Never goes in my brain. you feel the temperature rising now. look in your eyes. Oh thank you brother! Welcome welcome back to the Mad core show.

Today is Monday July 17th and a question on everyone's mind is is the market going to keep doing that whole rippity skippity doodah thing the thing that it's been doing from October of last year till now? or are we finally gonna have a little bit of a breather I wish I had a crystal ball I wish I was Clairvoyant I wish I could tell you exactly what was going on, but alas, we can't so there's gonna be a little bit of risk to this situation if you twisted my arm. I Think we are closer to a healthy pullback? I'm not calling for doomsday or anything like that, but I think we are closer to a healthier pullback than we are to a continuation. But once again, it doesn't really matter because we have to wait for the price action to tell us what is up on the day. So I Hope you guys had a phenomenal weekend I hope you crushed it I Hope you got to spend some time with family, friends, loved ones and if you don't like any of those people I hope you enjoyed the time by yourself I myself actually for like one of the first times in my entire life ended up watching tennis hence today's thumbnail.

but if you guys haven't seen it on Netflix there's a new show called Breaking Point. It's kind of like Full Swing. It's kind of like Drive To Survive. It's following around certain individuals throughout whatever tennis season and you just get a little bit more of an inside look into their life and what it's like to be a professional tennis player and honestly the same way with Drive To Survive The same with Full Swing.

It gave me a lot more respect not only for the sport but also the individual people that it's following around. So a little bit ago a couple weeks ago I watched Breaking Point which obviously is all about the top tennis stars and I got a little interested and then I somehow stumbled across some news that the Wimbledon finals were this past weekend I believe the women's finals was on Saturday and then the male finals were on Sunday and I was up in time on Sunday to watch the male finals and I think it lasted like four and a half hours like it was like just they were just going at it and it was probably the first full-length tennis match I've ever watched and it was awesome. I actually really really enjoyed it to see how like just these guys like neither of them were refusing to step down now I guess I don't want to give away any like spoilers or anything in case you planned on watching it. Uh, but the winner.

A young kid. he rocks it the I don't even think he's old enough to technically drink in the U.S Uh, but he's the world's number one taking down a giant I Guess that's straight up a spoiler, but also if you like tennis and you didn't know that by now, it's kind of on you man. Um, so it was really cool, but hopefully we'll be serving up some attendees today. So that's what I did on my birthday weekend hung out.

Oh I actually ended up going to a concert a place called Pier 17. it's this rooftop venue in Manhattan Awesome! Anyone in the area if you're ever looking for an amazing, amazing, amazing concert venue I Highly recommend Pier 17 Really cool Vibe did that did some fancy food stuff like Omakase Uh, it was a good weekend. The weather could have been a little bit better, but hey, Beggars can't be choosers. you know that kind of a thing.

But anyway, that leads us to today of what's going on in the market. Friday A little bit of a tune change if you will. We've just been ripping ripping ripping. and then Friday the morning was like okay, but things really started to change tune right before lunch and then for the rest of the day LED down by financials and energy, look at XLF and XLE respectively.

They started to vomit, bringing the entire S P 500 with it. and honestly, the cues weren't holding on that well because there was individual Tech plays like Nvidia was vomiting all day, meta vomited into clothes. Uh, so there were some big name companies that weren't holding as well in the tech sector So that obviously wasn't helping out the cues or really, even the spy. So we're going to see how things go today.

obviously. I'm going to give you ideas of what this seasonality for today individually looks like, but on a broader scope, we're going to be talking about the macroeconomic news. We have a big deal from Russia and Ukraine related to wheat and so we're going to be talking about that. We have some updates coming out of Asia basically through GDP their growth not looking so hot and then we have some individual stories related to the likes of Tesla and why it's absolutely ripping this morning.

as I'm looking at it right now, it's up 2.1 percent in pre-market Tesla currently trading at 287, almost 50 and at one point on Friday it was as low as 276. so up 11 from one point on Friday to this moment right now and that relates to the Cyber truck. So we're going to be getting into all that. but before we do it.

Good morning, good morning, good morning, good morning, good morning. I Hope you guys are having a good one. I Hope you're ready for a good week. I Hope you had a good week last week I Hope you had a good weekend before we hop into it.

Two important things: Number one: don't forget to destroy the like button on both Rumble YouTube subscribe on Rumble and YouTube Uh, it's nice to be multicasting. just kind of increases the security in case there's technical issues or if YouTube takes me down or any of those things so we are currently live on both Rumble YouTube like And subscribe on both and also show a little bit of love to today's stream sponsor I'm talking about Streepy. If you've been watching me for any amount of time, you know that I've been partnered up with Street Beat for a while, but they are continually improving their own Tech And now they are successfully connected with other brokerages. So if you're like I just didn't really want to use Streepy to do my training and that type of stuff, well, you can can now connect various other brokerages I'm not saying all of them in the world, but many of the major ones you can connect that account to Street feed so you could do your normal whatever training on those other ones.

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and on that note, let's take a little look you see at the market. Uh this one might be a little bit cleaner. So Market we opened up strong around 10. 15 was when we started to turn on Friday and then from there we just vomited and vomited and vomited.

Now pre-market today was pretty weak. A lot of this is going to be relating to some of the news that came out of Russia slash Ukraine but also Asia. So I'll be getting into that. In the past 45-ish minutes, we've been getting a little bit of a bounce, but we're really just bouncing off of Friday's low.

at 448.49 that's going to be an important level to me. so I'll go over all the levels. I'm watching for the overall Market in a second. Now, part of the reason things are bouncing is because Tesla's crushing it this morning.

Currently up two percent, trading just above 287. We're going to be talking about the Cyber truck. Nvidia I'm watching that just because it vomited hard. It went from 281 all the way down to or excuse me Nvidia went from 481 all the way down to 450.

I'm curious if this is just going to lead to a continuation in the sell-off now. Obviously, from a fundamental perspective, Nvidia is greatly overvalued, but I have a sneaky suspicion that part of the action on Nvidia was more so because of the rebalancing in the NASDAQ And obviously there's some concerns that this is going to prompt some sell-off in Nvidia My Microsoft If they're rebalanced to the downside and the reason that would happen is because there's a lot of fun managers out there who perfectly duplicate the NASDAQ, They're tracking exactly the NASDAQ for their own money management. and if they're tracking it properly and now the NASDAQ rebalances downward because Nvidia or Microsoft or potentially other ones really, those Super Seven or whatever the current adage is for those, if they end up being less of a waiting within the actual like ETF Well, then that's going to prompt more selling, so people are paying attention to that. Ideally, we should be getting some news on that somewhat soon.

So something to pay attention to, especially if you're trading whatever the major Tech names or just maybe these just the Super Seven names because they have been ripping pretty much from October until now. so we'll cover that obviously when it comes out. don't forget we're in earnings season. In terms of macroeconomics, we have some reports this week, but not as impactful as last week.

So I think this week A lot of people are going to be paying attention to Tesla's earnings Netflix a slew of banks. Uh, we're gonna get the final big Bank Bank of America and then a lot of medium-sized Banks Obviously going to be a huge impact on XLF the financial sector within the S P 500. So lots of things to talk about. Lots of things.

Lots of things. lots of things to get into: Ford Cuts Prices on its electric F-150 Lightning Pickups by as much as ten thousand dollars? Well, interesting that that's coming out right when we hear about Tesla's uh, cyber truck. Ford Cuts prices of its electric F-150 Lightning pickups by as much as 10 000. Ford on Monday announced significant price cuts for all versions of its electric F-150 Lightning pickup The cheapest version of the lightning will now start at about 50 000.

a roughly ten thousand dollar cut. All versions of the EV will get price cuts of at least 6 000 as Ford Works to boost production this fall. Uh, this morning I saw Kramer kind of going back and forth with Elon uh, what was Kramer he was talking about how he likes the F-150 better. Hang on I Just want to hop into this.

where was it? That was three hours ago. when did he talk right here? So Elon this is why Tesla's up right here. First Cyber Truck built at Giga Texas and congrats Tesla team. and there's the Cyber truck.

And then Kramer quote tweeted it while I'm a huge believer in Everything Musk, Save Politics I think the F-150 Lightning has more going for it than the Cyber truck more later today. Well, I didn't realize how just grammatically confusing this whole thing was. While I am a huge believer in Everything Musk Save Politics I think the F-150 Lightning has more going for it than cyber truck more later today. This is what happens when you're drunk and you start tweeting uh, so that's a little bit confusing, but yeah, so I forward very quickly hitting back.

This came out July 15th so over the weekend so this came out on Saturday and then Ford like just classic. Let's see how down a little bit on the news, down 1.2 percent. but overall Ford has had a nice nice push from the end of May until now going from 11 to 15 so gaining about 40 percent. so maybe if it keeps going I don't really trade Ford uh at all if it pushes 16, if it pushes 17, that's a nice breakout area.

Overall, it did have a huge rip from March Wow, got up to 26, came down hard, and then maybe this wedge breakout. Actually, that would have been a nice trade, just wasn't particularly on my radar at all. but just one, two, three, four five. We bottomed out five times at around 11.

then got this beautiful breakout at the start of June Nice risk reward trade that played out like very, very well. But anyway, uh, let's get into the some of these higher level things first. Stock features are little change to start the week. We're basically just above the low from Friday and everyone's waiting to see which way it breaks.

Asian Markets fall China's economy grew 6.3 missing expectations so we've been lightly touching on this. but it does seem from a global economic perspective that some analysts are starting to get a little bit more concerned about the Asian sector. It seems as if their growth is not really going to be able to hit the Benchmark lines that a lot of people thought they were six to eight months ago. Wall Street Cuts China Growth forecast as economy disappoints City Morgan Stanley Several Banks see growth of 5 this year Beijing Stimulus likely to be smaller than previous periods China's disappointing economic growth figures prompted several economists to downgrade their forecast for the year, citing major weakness in the recovery of Beijing's relatively muted stimulus response.

Official figures released Monday showed the economy lost momentum in the second quarter, with consumer spending growth weakening notably in June and property investment. Contracting. So two things to say there. Let's take the second thing first: Property investment.

Contracting We know that for years now, the real estate world within China has just it's been hanging on barely. It's just like the fingertips are holding onto the edge of the cliff. I Mean we've seen the videos of the ghost towns and just wild wild stuff. But a lot of people rightfully have serious concerns for the real estate sector within China which is trillions and trillions of dollars.

So obviously, if that takes even a decent percentage hit, that's going to have a global impact. Now for the first thing: growth weakening notably in June And we're talking about consumer spending that's happening now in the US as well. Now on a magnitude level, it's still strong, but we're clearly starting to Trend down and maybe this is a little bit I Don't know. Conspiratorial? Maybe this is a little bit of a hot take for me I Know that Biden recently decided to forgive more federal student loans, but the fact that student loan payments are still restarting in October That that has to be a weakening consumer.

So uh, that's something I'm going to be listening for as we're listening to all like the next couple weeks of earnings. especially these companies that rely on discretionary income. I'm going to be listening to them of what is their guidance for the next quarter or two. Are they concerned about? maybe? Maybe they're not going to talk exactly about student loan payments, but I feel like they're still going to have conversations of the weakening consumer in a general sense.

So I Want to know to these people leading these businesses how impactful do they truly think it's going to be? So anyway, a little bit of what's happening in Asia Also happening in the U.S Something to pay attention to Russia acts as a landmark Ukraine Grain deal just hours before deadline first. Inked In July of 22, the U.N brokered Black Sea Grain initiative has been repeatedly elongated in short increments. It was set to lapse on Monday at midnight Istanbul time wheat prices jump 3.5 as the news broke, we going up and up and up. Ukraine Grain deal collapses, heightening food supply fears Russia says terms of agreement have not fulfilled so far.

more heightened uncertainty over Global Food Supplies So even though we're battling inflation, this is another thing that's probably going to prompt food prices to not come down as much as we want. In fact, depending on the Fallout effect from this prices might for food might end up going up so something to without a doubt pay attention to. You should also be watching what's going on with the old dollar. The Old Dixie The dollar Index dollars busted Bull Run has Bears calling end of an era now Now check out what's going on.

you can check it with Dxy. The dollar from January of 2021 went from 89 and it was a scorcher ripped up to 114 115. recently vomited, try to bounce. kind of had a weird fake out breakout.

Turned out to be a liquidity grab. They smashed it again, bounced again. Turned out to be a dead cap bounce. We put in a lower high vomited try to save itself at this trend line, bounced a little bit and then from there I mean the last week it just was horrible.

I mean look at this from all of July the dollars had a huge huge huge vomit. Now remember the dollar Dixie that is the US dollar versus mainly the Euro but within that bucket of things that's being compared to. The second thing is it goes from the Euro to the Yen to the pound. The Euro is going to be the major comparison within the dollar Index Dixie but obviously I Just want you to know that's also being compared to the Yen.

It's also being compared to the pound and other ones, but those are the three major ones with the Euro comparison being the major one. So because of how this is all set up, there is roughly an inverse correlation. as in when the dollar is doing well, the Market's probably not doing well. When the dollar is doing poorly, the market could be doing well.

Now, this isn't a perfect inverse relation. I'm not saying like it's the same relation as the Vix and the Spiers or like the cues and the Sqs or anything like that. like it's not like as soon as we have one bar up, the other one has a bar down. So there is an inverse relation.

but I Don't want to give you guys horrible math flashbacks to high school. but if we're looking at that r squared value a measure of how good a correlation is, it's a negative. It's not negative one, but it's probably like negative 0.7.6 So they do roughly go in the opposite ways. but it is not like a perfect minute to minute bar to bar comparison.

now. I Do want to point out the fact that we've vomited so much I mean this. This dollar just getting absolutely murked. I Wouldn't be surprised if there's somewhat of a mean reversion play here of like a little bit of a bounce in the dollar.

And if that were to happen, well, that could potentially set up a little bit of a mean reversion in the overall. Market Bringing it down to a healthy Gap fill at 443 or just maybe even a pullback somewhere into the lower 440s. maybe mid 430. Something like that, because even if we pull back into here, the run is still intact.

So even when you're on nice bull runs, you can still have one two three percent pullbacks. and like it's not gonna prompt some sort of mass hysteria or something like that. So pay attention to the dollar. Because the Run has been crazy, the fall off has been crazy.

Lots and lots of volatility going on in the world of currency, so something to be paying attention to. Obviously, if you're trading, Forex if you're trading crypto, or if you're trading the overall markets moving on, prolonged Hollywood strikes could lead to an absolute collapse of an entire industry. Now for those of you who maybe haven't been following this particular storyline, the writers within LA and also the actors depending on the two major unions that you're in are they're on strike right now and it caused a lot a lot of problems. Failing to resolve the Dual strikes of the writers and Screen Actor guilds in Hollywood will lead to a devastating effects if it is not settled soon.

but settling assume seems unlikely Diller says since there's no trust between the parties Diller Specifically address artificial intelligence in the interview, which he called overhyped to death In terms of the impact it will have on writers and Screen Actors Jobs now I'm by no means by no means saying I am like fully informed and I'm an expert on like what both sides are arguing but to my understanding it has a lot to do with royalties related to movies and shows on streaming services. I Guess from how this was all actually agreed to years and years ago before streaming was popular. they're set up at different tranches. so like syndicated cable TV and movie theater movies different than shows and movies on streaming services.

the royalties different game and I believe this, the writers and the actors are saying they should be the same. Now in terms of AI I Looked into that a little bit and it just has to do with like who owns your own likeness like whatever. if you have my voice and my face, can you use that in commercials like it has to do with ownership of likeness? Now once again this is super high level. I'm positive people in here are far more informed about it than I am.

I Just wanted to give you like the the high 10 000 foot view of the current situation that very well could have a like an after effect a prolonged effect on movies and shows not only in the theater and on cable TV but also in streaming. So I'd be Basically you would want to look at things like what's going on with obviously AMC What's going on with Disney What's going on with Comcast What's going on with Netflix There could be clear stock market impact because of this strike, especially historically. some of these have lasted for a while now, obviously for everyone involved. I would love for the world involved I Would love for this to get resolved sooner rather than later.

But as of now, as we're talking about it on July 17th, it doesn't seem like they're closer to getting this resolved than they were a couple weeks ago, so just wanted to put that on everyone's radar. Where have all the billion dollar movies gone so far only Mario's been super this year Disney is on Pace to be the box office ruler this year is it though? Disney I mean I guess you could win, but if the competition's not that high yeah, like does it really really count I mean if you look at Disney's last eight theatrical releases, it lost them 900 million dollars like they're down quite a bit if you look at a series of it like so Mario did well, but there's been a lot. a lot, a lot of flops anyway. Disney Studio will likely not have a 2023 release that eclipses 1 billion at the global box office.

It's not just a Disney problem. however, before the Rona period Studios produce multi-mega Blockbusters Each year, the industry itself, like movie production seems to be taking a hit for whatever reason. I Don't know. Maybe we're all just like Marveled Out.

We're just like, all right, we've seen this. We get it. The superheroes win, blah blah blah uh. Maybe we just need a like a whole new cycle of movies.

I I Don't know, but there's been a clear downtrend and hopefully it turns around the media industry is in turmoil and that's not changing anytime soon. Media companies are struggling with two Hollywood tricks, slumping ad revenue and money losing streaming businesses. Disney CEO Bob Iger He's talking about how he might partner up or spin off ESPN trying to do something with Disney plus cutting back by like five billion dollars worth of spending Netflix which is performing much better than its Rivals kicks off Media Earnings season this Wednesday so I Want to listen to that? Honestly I think Netflix is still somewhat in a positive uptrend because of the whole Crackdown on password sharing and even if they get a small percentage of the people who were borrowing their parents login if they get their own accounts, that's going to be millions and millions of dollars. So I'm going to be really listening to that this.

Wednesday for Nflx if you missed it last week. Big positive news if you're a crypto supporter Ripple Half one but kind of half lost its case against the SEC but the point that they have won it came down to like is Ripley's security and the judge ruled that Xrp is a security when it was sold like directly to VCS to hedge funds. but when it was bought and sold on an exchange or programmatically not a security Now for me I Find that to be a little bit odd because you have the same thing and I guess the medium in which it sold is defining it as a security or not And it's not just me who's finding that confusing. I mean we have Sec lawyers doing their rounds on TV We have people who are really informed like lawyers on Twitter saying I don't know how we could Define something as a security in one light and then the exact same thing.

not a security if it's just sold differently. So the judge's ruling judge Torres from I believe the U.S Southern District uh, prompting more confusion and part of it. Not good, but then part of it. The crypto Community is like yeah, this is awesome for us so that's why Ripple actually in a day almost went up 100.

Um, this is why you're seeing the Winklevoss twins. The Winklevise from Gemini You're seeing coinbase. Uh, right now. a lot of momentum.

A lot of momentum. I would arguably more of a win than a loss in the world of crypto. and I Do believe it's more of an embarrassment for the SEC and I Think this is going to make it very, very difficult on the SEC to not approve a spot Bitcoin ETF in the near future. Very very, very optimistic of that being approved before the end of this year.

I mean just the pressure of BlackRock Fidelity and grayscale and just the way certain judges have made certain rulings. it does seem positive. That or it seems likely that we're going to be getting a spot. Bitcoin ETF approval Now when will it actually launch? I Have absolutely no idea but the approval of it I think it's sooner rather than later.

Ripple says U.S Banks will want to use Xrp cryptocurrency. After partial victory in SEC fight, Ripple is confident that U.S Banks will start wanting to use its Xrp cryptocurrency for cross-border transactions. After judge gave the firm a partial victory in its fight against the SEC a judge ruled that Xrp was not in itself necessarily A cryptocurrency in development with major implications for digital asset industry. It wasn't a total victory for Ripple.

However, the judge also ruled that the sales of Xrp by Ripple to institutional buyers does in fact count as unregistered sales of security. So once again, when it's right to institutional buyers VCS hedge fund and the like of that, that is breaking Securities Law But when it's on in exchange such as Gemini or Coinbase, it's all good. And in fact, that's why. right when this came out, Coinbase almost immediately announced that they're going to be allowing the purchasing and selling of Ripple on their platform.

So if you want, you could get on coin space personally just for transparency. I have no Ripple but I'm very interested in this story I'm very interested in what this means for the crypto community and I also just want to give a shout out because I know there's a lot of people in here who very much support Ripple and this is a massive win for you. So huge, Huge. Congratulations First cyber truck built at Giga Texas So there's the Cyber truck.

This was announced over the weekend on Saturday July 15th and this is pretty much directly responsible for Tesla being up over two percent, going as low as 276.50 on Friday and now just popping all the way up to 287. So definitely some optimism in Tesla because of this news now. I Think it's going to be even more impactful later on this week when we get its earnings I believe it is on I Just want to double check I think it's on Wednesday Wednesday of this week. let me get you this: Uh yes, Tesla and Netflix together after the market closes on Wednesday So if you want to take a quick screenshot of this, if you want to check it out at E-whispers tomorrow before the Market opens, we hear from Bank of America PNC Morgan Stanley Charles Schwab.

After the market closes, we hear from interactive brokers on Wednesday we get Goldman Sachs We're going to get the NASDAQ we're going to get Tesla We're going to get Netflix We're gonna get United We're going to get IBM We're going to get some of these mid-sized banks on Thursday We get American Airlines Johnson and Johnson Capital One and then on Friday we're getting American Express and this is Visa I know discovers reporting thought Visa was this week but I guess it's next week I'm just double checking that I don't see Visa I guess visas next week. but anyway, we're this is it where we officially started earnings season last week and we're gonna keep going with this for the next handful of weeks. This week's important, next week's important the week after that all have major major major companies reporting, so you definitely want to be paying attention to all of it. In terms of macroeconomic reports, not really much going on.

Today we had one report come out at 8 30. tomorrow we get U.S retail sales. so it'll be nice to see what's going on with consumers that's at 8 30. so if you guys want, we could definitely start streaming a bit early tomorrow to catch that.

and then later on this week we're going to get the normal Thursday stuff, but not too many Fed members speaking. I'm actually not seeing any on the list and in fact on Friday itself, nothing is scheduled. So this is going to be more of an earnings week than in macroeconomic. Report Week for today specifically I Do want you to know that the seasonality it kind of favors the Bulls it's more I should have put instead of bullish I should have put leaning bullish because recently we had some nice runs on this particular day.

but before that it was just kind of chopped. So the Bulls have actually only won this day 40 of the time. But obviously some of the recent wins have big and big enough that it pushes The Profit Factor over one. so I wouldn't Actually, now that I think about it.

I wouldn't actually call today bullish. I would say it's leaning bullsh definitely not neutral. definitely not bearish. It's it's in between neutral and bullish.

So I'm going to put it as leaning bullish because they don't win over 50 of the time. But some of these recent wins have put them in a nice positive territory. Five things to know before that: Stock Market Belgus Dingity ding ding ding today Monday July 17th Dow Power Markets Green We're wondering if there's going to be a pullback earnings pour in. We're at the start of earning season big ones this week Bank of America Morgan Stanley Goldman Sachs IBM we have Netflix we have Tesla Johnson Johnson American Airlines all that Call of Duty Armistice So this is between Sony Microsoft Activision But right here Sony sees its standoff against Microsoft deal to buy Call of Duty game maker Activision Blizzard Just days before the agreement was set to close and this has to do with the whole Anti-Trust thing of like Microsoft getting Activision Is it a monopoly? Is it not a monopoly? All that confusion, but it seems to be settling down.

Media meltdown. We talked about the two strikes I think it's going to have large Ripple effects Russia kills grain deal. Obviously we talked about that. we instantly popping 3.5 percent probably will keep going up if I really really had to guess.

uh I want you to know about my position So yesterday when the market started to turn I held on to it a little bit too late. but I had spy calls, coin calls, and maybe in video calls whatever it was from stream I think I had three different types of calls. Um, but when the market started to turn I got out because my risk was being hit and I ended up losing a lot of money and right at the end of the day just because of the weakness in the closure I decided to actually switch. So right now in real time I have two positions I have no Futures positions I have Nvidia puts for July 21st and I have SPX puts for July 21st.

So those are my two current positions right now Nvidia puts and SPX puts and we'll see how it all goes. On that note, the casino is open. Best of luck to all. Play it responsibly if not, have fun.

Excuse me. All right, you guys know me. I'm gonna do my best to work those first 10 20 30 minutes just to see how things really play out. Maybe we should throw up coin because coin's been going crazy lately.

Um, in terms of the levels, hang on. Let me get back to this in terms of the levels: I'm really watching on the Spy So this is the overall Market the S P 500 or at least the ETF that tracks it above 450 38 the high from Thursday of last week Think things could get kind of bullish. A breakdown of Friday's low at 448.49 would actually make me a little bit bearish. So obviously I already have a bearish position.

but remember, sometimes you're bias in your actual position. get a little bit, um, out of connection with each other. So I'm going to be watching this I'm looking for the breakdown of 448.49 setting up a potential test of 447.50 or the breakout upside of 450 38 potentially setting a test of 451.36 So I'm either waiting for the breakout or the breakdown. either Thursdays high or Friday is low.

Those are my major watch levels on the overall Market this morning and obviously time will tell Tesla looking strong. Uh, continuing its push to the upside: people getting really jacked up about the Cyber truck thing I am of the opinion that this news is it kind of doesn't matter I want to know much more about what they say in their earnings. If the earnings are good I expect the run to continue, but if the earnings are bad I expect this whole run right here to get completely rugged. So right now I'm actually not touching Tesla until I know what happens in its earnings which is once again Wednesday of this week.

Now if you're just day trading it or if you're like oh I'm doing a day like a trade for today, then tomorrow. okay yeah, like I would just pay attention to breakouts or breakdowns like remember there's a reason why we have this saying like buy the room or sell the news now that it's actually announced okay what's the next thing that's going to cause Tesla to move. it's going to be turning. So I think the next day or two could be kind of some strange trading on Tesla but regardless, it's up.

It's up two and a half percent. It's crushing it just below 290s at 288 23 right now. Absolutely crazy. uh, coinbase popping I Believe up to like what? 115 120 coming down to 104.

Um, so had a pretty solid week last week, obviously relating to all. just like the crypto news. update that type of stuff. uh crazy crazy good we are looking at Nvidia I do want to let you know on Nvidia I'm kind of interested if it breaks below 450.

the low from Friday that does set up a downside. Gap Fill Play to 43935. 43935 is a downside Gap will play on Nvidia and I get interested in it if we come below 450. Uh, which would be the low from Friday of last or actually Friday last week.

Yeah, so strong pre-market bounce. Actually, it was looking weak at first, but bounced from 456 all the way up to like 464. so strong bouncing right now Tesla's showing some strength spy showing some strength cues, showing some strength. the financial sector showing some strength energy Health Care Coming down utilities coming down too so XLE somewhat strong XLF definitely strong and that's why we're seeing some strength in the Spy but there are some noteworthy names that are kind of moving in opposite ways.

so Tesla going up but Nvidia coming down meta popping strong Apple had a nice pre-market pushing 193 Apple definitely showing some strength meta I Think we already checked that Amazon pop but maybe turning a little bit right now Google Had a pretty good week last week. A little bit of a muted open. what else do we have? What else? Microsoft A little bit of a muted open UNH So let's check out Healthcare good Uh X Exxon following Chevron falling. So how is energy pushing I Was going to say energy actually is starting to look a little weak to me XLE starting to turn right with the overall Market Um, definitely be paying attention to that oil coming off from its recent High by about a dollar fifty? Uh, so definitely watching oil today watching XLE We know that there's a clear, clear impact on the overall.

Market XLE JP Morgan Popped Bank of America Reporting tomorrow popped City Pop coming back down Wells Fargo Pop So really, it's just a city that's not looking the best. but there's a clear reason that XL excuse me XLF is up this morning. uh, coin turning back around Tesla above 290 now Tesla Looking really good I'm not chasing him I don't really feel like trading Tesla until I know about the earnings. Obviously, it would have been nice to be in a 286 already taking my gains.

But like you never know, like sometimes when there's big news big pre-market game, people just profit taking the first minute and then it ends up vomiting like so. I Don't really feel like flipping that particular coin. Carvana? uh, kind of continuing. its vomit.

Actually, how does Carvana look? Carvana goes below this 34 to 36 region I Think there could be some problems for it? A break below 34.60 I Think that's like a serious serious warning shot that this thing might be done with its run. Uh. I'm gonna be setting up. You know? here.

let me get rid of that. I'm going to set up some breakdown alerts that was the other play I had um I had Carvana calls but as soon as it broke this I ended up having to get out around 2 15 when it broke the opening low right here on this bar. that was the other one I had. unfortunately it rallied back and I could have saved myself some money but I was I was worried that it was going to get rugged pretty hard there.

that was the other one I had that I no longer do because it broke my it clearly broke my major support that I wanted it to stay above. Tesla Continuing to go and go and go Apple Continuing to go and go and go. So Apple's moving right now Tesla's moving right now Med is moving Microsoft lagging a little bit behind Google's going Nvidia lagging behind so a lot of tech plays are pushing right now. but it is interesting that Microsoft and Nvidia are the ones not performing as well.

Um, like from 9 30 to this moment. Which is also interesting because the rumors are that Nvidia and Microsoft are going to suffer the worst from the NASDAQ reshuffling. Um, so once again, it's rumors. Is it going to go that way? I Have absolutely no idea.

but it shows you that rumors have a little bit of strength. Uh, what about Roku someone's asking me about Roku it vomited coming back Roku has just not been as actively traded. uh Alibaba down a little bit too. financials are still going energy making a little bit of recovery utilities down and Health Care down utility and Healthcare is clearly down energy balancing financials.

So financials and Tech are looking pretty freaking good today. The cues: Financial cues and financials QQQ XLF Looking pretty good. That's part of the reason why the Spy hasn't been falling. Even though we're seeing some weakness in the utility sector, some weakness in the health care sector, what else do we have going on? How's the dollar looking today? The dollar popping? Strange that the Spy is also popping on it.

The dollar actually making a recovery from like four this morning was at 99.75 We're already up to 115. Interesting, interesting, interesting text looking good today right now. Obviously there's some names that are lagging behind, such as: Nvidia relative to some of the other intraday performance, Kravon is sitting at 37 Bitcoin just above 30k ripple at 74 just below 74 East at 1911 Amazon at one Amazon not doing the most Today Med is starting to push Microsoft maybe starting to push. If anything has just been super range bound Super Range bound.

we'll We'll see how this all goes. all right. now that we're kind of seeing the opening, we're what. 10 minutes into the day we talked about the news.

We talked about the dollar. We talked about. we we talked about Tesla. We talked about it all.

we talked to, even about tennis. How's everyone feeling on the day? Let me know. Please comment: are you from this moment from what time is it? it is 9 40 a.m from 9 40 a.m With the Spy being at 449, we'll call it 50. Do you think by the time we get to the end of the day we're green? or we're red? Are we above or below 449.50 How are you guys feeling? Are you bullish? Are you bearish? After extensive DD I've come to my own conclusion that my Tesla 220 puts were not a good play.

Woof what if it ends up in Nvidia vomiting red I See the first person says red, big rainbow bear I don't know what that is. but all right, we have some bear. So we have three bears. one green, another green so it's three to two I ain't feeling good about this pump Chief Uh, neither am I Like I said, my positions are bearish.

but I'm not doing a day trade it's for Friday of this week I'm thinking we might have a bit more of a red week I don't I don't know if that's right. I mean we're gonna find out. but I mean the Dollar's starting to move up I Think things are getting uh, like hyped up right now. So if some of these hype names such as Apple and Tesla start to lose a little bit of their footing I think it could fall and then I'm also watching financials.

so if some of the major Tech names take a hit and then if a bank misses earnings or something, I'm definitely watching XLF as well. we're already seeing weakness and energy. We're seeing weakness and utilities. We're seeing weakness in healthcare.

How's Walmart doing? Walmart's coming down targets coming down to Avgo Broadcom up to almost 900. interesting Avgo pushing Nvidia taking hit AMD took a hit, but now going flat Micron Coming down I Don't know. Semiconductors have been having a very, very, very strange day. A very strange day.

All right. Well, at least on the Spy today. It's a pretty easy one to read. We are ranged bound between Four, Four Nine Eighty, and 449-27 You gotta wait for the breakout or the breakdown of that range to understand where we might be going.

but we've been in this range literally since 9 31. So uh, the past 10 minutes we just haven't really been doing much. Tech is basically keeping things up Nvidia just got smacked hard at 465, lost five dollars like it was nothing. very, very much watching Friday's low on Nvidia which is 450 and some change.

so we'll just call it 450 flat. but it's about ten dollars below where we are right now and you might be thinking, well, on a 450 stock of 460 dollar stock. 10 seems like a large move. don't forget on Friday Nvidia went from 480 to 450.

it is clearly capable of monstrous, monstrous moves. Carvana losing volume I mean Carvana I Have some alerts set up, but I No, it's turning around right now. but if Carvana cracks. 35 I think it's technically 34.60 I Think there's going to be a potential flush, so it's on my watch list.

without a doubt. What was coin? How's coin doing right now? Coin moving coin back up to 107. Maybe I should have kept those coin calls. Maybe there is going to be a nice recovery there.

How's Apple doing is Apple Uh Apple had a strong push from 190 190 I Mean it's strong Primark Apple's been strong and now we're just coasting sideways. Big push for the first 10 minutes and now we're going sideways watching the Spy here, just waiting. Obviously the opening has been strong. Without a doubt the Spy was red, pushed green.

Uh, I Don't know if the Q's technically were red, but obviously they're pushing today as well. So we're seeing a lot of things push, but everything pushed for the first, whatever couple minutes and now we're just going sideways. So the recent movement tells me it's a little bit more indecisive than anything else. So I am of the opinion that the name of the game right now is just to wait.

It's to wait to see if we continue upward and make fresh eyes, or if we're going to end up, um, just kind of rugging people on the day. and as crazy as that might seem, as much as we push right now and you're thinking no way is Apple going to Tumble Remember this is the exact exact same Trend that we've been seeing over the past. What? two to three months is Brutal Brutal Fake out breakouts And Brutal Brutal fake out breakdowns? We're seeing everyone get trapped. Fake out breakouts.

Fake out breakdowns. Be careful. Be careful. Be careful.

Be careful. Hey. Matt Do you know why Netflix is going down? And while Disney's going up? well, they're very unrelated businesses. Like, there's some overlap for sure, obviously streaming.

But Netflix is far bigger at streaming than Disney is and Disney has a lot more things going on right now. Remember Bob Iger Just signed for two additional years we have. um, potential ESPN Deal potential Hulu Deal Uh there. Like right now.

what's going on in the media cycle related to Netflix and Disney They're just in two different games right now. Latest news on: AMC I I Truly don't know I think there's a lawsuit or something? I just I haven't been paying attention to it I Realize that it's kind of a waste of my time to pay attention to it. Uh, Netflix Vomiting or excuse me in video vomiting? sorry now that we're talking about Netflix I have all the that just I guess too similar for my brain to handle it? Uh, fake potential fake out breakdown on the Spy right there. Look at this at 9 35.

We made a low, they puncture it, bounce it I don't know if it's gonna hold I'm kind of watching this 449 level. uh, but in Nvidia vomiting nicely and remember I do have Nvidia puts. My only positions right now are in video puts and SPX puts for this Friday July 21st. Those are my only current active plays I bought 2 000 spy, 375 put contracts expiring this Friday I'm down like 95 right now.

Do you think it has a chance? Does it have a chance? If you want me to pump up your bias? Yeah sure man. Apple turning Tesla turning Nvidia definitely turning might be working out for you if Nvidia cracks 450 this could get wild. Remember this is my watch on Nvidia I'm watching the low from Friday 450 60 here I'll set an alert right there just so we know and then from there I mean yeah, it might stall out at 4 45 the low from Thursday but I'm looking at this downside Gap fill of 43935 Now obviously that's a lot of distance to go, but I'm just kind of watching. Maybe a potential, um, ignore this.

Bottom line: I'm kind of just watching this bear channel. uh, higher highs, higher lows, nice parallel lines these commonly break. To the downside, it's just you don't know how long it's going to build out. I Mean, obviously if it pushes I'm gonna have to like pull the rip cord on my position.

It'll probably cost me tens of thousands of dollars. But on the flip side, if this thing ends up vomiting if we get the Gap filter to 439.35 if we bounce off the bottom here like we'll call it 430 431 if we get over here. I mean that's a nice nice payday. So I like the risk reward um I do think it's greatly overvalued, but I'm also not blind to the fact that everyone has been thinking that Nvidia is overvalued so everyone's been trying to bet against it and then it keeps going and it rips their faces off.

so I'm trying to be careful with it I think I'm a little bit more concerned about I really want the Spy to fall right now? Uh, all right. So in video going down that's absolutely vomiting, we're seeing Apple turn a APL which means the cues vomited hard right here. So we had about a 15 minute push this morning and now things are stalling out. The reason the Spy isn't falling right now is because of the financial sector.

If you look at XLF seeing quite a bit of strength. and the reason I'm really driving this home right now is because of the fact that this week starting on Friday of last week to all this week, we're hearing from pretty much every big financial company. Last week we had JP Morgan we had City we had Wells Fargo they all beat uh BlackRock beat. Then this week Bank of America is tomorrow and Then this whole week we have a lot of small to medium-sized Banks also reporting.

So there's in my opinion going to be clear movement in the world of XLF Now obviously some of the major names beat. but even though they beat what was weird about it JP Morgan City and Wells Fargo Just to give you guys a quick recap of Friday they all beat Friday Morning they gapped up because of the beat and then by the end of the day they were all in the red. So the the pop was like kind of sold off to a noteworthy degree. Um, just want to point that out.

Uh, what? Are someone's just commenting numbers? 42 44 49 What are you? What's that in reference to 48 14 28 Someone's just commenting numbers and like is not telling. You're just telling us numbers Like what's that in reference to at all? what's trading at that level? Does anyone know like I'm reading, chat and someone's literally just 42 44 49 I'm thoroughly confused. Can anyone help me out on that one? Iwm smallcast Lotto numbers Oh, they're just just numbers. we're all just apparently I guess hey I feel I I Didn't know that was going to be the trend of the day.

But folks, if you feel like just commenting your favorite number, have at it. This is this is your time to do it. I'm gonna give I'm gonna give you guys 60 Seconds I'm gonna give you till 9 51 to just comment whatever numbers that you feel like commenting because apparently that's what's going on in chat today. So uh I'm giving you guys a little bit over 60 seconds right now technically giving you 80 Seconds to just comment whatever numbers you want, whatever numbers you want have at it all right.

how's Apple doing Apple coming down a little bit Microsoft vomited dude something at 9 42 9 that was 9.39 We went about 10 minutes into the day and then things just. they took a pretty negative freaking turn. uh JPM Bank of America City Wells Fargo Dude, big banks are looking good right now. uh uh.

BlackRock actually Also up, look at all those numbers. you guys. you crushed it. Good numbers today.

Strange. but I guess that's what we're doing. The dollar did pop, but now even the dollar is vomiting from 9. 45 Until now.

Dude, this this Market's drunk. it had a rough weekend. This makes no sense. Coin popped up to 108, got smacked all the way back down to 106.

uh, obviously be careful about the intraday low if it pushes 103.50 that is no bueno. That is no bueno. Uh, the Spy was on a downtrend but just caught a bid on this fake out breakdown which I feel like is exactly what I warned you about right here. I Think people.

As it was popping back up, buyers entered into the market. They're like cool. We'll use this low as our risk. The low happened to be 44927 and then they smashed it a little bit.

try to bounce it out so let's see how this all plays. Nvidia at 454 I think things get really, really really Saucy on Nvidia if it cracks 450 so about four more dollars to go Tesla disassociating itself from the market once again. Well, it's because of the Cyber truck news. Like there is a particular Catalyst for it, it's up three percent on the day.

Tesla's currently up 2.9596 so obviously rounding up a little bit there. Um, but I'm watching 288 92 has an intraday high of 292.23 Tesla in my estimation is I mean there's three downside: Gap those very close to 64 235 222 I shouldn't say that close. they were made recently. they were made within the past six weeks.

That just shows how much Tesla's ripped. and if you scroll back even more, you'll realize that not long ago Tesla was at 102 currently trading at 289. right now, uh, a continuation. we have higher highs, we have higher lows.

uh I Just got some sort of alert on Carvana I think it's a breakout alert. Uh, but I do want to bring this to your attention to do I'm watching this on Tesla So it's tough to chase this because you're kind of chasing a ripper. But maybe if in a situation, maybe with a weak earnings, we break down below this trend line. Okay, well you have your risk, it's just the recent high and then maybe you could even play back to the start of this wedge formation at 240.

So I'm not chasing Tesla here just because like it's a strange chart setup and it might work. It might not work, but uh, it's just not my thing to chase it right here. but it is making higher highs, it is making higher lows I'm just watching the sweat structure. uh, the Spy holding on to this strange region for whatever.

Uh Nvidia bouncing off of what to 452.50 Tesla going sideways coin, giving back its gains. Carvana on the uppity up is at 39 right now. Dude, is this thing gonna go again? Well that alert that you guys heard oh I don't think I had on the other mic but the alert that went off on my screen that was a breakout to the upside alert. look at that pop.

Dude I should have kept those calls. This was right. Roughly where I entered was at 39 ish ish ish. Uh Tesla Catching another bid.

Carvana just continuing to have a breakout? Yeah! I definitely wish I kept my calls on that I Didn't expect such a crazy strong recovery out of nowhere. Remember Carvana? It's definitely become like a retail Centric play. Uh I think it's shorted to the tune of 60 6-0 Let me double check that I currently have no Carvana position I wish I kept my calls. Obviously here are the short interest on it: Uh, estimated short Interest: 54.31 That's a lot of short interest utilization: 71 Cost to borrow 10 shares on loan 37 million percentage of free flow on loan 49.

yep, the shorts are getting their asses handed to them on that play. Um, so Nvidia is going the way I need it to. but unfortunately the Spy is not. I very much need what was the low What number am I rooting for I'm rooting for us to go below 448.50 I am rooting for a break down below 448.50 Fridays low on the Spy which we're just not moving.

uh Nvidia is helping my cause Nvidia is very much vomiting. Carvana got smacked hard at 39. coin maybe turning around a little bit Apple going flat Microsoft sold hard the same as Nvidia once again I Want to point out how Nvidia and Microsoft are the two rumored to be hit the worst by the NASDAQ reshuffling the rebalancing. It's interesting to see that both were holding on for the first 10 minutes of the day and then vomited pretty freaking hard.

Uh, what else do we have? Honestly, what's keeping up the Spy right now is the financial sector. Which can you check or text on Emvx? thank you Camille for you anything Envx short interest is 25.26 percent utilization 76 Cost to borrow 2.2 shares on loan 42 mil Once again short interest 25 with the utilization of 76 and a cost to borrow pretty low at 2.2 Um, so easy to get your hands on a short and it is being shorted to kind of a noteworthy degree. And similar to Carvana, those people are getting their asses handed to them. Look at this Envx ripping from 14 all the way up to 21.

that's some strength running up to the high of October of 22. So hopefully it gets a breakout I Have no position on it, but I know some of you in here do ride the trend I'm personally not going to chase it because I missed the party, but I'm gonna applaud all of you for pushing it, like for making gains and hoping that A push is higher. What are we doing right here? So things were looking as you could see, they had a bearish tone. That's this red line to about 9.50 Then things turned a little bit bullish in here.

So let's see if it's more of a choppy day. A lot of the times with this indicator The Tick indicator. it's actually one caller all day. so even from the open on Friday this indicator was telling you it's better to be bearish.

And then if you look at other days, for example: Thursday all green Wednesday all green Tuesday All green Monday all green. Um, so it's actually kind of odd in fact, to see this choppiness to it. Uh, the fact that we started off bearish and then it's switched. So definitely going to be paying attention to that.

The Spy holding on to 449.50 and the only real reason I see this holding on right now is because of the financial sector. Yeah, energy is turning energy had a nice pop, but turning utilities actually turning. so I guess utilities are helping it up. but I mean the financial sector is just crazy strong right now for whatever reason.

So this liquidity grabbed between 944 and 952 obviously. Um, it's just wash rinse. Repeat of what we've been seeing over and over again. fake out breakdown and then they push it higher and I wouldn't be surprised if we see the inverse of that today.

fake out breakouts that get smashed and then lead to like some form of a sell-off. So that has been the name of the game clearly clearly for the past six weeks, eight weeks, fake out breakouts and fake out breakdowns. Uh, does anyone know what time Bglc will be listed on the hood? I Mean it's not up to hood. it's up to like when the it's up to The Exchange Really when it starts trading on the exchange, uh, what else do we have? What else do we have? Can you check my oil calls? Get your head out of the gutter oil finally taking a breather I Mean it ripped from late June all the way to I mean oil went from 67 a barrel to 77 a barrel if any.

This in my book is just a healthy pullback and then I want to know how deep the pullback is. If it's shown like we push it back up, then it's cup handle and I'd be continue to be bullish on oil in my long-term account I do have oxy I Was getting excited last week when it went to 62. as of now though, appears to be a fake out breakout. got smashed below that trend line.

Other major oil plays: Exxon looking pretty weak Chevron also looking weak with Exxon looking the weakest uh coin is at 106 below 101 I think that this thing could revert all the way down to 89. Netflix still looking strong I should have held on to those calls I had a while ago I got into Netflix calls right here when it broke. uh where actually was that? it was right around 400? I would be up 50 right now if I just had a bit more patience on this pullback I got shaken out and I just locked in my profits. but if I held or even if I re-entered this would be my target right here.

Four five eight, four eight. Uh, the cues are at 380. the spy at 449.60 it's an inside day thus far. we're not really trending today.

Uh Nvidia looking week but now is stalled out from 9 46 Tesla has stalled out Carvana looks like a little it can't catch a bid I mean it exploded from 9 45 to 9 53 8 minutes and now that one even stalled out. The Spy fake out breakdown here starting at 9 44 lasting for about eight minutes. Uh, now it's pushing. potentially running for the intraday high at 449.80 Well I see Nvidia turning What's Apple doing Apple even catching a bit of a bid Microsoft catching a bit of the bid the dollar vomiting I don't know.

Something seems Sus to me. Something seems a little Sus to me about this whole ordeal. Do you like Suncor I don't know much about them so I can't say I like them or dislike them. the dollar is vomiting foreign Tech Picking up spy just tagged the intraday High perfectly at 449.

Yep, just made a new intraday High I am very I Obviously I'm biased because I have SPX puts for Friday but I'm just thinking aloud here: I wonder if it's going to be the same thing as this where they get the people who are chasing this Market recently seems to be punishing a lot of the people who are chasing. So right here. the way I have this box of like fake out breakdown and they pop off of it I Would in no way be surprised if they're doing this to the Bulls shake out Bears shake out Bulls I Would not be surprised if this is a fake outbreak out and they bring it back down to 449.25 just to screw everyone over. The market is very much in this like Seek and Destroy uh I guess mindset attitude.

just screw over as many people as you possibly can at all times. Um, so I wouldn't I'm calling it out now. calling it out before it happens. Wouldn't be surprised if this is a trap.

You don't want to be the person going long here. You want to be the person going long here and you don't want to be going short here. You want to be the person going short here because if you're wrong and you're going to be wrong about 50 of the time, you want to be able to cut with the smallest loss possible. Inherently, going long here probably means your risk is all the way if you go long At four, whatever, 449.80 your risk is down here, but if you go along here, it's just a lot closer and then obviously vice versa with the shorts.

If you're shorting here now, you could risk the recent high of 449.89 if you want to make it like a flat level of 450. Okay, like, whatever. that makes sense. but if you wait for it to fall all the way down, well, now your risk is wider.

Obviously with that oop Tesla potential double bottom at Um 289 right now going on. it's always risk reward and granted, if you wait a bit, you could wait for more confirmation so you might have a higher accuracy, but then that's the trade-off if you have a higher accuracy, but then you're carrying on more risk. Well, some of those times where even if you waited for confirmation, you're taking on large risk and then something reverts and now it's the game of what is your bet sizing methodology. uh uh YouTube is bogus for letting Kevin what? Who is that is letting Kevin Leonardo narrow video air by canceling you uh I think it's a lot of like just a poor bot system.

Honestly I think people can become the victim of a bot attack and I think really what it is is I think there's like server farms and whatnot that end up just using all the created accounts to like simultaneously report one and then somehow just like I think it becomes too great for the YouTube system and it just ends up Banning The account I mean when I got my I got my account taken down three times when I did that. When that happened to me, the category that I was in when it all occurred was like the same category where like there's like legitimate, like terrorism and stuff like that like it was absolutely insane. it was illogical and then when you file an appeal to have them review yours like account, whatever your videos are, or whatever your infraction was, a person doesn't actually do that. It's the same computerized system that killed you in the first place.

Like killed your channel, terminated your channel. Um, it's that same system. So it reviews its own work. It's like, nah, we're right.

And then obviously that's why no one ever wins an appeal unless an actual human reviews it. It's so insane. So ridiculous. All right.

Like I said, be careful about this I Would not in any way be surprised if it's the same t