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Do do mum what is going on hello, hello, hello and happy inflation day. I'm gon na dedicate this particular video to anyone. Who's ever bought anything because it it's getting worse, it's so so bad all right! So we're going to be talking about inflation. It is inflation day we got the consumer price index cpi we're going to be going into that uh.
Then we have to talk about. What's the newest updates in ukraine, russia situation, then we're going to be talking a little bit about a little. My for all my football fans out there, all my soccer fans, i have a interesting chelsea russian oligarch update for you. There we're going to be talking about amazon.
I have a little bit of an update on lucid. Then we're going to be taking a little bit. Look at the charts and the short interests and all that good jazz, but i'm expecting an insane day of volatility. Yesterday was our break day.
Yesterday was when you're like at the gym: you're, crushing it and halfway through your sets, you're taking a little bit of a breather if i'm gon na connect that to the market that was yesterday, yesterday was our breather of a day. We were back to a crazy day. Not only do we have the inflation report, which came out at 8 30 about 30 minutes ago, if you're watching this live, and then we're also going to get the next meeting between ukrainian and russian diplomats today and depending on how that does go. Hopefully well, but regardless we're going to get another reaction, and then this is just leading up to next week, where we have the fed meeting fomc meeting on tuesday, we're and tuesday and wednesday.
We get the results on wednesday, but also on tuesday. We get the producer price index so today was the consumer price index. Basically, how much has the cost for you buying things gone up? Producers gon na be obviously on the other side of it more of like materials manufacturing. How much has things been inflated for those players so inflation's bad? That's the tl dr version of what's going on right now things are costly, costly, costly, so we're going to lay it all out, maybe come up with the training plan.
I'll give you an update on all my current trades and we'll see how this is going. So with all that being said, um hey, if you're battery inflation, you don't feel like getting boom or gold, which hey gold's, been doing very very well. I can't really hit on it uh i actually myself own some gold, but if you're looking crypto, this stream is brought to you by our partners over there at ftx. It is pinned to the top of chat.
It's in the description of the video. If you want to get 10, if you trade over 10 of crypto every single time, you do that you actually get a free coin from them and there's a whole list of what you can get um and then they also have a pro platform. So they have a phone, app block, folio and then also pro platform uh, which is ftx. There's a us and an international version check that out because they are continually expanding, expanding and doing very, very cool things so shout out to ftx and with that out of the way, let's take a look at the stonk market. The dow is down 1.2 percent. The s p is down 1.2 percent. The queues are down 1.5. Three of the major indices that we pay attention to are red red red oil is up up six bucks oil's been crazy.
Yesterday, it was at one point: like 118, 119 came all the way down to 104.. Now we're back up to 114.. The volatility is insane and then yields are also rising, a hair below 2 and man. Oh man uh.
So today it's gon na be a volatile day nah. I know i'm always sitting here every morning and yesterday took me by surprise. It really really did. I thought yesterday was not gon na be such of a like um.
I guess the calm before the storm scenario. I thought we were just in the storm in the storm in the storm yesterday, a little bit of a reprieve, which was nice, but i don't think it's gon na last for too awful long. So for today's episode of that was a really bad. Take fed chair pal says it's very, very unlikely.
The u.s will see 1970s style inflation. This was published on june 22nd of 2021 well fast forward to today. March 10th of 2022. Inflation rose 7.9 in february.
What what dude? That's? That's a four decade: high level of inflation and then we're getting other reports out of europe that they're not seeing this slow down anytime soon, they're saying we think in the near term, things are going higher and higher and higher. So, like i said, i'm going to dedicate this to anyone out there who likes buying things, because i don't know how much that little habit might be around any any longer. I mean, especially in the food meat, poultry, fish and eggs up 13 year over year. Not really showing signs of slowing down all right.
Let's take a look at really the market here and i do want to explain a little bit more of these exact numbers: uh, not the ecb. Yet so, let's go back to this 1970s style inflation type of a thing here are the numbers you need to know, and once again this is all posted on locals. In case you can't hang out in all the streams macros at locals are comments in the description, but anyway month over month, the consumer price index how expensive it is for you to buy things over the past month. It's a 0.8 year-over-year up 7.9.
If you're talking about core cpi you're taking out food and energy, it was up 0.5 month over month and year over year, it's up 6.4. If you want to just talk about energy itself up 3.5, if you want to talk about food, that's up 1, but once again meat, poultry, fish and eggs kind of not really considered core food, but i call it core food up 13. On top of all of this jobless claims actually increased by 11 000.. So this is all nuts and we're really not talking about remember.
These are all the february numbers we're not talking about the recent insanity. I mean things were crazy in february, yes, oil was getting higher, but if you look at the run-up in energy here, this pretty much all thus far occurred. In march, like we're, i mean february, we were trading at 96., we're at 113 and we hit 130. today. Unfortunately, once again we hit a high in the us of average gasoline price per gallon of four dollars and 32 cents, and things like i said, they're not showing any signs of slowing down. This is very, very important to know because you just have to position yourself properly when you see these types of things and we're getting a crazy amount of volatility, that's actually money making opportunities like you need volatility to make more money. I just want everyone to be well aware of, what's going on and there's a very, very good chance that this is the reported number and if there's this, we can go on a whole like divergent talk about it of when you're getting these types of inflation reports. There's a good chance that it's being under reported um.
I would in no way be surprised for the average american, if quote unquote. Real inflation is in excess of 10 and i'm sure a lot of you looking at your bills and your income and all that you're, probably like yeah man, it's probably more than 10. But it's one of these things that you very much have to pick your poison. The poison is, one option, is inflation? Another option is recession: it's not a good scenario, and this is what happens when you go from a global pandemic, that mess up all supply chains and mess up the job market and then you're rolling that right into a scenario where there's hesitation about looking world war.
Three in the face: it's the macro economic backdrop, very much pushed us where we're going right now - and this is just crazy. It's where we've been going we're on a runaway train, and it's one of these things that, yes, hindsight is 2020, and you can look back at the monetary policy that we've had to try to battle this, and i'm i'm right there with you. I i think, obviously, these types of comments june 2022 - we're not going to see that it's transitory um did. They believe that maybe did they know what was actually worse and they just didn't want to like truly inform the public of their like deep deeply held actual thoughts.
I don't know what it is all i know is. It seems that not only within the us, but on a global scale. The way that this has been handled from a monetary policy standpoint has been absolutely piss poor and it, like, i said it's across the world european central bank. The ecb holds interest rates steady as russian ukraine.
Conflict fuels, stagflation fears, so this is getting even worse for them over there. If you're in europe right now, they're not even attempting to battle it. Thus far, the ecb, the european central bank, came out today in december in the years 2022 2023 2024 respectively. They were looking at a growth of 4.2, 2.9 and 1.6 for 2022, 2023 and 2024.. Now, on the back of this news, they're actually lowering those 2022 2023. 2024 they've gone from 4.2 to 3.7 2.9 to 2.8 and then in line 1.6 to 1.6, so they're actually calling out basically the fact that they are lowering it from december till now, they're like it's actually a worse situation and they're, probably right on that. But all these estimates they also came out, i believe the president of the ecb, she came out and she was saying in the near term inflation. She was just straight upset: inflation is getting higher uh.
She said, near-term we're going higher in the u.s side of things. They're, like yeah, we think we'll hit the high-water mark of inflation within this year. They didn't say early in this year. They just said in this year.
I don't think this number of 7.9, like it's, it's always higher than expected. Has people noticed this like if you're looking technically with economists, their this report was in line, but i'm saying overall just in general of like the world saying: okay, it's higher than expected higher than expected higher, like we just keep going up it's for a year. Now we've hired higher than expected inflation. This is just nuts and i just don't understand.
What's the point of having all those fancy, schmancy pedigrees on your wall and economics, and all these fancy phds and a room of people and like expensive, expensive suits, who are allegedly big, wrinkled brains like? How did we get here? What is going on? Isn't that what their job is to do is to make sure we don't get here? I don't understand this situation of the economy and devolving into a situation where we have to pick between inflation, which could lead to hyper inflation, which could lead to stagnation and, on the other hand, we have to the other way to fight that. I suppose is a recession. What i mean if those people are getting paid to do a bad job hire me i'll, take more paychecks. If you need someone to fumble the ball that bad i'm free.
If you need someone to make bad decisions for you, i will send my resume. You could pay me less. Let's do this thing. I thought when you were hiding into a position like that you were hired in to do it.
Well, you were hired in to do executed on it, like professionally and with acumen and with shrewdness, but if you're just looking for a ding-dong to make bad decisions dude, i am free. You want me to do something i'll print money. I won't print money, i'll freaking we'll go into doge. I don't care like if you need a bad decision.
I am your guy government. This is my official video resume hire me. I don't know who what position? Even the ecb, i don't even have to stay in the u.s, the ecb, if you're looking for a new one, i'm your guy like hire me i'll, be the chairman, the president. Let's do this thing come on all right, so that's! What's going on with all this stuff, don't forget about some other wild stuff going on in the world right now, russia and ukraine say they are no closer to arranging ceasefire after top level talks uh. So this is some of the most recent stuff coming on the foreign ministries of russia and ukraine met in turkey on thursday. After the meeting ukraine said it was no closer to arranging a ceasefire with russia, because russia wanted a surrender russia claimed. It did not attack ukraine and said without evidence that a hospital is bombed was used by militia forces. So there was a report that russia had bombed a maternity ward, but beyond that which is just despicable.
It's disgusting, russia claimed it did not attack ukraine, i mean, if that's, not the definition of gaslighting. I don't know what the definition of gaslighting really is, because that's just no, we didn't no, no, no, no, no! No, those that shelling those bullets, those bombs, the i guess, invasion of a sovereign country. That's that's not attacking! No! No! No! No! No! No! This is like they're, the same way, chair pal, just basically changed the definition of transitory in real time and just gaslit. All of us.
I feel like that's what russian diplomats are doing with the word attack they're like that's, not what attack means you're like you. Just don't even know what attack means. That's just crazy. Moving on the fed needs to delay its rate hike so on the back of the russia thing, and also this we get this weird opinion from bloomberg, and i would like your thoughts on it.
The u.s federal reserve is widely expected to raise interest rates by at least 25 basis points next week with the flmc meeting concluding on wednesday, and if inflation stays high, the fed is prepared to raise by more than that in the coming months. Chair jerome powell said last week, yeah to fight inflation. That would be a mistake after next week, sykes the fed should pause for at least the next several months and possibly through the summer. Even though the war in ukraine will no doubt make inflation worse um, i i don't agree.
I don't agree with this when i see numbers like this, when i realize that people are in real time going broke. Folks, i've looked at the numbers and i've seen your commentary over here. It is becoming harder to buy anything. Are wages going up? Technically? Yes, but when you look at it in the net scenario relative to the price increase in everything, rent, food energy, it's not it's a net loss for you.
It is no. This isn't some weird magic trick that all of a sudden, you're feeling more financial pain has payment gone up. Yes, but it hasn't. It's been severely outpaced by the cost to live.
So when i see things like this, it's just i don't know it's just so disconnected it it it's. The words seemingly of a person who, i don't know has like hasn't, had to worry about how to pay off that next bill. Uh this. It's so like it doesn't add up. It is a net loss to be you right now it is a net loss to buy something right now. This is just a a crazy, crazy scenario and i hope that it they can get it under control a little bit faster than it's been going. U.S stock features dip as investors focus on diplomatic talks between russia and ukraine ahead of key inflation data, u.s, futures and european shares fell on thursday ahead of key inflation report, which we just went over. The 7.9 number asian markets rallied overnight uh.
Well, that's not holding anymore oil rose, five percent and oil keeps going up, and up and up uh zielinski has survived more than a dozen assassination attempts by russian agents says presidential aid. I don't know if this is being like over dramatized but, like honestly, even one seems pretty crazy. A top ukrainian official says more than a dozen attempts have been made on zielinski's life. Like i said, even one is nuts presidential advisers said: counterintelligence groups have been tracking potential attacks by russian agents uh, they said they hit.
Squads are being liquidated on that zilinski remains the main target for russian forces. It doesn't really seem like they're trying to come to some sort of conclusion. The house passes 1.5 trillion government funding bill with emergency aid to ukraine, sending it to the senate after pelosi show down the house approved a military and domestic spending package funding the government through september. The massive bill also contained nearly 14 bill in emergency aid for ukraine.
Republicans and democrats each mostly got what they wanted after months of talks, so hey a little bit of going across the aisle there. Now, let's talk about some things still related to all this, but in the world of sports um, so the owner of chelsea, i believe, uh was officially sanctioned with six more russian oligarchs. Chelsea fc owner roman abrahamic was among seven russian oligarchs, sanctioned by the uk earlier today in uk thursday. So, if you're in the u.s middle of the night um the ceo - and there are some other ones were also including this - the uk will freeze oligarch's assets and ban them from doing business in the country which leads to this chelsea's billionaire russian owner slapped with sanctions.
Banning him from selling his three billion soccer club and placing severe restrictions on the team. So if you happen to be a chelsea fan, this is kind of actually a crazy update for you. Chelsea will also be banned from selling new tickets and have budget restrictions opposed to sanctions. I mean that he cannot sell chelsea fc the london soccer team.
He owns that's actually like a pretty wild wild thing now before we get into some chart breakdowns and all that good jazz. I do want to talk about this amazon surges after announcing a 20 for one stock split, and it goes up to 10 billion of buybacks. So what is a stock split? I know many of you watching already are we've been over this, but remember, there's new viewers. So let me quickly explain what this is remember. Not all stocks have the same amount of shares in existence. Some have more, some have less. This inherently doesn't change anything fundamentally about the company. This is equivalent of taking a twenty dollar bill and switching it into twenty one dollar bills.
You have more bills, i.e stock, but your overall value, your market cap, is theoretically the same. That's how it would work in a theoretical vacuum in reality, when companies announce this a stock split 20 for one remember: there's reverse stock splits and that's actually a bit bears, but this is a bit bullish and that really has to do with psychology. All of a sudden, when you see amazon's price, get divided by 20 people, it's a psychological thing like you're like oh, okay, it's cheaper. I just saw it trading over 3 000, and now it's a 20th of that.
So, like it's a psychology thing and there historically has been a greater impact before fractional share trading because it opens up your investor pool. Not everyone has three grand but okay, maybe they're gon na invest a couple hundred to get a share, so it does widen your investor pool but, like i said ever since the rise of invest or fractional share trading, if your brokerage offers that you never had to Really buy one, you could buy three dollars of a three thousand dollar company if you want so we're, seeing the effect get muted a little bit, but historically i'm talking from like 2020 until now, apple tesla, nvidia all did a stock split and from the announcement up Until their actual stock split, there was a bullish run. The really bullish thing out of this headline is the buyback. Why is that bullish? Well, if a company is buying back its own stock, the company itself knows all details about itself.
So that's signaling to the world that we are undervalued because they know all their own metrics. So it's more of a posturing thing of like hang on. Why would they buy their own thing if they think they're overvalued? They would only do it if they think they're undervalued. So that's like the really bullish thing of right.
What now, what we're seeing with amazon us probes, trade by barry, diller david geffen before big merger? So basically there was a group of people who got into activision right here made an activision trade right before the microsoft thing, i'm going to dive into this a little bit more. I just wanted to call it out. There was a group of bigwig rich people who bought up activision, and then it ran up on the announcement that microsoft was trying to acquire it and then they're like oh, no, no, no, we didn't know anything. It was just really good timing.
Just like super good timing, we didn't know anything and honestly i i don't know, maybe they had insider information. Maybe it truly was just simply a lucky bet. We acted on no information of any kind from anyone. It's one of those coincidences. Um remember you are innocent. Until proven guilty - and i don't know i - i don't know if these guys were insider trading - but i just wanted to point out that, yes, once again, the u.s we're seeing more and more headlines of these kind of sus. Looking things actually being investigated, five things to know before the stock market opens today, thursday march 10th aka inflation day, oil rebounds on russia, ukraine talks fail taking uh the stock futures down. Pressure on stocks comes after the s p, 500's best day in roughly 21 months, bond yields rise ahead of, what's expected to be more hot inflation, russia bombs, a maternity hospital in ukraine, killing three people and, i believe, injuring 17.
amazon's. 24 1 stock split fuels. Dow 30 inclusion speculation and that's another big thing um. So in terms of what's bullish, yes, the buyback is signaling.
Okay, that's actually pretty bullish. They know their own thing. The dow 30 inclusion uh. We saw this with tesla when it got included in the s p.
500, inherently, if you get put into one of these indices, there are many portfolio managers out there that run a fund that track that they have their own spy. They have their own russell, they have their own cues, they have their own doubt so, like they're mimicking. What those already are, so that literally just represents those portfolio managers having to go out and buy it so they're in line with the index that they're trying to track so it literally just represents more buying. So that's another positive thing there.
If it goes through, that last part is speculation. Um, so just wanted to share all that with you. Let me get out of all these pages and then let's do some short interest. Statistics review and a little bit of chart review so for the s p.
500. We're actually seeing an increase a couple days ago. It was sub 16., now we're at 17.7 for the spy. The queues have been going down.
That's now at 13.7 percent short interest and the russell. The small cap sector is at 40, a hair under 40 and actually for russell. That's like one of the plays that we made yesterday and we'll be going into detail about that um. Well, we might as well start with this one.
I am playing oil through uso. I just want to give you an update on that day, one i'm getting clobbered. I got some calls on march 8th, but remember they expire, not in the march monthlies in the april monthlies. So i do have a fair bit of time and obviously i want this to go higher.
I need it to go higher because right now are like day one i'm already down money, but i strongly believe that oil is going to continue to rally. That's obviously my opinion, i'm no financial advisor. Maybe i'm right, maybe i'm wrong, but i just want to let you know where i'm at with my trades right now. In the s p 500, we had a pretty decent day. Yesterday we had kind of a gap up from where we closed at least, and then we went green on the day. So it's kind of almost a delayed turnaround, tuesday type of a deal, but now we're getting a little bit of a gap down. Yesterday's low was 422.82. I wouldn't be surprised if we they want to quickly fill that gap.
We're trading at 422.10 right now, so don't be surprised if we see a 70 cent push up just to fill this gap from the low of yesterday and from there. I am going into today feeling a little bit bearish. My reasoning for that is basically inflation, uh. It was in line, but it's still extraordinarily high, which i think is going to put pressure on our federal reserve in terms of monetary policy to be less accommodative to the overall market and on top of that, in a geopolitical situation.
The next. The most recent round of talks between ukraine and russia did fall through, so not really much of a positive development there i will be watching 422 flat and then i'll be watching the low from tuesday, which was 4 15.. That's my watches. Out of the gate, the q is, in a similar situation same with the russell speaking of the russell seeing uh what a bunch of whales did.
Yesterday i for the march monthlies, the march monthlies, the i believe, the 18th, whatever next friday is um. I saw a lot of money coming in in the 180s, 185s and 190s. I tagged along with those whales yesterday, so i'll be watching this, but similar situation, i wouldn't be surprised if they quickly pushed it up for a gap fill and i'm in the 185s. For the march monthlies, so the current active option positions are an iwm put a cei call, a dewac call which that's going to expire, worthless and a uso call, and that was that's currently my farthest dated one uso and those are for april uh.
If you have any questions, comments, concerns about these active option positions - that's all done on locals. That's where they're all posted the details, the expiration, the strike the premium. My reasoning, all that good jazz, that's what's going on over there in locals! So that's your breakdown of the overall market. Yes, we see oil uh, it's bouncing off of 104 from yesterday, currently at 112..
I think if this starts pushing 116, it i'm watching. Basically, this resistance resistance support. If it pushes 119, i think we're gon na go back up into the low 120s in a short amount of time. Um all right.
Let's talk about some other things. We went over amazon on the announcement of those three things: the speculation of the dow on the stock split and also on the buyback. We saw some insanity. It went from 2780 all the way up to in excess of 3 000, currently trading, just below 3.
2. 930., we saw oil got completely clobbered in the second half of the day. Yesterday, the reason oil came down the reason why you saw cei go down uh husa, all the oil related plays was because at first before the day started the iea, the international aid energy agency, uh from a speech over there in paris, was saying: hey we're gon Na do what we can uh to like: stop the craziness with energy and we're gon na see what we can do there and then the real thing was the uea or no, the uae. Sorry all these acronyms we're saying that okay, hang on, like we're gon na see if we can actually like help out and release a little bit more um. So no specific numbers or anything like that. But we saw two important players in the world of energy and particularly oil, saying okay, we're not gon na be so um. I guess steadfast in a non-supportive position. They basically just said we're gon na attempt to help and we're gon na try to get other people to help as well, and on that news, that's why we saw oil come down because it sounds like they might not be constraining supply as much, but also once Again, i want to remind you that we're not out of the woods the situation in with russia, it's it's.
I i i think it's going to get worse before it gets better um. As of now, the talks fell through, and on top of that, we still haven't seen any of the metrics, the pure numbers of we're, releasing this much oil, it's just more of signaling to the public that they're going to attempt to help but uh. I would really i'd feel more confident in oil coming down when we saw particular numbers. So that's the story with the overall market oil i mean next weeks and or next month.
Excuse me inflation. When we get the numbers from march, i'm not expecting anything good because commodities and energy is going sky high. So i'm thinking the report is actually going to increase next month, but there's going to be a lot that happens before between then and now. So, let's, let's stay calm on that particular one um.
Overall, i'm expecting a crazy high volatility day, just there's a lot of movement. So, let's see how this ends up playing out. Remember to these are not the times to be a hero using a crazy amount of leverage, uh, there's so much whipsaw that if you're using leverage you can easily get blown out of a position so maybe tone the leverage down and stick to your plan. I always tell you to stick to whatever your trading plan is, but it's times like this that, like, if you don't that, can cause a severe severe loss, so uh make sure you're being careful and make sure you're like being as disciplined with yourself as you possibly Can be so that's what's going on, the casino is about to open right now, just so you know amc's trading at 1571.
That's where it closed yesterday and jimmy was above 105. and let's see if i could sneak this in amc just below 21, it's at 20.76 and in terms of gme just below 20.. Recently, we've actually been seeing gme go up and up and up a little bit. So definitely something worthwhile to pay attention to the casino is open all right. Let's see how this all gets going today, uh jimmy out of the gate. Let me know if that recaptures 105, that's definitely something that i'll be paying attention to. Let's take a quick look at gold trading at 187, definitely holding uh kind of pushing yesterday's high look for that break over 187. cei, not doing too much craziness out of the gate.
Let's see what mulln is at is that a dollar eleven dollar ten uh? What are the other crazy, crazy ones that we're seeing cei is actually green? That's up. I guess we have to have cei up, because it's up by nine percent the spy already got that gap fill. So the gap, though, that i was talking about done, done done done and you could see it right here, um that was a very, very quick active trade uh. So the high is 423.10 the low from yesterday for 22.82, so the gap fell that trades.
It was that rapid and that's a little bit of an advantage of being able to play the futures market. Is you don't have to wait for like that 9 30 open the spy currently down, one percent? The queues are down 1.35 and the russell is down 1.37. Let me give you a quick update, um the russell play the iwm one that i posted yesterday. That's up ten percent.
The uso trade is down 68 percent d-wack. That's, like i said, burn in my cei position, which is actually my smallest one. My cei and my d-wack are far far smaller than my iwm and my uso plate just to kind of give you an idea. These aren't all the same size, cei, dwac, extremely small relative to iwm and uso, with uso being my biggest so the second biggest one is the green one right now, iwm um, currently up 10.
Yesterday, when i had that plan at first, i was basically saying: okay, here's what i'm gon na do i'm going to go for a 20 gain, but on the backs of these new developments, i'm actually going to try to swing in a bit longer, and i knew That was a possibility. That's why i bought more time um, as in i gave myself a further out expiration and basically, what i'm watching is for the spy. If the spy can't hold 422, i think it's going to drag the queues in the small cap sector with it all right. Let me get to some of your questions while we're watching market open, let me switch to some of these things that are more actively moving.
Is amc moving out of the gate all right, a little bit of a bounce? Let's see, what's going on there jimmy, unfortunately going the other way. We don't really need to have that up and then gme all right. Well, we did mul, what's uh bed bath and beyond doing bbby bbby whole net 22. cei trying to come back to that 120 oil is in the top right over here it's at 113 uh 50, like i'm, i'm going to reiterate this once again.
If we hit 116 a barrel, that's big resistance. If we break from that, i think it's going to get into the 120s, potentially the mid 120s. All right, let me get to these mullen aka just raised the price for to purchase, shares to 884 a share. I think um i haven't read that 8k i'll i'll check into it, though, if you buy a stock in one brokerage and sell it on another at the same day, even several times. Does that count as a day trade trading by brokers, your day, trades are specific to your brokerage. So if you have one brokerage, you get three day trades for every rolling five days on that brokerage and another three for the other one. If you buy apple on brokerage, a and then on the other one you're selling it that's not a day, trade uh your day trades only account for your particular brokerage. So multiple brokerages, you get multiple groupings of three day trades.
Wildfire update the mandatory evacuations are over, but the fires have increased close to 30 acres doug. I hope you are being safe. I hope your friends and families are also being safe. That is crazy.
30. 000 acres. Can the impact of rising commodities be muted by the fact that we are would be focusing on american energy and crops, not really because it's still supply and demand? We're not that well built up um, there's still a supply like crunch, we'll call it um. This is one of those things that you have to be prepped for most likely deer like years or decades before, to not hit the supply crunch.
So it's one of these things, demand's going up supply is being crunched. Price has to go up um. If the u.s had the. I guess made the decision to completely backfill that supply well yeah, then the prices wouldn't really move um, but that's not really.
The scenario we're in tmc is ripping metals a commodity play. It's up. 18. The metals company a financial conglomerate, yeah metal, is going up.
The remember i was, i shared that story of that chinese company that got completely short squeezed on nickel. Nickel is still not trading and i think it won't be trading earliest. It'll start trading is tomorrow, but i don't even know if they'll do that, cei making a little bit of movement right there tmc. What else is going crazy today, uh thoughts on lou recent, i i can honestly tell you.
I do not pay attention to that whatsoever. I don't read the tweets, i don't watch the videos, i don't go on to reddit about it. It's a waste of time for all of us, it's a waste of my time. It's a waste of your time.
Uh you're gon na see that i think there was another influencer which is so like dirty to say. Um that, like was getting, i don't know, was arguing with people last night. It's ever it's a waste of time. It is a waste of everyone's time.
That drama is so childish and also it's i don't know these people the longer. What's that saying time reveals all truths, i'm moral, i like the saying karma's a these people who have been lying and don't know anything about what they're talking about karma's a karma's coming from them. It's not you don't need to do it. I don't need to do it karma's going to take care of it for us we're all good cei. Looking good amc, currently at 1540 gme at 103, would love for that to recapture 105 and for amc i'm watching 1625. Cei is the biggest game i have on. My list right now up 14 tesla, tesla tesla tesla. What is tesla doing, i haven't traded tesla in a hot minute and probably good for my bank account microsoft apple.
I know semiconductors had a pretty good day. Yesterday, oh apple, taking a little bit of a hit out of the gate, nvidia nvidia amd micron, all right. All those semiconductors are seemingly giving up their gains, giving up them gains. What else do we have husa? Let's see how that one's doing probably similar to cei most likely good up 21, these somewhat low float oil and gas production companies they're looking strong uh.
What's the other one indo, that's another one up: 38 geez, louise indo indo right here i what no? No? No! No, no! No! No! What am i missing about indo? A low float, 100 utilization short interest over a hundred percent. This is being shorted over a hundred percent release. Date. 109..
This thing might go crazy. This does anyone else have extra information on on indo because i'm seeing a short interest over a hundred percent. That's just nuts huh. Oh there's no option seriously that! Oh sorry, that was like my first uh.
My first instinct was like hang on. What can we do with options? Well, that's not fun. Hi india, wait, wait, indio, yeah, no options on indio bam and it's on the threshold list. Oh my god, so you're telling me there's a stock.
That's had a series of ftds. Its short interest is over a hundred percent, the utilization is maxed out, and just so you know, if you're on the threshold list, that means you've had consecutive days of a high percentage of fails to deliver and it's a short wow. This is a powder keg. I don't know if it's gon na take off if oil goes up, you're, potentially looking another short squeeze in the face.
That's ridiculous! If, if i have no indo position, if there were options, i would buy calls with a small amount of money and just like yolo it and see how it goes. That is disgusting threshold list short interest over 100 utilization max out, probably an ungodly high um cost to borrow low float. There's nothing else. You need indo, especially in the current scenario of just like it's related to the world of petroleum.
There is no other thing really like that is just nuts imp is shorted over 200 percent uh, i'm i'm not seeing that. I see that the cost to borrow is high. I see it's on the threshold list uh. I don't think the short interest, i'm seeing a 80 percent utilization shares on loan 5.62 million 8.37 mil and it's on the threshold. Why are these all on the threshold with insanely high wow? That one might be? I mean i i don't know the short interest on that one, but that's ridiculous how's the imp doing got smacked at six. I mean i'll watch it a little bit more closely. I i'm curious what the actual short interest is, but these highly shorted plays that are related to petroleum right now i mean they're playing with fire. I would be so incredibly scared to short petroleum.
Anything related to petroleum right now, like that is nuts like it sounds like they're just gon na be like that chinese company, who is shorting oil like if this breaks in a particular way all these oil shorts are just gon na get completely squeezed uh yo your Pleasure indio is the way indio i mean i would be in it right now. If it had options, i think indio like it could go nuts uh too crazy just watching it fighting started yesterday. I mean 100 short interest if petroleum, if crude oil right here, if this runs back up to 125 130, if it breaks 130 indio you're gon na most likely see a squeeze that it's just nuts. Why would they do that? That's such a high risk play for them to engage it.
Upstate savages, calling out fuel cell wait, wes, which one has a 630 percent. Sorry like, i cannot think about how insane it is to be shorting, something that indo is a powder keg um. I wish i had a percentage vortex estimated 8.37 mill, but shares on loan are 5.6 market cap. Wait what impp has outstanding shares of 4.78 mil, but the shares on loan are 5.62 and the ortex current estimated short interest.
This is where you guys are getting that 200 percent number, and that explains why the cost to borrow so high. It also explains why the thresh it's on the obviously it's on the threshold list, because there's not shares to account for what the hell is going on. That is crazy, hang on. Does imp have a options market? No, that one doesn't have options either.
They just don't want the kids to play. That's bonkers - and this is also a very, very good point for me to articulate understand this market manipulation. These shenanigans. It is like, does it in one way or another include amc and jimmy yes, 100, but it's not just amc and gme.
I don't really understand like the elitism or like the amc or jimmy maxies or the purists or like they're. People are acting as if they're, the only ones manipulated i just randomly. We just ran through two that they're on the threshold list, they're being shorted over a hundred percent in the fact right, wow, there's no point in being a maxi. There's no point in being appears because it happens if you were looking to right the wrongs of the market and make some money while doing it.
Unfortunately, i have to remind you: there are more than two i'll read the mullen 8k a little bit later on. Just so, i have like the appropriate time to go through it and give it what it needs. Is this the best available data we can pay for, or is it still crap? I think i really really like ortex um they'll be the first ones to tell you that it's not perfect, because they can only capture 85 percent of all transactional volume so like they are missing 15 of the picture. But i don't know if there's a data source out there, even for professionals that have 100 of the picture, because remember you don't really have to go through brokerages. If you're a big hedge fund and i'm a big hedge fund, we can make a deal, be like hey, i see in your 13f, you have a lot of apple like do you mind if i borrow that off you to go short and you can strike deals Like that and it's stuff that doesn't necessarily hit like the ticker tape, um, not everything like there's nothing, stopping people from making those types of deals, and that was something that peter, who is the ceo and founder of ortex, was kind of explaining of like you're. Never going to get 100 data coverage, someone said amc running sweet, let's check it out. I don't know about running. It has a very, very nice pop does jimmy as well all right.
I want jamie back over 105 and then amc you're watching the low 16s uh amc. Looking a little bit good. The spy kind of coming down right there, tmc tesla, doesn't look like it's holding tesla tesla, tesla, tesla, tesla, tesla, tesla, tesla tesla. All right! I just want to quickly shout out.
I made a trade on tesla and now i need to do some math in my head uh. I just need to know my exit point: seven in 19, okay, uh, let's get out of tesla, let's set create, closing order, create closing order all right. We have that up i'll post, the tesla trade, uh expiration strike and premium. What did i pay? 1725? All right.
So i just posted that and then for all of you listeners, so you can check that on locals, but just to put like i'll tell it to all of you, tesla i bought puts tesla puts expiration date march 18th, not tomorrow the week after strike price premium. 1725 and my goal is to take profits at 19, so roughly a 10 gain um, and i just gave myself a little bit of time and we'll see how this is gon na end up panning out um. But i i'm not looking to like swing for uh. The fences on this one, like i said, i'm looking for a 10 gain in out, and i want to be done just want to make a little bit of money.
Call it a day be able to afford my my cappuccino, my espresso, my cheese, it's my sangria! I'm a simple man just give me my 10 someone said lagging, can't see or hear matt uh. If other people are having. I don't think other people are having that. Just maybe give it a quick reload, a quick reload, and if i i should be getting a fill soon.
Ideally, if life is gon na go well today, if my math is right, i'll be able i'll get a fill around tesla at 835. Roughly, if my math is right with the greek values, why didn't they freeze me? I got frozen out on. I don't know, i'm just getting frozen here on uh the old youtube land. I think i'm back youtube's just having problems but we're all good on twitch we're all good on rumble. I don't know what youtube's up to uh we're back just hit a reload. Do whatever you need to. I don't know, i think, we're back hey if you haven't already. Could you drop a like button? Um, it's always nice to be able to get to like 10 000 likes, especially when you only have 4 000 viewers.
So um. If you guys could all like hit the like button and then go make another account and then hit the like button again and then i'm going to need half of you to repeat step two once again to be able to get up to ten thousand. Do i have a video explaining the greek values i do if you guys want to watch that, let me know but uh. I think it's actually one of my best videos, i'm just going to watch it because it brings me a little bit of joy, matt coors, greek values.
This was back when i used to be funny these. These are the days of my best youtube videos. I just want to make sure i'm not playing it at double speed, all right. What a start! Oh! Do you know how long it took me to figure out that dollar drop? I am very proud of myself for that.
This is circa april 2020.. This is old school matt kors that took me forever. Oh wait! You can't, i recently posted an introduction. I have to restart it.
My bad! I just wanted everyone. This is matt from mad strats. I recently posted an introductory video about options trading at the end of the video. I quickly mentioned the concept of option.
Greeks. If you have ever traded options, there is a good chance. You've seen option greek values. I thought it could be helpful if i took the time to explain what all of these values mean.
If you are interested in this type of content, hit the subscribe button for more. If you haven't seen my educational efforts, the best thing you could do is share this video with a friend. I appreciate your help now. Let's talk about the greeks, no, no! No, not these greeks, i'm referring to the lesser-known, less muscular option, greeks, theta, vega, delta and gamma.
These values are derivatives of the options, the less muscular less known. I forgot that i said that. Oh, that was prime. That's that's my p.
You just witnessed my peak best video ever made pricing model and informed traders about how the value of an option premium will change. These are dynamic in the sense that they change with time and shifting market conditions theta. The greek value i personally pay attention to the most represents the rate of change between an option's price and time. Sometimes this value is called time.
Decay theta indicates the amount in options. Value would decrease as the time tax relation gets closer. For example, if you want to call option with a state of negative 0.25, the options price would drop by 25 cents every day that passes, if all other things are the same. The magnitude of concave generally increases as the expiration date becomes. Closer vega represents the rate of change between an options premium and the underlying stocks implied volatility. Vega indicates the amount, an option price would change, given a 1 change in the implied volatility. It's important to know when option value rises, as volatility rises. An option with a vega of 0.25 indicates the option's value is expected to change by 25 cents.
If the implied volatility changes by 1 vega is at its maximum for at the money options that have longer times until contract, expiration delta represents the rate of change between an options price and a one dollar change in the underlying stock. The delta of the call option can range between zero and one, while put option, can range between negative one to zero. As an example, let's assume you own a call option that has a delta of 0.5. This means if the underlying stock increases by one dollar the option value increased by 50 cents.
If the underlying stock dropped by one dollar, the option's value would decrease by 50 cents. If you're curious about how a put option would react, it would be the exact opposite in each of these examples. Gamma a value i rarely track represents the rate of change between options, delta and the underlying stock price. Gamma indicates the amount delta change given in one dollar movement in the stock.
If you had a call option with a delta of 0.5 and a gamma 0.02, a 1 movement in the stock would prompt the delta value to change by 0.02. This greek value essentially details how volatile the options the delta is. Gamma values are typically highest when the stock prices near the options strike price. There are other greek values, but these are the main ones you should be aware of.
In my opinion, i hope i was able to answer your basic questions about option. Queries feel free to leave a comment below. If i missed anything, if you learned anything or enjoy the video, i would appreciate it if you could hit the like button. Best of luck with your training and, as always may the odds be in your favor may the odds be ever in your favor whoa spy pop.
What happened there yeah so speaking, ability not the best educational value in that video hi like if you want to know about greeks. That explains what you need to know: gamma vega delta gamma. Well, i didn't really explain row uh, so education was there, but i unfortunately learned how to speak like two days before that, so that was kind of the mess up there. But hey look at me now now we can talk.
Can you rewind back to the muscle you guys miss the notes on that part i mean just you could just search mccoy's, greeks and watch the less muscular, less known, greeks. I was on one that day uh to give you a little bit of insight of what was going on in my life. At that point, i was stuck in a one-bedroom apartment in brooklyn right when the 10 pandemic broke out like and people were like what the hell is going on like we don't know what like to do, why is the spy ripping? What am i missing? What happened with the spy russian instrument decided to temporarily suspend fertile? No, that's! Not what did it putin says? Fertilize fertilizer? We don't need to break off any relations ourselves, russian agar! Why something's going on? Because the market just ripped faces uh interesting, i'm not seeing any hot buzz russia to start interventions on domestic grain market this year. That's not what happened! Uh gold mines are literally gold mines when qe all right all right. All right, i'm not seeing any like jaw-dropping announcement, which is weird because a movement like that you'd think would have headlines that prompted it. What huh? I don't know that if there's no news, i think that would just like a pop that could have been a trap, but time will tell time will tell gap fell on the spot. It actually gap filled right out of the gate. Um the gap fill was just 222.80, so we're definitely in excess of said gapfill in excess.
Interesting. Let me check the internals really quick, still bullish on the spy, especially with a push like that uh. Well, i was close to getting my tesla fill and then this happened, which is crazy. I think this is fake, because i'm i'm not finding any news amazon everyone loading it up on amazon calls tesla calls they're fading me, i'm just seeing a bunch of calls in terms of what the whales are doing.
Tesla and amazon call that's what we're seeing in the options market crypto it shot up, came down, shot up on the executive order and then i guess, with the tensions, continuing to rise all right, the spy already coming back down. I think this comes back down. Uh house pass ban on russian energy imports, faces stiff odds of passing senate. That explained oil coming down a little bit interesting.
Were the cpi numbers released um, you could find them all over twitter um. They were released at 8 30.. What you need to know is year: over year, the february increase was 7.9 percent four decade high level of inflation, um, i'm close to getting my tesla phil all right. What is cei doing 115.
All right prague's been putting back like back-to-back green days out lately. A lot of red, a lot of crypto ren and a lot of equities read thus far except the spy just what a crazy pop. Thank you, jeffrey rc did a thing with bbby stock dropping well because right now he owns almost 10 9.8 percent uh and he's trying to get the board to do something better, but, like the board, hasn't really responded yet uh in terms of like actions, he was Kind of calling them out on twitter and then he's like okay, like finally got the response uh just so you know, if you guys heard that my twit or my tesla just filled so you're welcome, hang on. Let me just double check. Yes, uh. All of my tesla i got in at 17 25 just got out at 19 for a 10 gain, um, easy, peasy, lemon, squeezies folks, easy peasy, lemon squeezies winner winner chicken dinner at 19. cool all right. I just let everyone on locals know that i'm i'm in i'm out.
I took my 10 now i can afford my cheese it's for the day and if anyone did that or anything similar to that, you would have literally just paid for locals for many years. Uh. Just so, you guys know locals, there's a free option and i post stuff there and then there's also a premium option, which is ten dollars a month or a hundred dollars for a year. So you get two months free but, like i intentionally kept it on the cheaper side, because that hundred dollars in one contract on tesla you just paid for the full year, i wanted to make it where uh it.
What didn't feel like such a like extreme financial burden or anything like that? But hey i it's been a hot minute since i trade tesla and i'm liking it. I've regained my title of the best tesla trader on this side of the mississippi, all right, gme getting hit uh. What is cei doing almost came back there. What's bbby bbby hanging out at 21..
I want to check in on iwm ooh, unfortunately grinding up.
I hate to be the bearer of bad news. The fat lady is signing! Itβs over for the USA stock market. The Russian/Ukraine couldnβt have happen at a worse time. The USA stock market was already in trouble based on economic decisions made by policymakers to prop up an economy. If anybody has seen the movie a perfect storm, that is what we are looking at right now. Every time you think youβre getting out, you soon find out youβre not getting out.
How is it that so many people are holding stocks under water and you people think the USA stock market is going to rebound and give you massive profits? Looks like itβs just a matter of time before the USA follows the fate as many empires before. Get out why you can the blood bath has just started. There are no boogeyman short-sellers out there trying to make peopleβs lives miserable. What we are looking at is too many people long and not enough people or money that is willing to buy from the other longs. Good luck everyone!
Remember Pokey the Black Market God is never wrong! Donβt think about fading me because my kill ratio is high when people try to fade the Black Market God! You know this stuff is like taking candy from a baby!!!!!!!!!
We are living historical moments in the markets! Good analysis! πππΌπ