So so huh three two one stop the record. What is going on and i hope, you're having an absolutely beautiful day, whether it's your morning evening afternoon night. I don't know what time it is for you, but i know the market's going to go. Ding ding ding ding in about 30 minutes, so we have about 30 minutes to get this all prepped up and understand what in the world is going on today, because it does seem as if we're going to have another volatile day.

So we're going to talk about the overall market, we have some news related to the fed. We have some news related to the whole russia, ukraine situation. Then we're going to be diving into the newest person, fighting the sec, it's elon musk and then we're going to be diving into some chart. Analysis we'll be diving into some ortex update numbers, but quite a bit going on and our goal right here is to lay it out, make a better understanding of what in the world is actually happening, and hopefully we can identify some money making opportunities.

I once again, i think, there's going to be some money to be made today with some extra volatility, i'm pretty excited, but hey it's thursday. We have about 29 minutes to go, let's absolutely crush it, so here we are pre-market. You guys know at 2 p.m. Yesterday, when there was a lack of hawkish development, a lack of hawkish developments in the fed meeting minutes everything popped everything pop pop pop pop pop higher and higher.

We go well post market pre-market kind of coming down right now, we're seeing the dao the s p. Nasdaq, those three futures a little bit in the red territory, oil also down now back below 93 and even yields dropped below 2. Very quick snapshot, snapshot of the crypto market, uh we're seeing more red than we were yesterday. Everything was very exciting going into the final two training hours of the equities market yesterday, but thus far you can see that we're dipping a little bit in the red territory.

So one thing uh did come out this morning right here. The usa initial jobless claims for feb 11th uh came in at 248 000 when expectations was 219., so that kind of missed in the negative direction. So that was just a new development. I wanted to share with you, but there's obviously some other things.

We very much need to be getting into stock set to drop as russia, ukraine situation gets muddy again and that's exactly what's happening so recently. We all know that there's tensions is russia invading the ukraine yes or no, and if they do do that, what's that, what's the us's response going to be how's, china respond what's gon na that's gon na do to the oil market what's going on in europe. This leads to a lot of unknowns and remember all markets hate unknowns. Well, some of the developments recently were basically them trying to solve it in the most diplomatic manner possible.

Let's talk it out, there's no need for bloodshed. There's no need to produce millions of refugees. Let's solve this diplomatically, let's start we're just doing drills. Let's take away our troops from the borders, that's what we were being told.

Unfortunately, it seems like there are conflicting data points. There's some satellite imagery saying that's actually not what's happening. Russia adds 7000 troops to ukraine border. Despite claims it would withdraw some forces - and this is according to satellite imagery available to the u.s u.s stock futures fall after white house says: there's no sign of russian withdrawal from ukraine's border.

U.S sixth fall thursday. After the white house said, it sees no signs of russians withdrawing from the ukraine border reports of shelling in eastern ukraine, where russian separatists operate also added to jitters. Investors were somewhat soothed by federal reserve minutes that were less hawkish than some expected. So once again, how did this all pull out play out? Well, yesterday, a little bit of bearish definitely bearish.

Yesterday we were looking at a gap filled between the unknown and the fed unknown of russia situation, and then we got answers to one of them at 2 pm the fed minutes came out and they were completely in line with expectations. Everyone's like okay, this is what was exactly stated from the chairman powell on the 26th. We are a-okay no surprises, and because of that momentary, i guess positive development because it was real. It was positive because there was a lack of a negative development.

If that makes sense, it really in itself wasn't positive people just had concerns of it being quote, unquote worse well, that caused everything to pop well in the afternoon and late into the night, and then early this morning we are not seeing the relief with the russia Situation and now we're still seeing a little bit of downside so very, very quickly. Uh and i've been posting this on the locals page. I'm still looking for this gap-fill page, it was not. We did not get the gap fill yesterday.

4. 41. 60.. 441.60.

To me is still a very viable play. Yesterday is referred to an outside day, the high and the low was higher than the previous day's high and lower than the previous day low. Hence we had an outside day it's kind of lack of a trend. It just tells you high volatility being very, very whippy well with this development and the renewed jitters still of russia.

I, from this high on valentine's day february 14th, i'm still looking for that gapful play uh. If you look at the queues, they actually did get their gap fill yesterday and then the russell had no gap fill we'll get a little bit more into the details of these charts at the end of this morning, prep. I just wanted to run you through. What's going on between yesterday's positive close and this morning's kind of iffy opening walmart rises after upbeat earnings, dividend hike and buyback walmart crushed it.

I know it's going down a little bit in pre-market right now, but it was actually looking pretty good uh. It's still up. 0.5 percent, so walmart has been on a little bit of a red run, a little bit of a bearish run, but they beat on earnings, they beat on revenue and they actually have a very positive upbeat, guidance and they're hiking their dividend, which is the strength of Their balance sheet, so very good good developments out of walmart. So, let's see if it can actually hold but walmart being the big massive company.

It is even with this fundamental development of how good it did if the market does end up dumping. It's gon na drag walmart with it, cisco jumps, nvidia falls doordash surges following quarterly results. The one i really want to dive into is right. Here.

Nvidia provides strong revenue outlook on demand for computer chips. It is down right now, so, even though it technically be, the issue is its profit. Margins were kind of flat and also there's been concerns of how kind of intimately it's been tied with crypto. So if crypto's ripping that's going to be great for nvidia, especially because some of their processing chips are going to be used for mining.

But if crypto sells off, especially because we know that the fed is going to be less accommodative to the overall markets. That could impact nvidia's like bottom line, so that's kind of the update from nvidia. It did do well, but it was more of um, like i said, flat profit margins and looking forward of how it's intertwined with the particular world of crypto um. We do have some positive news that i wanted to share with all of you.

The us is getting closer to a time when rona is no longer a crisis, and this is coming out of the white house. We're actually seeing some positive updates also in europe like various countries of the same sentiment, it does seem like we're kind of getting back into the rebound and in fact it feels like uh for a bit there. This is all the media. We talk about that's what they shove down our throat.

That's what the media would fear, monger us with and now they're just choosing to fear mongers with other things, because, like a whole, different style of things get their clicks right now, but it does seem like we're. Hearing less and less about it - and i just wanted to share a little bit of - i guess the silver lining of a situation of like hey, there's, positive things going on with this like a once in a generation global pandemic. It's it's been a rough two years, but it seems like we're seeing the light at the end of the tunnel. So i'm happy to report that with you, because i think so much of media is like purely negative because that's what gets the emotional response.

So i wanted to share this with you of hey look at this. The u.s is reporting 147 000 cases a day on average down about 40 over the past week down 40. Those are some pretty good numbers so happy to share that with all of you this morning, uh right here there are new signs covered moving on a pandemic stage, and then finally, nato accuses russia of putting out ukraine disinformation. So once again, this relates to uh kind of the rising tensions and still the political development that we're seeing and then finally, just because we're talking about the fed uh, i did want to dive into this billionaire investor.

Carl icahn predicts the fed's money. Printing party will end badly because the government can't control inflation. Now i recently heard that there's a new hbo documentary on carl icon um. If any of you have seen that or if i'm even getting it right or wrong, please let me know, but i think it's on hbo and i'm pretty sure it's about coral icon, um but hey if there's any early opinions on that good bad worthwhile to watch.

Please let me know, but i mean who am i like: this is a billionaire legend and i'm a 27 year old who screams at a camera for a living, but hey on this particular issue we do align, i mean remember: all of our money is loaned into Existence, it's a forever expanding credit system, a forever expanding debt system. That's how our money works. It's a very uh like gluttonous print print print. Right now the fed has 8.9 trillion with a t on their balance sheet, and the question is like you got ta.

How are you gon na fix that that's a stupid amount of money we're seeing an absurd devaluation from 1950? Until now, the buying power of a dollar has dropped by 93 percent. You heard me right 93 in the past seven decades and if you go back even farther, it's even worse. This type of thing, it really is giving credence to the inherent value of a finite asset class not controlled by governments and i'm talking about btc and obviously other related crypto opportunities. But let's go on a little bit.

Carl akan warned of an ugly end to the fed reserves. Money printing spree, the u.s central bank can't keep pushing out money and its party has to stop. The investor said. There are too many variables to predict when the next bear market will occur.

Well, the markets in general are one of the most extreme multivariate puzzles known to man so anyone's saying, like the bear market's going to start on this date, maybe they're right but also like. I think it would be a pure guess, like i don't think, anyone's that good at predicting it, but this concept of what our central bank is doing, not only in the us but globally. How does it possibly end? Well, all this is doing is continuously devaluing our fiat currency. That's all it does, and when you try to fight it, you might get into a situation of a deflationary.

I guess spiral that leads to counterparty risk and people not being able to pay back their debt. It's you're truly behind a rock and a hard place of where we are right now and what the fed does and what they're tasked with. And then, when you add in this situation, which is the global pandemic, um you're starting to see really how bad it can go in a perfect storm scenario, and i'm hoping that there's people with way more intellect than i have out there at the helm of this Ship but, unfortunately, we're not quite seeing that, maybe we're all going to be pleasantly surprised and for my hope, for your hope for all of our hope. I hope we are wrong on this.

I truly truly. Do it doesn't make me feel good, seeing like how insane our monetary policy is? So i hope i'm wrong and i hope the people that are charged with making these decisions actually know what they're doing. But i don't know i don't feel the best about it. When i see egregious insider training, when i see them telling us things such as it's transitory, when i feel that they're, like gaslighting the overall public it um, it makes me really question the situation, and it makes me feel like the people who are making these decisions Are pretty sus to say the least? So that's your quick update, but i do actually have another interesting story i want to dive into before.

We get into that, though. Let's take a quick peek at how things are going in pre-market, so things were selling off a little bit and now we're seeing a bit of a pop okay. Let's see uh i mean there's still the chance on the spy of the gap phil. The q's already did it the russell never had it nvidia.

I had that up just to see how it was going to be reacting to its earnings. Walmart had good earnings, but it's kind of coming down, but once again good buyback dividend, hike, walmart is definitely showing some strength. Uh we're going to get way more into amc and jimmy, but amc holding above 19.. I really like that and jamie holding above 125 i'd be happy that it's holding above 120 no less 125, so we're still seeing some strength, but obviously that bell needs to go.

Diggity, ding, ding ding. Now, before we get into um some of the questions and one more interesting story, i want to cover. If you haven't already, it would be awesome if you guys, could all annihilate the like button and if you haven't already don't forget to join up with the moonging by hitting the subscribe button liking subscribing. It just really helps me out with the algorithm, and i know i have to ask you every day, but honestly, it helps me out so much.

Thank you. Thank you. Thank you, and if you are curious about this, just because i'm getting more and more questions, what you see in front of you right here. This is not weeble.

This is training view and i pinned it to the top of chat. You could get a free month trial and then there's various tiers of what you do or don't want after that. But once again, this is called trading view and it's currently pinned to the top of chat um, if you're at all curious about what i am using here, but they have different tiers different data packages worthwhile to dive into. I like it just because it allows me to do my emoji charting and i'm not really sure of other ones that allow you to do emoji charting.

So if you want to be an emoji charter yourself, hey join up with the party hang on one. Second, over the past year, there's been quite a bit of development with retail trading and a lot of it i would say, kind of comes back to what is the sec doing. Are they really fighting for us? Are they truly in our corner? Aren't they and as people go through it? Obviously, there is, for obvious reasons, a myriad of different opinions on it and there's a lot of people with hot takes, and for me i mean i i want them obviously to do more clearly who wouldn't, but i also understand that the the wheels of justice they Do turn slowly and i think it's very easy for us to get into our own world here of like okay, what's the sec doing and like, are they looking into manipulative training? Are they looking into um, manipulative shorting, and the list goes obviously on and on? So i think it's kind of interesting when you kind of come across a story that opens your eyes to like hey, they're, actually doing quite a bit more like they have quite a bit on their plate, and it does seem from a different world, not necessarily shorting. But it seems like there's a new player who is about to hit the mat and fight with the sec.

So when i came across this, i just wanted to share it with all of you, because it seems like one of the world's most powerful people and the world's actual most rich person is about to get down and dirty with the sec. This is exactly what i'm talking about. Tesla's ceo musk accuses the sec of calculated effort to chill his right to free speech. Tesla ceo elon, musk, very powerful person.

The world's richest person accuses the sec of harassing the executive in a calculated effort to chill his right to free speech in the agency's 2018 settlement agreement that oversees his communications with shareholders. So i will be getting into exactly what happened in 2018, but just very quickly. Just to get the final aspect of this out of what his lawyer is actually saying, the sec seems to be targeting mr musk and tesla for unrelenting investigation, largely because mr musk remains an outspoken critic of the government. You know just off that line alone.

We know elon musk is one of the people on this planet that really knows how to use social media. They use it in my opinion, in a comical way, but also according to the sec. In a way, that's uh, apparently not completely above board. Just to give you a little bit of a recap here, um before we got to the end of 2021, he was really fighting with certain people, and these are just two, but the list does go on and on so right here they were talking about elon musk Named times person of the year and then elizabeth warren, let's change the rigged tax code, so the person of the year will actually pay taxes and stop freeloading off of everyone else.

Um. Well, he swiftly hit back, and if you opened your eyes for two seconds, you would realize i paid the most taxes than any american in history this year, so kind of just like, like really clapping back, don't spend it all at once. Oh wait. You already did so that was his quick little fight with elizabeth warren bernie sanders.

We must demand that the extremely wealthy pay its fair share period and then he said i keep forgetting that you're alive. That was a pretty harsh clapback and then, on top of that he was fighting with the chairman of the senate finance committee, uh, something that i don't even know because of tos, if i could share, but he was definitely in the paint going hard against high level Government officials, the sec's outsized effort, seems calculated to chill his exercise of the first amendment rights rather than to enforce generally applicable laws in even-handed fashion, so could be a fair argument of like is this freedom of speech? Is it not so here i just wanted to share what actually went down in 2018 if you just haven't heard of it before elon musk settles sec fraud, charges, tesla charge with and resolves securities law charge settlement requires must to step down, as tesla's chairman tesla, to Appoint additional independent directors, tesla and musk agreed to pay 40 million in penalties. That sounds like a lot and it's definitely a lot, but it's actually not a lot to someone who's worth clearly in excess of a hundred billion, but anyway this was back in 2018. So he wasn't at that point.

The world's richest man, according to the sec's complaint against musk, he tweeted on august 7, 2018 that he could take tesla private at 420 this year. This was actually before various stock splits, so it would have been. You can't look at 420 of where we are right. Now a substantial premium to its trading price at the time that funding for the transaction has been secured and that only remaining uncertainty was a shareholder vote.

This tweet is what first got him in deep water, uh musk will and the charges on top of the 40 mil were this musk will step down as tesla chairman and had to be replaced by an independent chairman must will be ineligible to be re-elected for chairman For three years, tess will will appoint a total of two new independent directors to its board. Tesla will establish a new committee of independent directors and put in place additional controls and procedures to oversee musk communications that one that i just read is kind of funny. His lawyer apparently has to like anything related to tesla and the shareholders. Apparently a lawyer has to read it beforehand, which is about to get interesting because of some of the things that he said in november and musk and tesla will each pay a separate 20 million.

The 40 million in penalties will be distributed to harmed investors under a court approved process. So that's what went down in 2018 and since then, there's been a whole host of other things. Where he's really been needling the sec to us, it's comical to the sec. It obviously pisses them off and the most recent one was this.

Much is made lately of unrealized gains being a means of tax avoidance, so i propose selling 10 of my tesla stock. Do you support this 58 said? Yes, this happened in early november of 2021 and by november 16th, the sec subpoena tesla, just 10 days after elon musk's twitter poll, asking whether he should sell a chunk of his stock. So this was the newest one and really anything he does with tesla with shareholders. The sec is going to be looking into it.

It does at a certain point, i'm i'm no lawyer, i don't know what is a aboveboard below board in term of legally speak, but it does seem like anything he does related to tesla and his shareholders. The sec within a apparently a week and a half jumps on them all over it and now they're, officially filing saying hey. This is actually against my freedom of speech, and this led recently at least this one about the 10 percent. We know now by some of the most recent developments he now owns over 21 of the company.

His personal equity within tesla has actually gone up through this whole ordeal, and we also know that he donated about 5 billion billion with a b dollars worth of tesla to charity when all this went down. So it's kind of a crazy, very fluid situation. But i just wanted to share it with you, because i know with us when we're talking about the sec, it's easy to get our own blinders on and be like. Okay, sec, look at manipulative shorting when, in reality, they're, obviously tasked with doing so much more and in a different.

I guess aspect it does seem like we have another person who, like i said a little bit earlier, is going to the mat with the sec. So with all that being said, i'd love to know and get your thoughts. Do you think that elon musk is like? I guess, are you on his side in this particular case, or are you on the sec side? Do you think he's doing something inappropriate? That is not quote, unquote legal or do you think his freedom? His first amendment right, his freedom of speech is actually kind of being infringed upon, but let me know in a comment below so that's the interesting story. I wanted to share with you about tesla and the sec, and particularly elon musk, so with all that being said very quickly, just before the bell goes: ding andy ding, ding ding in a little bit over five minutes.

Just so you know the s p. 500. The spy has almost a 17 short interest with 98 utilization. The nasdaq 100 has a short interest of 13.4 with a utilization of 84 percent and then the russell still sky high, but it did drop below 40 and now it's at 39.25, with a utilization of 82..

In terms of amc, it's hanging out at 21 with once again uh we're now about two weeks of a 100 utilization and then gme is at 21.5 same thing: utilization, a hundred percent um in terms of some charting stuff, i'm still looking for the gap fill on The spy i think today's gon na be a weird day. I really do we got the positive development of the lack of hawkishness. The new hawkishness from the fed, but the situation in russia is still could be changing any second on a dime, so something that needs to be paid attention to um, so i'll be looking for potentially that capital. But if we hang out above the 200-day moving average.

That's the main thing i'm watching above the 200-day moving average. I'm bullet bullish below it, i'm bearish um. So that's one thing: i'm really! Those are the two things i'm watching on the spy above or below the 200-day moving average, and are we going to get a gap fill in terms of the nasdaq, i'm looking for? Basically, a push above 360 that'd be very bullish. A breakdown below 351 would obviously be bearish and in terms of the russell it's holding this trendline breakout very nicely we're getting higher lows: we're getting a nice wedge structure, it's pushing higher and higher right.

Now there is a gap down in pre-market, but overall we know that the russell the small cap sector has recently been outperforming both the s p, 500 and the nasdaq so small caps, which this is good for amc, because amc is the biggest one within the russell. Speaking of amc, similar setup to the russell look at these daily charts, similar vibe higher lows, we're looking for the push above the low 20s. Recently we know 1825-ish is an important level, so it's 19 and so are the low 20s we're looking for that breakout of the low 20s and after that, my first target would be 22. in terms of gme.

We've been knocking on the door at the resistance of 130 from 130. I would then be watching 140. We have pretty decent support at 120 and then we also have support around i mean now. You could technically call out 116, but i've been watching 112 a little bit more, but overall we're seeing amc, gme, small caps, nice similar bullish, looking charts, the question is: are we going to get the follow-through and obviously we're going to have to sit back? I wish i could tell you i wish i was a fortune teller.

I wish i could tell you exactly how it's going to play out, but i'm not a fortune teller, i'm not a financial advisor. You got to do your own dd, nothing i say, or do should ever ever ever be considered as a buy, sell or hold signal. All i'm doing is sharing my own opinion. Sometimes i get plays right.

Sometimes i get plays wrong. I don't consider myself and you shouldn't consider me an expert trader. Don't do that, i'm just a person sharing my opinions at the end of the day. I don't know your portfolio, i don't know your personality.

I don't know your financial situation so there's no way that you can like really take what i'm doing and or saying and apply it to yours, like the chance of us being in the exact same situation, is very, very minimal, so you got ta. Do your own ged use what i'm saying, maybe as a starting point and then from there go deeper into the rabbit hole. So with all that being said, let me get the chart set up a bit more and feel free to let your questions, fire, amc, gme and nvidia for this morning's watch. What a be a beautiful day to be an ape shout out to tp you've been a member now for 12 months, one year together, tp.

Thank you particularly for all of your support. I truly appreciate it. I finally got one right: i bought those spy puts. We talked about end of yesterday selling during open uh or more downside, roll dice opinion jeffrey um.

The way i would do it of like, if you're doing a quick little play, i don't know your expiration date, but particularly if it's a shorter expiration date, like today, tomorrow uh i like to lock in games uh a bird. What's it one in the hands worth two in the bush, lock in your attendees and then see what kind of trend is developing and play the new trend? Um? It's always it's. If you are questioning what you should or shouldn't be doing and you're in profit. I use that as an opportunity to lock in my profit um, especially if i'm like.

Ah, maybe if you don't feel the best about it - and i could see today honestly going either way so, if you're in profit, especially in the short-term trade, lock that sucker in in my humble opinion morning, keep going reach, one teach one shout out uh, we talked About that last time, the space recorded it pinned in the profile at jbrown111076. What is the sec shout out? Jay brown over regulates ridiculous. If you work in finance with a license, it's just crazy. The amount of compliance barriers they impose on financial advisors who help the working class, but not institutions.

Matt. Did you sell your amc? Ng me, i, if you you, can see if you have questions about my amc and gme position of like if i'm in it or not, you could just check it out on public public.com course up to 70 free stock, when you sign up and get going make A valid deposit, um and then from there no payment for order flow, no market makers, uh in terms of stock trading. The public does not opt offer options. Just so you know, but in terms of stock trading, i'm very very, very happy to officially be partnered up with public and on top of it you can see what i'm in you can see.

I'm in amc you can see i'm in gme. You can see i'm in prague, you can see i'm in corsair um granted. You can't see the amount so i'll tell you. I have over three figure share amount of gme and over a four figure share amount of amc.

How is your schedule like as a full-time content creator on youtube um? This is a pretty good question. I actually haven't had this question um, so i, when i don't have the sniffles i get up at five. I go to the gym. Uh, i'm back here by seven and then uh from seven.

I get ready for the day, get myself some espresso get myself some cappuccino, um and then i around when i'm at the gym. If i'm doing cardio i'm watching the news, i'm reading stuff, if i'm doing a cardio day, if not, i try to end it a little bit earlier, get my butt in chair and then i start reading everything i can um. I try to take in as many financial news sources as i can and i come up with a plan usually the night before. That's when we're creating the intros and the thumbnail, and then i go through the morning stream.

The morning stream ends at 11 and then i have to switch modes and start to get the newest crypto information and the crypto stream goes live at two. So, basically, from 11 to two i'm using those three hours for thumbnail creation with my thumbnail creator, uh and then just coming up with the news story to fill that half hour show and then also during that we start to see what the big news of the Day is and we'll cover that in the afternoon stream and if there's no like major big news, then we're going to do more of a teaching didactic session in the afternoon. And then after that. That's when i'll use extra time for me to learn about the things that i don't quite know about.

Ding ding, ding, ding ding, the casino is open. So if i need to look into new sec filings, if i need to look into new crypto developments, i'll work about from four to six or seven, and then i take an hour for dinner and to hang out with my completely 100 real girlfriend. And then, after that, um, usually i'm in contact with like the moon, gang team and we're talking about new thumbnails new intros. So i end up working for about two more hours and then from there i'm usually just like, beat and tired and call it a day and that's like a monday to friday thing and then obviously my schedule's a little bit different on the weekends.

All right. Let's see how the market's opening today today today today, let's see, let's see, how are we going today, a all right amc, hopefully knocking on the door of 20 pretty soon uh we are currently at 1964.. Gme ran up to 128.5. We see.

Nvidia is continuing a little bit of its sell-off, at least in the short term. Let me zoom in on the spy here uh, so nvidia going down. How is walmart reacting walmart going green up one percent, let's see how the cues are looking the cues, the qs, the qs a little bit are the queues going to go green uh kind of the first minute kind of a little bit of a whip saw up And down across the markets, let me know, of course, if anything else is going uh dewak in the green around 86 and some change, so we could throw a dewac up. Maybe some bullishness there, maybe a little bit of bullishness there in d-wac uh all right few things are green on my chart.

Very few things are green, dwack is green, cfvi is green and then roblox rblx is also green, uh pretty much other things. At least hey. Remember we're two minutes into open. A lot of this can obviously change, but for right now we're seeing quite a bit of red across the board quite a bit of red all right.

Where are the buyers going to be at um? We are not recapturing the s. P 500 200 day moving average, at least not now. Remember, that's 444.50, that's kind of my bullish bearish line. If we're above it i'm liking it below it questionable uh.

Let's just see the spy looks like it might be heading a little bit to some of these pre-market lows in height in volatility times like this and heightened volatility times. I really really at least in the equities market, the futures market's a bit different because it trades 23 hours out of the day, but in the equities market to create a new position. I really like to wait those first 10. 20.

30 minutes. I have no issue with closing a position right out of the gate if you're looking to lock in some of your attendees hey, have at it um, but for especially these high volatility times when it seems like the whole situation with russia. That's really questionable um the fed situation has calmed down. I don't think we're gon na get another big fed update until about march 10th.

Is the next cpi report. The next consumer price index report is probably the next big thing we have to like pay attention to for monetary policy, so that gives us about what a three-week runway on that one: uh spy drifting down, amc drifting up, jimmy drifting up, d-wack, just kind of coasting. The q's whip-sawing for sure whipsaw on the qs is the spy gon na push at all. I was really curious if it was going to test the 200-day moving average 444.50.

I was kind of looking for a pop-up to that in pre-mark or not pre-market early market open and then see if how it was going to react and that still might come to fruition, because the queues aren't really giving anything up the russell hanging out at 204. But amc looking good gme, looking good gme is coming up about a dollar to go to its next major level of resistance. Let's see, let's see, let's see, let's see what are we doing? Well: okay, we're starting to see a little bit more green dwack cfvi rivian went green rivian's, pushing uh amc. It's trying to go green! It's right at that red, green move, um! Awesome! All right! I like that roblox got really beat up yesterday with its earning.

It was actually roblox's worst sell-off ever was yesterday you, if you were paying attention to rblx. You witnessed a bearish historic moment for the equity. What the hell is wrong, with nvidia's strong guidance and beat expectations, yes, concerns over its flat profit margin and also concerns over how intimately it's tied with crypto, which is really saying they're concerned ooh amc pop right. There we're gon na test again, hopefully we're testing again low 20s.

My level is around 20 30. Is the resistance i'm really watching all right? I already have it marked out roblox doing its thing. Gme, hopefully popping up to 130. spy looked like they tried to get some momentum trying to get an intraday high going right there uh thus far did not really get a push through more of a jolt to the downside.

This is what i'm talking about whipsaw volatility. I like to sit back and see if we can identify any of the trends right when we get going. Why is crypto red um because whoa btc selling off eth selling off crypto uh, 45 000, basically back down to 42 uh, most likely because of the renewed fears with just the fact that troops are not being removed from the russia ukraine border? Can you do a short-term analysis on eth um? Yes, i can, but hang on. I want to see what's going on here, we're seeing amc pop here i'll write down eth just to rem ryan, remind myself to check it out, eth all right.

Coming back around a little bit on the spy, is it gon na get that pop roblox? Looking good amc, looking good amc ran up to 1998 what a year the q's major wicks, weird wicks, going on with the qs the russell, a small drift down similar to the spy, but let's see if it's just hopefully putting in this bottom. How are some of these other - i guess big companies doing apple apple down by 0.6, but kind of a drift to the upside microsoft, very flat, nvidia kind of down wmt walmart going up. It's green up, 1.3 percent how's exxon mobil doing so you would think if exxon mobil's coming down pretty much a caveat for oil. So if oil is coming down, that's giving you an indication of where the tensions are currently at with russia.

So if oil is down, that means right, like you, have some, i guess some relief. Let's call it i'm always hesitant to say that we are or aren't out of the woods with that whole scenario, because it could be changing any second speaking of which is there any breaking news we should be getting into uh. Potus, just told me. He believes putin will invade ukraine in a matter of days.

Well, that's not good. Cecilia vega, potus just told me. He now believes putin will invade ukraine in a matter of days according to covering the big house in washington for abc news. Well, that's not a good development that just came out, but there's not a big bearish reaction to it um.

It might be one of these things, like potentially a delayed reaction, potentially a delayed reaction. All right, let's see if the spy is gon na push. We know amc is pushing, amc is doing its thing, gme is doing its thing. Oil basin, coming down the spy, looks like it's about to pop break its intraday high.

There we go there, we go spy there we go there. She goes all right. So 440 hang on. Let me get you the exact level of what i'm watching for the reaction.

444.65. Today. 444 65.. This is the 200-day moving average.

That's what i'm watching right here! This is my target on the s. P. 500. Amc, a nice push to the upside uh.

This would technically be referred to as a bear channel as it's going up like you. Just have this channel to the upside, but the q, the issue with channels, whether a bull or a bear, channel um - and i know the naming is a bit weird - bear channel - goes up that doesn't make sense, it's kind. It's they get their names from the fact of like which way are they going to break an upward channel confidently breaks down a downward channel commonly breaks up, so the naming i it definitely can seem a little bit confusing um. The issue with these types of channels is you don't know how long they're going to build out.

They can build out for minutes hours days. There's really no rule on that. I guess the spy not feeling that push a little bit of a fake out there. We got some buyers pushed up.

This is why 100, why i'm like yeah i'd like to wait and see how this is all really going to base itself all right, so you see oil going up right now, xom at least or exxon mobils, at least going up. Um the queue is looking so weird today. Look how look at all that whipsaw crazy amount of whipsaw? Well, the spy looked very strong and automatically back down to its intraday low kind of funky kind of funky. Where are we at so thus far? We are 12 minutes in and we've done a pretty good job in the overall markets of going nowhere.

Amc's cruising amc has gone from 1940 up to 20, so a nice 60 cent push there. One of the few things green on the day. Gme has done a good job of going from 126 up to 129 um, so we have a nice three dollar push there, also a green one. We have some green in the ev sector, tesla's green or excuse me, lucid, green, riven's, green and then tesla's, not green.

We have a couple dollars to go still on that, but tesla had a pretty strong performance. Yesterday, uh weird deviation between the spy and the q's, just a bunch of range-bound whipsaw action, range-bound whipsaw action. 100. If you are looking to play the gap fill on the s p 500 - we're about a dollar off of it.

That would be 441.60 is the gap-fill play which is uh, i'm definitely a fan of those types of plays. I'm russia says u.s ultimatums for russia to remove troops accompanied by sanctions are unacceptable, says u.s counter proposals were not constructive, ignored, moscow's key concerns. This is just coming out and it's reuters. Russia says it will be forced to respond, including military technical measures.

In absence of u.s to negotiate legally binding security guarantees, so tensions once again being renewed there, i'm actually with what we're reading. I'm surprised that the market is not selling off right now. Uh interesting top 10 wall street pet mentions for thursday uh we have pound tier nvidia, tesla, gme, roblox, uh fsly has wmt shop and dash interesting. We have crypto still coming down, so crypto is having a stronger reaction to the news with russia and ukraine than equities.

I still can't get over how weird the nasdaq chart looks. Look at all these wicks. We do not commonly see that uh there's like no full bars, basically every single minute. The opening and the closing are roughly the same but you're seeing the volatility within that minute.

Strange super super strange gold is cranking that makes a lot of sense. Gld, gold, gold, gold, currently up one percent, uh, actually gold, getting a big daily technical breakout. The next stop on gold. If you're watching gold, i would watch 179 and after that you could watch 182, but gold check it out.

Finally, getting out of this wedge, gold might be kind of like a rip and then a test back just because the rsi might get a little too hot and we make a new higher low and just go off of that. But gld interesting play interesting. It's bots grinding, the pennies out very well, could be in the queues there henry what up travis? What up ben true taren good morning good morning good morning, all right, a little bit of bearishness the cues are coming down man, oh man, oh man, i'm trying to decide if i want to try to do a quick play on the spite of the gap. Phil oops the q's going off the chart.

Let's see, let's see, what's happening with zom zom zom zom zom uh, it's up 20, which is awesome, but it's also a penny stock. So i'm just penny stocks are a very hard game. Um, i just don't enjoy trading it, i'm not good. At trading penny stocks, i don't like messing around with it.

This is a super ugly chart uh. So because of all that, this is something that, like hey, if you caught it and you're up a nice percent. That's something i'd be like okay, i'm going to quickly lock it in this is not something i'd be like i'm going to diamond hand, because this has never shown any proof of nice. Consistent growth.

It's a super ugly chart, shoots up, drops bases, goes crazy, comes back down, this thing is most likely produced quite a few bag holders, and i just don't want to get involved in it all right. So we are still looking at this gap. Bill 441.60 right about there down one cent. This is my s.

P 500 target right here. This gap fill from two days ago. I still have the spy bear call spread, so everyone who took that you're still looking beautiful, i still have the uv xy calls. Those are up they're up 26.

They were up at one point 200 percent um, so i might be looking to actually lock those in if uv. If the spy comes down to this gap, fill i might take whatever the percentage gain is on uv xy i'll. Let everyone know all right about to get the gap fell, close close, close, close 20 cents away. Uh the queue is doing a little bit of a vomit situation, a little bit of a vomit situation.

We didn't tap it yet uh. What is going on with uv xy uv xy is definitely picking up. Picking up. This will move inversely to the s p 500 how's, the small cap sector.

Doing small cap coming down with the cues things are trying to bounce a little bit uh. I know on the q's 350 is obviously a key psychological level, but there's actually the key technical support is that 351.. So we have to watch that 351 to 350 level and from there. If memory serves me right, we're going to be watching all the way down to like 440 or 343 like 50, or something like that uh, so that region between 351 350 important on the qs uh important on the spy is obviously this gap fill, and it looks Like we might be testing this gap fill in the next few minutes next few minutes, let's get the gap fill and see if the bowls are up this morning, let's see if they had their coffee, let's see if they are ready to buy uh wmt is up My calls are down what is iv crush iv crushes when implied volatility getting crushed so once again nicholas, it sounds like this is a common issue.

I'm seeing in people who are particularly newer to options. Remember options are priced on far more than just the price of the underlying security you care about your time until expiration and also the volatility. If your time till expiration is getting closer, that's going to devalue it, and if your volatility is going down, if the volatility is going, the opposite way, that's also going to hurt your price, so just because something is arbitrarily up or down. That doesn't mean that your pre, your option is going to be up or down.

It might relate that way, but pricing of options is far more complex than just the value of the underlying asset. All right we're about to get the gap, fill we're about to get it we're about to get it close. We're off by what a cent nope we're off by three cents doesn't count, doesn't count yet all right. We're waiting, waiting, close, close, close, close target almost achieved.

Almost achieved man, it's really making us work for this 10 cents come on. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you.

Thank you. Thank you. I appreciate it. No seriously, stop stop.

Stop! Stop that all right, keep it going, keep it going. Oh man. Thank you. Thank you.

Thank you. Another gap, phil called out. Another gap filled crushed. Well, we did it, we did it, we did it, we did it.

We got the gap, phil god. I wish i was more mature all right. Well, how could you have known about this gap-filled play? Well? Luckily, for you i give updates in the morning hang on, i can reload this uh. I do some updates here before we even start streaming.

So over an hour ago, uh still attempting to play the 441 60 gap felt done. You could have made some attendees off of it. This you could have played it in various ways you could have done spy puts, you could have done uv xy calls uh, both of which well, i don't have spy puts. I do have uv xy calls and then i also have that credit spread, which has been a layup of a play.

This is actually working out pretty nicely, so just a good way to protect your overall account all right speaking of uv xy. Those are currently up. 40 uh when they go up 50, i'm gon na lock. Those in i think i don't know i might.

This is the fact that it didn't even try to bounce here, that's kind of bearish on the s p. 500. I do like that. Amc is holding like, obviously the market's getting hit right now, but amc and gme are doing their best to hold they're just slightly red on the day.

The queues are coming up to a support level, but we've seen this before over the past week or two we've seen this, where there's a brutal, sell-off some buyers step up and then all of a sudden, it's a v-shape for the rest of the day. So for myself, the way i'm thinking about that is just to not get too greedy to not think that, just because it's sold off it has to continue to sell off but um. I'm at the point where, like i said, on uv xy it you can slowly but surely lock it in uv, xy, uh, currently up 40 and then those spy, the spy credit. The bear call spread that we posted that's up 67, so also not a bad deal to lock that in all right.

What else do we had uh ben okay sold? I'm done for the day, hey locking in some tendy's, not a bad deal all right. The queue is coming down to it broke the first support at 351. The next support is 350., once again amc and jimmy looking the same um man ames. He actually just went green there, how's dwack dwack, coming back around the spy getting knocked getting knocked all right.

The question is: will the spy just? Is this like a bear trap? The question is: was this just like a fake out and it got a lot of people to they were watching this gap phil? Are they gon na aggressively play that? Obviously, time will tell it's perfectly aligned right here with the qs bouncing off of whatever this support is that we've already had mapped out. I will be watching 350 flat on the queues. That's the level, i'm watching all right it. There has to be new iphone.

14 uh ukraine's foreign minister cleb, says fire from tanks recorded in eastern ukraine fire from tanks. Wait is war getting announced fire from tanks recorded in eastern ukraine that came out at 9. 45 is war breaking out folks, uh, hang on russian foreign minister website is down ministry official, ukraine's foreign minister says tanks, russia says security. Proposals were intended as complete package and not for the us to pick and choose from russia says that the approach races doubts that washington, whoa whoa whoa whoa, are we about to go to war folks? This is kind of crazy we're missing our inflation target by more than 300 points, good target to have all right: 101 percent, high inflation, high inflation.

Well, this is kind of nuts and by kind of nuts i mean like super nuts, all right, the cues bouncing off of this support. The question is: is it going to hold i uh if it stays below? Okay: here's how i'm thinking about my spy play as in uv xy, my futures, the contracts that i sold is my initial target was already 441.60, but we clearly sliced through it. So if it comes back up, i can lock in my same profits, but if we stay below it well, i might be able to catch a continuation in a sell-off i.e, protecting my account um. This is kind of a crazy, crazy situation, wild all right.

I'm watching this in terms of the s p. 500. I know this is a bit messy, but if this doesn't hold, my next target is very much 436. as in, if this isn't holden, we might see another five dollar sell-off, which would be one percent.

We might see a drop of two percent in the s p 500. Today. If this geopolitical situation gets worse um, i don't know if it will or won't look at me, i'm not the guy. They ask for like military decisions, i'm just a guy who sees support and resistance and understands that if there is some form of like catastrophe like playing out, that's not going to be good for the markets.

Tech is trying to bounce, but the spy does not feel the same way. Amc catching a bid right there uh that probably means that gme jimmy not catching a bid, at least not yet zom going crazy, zom zom zom zom, i'm not seeing news on zom. Russia has kicked out the u.s ambassador. What what can't be good doesn't sound like a good development, all right, we're not seeing that one, let's check out zero hedge sec sues all right.

No, that's not uh uh biden says ukraine invasion risk very high. Russia expels us deputy, oh wow, ukraine and dunbas rebels accuse each other violating ceasefire. Tensions are getting high. Folks, tensions are getting high.

I'm not here to tell you what to do in terms of your specific trades, but i am here to tell you hey keep to your plan. Don't like don't let some high volatility blow you out of your position. Don't let it uh create some sort of loss that you can't bounce back from. Stick to your plan, respect your risk for me.

What i'm doing i have uv xy calls. I posted that on locals. I have bear call spreads on the spy, that's posted on locals and i also like i said i played this. I mean i posted that on locals that i'm playing the spy gap fill, but it just slice it so much that i'm just holding it.

If i see a bounce back alright, well, that's when i'm going to lock in my profits and i'm doing that through the futures market, the esh 22 contract. Those are my current active trades between the futures and options market, wild wild wild wild. This is this. Is the one thing i don't like quite like about? The current way of things is the fact that this is like could become a very serious conflict and when you have that, when there's literal lives on the line, the fact that then we have to question is our mainstream media even telling us the truth like that Is so messed up? That is so disgusting with this like whole scenario of like oh okay, like yeah, like the fact that like not only do we get it from mainstream media, but then from there we almost have to like check our own like.

We have to fact check them, that's not good. We should be able to be like. Oh no, the media said it. It is true, but obviously that's not the world.

We live in because they're a for-profit entity they're, not uh, necessarily a for-truth entity. They care about getting people to click they care about sensuals, um, centralizing uh, like all of this stuff. Just for like i don't know it doesn't make you feel good. History tells us the market booms after war breaks out, they're, manipulating the markets through the news um.