a little bit just so we can actually all right so the high oh wait.
I guess they reloaded data and it was gap because when we first checked that the gap fill wasn't there, but even if it wasn't, if there's a weird data mishap, it was then once again filled today. This simply might have been kind of like from just a technical standpoint of them, officially filling the gap, because i think this data might be a little bit wonky, because when we watched it in real time, it was off by a cent. The high was uh 116.02 and it basically ended up just going to like 116.03. It was off by a cent and then obviously today we went sub 116..
This might just be a that would be brutal brutal if they did that to people asts uh space mobile up 32 wireless communications - i don't know the news on this player and what do we have going on? So it was a spack play that went wild. Then not wild, then it did something. Then it had a bear push then a little bit of a bull push and then i guess it had to be some sort of news. It had earnings that aren't being reported right here, but uh there had to be some sort of news.
I wouldn't chase it it'd be one thing if you were already in this, but to chase this on a 30 game day when it could gamble to the bottom. I wouldn't chase on that. One personally, hey do what you want remember. I cannot tell the future, but for me i don't like chasing like. I don't want to be late to the party s-w-b-i s-w-b-i smith and wesson um. So there has i've been trying to read a little bit more about like the gun and ammo type of world and there's some like, i think, ammo i think p-o-w-w and now you also have smith and wesson um, so their earnings not the best because it gapped Down, but if you are comfortable like if you are bullish on like the gun and ammo world, this is beautiful support in like the mid-14s and, if you have like you, could try to fill this gap well, it has two gaps. You have support, that's close like let's say you want to risk 14., so you could risk a dollar fifty. So a dollar oops! Sorry! So if you were to play this - and i wouldn't actively trade it, it would be more of like a hold till these regions.
Are hit so on one hand, you could choose to risk 10. 11. So that's your downside risk your upside. Your first target is this gap, fill which is a 15 gain, and your second target could be all the way up here, which would be a 42 game to me, that's a solid risk reward setup and apparently they also pay a dividend.
Uh. The only thing left is like: are you bullish on the gun in ammo world uh, because if so, that's a pretty solid technical setup? But i wouldn't think that this is going to betray that, like, oh i'm in it for a day like this, could be a multiple like week, type of a trade kind of like a middle medium term type of a trade, especially if you're looking for this gap Fill all the way up to 22 but minimal risk, which i am personally a fan of all right. What are we doing with the spy? Getting a little bit of a bounce? A little bit of a bounce looks like it might be coming back to retest. Simply the start of the day's low right here.
Basically, let's just call it 424.. If it recaptures it, we might get another weird push or it's just a natural kind of ebb and flow. We come up and if you start to see a little bit of weight, uh might be coming back down testing that 424 level as we speak, which way is it going to go volatility popped, and this is exactly what i'm talking about. They were coming together and now as we're seeing the spy pop also simultaneously you're, seeing volatility drop.
This is actually a good graphical representation of why i do not like buying spy calls if you buy spy calls. Even if you are right, if you got that right, you're inherently being hurt by the fact that it means volatility is dropping and remember, volatility is an important metric in pricing options. So if you got the direction right, your total premium, like you're, hoping that your, i guess rightness is outweighed by the fact that you're getting less value less premium ad from volatility dying off. It's one of those.
It's a weird catch-22: i'm just not a fan of playing market bounce backs through spy calls. If i am confident in a spy pop upwards, i will rather play volatility puts because in your it's a kind of like a meta thing but you're playing the volatility of volatility and ideally if the spy is ripping the volatility drop, the volatility of volatility's drop should Be increasing at a greater rate, so that's how i would do it primal american s. Wbi my average is 16. I need y'all to pump the stock uh. I mean i could check it out. I don't know if oh, like your average is 16. Oh well, you're. Pretty much break even i would just risk that 13.85.
I need you all to pump the stock hey if other people like it they'll definitely buy it, but i don't know if we that sounds like a good way to piss off the scc is to to actively coordinate a pump. Matt helped me a lot. I always take the other side of his trays. He bought uso calls yesterday and i bought puts and i'm up 102 whatever he does i'll.
Do the opposite. Thanks matt what fun happy to help very happy to help you out happy happy happy.