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So what is going on everyone tgif? I hope you are ready for an awesome, fantastic great friday, whether it's your morning afternoon evening night, it's friday, let's crush it folks wild wild wild wild wild. Well, first of all, let's just point out the fact that, yes, it is fancy shirt friday. I hope you have your fanciest of shirts on today to celebrate the fact that it is another beautiful friday in our lives, and i hope you are ready to crush it. Now, in terms of the market, in terms of stocks, we're in a pretty precarious situation, this situation between russia and ukraine is doing nothing but intensifying.
So yes i'll be getting into that we'll do a general market breakdown i'll, be sharing some ideas of maybe some places of like alternative investment opportunities, especially if you think things are going to continue to go haywire so we'll share that. I have an interesting story. Not only with spotify joe rogan, but also one about morgan stanley. I wanted to share it just because i know there's been some like the fact that, like yes, i know they own e-trade and e-trade super bowl, commercial.
So more and more people talking about it. But there are some connections of pretty like sus. I guess business practices going on, especially as it relates to block training, so we'll be going over that and then we'll drive into some of the ortex numbers short interest utilization. All that good jazz and we'll do some chart review and then hopefully i can save the last like five ten ish minutes for all of you to answer any burning questions you have before that bell goes ding any ding, ding ding, but two things i want to Talk about before we really get into all that first of all, fyi market will be closed on monday in observation of presidents day.
The market will be closed, so we're about to head into a three-day stock market holiday. Just so, you know three-day weekend and also more in terms of the market. Today i am once again expecting high volatility. I've been saying this term, but it's the most accurate one.
This is a hair trigger situation of whatever is going on with the geopolitical tensions uh. So expect crazy volatility. Today, that means, if you're on the right side of a volatile trade, you can make a lot of money, but also, if you're, on the wrong side. That means you can lose a lot of money so whatever that is, i'm not here to tell you that your training plan is a good or a bad one.
I'm just saying: stick to your trading plan: don't let your risk get so absurdly out of hand that it gets into a situation that you can't bounce back from expect high volatility and honestly, the reason that we're expecting high volatility because of the whole geopolitical situation heading Into a three-day weekend that that makes everything so much more complicated, so just please whatever you're doing understand, three-day weekend three-day holiday with president's day, especially for the stonk market. So i just wanted to call all that out for you and make sure you have your fanciest of shirts on today and with all that being said, let's hop right into it. So, as you can see, yesterday we sold off. We sold off i'll, be talking about draftkings and roku. They had their earnings, uh roku had it yesterday and draftkings had it early today, as you can tell from the drop off, neither of them we'll be getting into the reasons why they're so red, but, more importantly, for the overall market. We basically sold off all day. Yesterday, pre-market we had a nice balance, we'll be getting in hawaii and then all of a sudden we sold off once again and right now, we're actually bouncing back roughly halfway through that region, we'll be getting into everything. That's going on with that right now we're it's red and green, it's so close to zero that this is like very quickly changing, so pretty much the dow, the s p and the nasdaq are all.
Let's just call it pretty much flat. We see oil coming down. Oil's actually sub 90 a barrel right now, so we're seeing a little bit of relief in the world of crude oil in the world of energy, and then yields are coming down too, which is telling me that people are going into bonds. More of like kind of a safe haven, investment, remember, bonds and yields move, inversely, more people piling into bonds means yields go down, as people are selling bonds and bonds are going down.
That means yields are going up, um, just a little bit of a correlation for you. There, five things to know before the stock market opens today, friday, february 18th wall street looks flat after the dow's worst day of the year. So this is what we need to get into previously. We had the two big unknowns: the federal reserve and the whole russia, ukraine situation.
Well, the federal reserve, at least for the time being, that situation has calmed down. We got the fed minutes and there was no surprise hawkish development, so everyone's like all right cool, it sounds like we don't really have to really have the biggest worry about the fed. Of course, you always have to understand what they are or aren't doing, but the next big developments in at least in my humble opinion, is going to be closer to around march 10th when we get the next cpi update, uh and then right after that, we actually Have the fed meeting in march so for the time being yes, pay attention to what the fed is or isn't doing, but it sounds like we can put that on the back burner, so one unknown in the short term. Let's calm down with that, the other one is unfortunately kind of getting worse.
So yesterday, tensions were continuing to rise and we saw the markets go down down down and it's a crazy fluid. Real-Time situation. Us says russia has deployed 190 000 troops around ukraine, almost doubling its strength in two weeks, while claiming to withdraw obviously that the fact that we're seeing that, depending on i need to actually put a caveat on all this. So like a big asterisk. I understand i see all of your dms of like okay. Can we even trust the news source? That's something that you're going to have to decide for yourself, i'm here to comment on the news and share it to you with at least sources that i i'm hoping fingers crossed are trustworthy. But i understand with all this: i get it in the u.s mainstream media is for profit, so they're going to be putting out anything that prompts a form of an emotional response just because they want you to click. They want you to engage.
They want that emotional response because it improves their bottom line. So i understand that so everything we're talking about with this, please put the asterisks. I i fully. I get that so anyway, market sold off and we had some of these developments, but in the minute, like late last night, they're, like hang on we're going to talk between the u.s and russia, let's solve this diplomatically.
That's why, in the pre-market, in the overnight session, we saw a bit of a bounce because they're, like oh they're, talking we're going to solve it diplomatically and then this morning things got a little bit more hairy. So anyway, russia's u.s says russia has deployed 190, 000 and kind of the opposite of what we thought was going on. We thought they were going to be taking troops out. The u.s thinks russia has up to 190 000 troops near ukraine.
The us ambassador to the osce said on friday early this morning. The u.s estimate was around a hundred thousand on january 30th. So, obviously, within two weeks, we're almost doubling up russia claimed to be withdrawing troops from the region, but the u.s and others have said otherwise. Well, it gets a little bit more interesting.
Russia says it may be forced to respond militarily if the u.s won't agree to its unacceptable security demands on ukraine. So we actually have more development on that some real-time ones that have come out within the past 10 minutes i'll be getting into that, but just hold on one. Second, russia warned it would be forced to respond militarily if the u.s doesn't give into its security demands. Russia has demanded that ukraine be permanently barred from joining nato.
The us and nato have been adamant that this is a non-starter, so two different, clear global powers like really trying to draw the line in the sand. There that's causing some problems and um this. This thing is so: wild u.s stock features rise on washington and moscow playing ukraine talks following the dow's worst day, so overnight. The picture the best way i could describe it is everything was tense yesterday and in the middle of the night we kind of got a relief bounce, because things were okay, good, they're, gon na talk, it sounds like we might be, stepping away from tensions and then Early this morning, things took a little bit of a turn for the south. Okay, so hang on. Let me find the earliest update for you so right here about an hour ago, separatist leader in eastern ukraine announces evacuation of residents to russia, so basically women and children started to evacuate. So that was right when you saw in the pre-market action pretty much right here where you saw this dip around 8 a.m. That's roughly the time and then from there we have further and further development putin.
Belarus, drills are defensive, don't threaten anyone, so we know that they have some drills and i believe they're, like they've, already said that those are going to end by february 20th. Obviously time will tell putin russia isn't against talks on u.s security proposals. Putin says we are ready to follow a negotiation track with nato on security guarantees all right a lot of this, not all of it, but a lot of it does relate. To is ukraine going to be a part of nato and like they're? Both sides are holding pretty staunchly on that uh blinking says u.s, seeing additional forces going to ukraine border contrary to russia's claims of withdrawal.
So this is on top of the other reports. We just saw like in excess of the fact that they were at 100 went to 190 in the past two weeks. Um china says it does not agree with u.s decision to include some chinese e-commerce firm in notorious market list baba. Okay, that's a little bit different, but still you have to whenever this is going on with russia.
You have to consider boiling over tensions also with the us and china, so just wanted to throw that out. There putin says sanctions against u.s will be imposed anyway, regardless of the real reason. So this is kind of interesting um. We have been taking this tactic in and by we i mean on the us, not me i don't want more here, but anyway, within the us they're taking it of no matter what's going on with russia they're going to somehow this is, i keep saying, i guess Using the wrong pronouns here within the u.s, there's been this idea of like no matter what is going on.
It looks like there's going to be some form of a false flag attack and, like it sounds like in their opinion in these political leaders, opinions that no matter what's going on russia will find a way, no matter what to be like. Hang on and like look for a reason to invade and then on their side. It looks like they're saying no matter what you're gon na impose the sanctions you want. So it's kind of a rock and a hard spot situation of like both side is saying that the other one's gon na do it and like kind of against, like more of like a bad faith sentiment, putin says the west will always find pretext to impose sanctions Right there just kind of following up on what we were just going over and then finally um right here.
This just came out within the past three minutes self-proclaimed republic of i have no idea la lahansk lahansk in eastern ukraine, orders evacuation of people so we're seeing another evacuation this one literally breaking within the past three minutes, and if you i'm i'm assuming now in pre-market, We're dipping a bit more wow wow surprise, so it seems like whenever we're talking about this evacuation stuff, that's exactly when we get a red bar in the market um. This is going to be a wildly interesting day, the red one i want to read to you here, shout out to benzynga uh hearing separatist leader of eastern ukraine announces evacuation of residents, so that was around 8 am that was the first dip and now we're about To we're currently seeing a second one, blinking says deeply concerned that russia isn't embarked on a path of diplomacy. This is wild like any given minute one minute bar, we could see a massive jump to the upside. We could also see a massive jump off to the bottom side depending on how this goes. This is a crazy teetering situation, we're not in the realm of like okay, fundamentally, what's going on in the market, we're not really in the realm of like okay. What are the technicals? Of course we can watch support and resistance to see where some buyers are to see where some sellers are. But overall, what we're seeing is this macro economic event is driving the markets and then these overall indices, which are going to be swinging up or down, but i don't know which way highly volatile they're going to be most likely dragging individual equities with it. This is not a situation of where we're like.
Okay gdp grew this much okay, the the rate is here. This is what we're doing. Here's economic growth here are the new tariff deals. Okay, here's what's going on with the most recent earnings announcement today is the day of everything will most likely and when i say everything i don't obviously literally mean everything i mean most equities across the market.
It's going to relate to this situation, so in real time, whatever news sources you choose, which you deem to be trustworthy, track those throughout the day, because they are going to have a wildly important impact on the market wow. That was just number one: investors concerned about russia, ukraine, crisis pile into bonds once again, going into bonds means yields down. Russia announces nuclear drills as u.s warrants of ukraine invasion. This just keeps going on to moth paliapatea, who took virgin galactic public steps down from bar the board.
If you don't know who chamath polyapathy is um billionaire rich guy in 2020, he was really really into the world of spax. That's like when spax like blew up in popularity, and there were so many discussions about him. He backed a lot of these facts and obviously the one of i'm not saying that virgin galactic is i'm just saying, like kind of where you've probably heard his name before, but anyway he dot dropped down from spce. That's the virgin galactic ticker recently had a nice pop when it was selling those tickets for 150 000, but anyway, um virgin galactic the last time. I checked it about 20 minutes ago unchanged. As of this morning, movers roku shake shack slammed after issuing weaker outlooks um. So yes, roku and shake shack are down quite a bit. This morning you can see, roku is actually down by almost 28 roku actually beat on earnings, but it had a very weak outlook.
It was talking about the increase in component prices and it called out supply chain issues and it had kind of a weak streaming revenue. So technically it beat, but some of this future looking guidance, not the best so revenue right there, that's what i'm talking about it beat on earnings per share, but the streaming revenue not where they wanted and then supply chain issues component, the other one i wanted to Talk about is draftkings, so draftkings also another one that, in a certain sense, beat on earnings per share and revenue, but similar to roku actually ended up, lowering its yearly outlook, and it was just talking about um a wider than expected loss for the year 2022. As costs are continuing to rise, so i just wanted to give you a quick breakdown of ro or roku reported after the market closed yesterday and then draftkings reported before the market opened uh today. So just so, you know what's going on there, but yes, technically both beat on earnings per share, draftkings even beat on revenue, but all this related to like a future looking type of a deal um so just wanted to give you a quick rundown on that um.
But more importantly, is with these rising tensions. You might be watching this and say matt. I do not have the time. I don't have the time to actively trade.
I am not in and out. If anything, my shortest term trades are a week or a month. I have a job, i have kids and maybe not even that, maybe you just like watching netflix and you just don't care to watch the markets throughout the day. I hear you and because of that, i myself have a little bit of a longer term portfolio ones that i don't really pay attention to.
So i just wanted to quickly share this article with you. These 13 stocks with high dividends, are strong bets as investors seek safety during the sell-off, and this is according to some guy who's, a year stock market veteran, whose firm manages 4.2 billion in assets. You know what's interesting about this is before i even got into it. I was pitching to ever since the start of the year.
I am bullish, particularly this year on really financials and energy, and they actually said financial energies and they added one more on and on top of it, just because someone recently was asking me about dividends. If you don't know what a dividend is, basically you get a payment for just holding the stock, and if you want you could do a trip, d-r-i-p, a dividend, reinvestment plan where, where you get paid out quarterly, that money just goes back in and you buy more And more stock for yourself uh, pretty classic long-term investment strategy. I just wanted to share these stocks with you, but anyway, a rotation uh to value from growth. Large stocks are again outperforming. Investors are searching for income dividend could be a nice income strategy, but we're basically seeing energy financials and healthcare. So chevron, obvious energy play ticker symbol, c v x, uh dividend is four point three percent in bridge right here: emb energy dividend is six point: five percent phillips 66 another energy play dividend yield of 4.2 percent blackrock. This was more of a financial play. Dividend yield of 2.5 jp morgan, obviously, a financial play with a dividend yield of 2.6 morgan stanley, another financial play dividend yield of 2.9 lincoln national.
Another financial play 2.5 percent bank of america, yada yada, yada, 1.8 percent, uh abbv healthcare, getting a little bit more into that sector 3.9 and then bristol myers squibb. Another healthcare play 3.2 percent cvs, healthcare, 2.1 and uh right here: gi, ld, 4.8. So johnson and johnson wait: how many more do we have? Oh, this is the last one. Excuse me j and j.
Obviously you know that 2.5. So jnj is the ticker there. So i just wanted to share all of those with you um. It's kind of interesting.
These are the types of plays once again, i'm not saying hey like this is going to be some crazy, volatile play this week. You got to get in now now, no, these right there. That list of i guess 13, that i shared with you - were all ones that i think over the year will end up actually outperforming the s p. 500.
I think we're going to see similar to this a pivot from these kind of higher growth plays, especially just because, what's going on with the fed uh to more of like these classics and with the rate hikes, you have the argument for financials. So i am bullish on energy. I really would be surprised if oil doesn't top 100 120 by the end of this year. So a little bit of something like sentiment for energy financials with the rate hikes and then healthcare there's various things going on.
That will most likely benefit that in terms of healthcare - it's not on this list, but it is a dividend payer a united health group unh, that's one. I've been in for my long-term portfolio for quite a bit. I know it's a tech play, but not on this list at all and not really related to these sectors. I'm still a big big fan boy of microsoft.
Msft i've been in that for a bit. It has dividends. I just keep reinvesting those uh, so i just want to go through this list, especially for you, where maybe there's some viewers, some listeners who are like dude. I do not have the time to pay attention to this stuff, like every single day, i'm lucky to look at my charts once a week once a month.
These are the types of plays that might be something for you, um, for my option: traders out there who you're, like you, know what i like this idea, but i also want to be a little bit more active. These are the types of things that you could get in collect the dividend, but if you want to do some covered calls against it sell some calls and like collect that premium. That's another very valid option for you, so i just wanted to share that. Maybe uh interesting to some of the people who are paying attention. I wanted to share this just because it's been a hot topic. Lately the whole joe rogan, spotify, canceled cultures, type stuff, spotify sources say joe rogan's deal was actually 200 million double what was originally reported. So back in, i guess, may of 2020. The assumption was that this was for about a tenth of a billion dollars, a hundred milli and everyone's like wow.
That's a lot of money. Well, apparently, the deal is actually double that we're talking about a fifth of the billy um and it makes a little bit more sense to me. My spotify is saying: uh, hey we're not actually going to get rid of joe rogan. That was a 200 million dollar investment, so i just want to share some of the recent updates with that, because it is a hot topic news and obviously staying or not saying we'll have it implications on spotify's stock directly before we get into the short interest numbers And the ortex and the utilization and the charts i wanted to share this just because it seems that there is been a new wave in terms of regulation and people really looking into what in the world is going on in wall street.
Really the doj and the sec kind of cracking down on some of this illicit behavior, and this is related to one with morgan stanley, and i just want to bring this up, because a lot of people were unhappy with the e-trade, commercial and morgan stanley. I believe owns e-trade and i'm talking about the commercial from the super bowl morgan stanley relationships across wall street snared in probe ever since its uh arrival after university in 2004 pawin. I hope i'm saying that right has worked. The phones inside morgan stanley rising to become a chief communicator with investors buying and selling big blocks of stock, a business that bank dominates on wall street.
Well, big blocks, right away your mind should be thinking. You know what ats's alternative trading system dark pools. Then, in november his chair suddenly went empty at morgan, stanley headquarters overlooking times square and then the whispers began. The bank had put paiwan on leave.
The feds were poking around indeed morgan stanley and he are intertwined in a sprawling u.s probe into whether banks are improperly tipping off investors to stock sales large enough to send prices swinging. So is this. This is actually kind of the opposite. Typically, we're talking about high frequency trading and, like shaving off a portion of a penny in high volume trades. This is actually the big blocks going through, and people leaking that information before so think of a big bank or a big pension fund about to buy a huge chunk of something like apple and that news surprisingly gets a little bit leaked beforehand. Uh so pi one frequent phone contacts and some of morgan stanley's key clients are among the ross of more than a dozen executives at other investment firms and banks who communications are being scooped up by the justice department and doj. We also know that they're looking into some of these short sellers for scrutiny according to people with knowledge of the matter. In some cases, authorities are seeking access to online chats mobile phone texts, emails and messages sent by apps.
The people said asking not to be named discussing the confidential demands a little bit of a a sidebar here for all of you um. I actually know someone who years ago used to work at the sec and before he left, he was actually telling me that the sec um was given the access. They can look into things like your snapchat, like those snapchat messages and pictures they're saved for x amount of days after they're actually sent and before they're like truly deleted, not that they probably are. But anyway, the sec is at that level and i'm assuming, if they are so, is the department of justice but yeah this guy.
I knew like this was years ago. He was saying yeah, oh no, like when we're looking into someone, and we know that they're on snapchat they'll go through all those messages, which is a pretty crazy thing, but anyway kind of makes sense. The list of people whose communications are being sought ranges from executives that prominent wall street hedge funds, such as andrew lebaskind, a citadels surveyor capital and john dorfman element capital management. The list of names doesn't necessarily indicate their centrality to the probe, but it is indicative of the broad net.
That's been cast by regulators and prosecutors, macking out mapping out block training activities on wall street. So once again, big blocks news getting leaked a little bit. Oddly early and people seeming to front run it, which this is kind of, i would assume some legal form of insider training or illegal form, i would say, uh it's legally within the definition of insider trading. So, overall, what's the big deal with all this stuff, the sec, which is conducting its own parallel inquiry, has been concerned for years about potential abuses in the highly secretive world of block trading once again commonly being executed on dark poles talks with investors about block trades, Often occur in legal gray areas, it seems like that's where wall street likes to like live essentially with bankers, routinely canvassing prospective buyers about their hypothetical interests in specific stocks, but taking care not to leak deals that are actually in the works as the biggest block trader. Morgan stanley is a favorite topic of scorn by envious, rivals where a declining stock price before deal is sometimes derided as the morgan stanley fade. Uh. That's pretty funny like within wall street. Apparently this happened so often that its name is the morgan stanley fade of just seemingly having perfectly timed trades and very astute timing uh.
So i just wanted to share that with you just another thing, not exactly what this uh. The ape community has been going on about, but just kind of showing you of how wise spread. Some of these issues are across all of wall street, so i just wanted to dive into that very quickly and now, with all that being said, let me give you the short interest numbers for today and we'll look at some chart stuff. So the s p.
500. 17, the nasdaq 100 13.3 and the russell 37.8 in terms of amc, 21.15 and in terms of gme 21.45, both of them still for now two weeks, pretty much straight, have a utilization of 100. So, overall, here's what i'm looking at on the s p 500 today as i've been beating the drum below the 200-day moving average and obviously heightened political tensions. I am bearish on the overall market if we recapture the 200 and obviously also if tensions calm down, i will be going back to being bullish, but for right now below this deal line the 200-day moving average and just with bubbling over tensions, i am bearish on The overall stock market - i will be watching 436 - that's where it bounced yesterday, that's where it bounced in pre-market, if we bounce off of that, maybe there's an idea of a little bit of a short-term bull play possibly, but if we break down, i will be watching 430., if we break down from 436, my next major support is six dollars south at 430.
That's what i'll be watching on the spy in terms of the q's we broke down from this level at 351 and the psychological level at 350.. I will be watching the recent low right here at. Let me just mark this out for all of us uh. What is that basically 344 and then from there i'll be watching 340.
That's for the qs in terms of the russell. We got this double top scenario around 205. i'll be watching for support, basically between 200 and 199. If that doesn't hold, we have 197 and some change.
So that's it for the overall indices. Let's take a quick peek at amc. Amc's had a very nice run lately, let me drop this 200-day moving average really quickly. That's just making the charts a bit ugly.
We've had this nice push lately, so i want this to obviously hold above 1775 support support support, but today i strongly feel it's going to be a day of the overall market, so i'm going to be a little bit more in tune to what's going on with The spy, the qs and the russell, but with that being said, we have seen amc and gme perform better than the overall market recently, so a little bit of a silver lining there, and i hope that that pattern continues, whether we're bullish or bearish. I hope, obviously, i'm looking for amc and gme outperformance gme, having a very similar looking chart, we're looking for the breakout of 130 on gme and in terms of amc, we're looking for the breakout of the low 20s. Those are the major breakout levels, the closest major breakout levels on amc and gme. If amc breaks out, i'm watching 22 of gme breaks out, i'm watching 140. um, thus far in pre-market. This is at 436 level, i'm watching on the spy. Let me drop to the one minute chart on all of this stuff. If you guys want to start posting your questions, i know we're getting close to that bell: going ding ding, ding, ding ding um.
Actually, we can turn back to draftkings and roku, but for market open we can put up amc and gme if they're moving and volatile today, we'll keep them up if they're kind of just range bound not doing much. Uh we'll find some other equities that are getting some nice movement, but overall, my line in the sand on the spy which i'll really be watching is 436.. If you're just tuning in right now, don't forget that the market will be closed on monday for president's day. It's a three-day weekend for anyone paying attention to the stock market and, as that bell is about to go ding, ding, ding, ding, ding friendly reminder for all of you.
If you haven't already, it would be awesome if you could help me out with the algorithm. Don't forget to hit that like button, don't forget to join up with the moon gang by hitting that subscribe button like and subscribe. It looks like i missed one of these. What is this before this disappears uh? Why private messages shouldn't be looked at uh? They definitely are, they definitely are and i'm having a lag issue over here on my end, hang on.
Let me reload some of these pages reload reload reload reload, reload, ding, ding, ding ding. The casino is open. Let's see how this plays out today. Folks, let's see, let's see, let's see um today, i think it's going to be a lot of news following a lot of news following to see what is or isn't going on uh for me, especially on these higher volatility days, to create a new position, particularly in The stock market, i'm going to be as patient as i possibly can see if we can identify some legitimate trends - maybe some nice ones that we can hold out all day but early morning pop, so some definite bullishness there in the early morning.
But let's see, let's see if it holds, i don't know i wish i was a fortune teller. I really do but remember i'm not a financial advisor, i'm not a lawyer, i'm none of that. Nothing i say should be taken as a buy signal, a sell signal, a hold signal. I'm sharing my own opinion.
I don't know your financial situation, i don't know your personality, i don't know your risk tolerance. I don't know what's going on in your life, what might be appropriate for me might not be appropriate for you. We might be in alignment, we might not at the end of the day, you're the one hitting the buy and or sell button. I do not control that for you. I don't want to control that for you. Oh, the queue is getting that morning pop right there getting that morning, pop all right. Let's see how this is all playing out today, all right amc above 19 gme not really moving too much, thus far out of the gate. What kind of other movers do we have? Let me swap out gme uh both are in the green, though uh gme 125.
I'd be watching 130 amc recaptured 19 out of the gate liking that, let's see if it holds, let's see how the small cap sector is doing small cap trying to hold on to 200. Currently, at 285., let's see, let's see what else is pretty green. Today, rivien had a nice day yesterday up another 1.4 percent bbig at three dollars and thirty cents. I would be watching closely that 350 level.
After that, you have 375. cfvi. We have uh it's up in the green point, two dlac trading at 86.. What else do we have any big movers, thus far roblox down 2.5 snowflake up 2.5? What are the big big movers, the big big movers? Anything quite yet super low volume on gme super low volume.
Do we have low volume on amc kind of some low volume on amc as well cfei of one percent ribbing up 1.6? All right. What kind of questions do we have team team team team team team fancy shirt fridays roku down? 22? Yes, roku um. They actually had like a decent report in terms of its earnings per share in revenue, but component costs and well the revenue actually didn't beat so earning per shares beat revenue their streaming. Revenue was lower than expected, but the bigger concern was their future.
Looking forecast uh their future looking forecast, they did lower um their forecast because of component prices and supply chain issues. Do man no win moon? I do not know uh ispo already halted, so that was a crazy spack play that went absolutely bananas yesterday. This high volatility, not necessarily my play, but hey if you're in it. I hope you absolutely crush it pay attention your risk and i hope you get a stupid amount of reward uh.
Once again, it's just not my play. This is not where my skill set lies. Um i i've tried to play things like that. I usually embarrass myself uh, so it's just you got ta like i found out some of well.
I think what i'm good at sometimes i still continue to surprise myself, but i like to think of it. That way, like i find my little niche and i just stick to it something like ispo. I know there's a lot of people making a lot of money and i congratulate you, i'm not against it. I just know for me: it's not my style and if you're in it, hey man power to you, the all the power to you.
I hope you are making a stupid amount of money. What else do we have? How is amc and gme costs to borrow still so low, because the demand for the shares on loan is pretty much equaling out with how many are willing to go on loan? When you see costs to borrow spike, that's when you're in the scenario that not only are you at 100 utilization but there's also an excessive amount of demand for even more um, even though we're at 100. If there's no more demand you're not going to see the biggest jump in costs to borrow that type of stuff, it's a rarity that it happens, but we are seeing it play out in real time. It does not commonly happen. Usually there is going to be more demand as soon as your i got to sneeze come on kelly ripa. Don't do this to me, i'm not going to sneeze, i'm i'm the master of my own body and one day i will be on whatever her morning. Show is like good morning with kelly rip or ripa and whoever it is, but i know she doesn't allow sneezing on that, so i'm just gon na hold it in i'm better than that, i'm better than that uh. Where were we oh utilization? It's a rare circumstance in which you max out and there's no more demand because, like how did you get there in the first place? But it's theoretically possible and we actually had a very interesting conversation with um peter from the founder and owner of uh ortex.
And we did that on true demons, like live streams, so feel free to check out his explanation. All right, where are we at? Where are we at all right? Are the queues going to bounce we're coming up to support right here? I'm watching the nasdaq and it just broke down. Oh brother, oh brother, oh brother, brother, it's gon na be one of those kinds of days. Folks, actually, i can't say that that's a little bit uh misleading for me to say because over the past week it seems like every day we have some sort of absurd v, we sell off and we bounce or we buy all the way up.
And then we sell off just just crazy high volatility. Honestly, it's not even fair for me to be like oh man like we're, going to be selling off all day because like we could, but all we've seen is like crazy, gyrations, crazy, crazy gyrations throughout the market. All right, i am watching obviously 344.50 on the qs, and then you already know, i'm watching 436 on the spy in terms of amc got knocked below 19 on pretty low volume cfei. I have it up just because it's one of the few things that are green is anything up more than that, i guess snowflake is, but i don't think many people care about snowflake.
If you do, we could throw a snowflake up, but i think i'm just looking at the things that are most green on my chart and it looks like cfvi - is probably the one. That's the most green and also has like the most interest, at least out of our audience here, cam amazing content. Thank you. Thank you.
Cam. Thanks for the good vibes, i appreciate that hate snowflakes uh different kind of snowflake. This is a company called snowflake wild comments. You never know what you're going to get on the internet. I love it, love the haircut matt much love. Thank you a little bit more of a you know, i'm i'm in my summer, vibes today whoa i'm talking! This is exactly what i'm talking about about that v-shaped crap, it's just high high volatility, high gyrations, speaking of which is there breaking news. Is this one started trading again? What is that ispo? Is it nope? It is training once again, let's see how this all plays out. Is it already hot nope not halted? This is gon na, probably halt again.
Um remember: circuit breaker halts, i believe the the thing that hits it is 10 10 within five minutes, but also that changes uh the like that threshold, the percentage movement threshold, whether up or down it's wider in market open and market closed. And then, when you get into midday um, it gets a little bit tighter there, but anyway it's it doesn't matter if it's positive or negative, it's just a percentage move within x amount of time. That's a circuit, breaker hall, there's no difference in circuit breakers being positive or negative. It's just a percentage move um if you're watching ispo brcc brcc.
What is this? One is up. Five percent uh merger expects merger deal with black rifle coffee. A merger deal with black rifle coffee uh, so a spac deal pop came down made a higher low off of 14, showing some strength. I mean it's kind of a bullish.
Looking chart um. I don't know much about the deal. I'd kind of want to dive into the specifics of the deal, but man it's looking nice for sure uh i would yeah like i said i would want to go into the specifics morning. Pop to 20, down to 19 is what's the volume at not the highest volume, though uh.
Only 300 000 shares for 19 stock how's. The russell looking uh once again we're seeing the russell, at least on an intraday basis, trying to outperform the cues in the spy. At what percentage do they take away the buy button? They take away the buy button when the brokerage does not have enough collateral at the depository trusts and clearing corp. I feel handcuffed with my portfolio today.
Well, why do you feel that travis? What what are your positions? Oh did. Oh, did my volatility ever the? U v x y: we have that trait nope oops. I hit the wrong button. I hope that doesn't mess me up.
I opened the wrong app hang on. Let me open my think or swim. Uh. I'm trying to get out of my uv xy calls for a hundred percent gain.
I don't know if that order hit. Let me check. Let me check up all right. We are coming up to my target of 436.
My personal plan. I don't know if it's a good one, i don't know if it's a bad one. If we cannot hold 436, i will be looking for a sell-off to 430.. My uv xy, it's up 92, so i'm gon na put in create a closing order at i want a hundred percent gain uv xy.
Those calls that i've been telling you all about i'm putting in a sell order for 100 gain. I will let you know if that gets hit and it just got hit. Yeah 100 gain locked in on uv xy. Let me update locals really quick uv xy call all right, so that one is done cool all right. I just updated locals and then also i updated everyone yesterday, just in case you didn't see it and you're on locals. That first bear call spread on the spy that one was also locked in for like a 70 gain um, so those two are locked in and the reason i'm doing it is. I want to get a little bit more cash heavy, so i can get a better position if we see some sort of capitulation, so i'm going a little bit cash heavy just so i can pounce on the opportunity if the opportunity arises and obviously, if you're just Holding a call or holding a put like a long call or a long put um you're still fighting theta. So i just think i could like better position myself.
So i'm happy with those trades uh. The uv xy call 100 gain. If you took that no matter the amount of money you bet, if you got out when i got out, you just doubled up your money and on the spread play. That was a seventy percent gain.
So each spread was about like thirty one dollars and i or thirty five thirty one and thirty five and i locked in 24 per one uh so, depending on how much you made on that, like that was a nice chunk, but once again, um just a better Use of capital - i still like those plays i do, but for me and like just trying to teach some of the ways i think about this, i think there's a better deployment of capital so i'll be letting you know and i'll definitely post it on locals to Any of that stuff all right. What's the spy going to do, um, look at that came right down. What did it hit it hit 436.02. So i was off by two cents off by two cents should have been better.
My apologies. I don't even know why you guys watch me honestly, like that. That's disgusting like i know, you watch me for exact values. None of this oh he's off by two cents, like the fact that 5 000 of you, 6 000 of you, give me that kind of leeway of like all right man, you said 436 and it hit 43602.
Thank you. I get it it's a friday. Maybe you guys are just feeling a little bit better. Maybe it's my snazzy shirt, that's distracting you, but i should be better.
I should none of that. I know you guys tune in for this free content for exact call outs, i get it, i get it and i'm i'm losing my edge. I'm a little bit, i'm still sued a fed brain, i'm just a little bit off. My apologies.
Getting sloppy you're supposed to have potential? Oh no! What did it hit that time? 435. 97. Oh geez, that one it overshot it by three cents. How could he? How could he - oh brother, brother, brother, brother, oh brother, oh brother, gon na - be one of those days.
A fancy shirt friday - i don't know how i'm gon na do this. I assume it would have to involve a lot of hacking on whatever your, like technical devices, are around you um, but if you guys, i'm gon na be upset highly upset. If i find out, you guys, are not all wearing a fancy shirt, though, like the one requirement to watch this free piece of content was for you to all have on your fancy shirts, and if i find out that a single one of you is not wearing Your fancy shirt on this fancy shirt friday, we're gon na have problems. I'm gon na i'm gon na come to all thousands of your houses today and be like show. It show me your fancy shirt and what you wore today and i'm not wearing a shirt all right uh. What do we have going on amc, hopefully coming back to 19.? What's g of me doing, what is g e do in no friday, i'm not wearing a shirt. It's all hair. I've got on my fanciest bathroom that counts.
Fancy bathrobes, obviously count. They are above board where oh, where hang on and qh looking at the futures market, giving a quick sneak peak, a snake peak, all right, so obviously support found at this key level. I'm telling you it! It would be rare like similar to before of when we were talking about like how it's kind of rare for aimc or jimmy to break out of a key level on attempt one to the upside. You can say the same thing for the downside levels like i.
If we just sliced through 436 and that would have been absurdly bearish um, we still might like yesterday what we were looking at 440. It tested it early morning and then it wasn't for hours later that we actually crack through it. It might be one of those scenarios or i don't know, maybe the support was found here and we bounce and we rip, but overall this was the key level. This is 100, why i called it out if we break through it.
That was the big. If iff, if then blah blah blah for all those math nerds out there, i wanted to see the break below 436 um. I and the whole, not just this like quick little. Oh man like we'll tap it and just bounce off, because you get whips on like this solid and also not a bad time to lock in those uv, xy calls uh and actually i'll, probably be doing.
Another bear call spread i'll post the details of that on locals, yeah, we'll definitely be doing another bear call spread for people who just want to collect a little bit of premium premium premium premium. Give me give me give me give me give me give me give me, give me all right: where are we at on this? What are we 18 minutes into the day, all right we're getting to the point where i would not feel the worst about making a new position. But let's see my bias is a little bit bearish and that's just because hearing western officials on ukraine crisis, we are in the most dangerous phase of this so far. Well, that's not good that just came out a couple minutes ago.
The most dangerous phase of this. Thus far that doesn't spark confidence that doesn't bring joy. What are we doing? What are we doing team team team team team, the queues at its level? What are they doing? Tell me your secrets, truck stock market. I want to make a trade. I want to make a big trade. I want to make a lot of money. I need to pay off my fancy shirt bill, btc tanking! Well, that's no bueno, yeah crypto getting hit pretty pretty hard in the moment from forty four thousand down to forty thousand. So down ten percent there eth thirty, two hundred twenty eight hundred uh, so we're seeing some pain in the crypto market.
Interestingly, though, is we're seeing a strong bounce on the spy we're seeing a strong bounce on the cues into asante, all right amc trying to make that move back up to 19 gme trying to push that 125 level uh some buyers are stepping up. The question is, is: are we actually going to break out and make a new intraday high, or is this about to just? Do the classic ball bounce and, like we have a lower bounce and we just like end up cratering through patience, patience, patience, patience, patience, patience, patience? What else do we have moving hang on? I want to check out what the heat map looks like heat map, a mix scenario, a lot of things hovering right around: it's just red, green movement, a lot of gray, so not much green, not much red. I guess tesla's down by one percent energy coming down, which i find to be surprising, definitely find to be surprising interesting what a bounce! How much was i officially off by nine cents? How could he? How could he all right we're watching we're planning we're scouting we're trading like snipers, we're feeling the good vibes in our fancy shirts there's a pic of me in the mid-90s in that shirt, l-f-l-y is halted when you take a look at m-e-t-x, m-e-t-x, m-e-t-x, m-e-t-x uh. It's a penny stock.
I see a wedge so if i didn't see the price, i don't really like penny stocks, but lower highs, higher lows, you're waiting for the wedge to break. I don't know which way it's going to break. It is uh more of a bull flag so commonly they break upwards, but this is also just a random penny stock. That's worth 71 mil uh, so a very small company.
This thing could go haywire uh, not my play. Anyone matt! How do you get news on inside of trading view uh? I click on this button right here news, but i don't really like this news. Um trading views news. It's the third option, down uh whatever that is whatever this is, and then the third one's the news, but i don't really use that.
I use benzinga and twitter benzynga and twitter are probably more of my go-tos. L-F-L-Y was mcmj last week and nobody would answer my questions about it. I unfortunately don't know much about it. I don't know if i'm the guy who'll be able to give you the answers.
It sounds like it was a spac deal that went through if it went through a ticker change. I plan to get into it for a while, actually just other ones, uh yeah i've been watching it for quite some time, bgfv for a nice new play this morning. Bgfv bgfv, so this is one that i actually believe charles payne was talking about a hot minute ago. Um to me it sold off, it was range bound, and now it's showing a bit of weakness, it does have an upcoming earnings. Apparently, roughly early march, you are near some nice support, so you could choose to risk 15. You could choose to risk like mid 13s. The reward would maybe potentially be a pop back up to 20.. I would want to dive a bit into what in the world's going on.
Why did it freak out to the upside? Why did it get crushed to the downside? I'd want to do a little bit more dd on this one before i just go into it, because what i'm seeing in at least the recent term doesn't make me like that confident in it i'm seeing some weakness, but i also do identify that. There's some support. Pretty close by um, it looks like amc got above 19.. That's awesome.
The spy popped up made a new intraday high right off of that support level. Interesting interesting: where are we at all right? The golden question is: is this going to hold all right, so the spy already popped to make a new intraday high uh the queues trying to follow suit? Look at that buying. This is exactly that. V-Shape craziness i've been telling you about like.
It seems like every single day we see either a normal v or an upside down v. It's just like it's just whipsaw like this is the exact gyrations that are just like absolutely insane um and also a good reason of why like, even though we saw that first bearishness all the way up for the first 15 minutes. This is exactly why i just didn't: try to pummel it, because we've been seeing this. That's why i like to stay calm at first see, what's going on see if we can identify the true trend of the day, a lot of fake outs, a lot of fake outs? What is this garbage watching the spy right here watch and watch and watch him? The cues are coming up to its resistance, might be forming a cup and handle um.
Obviously, the spies don't have that it is already broken above its intraday high, the way the politics around the ukraine, russia conflict have been unfolding, tin, foil hat, you can say, biden and putin are trading on the market might be wouldn't be. The craziest thing we've ever heard would not be the craziest thing. How is gold looking today is gold still going up gold taking it did pop now with the market popping gold going the opposite way. How is oil looking oil going up interesting, interesting, quite a bit of strength, quite a bit of strength, trying to make sense of all of this? Oh wow, oh well.
Well. Well, all right, patience, patience, patience! The question is: is this just going to keep going? I think in the short term, in the absurd short term, like very, very quickly, there's gon na have to be a little bit of a relief sell-off. Just because, like that was such an absurd push, i mean we just ran up two and a half dollars. The question is: is this actually gon na be a sell-off all the way back down or are we gon na like hit 437.50, make a higher low and then just continue to rip from there? That's what i'm watching for is. I am expecting a little bit of a downside and i just want to know to the degree what that upcoming downside is going to be. Is it a little bit we just bounce off of 438. 438 750. We calm down in terms of the technicals.
We base a little bit and then we continue to rip, or was this just a complete farce and like they're, just gon na rip the rug on people? Are they going to rip the rug on people all right? I'm just checking for any breaking news that we have going on this morning, all right. Here's that little bit of the relief sell-off just technical is way too hot. If you pull up the rsi or the keltner, just things uh we're on the top side of the volatility man uh, it's just uh. The big question is the degree.
Where are we going? Where is the target 438 437.50? Is it 437 just kind of watching these 50 cent increments to see if these gold's still going down interesting gold going down amc uh on its attempt to get back above 19 rejected?.
haha go ape
Matt, youΒ΄re so right and "spot on" – canΒ΄t emphasize enough how important it is to be cautious on volatile days like these
reading about people grabbing multi-figures monthly as incomes in investments even in this crazy days in the market, any pointers on how to make substantial progress in earning? would be appreciated.
Matt stop retweeting Russian fear porn
Also, 1.
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