Stocks Swing Wildly As War Tensions Worsen
Day 6 Coverage
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God, yes back hello, hello, let's talk about the markets and the insanity, that's really driving the markets right now with absolutely monstrous swings. It goes up, it goes down and it's big big swings in a little bit amount of time, huge, huge volatility. What i want to do is give you kind of a breakdown of some of the biggest things that happened yesterday with the unfortunate situation between russia and ukraine, then we'll kind of get into some interesting updates that happened overnight and some real-time updates and then the stories Really related to them. I do have some interesting stories that um, i think i don't know, i think, maybe you'll get a chuckle.

Maybe you'll learn a thing or two and then we'll go into some specifics about some individual stocks. I'll get some short interest. We'll do some breakdowns all of that good jazz. Let me just make sure that uh, my audio just chest and my audio check check check, but before we get into that shout out to today's partner shout out to today's sponsor ttg, true trading group, if you haven't already feel free to check it out, if you Want to take your training you're, investing a little bit more seriously.

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So this morning, a little bit interesting. The dow, the s p and the nasdaq are all down, but in pre-market we're actually getting a little bit of a recovery right now it was down worse and technically, we're still red, but we're seeing a bit of a bounce over roughly the past hour. A noteworthy thing is the fact that oil is sitting above a hundred. This is because of what's going on with russia and the sanctions and uh we're seeing some updates and we'll get into this more, but even like canada is cutting off their imports and there's confusion about okay, who's buying who's not going to buy or there's.

Is there going to be a desire for these imports from russia anymore, so oil going sky, high and gold is actually up right now and then we have yields coming down. This will come into play a little bit more as the fed remember in march. This is the first second trading day of the week, but the first trading day of the month and remember this month march, it's gon na be a fed month. Um we have to pay attention to that.

I know there's a lot a lot of insanity with russia right now with putin. I should really say, but don't forget, we're gon na get our first rate hike in pretty much two years this month, and the golden question is how much right now most of it is being priced in at .25, a 25 bips hike if it comes in higher Than that, that's pretty hawkish look for the stocks market, the futures market, the crypto market, to go down. If they decide to not do it, that's absurdly dovish and look for everything to go up, but remember they're, attempting to battle inflation. This will come into more play.
Not particularly this week, but as march plays out this week, we obviously have a lot going on with global tensions. They are continuing to increase, and there is, i guess, like on a smaller scale, some important stuff going on with the ape community. Specifically don't forget today. After the market closes 5 p.m, eastern amc will be having their q4 earnings announcement and i will be right here streaming.

It starts at 5 p.m. Eastern! That's! When the earnings announcement starts, i will start at like 4, 45 and kind of give you a rundown of what to look for what numbers to expect that type of a thing. But once again, that will be this evening and we'll get into more detail. But first let's talk about the overall picture so right now: yes, the futures market is in the red, but we're getting a little bit of a bounce.

To give you kind of a recap of yesterday uh, there were many many things going on, but i just want to give you um. I guess some of the news highlights. There was a meeting between ukrainian and russian diplomats delegates, whatever you want to call them in belarus. No one was really expecting that much from them.

Unfortunately, right after they concluded, we saw additional bombing on the capital city uh or actually excuse me on the second biggest city, not the capital city of keep the second city and right here, uh putin, bristles at sanctions, cause west empire of lies uh. The talks made no progress, so that was something that happened a little bit earlier on yesterday and when they concluded and bombing kind of resumed. That's when we saw a sell-off in the market from midday yesterday, russia faces increasing international isolation over its invasion of ukraine, and hours of negotiations between the two sides on monday failed to reach breakthrough to halt the finding. Obviously, it has been continuing right after it.

They attacked this city, uh kharkiv, i believe i'm saying it kharkiv, maybe something in that line uh and then this is from zielinski. The president of ukraine. Fair negotiations can occur when one side does not hit the other side with rocket artillery. At the very moment of negotiations, obviously uh horrific horrific situation.

I also want to give you an update, so that's a little bit more from like the pure tensions between ukraine, russia, the remainder of the world, but also remember, uh, we're getting into some really really wild stuff in terms of financial hits and sanctions. And that's pretty much what the outside of the world can do, because, even though tensions are very very high, the world is trying to keep it below the line of full-on warfare full-on world war, three, so they're trying to do it more from like these on-looking countries Are attempting to do what they can from more of an economic financial standpoint, but obviously that leads people in ukraine for like right reasons to say, hey like step it up a little bit more we're losing lives, prove you are with us uh. This is from once again from zielinski. Do prove that you are with us.
Do prove that you will not. Let us go do prove that you are indeed europeans and then life will win over death and light. Will win over darkness glory be to ukraine um. On top of this, that's obviously very very powerful message: they even also applied to become a part of the european union, there's not a decision on it, but they sent in their application.

The application was accepted, so that's kind of an interesting development if it is accepted. Obviously, i'm not expecting putin and his cronies to react too. Well to that, because that means that the eu's bordering him and then it gets into questions of like okay - are they going to somehow angle to become a member of nato? This is one of those geopolitical situations that is really somehow intertwined with an immense amount of history and there's many many things going on and there's people who make full-on breakdown videos better, explaining how we got to where we are and kind of sharing their opinion on It who are far more informed, far more astute far more observant than i am uh. If you have some free time today throughout this week this weekend, i implore you to dive a little bit more into it, because this situation, it's extremely extremely convoluted um.

With all this scenario, we see oil has already been going up. There's an immense amount of demand. Demands going up and supply was already getting crunched and now, with this debacle, it's going higher and higher in terms of price and remember price is the equilibrium between supply and demand. In this america scenario we know demand's going up and supply is getting worse, because even for example, right now, europe, a lot of their energy, is dependent on russia.

I mean, if you look at something such as germany, 50 of their natural gas comes from russia um. Without this debacle, britain was already calling for a massive increase in energy prices. It was letting its citizens know by like april of this year, uh roughly 20 22-ish percent of crude oil is going to be imported uh from russia and in the u.s 20 of imported gasoline comes from russia, so this has huge huge implications on the global energy. I guess release sector and with all this, obviously with that overlap, the equilibrium between price and demand, that is, price.

It's going sky high, u.s oil jumps to seven year high above 101 dollars a barrel as russian assault prompts supply shortage fears and obviously these fears are not unfounded or prices surged tuesday, with u.s crude, hitting its highest level since july of 2014, as russia bears down On ukraine's capital uh, just so you know when they're talking about bearing down there is early this morning, some satellite imagery of quite a bit of a convoy. It appears to be heading towards the capital and we're going to be getting into maybe a little bit of what is or isn't in putin's mind right after this. On monday, canada said it was banning russian oil imports, but so far it's the only nation to target russia's energy complex directly. The financial sanctions imposed by the u.s and western allies could carve out room for energy payments to come.
So once again, this is all, as of yesterday, today, day over day, there's more and more sanctions. I wouldn't be the most surprised if other countries followed canada's suit um. That would be quite an extreme step, because so many countries are dependent on russia and the fact that they're hitting them with all of these sanctions, but then there's like a little bit of a loophole where people can still get their energy um. They made that loophole for a reason and now to like kind of cover that up and for people to follow it um, as in other global powers.

That would be an extreme step. We might be looking that in the face, uh that is gon na be for a room of economists and energy experts and obviously not for someone like me to decide key european financiers to commodity trade. Houses have already begun curbing financing for commodity trades in chinese banks are also pulling back. Current oil price differentials are reflecting a clear unwillingness to take russian crew ahead of russia invading ukraine.

The global oil market was already tight. Demand has bounced back while supply has remained constrained, opec and its oil-producing allies, which includes russia, will meet this week to discuss output for april, so we're going to be getting a little bit more development there. But right now i've been calling that out even before this. Just from the pure supply demand issues we saw at the start of this year, not even considering the whole russian invasion war.

I was already calling for oil to go over 100 and i was absurdly confident about that and i'm pretty confident about 120 and now we're already over 100, i'm still looking at 120. I really really think that energy is gon. Na prices are going to continue to go higher and higher and higher, and because of this, we're also seeing a pivot from risk on assets to risk off you're, seeing a big inflow and influx of money from the equities world. The futures world the crypto world into pure gold, like gold, is also spiking right now.

Putin is so angry about ukraine's resistance to his invasion that he might launch a more aggressive attack according to western officials um. So this is coming out this morning and i'm very much uh understanding of the fact that us in the west, it's a little bit more fear-mongering, it's a little bit more supportive of the military complex. So when you consume things like this, obviously you got ta. Take it with a grain of salt, but on the flip side of that remember, it was also for months now.
People like the military, i guess like strategists or people who were looking at all the information uh for quite a while they were saying hang on. This is a little bit more serious than it's been. We think putin might actually be doing something and people tried to brush them off and say no way would he ever ever do something. So with all this.

Remember don't be in your echo chamber of information. Your echo chamber of data try to consume as many sources as you possibly can, especially if they're on counterpoints, that's good. You don't want to be stuck in an echo chamber, which is exactly why i try to share it as much as i possibly can, and then it's up to you to make whatever your own conclusion. Your own decisions are off of that.

Putin is growing furious over ukrainian resistance to his invasion. Well, obviously, he's pissed but he's getting his ass kicked as of now. As a result, u.s officials bully putin may escalate the situation. Um.

Russia is shelling major ukrainian cities. At a 40 mile long military convoy was spotted near kiev, so that was a little bit in the overnight morning session. Right now, since invading ukraine. Last week, russian troops have attempted to seize kiev, which is the capital of ukraine kind of in the central north part of it just from a geographical point.

But we have met with strident resistance from ukrainian forces. As a result, putin is confused, frustrated and directing bursts of anger at people in his inner circle, citing intelligence from u.s officials, one of the highest ranking members in the russian army was actually just fired and he's kind of credited with structuring the current state of the Russian military, he was let go, i believe yesterday, the main concern is the information he's getting and how isolated he is. The isolation is a really big concern. We don't believe he has a realistic understanding of what's going on once again.

Is this fully truthful not at all truthful is the truth somewhere in the middle yeah, most likely. The final answer there, but once again just wanting to share it with you, but we are kind of seeing um. Various people actually stand up against them within russia. Now, before this we already know there was protests.

There were many unhappy russian citizens, among also obviously global citizens, but we're now seeing like people with, i guess, high status in the world of russia, actually speaking out against them. Three members of russia's parliament speak out against putin's invasion of ukraine marking a rare moment of dissent uh. This is pretty wild. This does not happen often, and sometimes this is one of those things.

If you do it, sometimes people end up disappearing. Dissent against vladimir putin by members of russia's parliament is rare, but three members have spoken out against the invasion. They voted to recognize two ukrainian separatist regions, but said they didn't expect the invasion. So it was people - and i wanted to share this last part, because it was three members of parliament who at one point were aligned and they voted.
They're like okay. Those two regions are independent, which obviously the world did not like, especially in the us, but now they're, saying that the actual invasion was a bit too far, and this is uh, at least in my opinion, something noteworthy on top of it. Now there's other people, the rich oligarchs are getting pissed off russian billionaire losses. Now totaling 84 billion billion 84 billion this year and folks, don't forget, we're only two months into the year.

We just kicked off march have more than doubled, since russia invaded ukraine less than a week ago. Obviously, they're not going to be happy and they're going to be what i would be assuming uh, putting quite a bit of pressure on it. But just you know, if you kind of missed some of the previous streams, one of the biggest financial hits on the ukrainian. I guess market economy was taking them off of swift, which is the international financial messaging system.

It allows for international wire transfers and things of that nature, so when you're taking them off of it, it kind of isolates them and then beyond that their central bank, we hit them pretty hard. They did have six billion dollars in international currencies and we froze those and other countries. When i say we, i mean kind of the world against poo in here, so those were frozen and in an attempt to save the ruble, they doubled the interest rate from 9.5 or maybe 9.8, but all the way up to 20 didn't really help. There was a run on banks.

People are trying to save their money, uh we're actually seeing a nine month high in the conversion from the ruble all the way over to bitcoin. So there's a lot of people trying to save their net worth they're, trying to save their overall total asset value by getting out of the local fiat currency, and this is all prompted by the financial sanctions and it's getting obviously day over day. There's more and more sanctions and they're getting hit harder and harder and harder, and this obviously not as important, but i just wanted to share it with you i a while ago, maybe a month ago, i had a story about some teenager who made a twitter account Who's tracking elon musk's jet that same kid and also other people have started doing a similar thing, but they're doing it with russian billionaire jets and their yachts to kind of track. It, because there's a big assumption that maybe they're trying to move their jets or yachts.

So it might not get seized by some sort of international force. Cnbc was even talking about it a little bit. I just want to share this with you, the united states in canada and european allies. All going after the russian elite over the weekend, leaders jointly announced a fresh wave of economic sanctions.
They include creation of a transatlantic task force built to identify and freeze the assets of sanctioned oligarchs. Western allies will target the sales of so-called golden passports. They've allowed russian billionaires to protect their assets in other countries and avoid sanctions. The united states and our allies are also adding more oligarchs to their fa and their families to the list of sanctions, but the federal, but the russian elite are finding new ways to get around all the restrictions.

Here's cnbc's robert frank, well shep russian billionaires, moving their yachts, scrambling their jets and shifting their assets to prepare for a possible crackdown. The white house tweeting that this week, a new task force will quote, identify, hunt down and freeze the assets of sanctioned russian companies and oligarchs their yachts, their mansions and other ill-gotten gains. There were no new names added to the list of those sanctioned yet, but many are already fighting, so you get the vibe of what's going on, is they're very much targeting russian elites and just trying to make sure they can't skirt around some of these sanctions, and I just thought it was more interesting that once again, the world community is standing up and they're doing what they can in one way or another, and now some people are, i guess, donating or their own time and resources to help track. What's going on uh interesting development and it's gon na get worse and worse, so this is now the second day that the russian market is closed.

Uh. Before this it's closed today, it was closed. Yesterday last week, when it was open, there was actually orders that foreigners could not sell um people. Obviously internal to russia could get out of the market as of friday, but they can't anymore because the market's closed, but foreigners could already not sell their assets in russia.

On top of that, you're seeing companies such as bp and shell trying to get out and then russia's trying to like legally force them to stay in with whatever oil energy related deals. They have going there. So, overall, i fully understand that the aspects of the financial economic sanctions are, i would say, just from a human standpoint, less important than the lives that are currently being lost. This is a disgusting, horrific thing um, so i don't want it to come across like this.

Is the big thing that you need to be focusing on? This is just the thing that i guess um, i'm a little bit more familiar with. I was never in the military um and i think it's just one of those things that in heightened, i guess world situations heightened tension situations that are very, very serious as we're stealing staring potentially world war. Three in the face. I think it's one of those things that maybe you just fall back on, like what you know and what you're comfortable with, but overall i just want to take the second to share with all of you that i am fully aware.
I get it. People are losing money, but also, what's a little more important than that is that people are losing lives. So, let's not uh, have this distorted in any manner of what is more or less important, um a little bit more of a serious but yet also comedic bit. I want to share with you so with all this.

People are getting sanctions across the world and they're doing what they can. For example, a lot of sporting events no longer happening in russia we're seeing some soccer events from formula one they're pulling out disney has decided to not release certain new movies in russia. Like there's, various companies standing up various organizations standing up doing what they can and now we're even having apparently new hampshire stand up. New hampshire removes russian vodka at state-run liquor stores.

So if you're listening and you are from new hampshire, apparently you're not going to be able to get your russian vodka anymore uh. This is another wild story. I don't regret a thing ukrainian unrepentant for attempting to sink yeah. This is a crazy story.

A 55 year old ukrainian who attempted to sink the luxury yacht of alexander mcgeev. I'm probably not saying that right, i don't regret anything. I've done, and i would do it again. This guy is a baller arrested for partially sinking the luxury yacht import adriano.

He fully accepted the facts of the case and assumed total responsibility for what happened. My boss is a criminal who sells weapons that kill the ukrainian people, so this guy sounds like he works on these luxury yachts. His boss, he knows, is the ceo of a russian military weapons company. He didn't like it, so he partially sank.

They got. I watched the news about the war. There was a video of a helicopter attack on the building in kiev, the armaments used or produced by the yacht's owner. They were attacking innocents, so this guy really kind of like i guess, standing up for his own morals and not be fully accepted.

He's like i did it, i would do it again. I do not regret a thing. Uh, crazy, crazy story, uh not really related to the intensity of the situation in the overall market. I just wanted to quickly remind you here this evening at 5, 00 p.m.

Amc q4 2020 earnings um that will be live 5 pm et. I will be streaming that live the stream will start at 4 45. So if you want to be a part of that i'll be streaming it once again, 5 pm et is when it starts i'll. Be starting the stream at 4 45 this evening, on march 1st and post that at 9, 00 pm et biden will be doing a state of the union address addresses in anxious world as putin makes nuclear threats.
Let's obviously hope it doesn't come to that. This is a little bit more of a clickbaity title. I just wanted to remind myself to remind all of you: 9 p.m. Et biden state of the union address if there's a demand for that after the amc q4 earnings.

I will also stream that, if you guys kind of want to do it a bit of a community style thing, there just want to remind you so 5 p.m. 9. P.M. It's going to be a long day, hopefully, hopefully a positive day in terms of like just global improvement, but time will tell now in terms of the overall market.

The s p 500 has a short interest is 16.3 percent. The nasdaq 100 has a short interest of 14.6 percent and the russell 2000 track by iwm has a short interest of 41. Let's take a look at the charts, so yesterday pretty much an inside day. It wasn't technically an inside day, but it was a non-trending day.

If you look at the chart from yesterday, it had a good opening and then, when the talks nothing came of them and then there was actually an increase in bombing and missile attacks. The market sold off and then, as we got close to the end of the day, there was a little bit of a pop and right now we're roughly in the middle of that region. Personally, i'm leaning a bit bearish because tensions are getting worse, but what we've seen at least in the u.s stock market over the past week is whatever seems to make sense. The opposite happens.

So please remember that this is a high volatility environment. This is not the time to be hero with an excess, excessive amount of leverage, keep your risk and reward like keep. Those on your mind, write them down, do whatever you need to, but you need to stick to your training plan, because we are in an environment where, if you're on the wrong side of the trade, it can keep trading against you and against you and against you And you can lose a serious amount of money, so you got to protect yourself. Whatever your risk and reward is before you get into the trade which you should be establishing make sure you are sticking with it.

So, for me, like i said in the overall market, i am leaning slightly bearish because of oil spiking gold going up, and on top of it today is march 1st. The mark is about to open in six minutes. If i were to bring this up the 200-day moving average, this is a very, very important line, and it's a lot of times. People general big banks, pension funds, hedge funds, like these long, only a little bit more slow, moving.

That type of a thing where you're like like parents are invested in them 401ks, their rras. That type of thing there are a lot of those types of money, managers that watch this 200-day moving average. Now, unless something crazy happens in the next five minutes, this will be the first month. The first new month, remember february, just ended we're starting march.

This will be the first time a month has commenced below the 200-day moving average. All the way, since i believe, april or may of 2020, this is a bearish development. There is a good chance that some of these big institutions - pension funds, banks - that type of thing these money managers take this as a bearish signal, because there's a good chance that they got in here in 2020, and they just rode this whole thing up and they Their exit signal was basically a close below the 200., so i want to warn you about all that, because, even as we're seeing in the spx options market this morning, there's a decent amount of puts coming in. So i need to call that all out to you.
This is actually a noteworthy development. A new month below the 200-day moving average has not happened since 2020. Something to pay attention to is this doomsday is this armageddon? No people could obviously choose to buy it, and if we go back up, they might be buying back. In i'm, just letting you know with this technical development what's going on in putin's mind, and on top of that don't forget march, this will be the first rate hike we've pretty much had in two years.

There's clear macroeconomic developments. We have to be paying attention to in the very very short term i'll, be basically in terms of switching me more bearish for me to actually take a bearish position, i'm looking for the breakdown of 428 429 and to go bullish. I would want to see a breakout of 438. i'm watching 438 and 428, i'm in between those waiting waiting waiting in terms of the queues um another it actually did better than the spy yesterday once again, we're halfway in the region from yesterday no clear trend this Morning, i'll go a little bit bearish if it breaks below 30 40 i'll go bullish if it breaks bel breaks above 348 and in terms of the russell we know, the small cap sector has been outperforming the s p, 500 and the nasdaq 100.

Recently. For the past, i would say month now right now, sitting at 202 strong support at 200. Looking for the breakout of 204 205. now amc, which does have its earnings announcement tonight, don't forget that um in the final hour of training, i would not be surprised if we see some jockeying for position as people are trying to make a bet on the earnings.

Personally, i don't like to bet on earnings, it's a 50 50 shot and with me it's not like i'm playing any short term options or anything like that. Currently, i have no amc or gme options whatsoever. Nothing. I just have my stock and i'm waiting on that and with the earnings i'm excited about amc's, just because i think it's going to be the first quarter in quite a while, as it's actually ebitda positive, we will wait to find out, but the box office did Very well, especially because of the spider-man movie, so in the pre-market, we're gapping we're not gapping.

We are positive, we're in the green a little bit in pre-market trading, i'm looking for the breakout in the hold above 19, which is pretty much where we're at and then from there. I have resistance in the low 20s currently tagged at 2035. in terms of gme. This one's slightly red in pre-market, i'm looking for to hold 120..
I want the breakout of 125 and i really care about the test of 130., the other one that was really hot yesterday and made a lot of people. A lot of money was m-u-l-n. Technically, it's break even right now from where it closed, but yesterday it gained 145. The fact that it's not getting like completely obliterated in pre-market right now tells me that this can actually keep going.

I have no mul and position. I have no plans to have an mulm position, but yes, i will cover it because there's so much interest in it and for good reason. It's up. 145.

Yesterday, people are making some serious, serious money, obviously you're, looking for the breakout above two dollars and then from there i'd be watching closer to 225ish. So those are my upside targets in the very very short term ride the trend. This i don't know how high it's gon na go, it's gon na run and then eventually it's going to come back down, you can really make money on both sides. You could ride it all the way up, write it all the way back down, but don't get yourself.

I guess anchored in some thought that it has to go to a certain price, just ride the trend when the trend changes lock in your profits and if you want to play the downside, play the downside, if you don't, if you just want to keep your profits On the upside play, great: do that don't play this as in a certain price target goal play the trend as long as the trend is bullish, be bullish if the trend switches, don't fight against the trend, there's a reason we have that saying. The trend is your friend now, that's your quick, i guess breakdown of what in the world is going on right now and it's quite a bit and in all honesty like you, could do a 24 hour coverage of all this craziness. But right now let me drop to the one minute chart and as i'm doing this, don't uh. If you want post your questions, uh whatever is going on.

Maybe we can answer a couple of them before the belt, never mind ding ding, ding ding. The casino is open, uh folks, just as a quick reminder for all of you um today i actually have some meetings, so the latest i'll be able to stream this morning will be 11 15.. I have a meeting that i have to attend to and it's going to be important. It's going to relate to some developments coming out for the ape community later this week.

So that's some stuff that i'll have to be just. I want to call it out. No matter what the market is or isn't doing, the latest i'll be able to stream today is 11 15, but then i'll be coming back on right after that just so, everyone is well aware morning. Matt, thanks for all you've done doing the whole ordeal.
Could r e gi be a gap downplay all right? Let me just write that down and we'll come back to it after the market opens. Our egi is in the gap down play. I just bought all the russian yachts on the blockchain. They are literally my now.

I now have more yachts than pesos thoughts on m-u-l-n uh, so just kind of covered that already, what is scary, is that only seven percent of russia's military and it's all - it's old equipment, no bmt tanks, no su-57s, only cold era with 18 to 19 year olds. You know i didn't dive too far into that, but i saw some information that was actually saying that that uh, the current, i guess russian soldiers are like absurdly young uh. Can anyone else back that up, hey matt, i'm thinking of making tesla and nvidia play for this week? Any thoughts on charts, um, so tesla has had a very, very strong bounce back lately, but both tesla and actually nvidia's had a pretty nice bounce too. Both tesla and nvidia are kind of major players in the s p 500, so i don't think they're gon na abnormally outperform or abnormally underperform the overall market.

If you want to know how to play tesla or nvidia, at least in the short term you're saying for this week, i would think that, like you have to watch the spy if the spy gets above 430, that's pretty bullish if it breaks below 4 28 429. That region - that's pretty bearish, i think nvidia and tesla are going to be highly correlated with the qs and the spy. So it's more of what do you think about those and in the short term, i'm leaning, bearish and i'll? Let you know if that changes. It's a very, i guess, real time thing and whenever i make any of these trades on the spy in the queues, all that is posted on locals new listener, love the tone and content hey.

I appreciate that we also have a new member, an astronaut shout out. I appreciate you joining grenner everyone good vibes today, hey if you haven't already as the market's opening. If you could help me out and destroy that like button, it would be awesome if we could just hop this up to 2k likes. It just helps out with the algorithm and it gets more people to join in also, if you're on rumble it's once again, very very helpful.

Don't forget to drop a like and also don't forget, to join up with the moon gig by hitting the subscribe button. That stuff is completely free, i'm never ever ever ever. Gon na ask you for a single cent, but i will obviously ask for a little bit of assistance with big tech all right, so the spy whipping whips on you know what else is whipping amc and gme uh amc gme, not many green things today, dwack's actually Green at 93, as well mulln coming down a little bit. I wonder if it's profit taking if it starts to capitulate more, it could be over or it could just find a base.

Look for a base to be found and we could just bounce right off of that all right, all right all right. What other questions very, very quick reminder for all of you. Remember folks, uh! If you are watching on youtube, i'm not gon na leave it. I do multi-stream on rumble on twitch and on youtube, but um if you uh, feel the desire to send in uh like a super chat or something like that, i would ask you to send it on rumble uh.
First of all, i just am more supportive of rumble. They don't delete my account and also they take less of a cut. Remember whenever anything gets sent in on rumble before uncle sam basically takes their 50 rum or youtube's, taking their 30 um. So i'm just being a little bit more supportive of the company that i think we should truly be backing all right, amc above 19.

That next watch is memory 20, 35-ish all right. The spy bounce finding some support off of 435 there's gon na be a lot of volatility. Um i'm days like this i'll be watching that 438 region without a doubt uh, but i really like to wait those first 10, 20 30 minutes just to see. What's going on because we've seen so much whipsaw, so much ripping back and forth in the overall market, based on the developments of the whole situation, speaking of which, let's hop into this, what else uh french prime minister says this crisis will last a long time and Have major consequences for the future of europe that doesn't sound good, uh micro, size, bitcoin and ether options.

Cme group, interesting, vtb commodities trading unit is winding down metal positions. Ukraine zielinski says asked german chancellor schultz to close skies over ukraine uh. They that's been something that kind of developed over the past 24 hours, zelinski uh, the president of ukraine, is been really keen on trying to get like closing down like any flying over ukraine's airspace. Uh next russia, ukraine meeting to take place tomorrow march, 2nd, that's pretty important.

Ukraine's foreign minister says kiev ready to talk to russia to seek solutions, but won't just follow russian ultimatums makes sense, probably wants some of the bombing to stop before that italian embassy in ukraine. Moving to leave from kiev because of deteriorating security situation, according to the italian foreign ministry senior chinese diplomat, uh, says china calls on ukraine and russia to find solution through negotiations. A senior chinese diplomat speaks with ukraine. Foreign minister, russian defense minister, says, strike ukraine security services sites in kiev all right.

So that's some update from walter bloomberg is the market going on open push and push and pushing uh amc had a quick push up to 1940 and then right back at that, like the key price level of 19, paying attention to that gme similar push and then A little bit of red, but let's see what does or doesn't hold, i mean out of the gate. The spy is looking strong. Let me check some of my market internals here to see what is there isn't going on uh some of the internals? Yesterday they switched over from being bullish to bearish around that midday point uh right now, they're still signaling bearish, but it's kind of like a weak bearish signal uh at this moment, so we're gon na have to wait just a little bit. More data needs to come in, but out of the gate, the spy is moving, moving, moving moving moving moving.
What else do we have going on just trying to check a couple new sources? Ukraine's application to join the eu has been accepted. So, yes, that's its application. That actually doesn't mean it's part of the eu. It's like it's just another step.

That's definitely going to piss off putin. Um, i mean, i guess anything in this scenario could happen. I would assume that he would lose his mind if they are accepted into the eu. Uh but they did apply, the application was accepted, and now i guess we're waiting on that all right, mulin, not necessarily holding this morning.

Let me drop amc to the bottom right here and then the cues, the cues, are still pushing and the russell has to be pushing so the three major indices, the pi, the spy, the queues and the russell are all looking pretty strong out of the gate. I just wonder if this is like some some trap: let's see what is or isn't going on all right. Let me actually check some other news sources i'll leave this up for you guys, so you can see what's going on there. Let me burn through some of my classic news checks.

Uh seven minutes ago, explosion heard in keeve air raid sirens went off a minute later reminding residents to head to the nearest shelter that was seven minutes ago. What else do we have going on all right? Thousands from these guys, let me check a couple other see what the hot news of the day is. This could be the start of a protracted siege of kiev that was about 20 minutes ago. Yellen spoke with french finance minister about russia, opec plus pact to continue, regardless of challenges which includes russia.

China calls on ukraine russia to find solution via talks, whoa whoa, whoa, craziness, craziness, craziness, just craziness all right spy, it popped there. This is what's going to be setting the tone for the day. Are we going to make a higher low, basically above 435, or are we going to come down? Obviously you have the second option of bouncing off of 435, or is it going to come and break below it watching 435 keenly watching 435. All right, let me check what other news sources we have.

Then we can find some video next uh next underscore tv. Is the one i'm looking at right now? A belarusian unit has created in the territorial defense of azov azov. This is the first unit of foreign volunteers, uh supportive of ukraine, man attention. It is reported that the occupiers are preparing a massive spread of disinformation to suppress the morale ukrainians.

Their main goal is to convince the people that the government has capitulated and that is necessary to surrender. This is a complete lie that was about 45 minutes ago. Zielinski calls for recognition of russia as a terrorist state. The british company jaguar land rover announces the suspension of the shipment of cars to russia.
Instagram has blocked the accounts of propagandists in 27 european countries, wow nuts, nuts nuts nuts, so some people were buying out of the gate and then all of a sudden question of where the buyers are now uh. So this is hang on. Let me open this up on twitter uh. Let's see what these guys are saying.

I can assure you me, as head representative, all my colleagues, members of the foreign affairs council, all our delegations. All our embassies will be strongly working in order to get a result on the boat, the general assembly. This is the most important thing that we have to do right now, because i repeat, this is an issue which belongs to the foreign security policy, which is intergovernmental, and it's the member states. You have to take delete on this response and diplomatic sphere.

The second thing that has been discussing today - and this may be more important - that many of us could believe is the dependency from the gas president has been saying all the time we have to reduce this dependency. But i've been listening for the last 20 years that we have to decrease this dependency, and this dependencies has been increasing during the last 20 years. So from now on. Let's put where work in accordance with our saying, because we pay 700 million dollars for the world.

Blinken of the us says that chinese government continues to commit genociding crimes against humanity in xinjiang, against muslim uyghurs could be met. Sorry that was blind. You have to increase renewables president said hybrid new hydrogen, but keep in mind that the amount of power in a country like italy a year in renewables, is less that half billion or metres cubic meters. So we have in front of us a strong work to do and we have to remain committed to it and we have to explain to our people.

What does it mean? This is a good occasion to develop the best, most noble side to the political activity, which is pedagogy. That's the moment to do pedagogy, and i understand the enthusiasm and the approach of the tournamentarian chamber in a moment like this, i've been parliamentarian as you many years. Even president of this house - and i know that this is the moment to show enthusiasm support, but then we have to go to acts and next time, when you discuss again the budget of the european union, remember that we need resources for do what. Today we are doing with an intergovernmental fund that this parliament has never proved because u.s secretaries say also addressing human rights abuses in russia.

Families of members of the army, not knowing where their sons are, journalists, arrested and protest against the war in ukraine. Those protesters facing arrest as well exactly oil and gold continuing to rip oil sitting at 102 a barrel. This is the oil futures market. This is the gold futures market.
You saw the spy and the queues pop and now they're coming down a bit, because when vladimir putin went to talk to xi, jinping the chinese president at the beginning of the olympics, unfortunately, amc could not hold on to 19. Essentially, i don't know where you're choosing to do your trend following, but that's something you need to reconsider. You need to consider. I'm not saying you need to reconsider it, but you need to pay attention to it because remember you could always re-enter elsewhere around the world.

Always always re-enter from uh the u.s secretary of state, saying that he should step in and do we should do what we can for the people of ukraine um. What the west has done for the people of ukraine is imposed very, very stringent swinging sanctions on the russian economy, which i think are going to have a very significant income impact for all right. That's sky news. Let's see what abc is talking about big organizations to the little ones, we're all going to be working together to make sure that nobody will go hungry everybody's buying, please you must have so many people struggling with the early morning along the way.

Are there any interactions or stories that really stick out to you? Let's see what tesla's doing with oil going sky high 860 down one percent of the day uh 48 hours ago - and i was in in in the in the past of mexico and as we were getting to the border, to try to understand the situation where we Will be putting more freedom feeding facilities, as you will see, many people live in ukraine, ukrainians and many other people from other nationalities. You will see once in a while, very often groups of 10 20.. What do we have? That's green on the day is technically green, not maybe in ukraine. Actually, gme is green still to protect their country to protect their cities.

Uh apple is green to the ukrainian president. When you see this crypto's been ripping man, here's a quick look at crypto. Look at this, it's just bottom left top right, bitcoin, ethereum, solana, avalanche crypto has been performing well um. It's one of these things that, yes, we know, there's a correlation with the overall market, but it's not one like the strongest correlation, we're actually seeing it weakening um.

That correlation - and i know it's more of this concept - that it appears that bitcoin itself is being viewed as a risk on safe haven, while gold is more of a risk off safe haven, but uh crypto itself should not be directly tied to the spy of the Queues and i've done some content on this, but i strongly believe that if there is a bounce that crypto will actually lead the way and that's because of the nuances of its disconnection between it and the market and the lmnt is ripping ripping ripping ripping up. 2.8 percent that one's looking good um defense contractor play more their points. I've been already visiting many of them. We are feeding many of them and - and you see you see the continuous flow of people not only from poland, but we see it from other countries.
All right, let's see what's going on here - is the right number. It's just bounce around through a couple new sources see if we can get a better idea of this morning, the road to justice, russian troops move towards kiev 40 mile long, russian convoy, moving towards moving towards putin, orders russian nuclear forces on high alert following western sanctions. Ukrainian presidential institution, accusing putin of war crime of inquiry, a commission that can ensure independent and impartial monitoring and reporting that can collect and analyze evidence so that perpetrators can be identified and held accountable. All right, here's just some lucky just ripping in order to support uh, to give you an idea of.

What's going on over the past couple days, it's gone from 63 to 71. oil. Popping we've been calling that out for quite a while and for gold. If you don't want the commodity, you can look at g l d before a national uh has gone international.

Also, similarly, higher and higher and higher and justice will be served. Stop this mad war. That's what courageous protesters all right! This is the u.n human rights council looks like the ap is giving us this 40-mile russian military convoy. That's crazy! There is no excuse by not holding uh watch 435 doesn't hold.

Let's map out some areas wrote in an open letter. 4. 35. Then i'm watching 4.

32. 4 35 does not hold. You might see a little bit of a catch at 4, but i'm really caring about 432.. I also mapped this out on the futures market for the s p 500..

Television host - these are the levels i care about. This top region was resistance if we broke above it that strength and i'm watching four thousand four hundred forty uh. Once again. This is the s p, five hundred futures, if it gets rejected here, i'm basically watching four thousand two hundred eighty to sixty.

This is a region of support the human rights that are at risk, and we just broke today. Those of ukrainians who have the right to live in peace, freedom and safety who have the right to democracy, who have the right to be informed through free and independent media, the same rights spy getting smacked right there, the queue's, probably also getting smacked. The reality is that are being killed right now, 343.70 is on our threat. Do i have that marked out russian? Cyber attacks and disinformation have been going on for years.

Similarly, russian products market trying to fight at the intraday low, which was created right over the news. Reporters have the rights hey matt. Do i need to invest? What do you need to invest in uso? If you go long on uso, you're betting, on oil, going up in price, you can also look at something such as philip 66 exxon, mobil, uh violence. Those types of plays like the classic oil plays, but us was literally the oil fund, the united states oil fund.
Ladies and gentlemen, if we do not act and show courage now of this very council undermining the rules-based international legal order, we shaped together. Oh pal. Let's see what they're talking about with powers may be a fantasy or maybe can levitate itself into believing things. Sometimes that aren't necessarily happen, but that's what it wants to believe right now.

Uh and of course, we have seen the story so far in 2022. The story for stocks, slower earnings, growth and multiple compression. Now, whether there's multiple compression continues or not. It's going to be very much dependent on mr powell and what he says in the next few weeks.

But it has been a notable and if you take a look at some what's been happening, some of the really big names i don't mean kathy woodstocks. I mean some of the really big names in the last couple of months. Take a look at starbucks 3m home depot, nike goldman sachs. This is not speculative tech.

These stocks are significantly a quarter off of their 52-week highs, and most of the damage occurred in january when everyone was trying to figure out the fed's power just to give everyone a little bit of an update on the shorter time frame. More of like the 15 20 30 minute type of a chart um, my internals are still leaning bearish, i'm not seeing the switch over to bullish quite yet i'll i'll. Let you know if that changes all right bob. Thank you very much.

Bob assani you're going to have a lot of numbers to play with tonight. Yeah i've got salesforce which is going to be amazing, because if that backs up, if it's for work day, then people remember whatever kramer says just do the opposite. Now, that's typically profitable. It's a small oil company, this merger with cabot oil and gas uh.

You know with an another company that simmer x that i thought was really good. The thing that really matters is my work mike worth is a titan and he is talking about trying to change this industry david. You are also talking to exxon trying to change the century david, i'm going to put it to you for real or window dressing. Uh.

You mean their efforts in terms of reducing carbon. I think it's for real, but i also think that they need to be part of a dialogue, and you heard it from mr worth, which is basically saying this is going to take a while. We need more incentives. We need governments around the world to cooperate with each other in a way that makes it much more likely that we're willing to put even more capital into this and even then, the challenges for carbon capture.

They are significant, not unsurmountable, but significant in terms of the pipeline systems, in terms of where you have to do it. Direct air capture is not something that really works right now, certainly not an additional choice. Some foreign policy that you're going to hear about we're going to remember biden speaking tonight, state of the union, 9 p.m, et. 6 p.m.
If you're on the west coast a major part of this speech tonight, but he has to walk this fine line of highlighting his progress over the last year, but also acknowledging how frustrated people are given this 40-year high inflation he's going to ask congress we're told to Pass parts of his now uh buildback amc, trying to get a little bit of a bounce 1865, would love to see it recapture actually trying to get that break out of 125. passing any of those. Given the the attempts that this admission administration has already tried coven another big one, you're going to hear the president really try to talk about this new phase of living with the virus and you'll see that in real time in that chamber, this is going to be A pack chamber this time around it wasn't you'll, remember a year ago. Masks are optional this time around in that chamber, so i bet you'll see a lot of faces for the first time in over a year.

Of course, the president coming into this, with these historically low poll numbers just 37 percent approving of the job he's doing those midterms diane, not that far away, so the stakes for president biden, they really could not be higher tonight, all right, cecilia vega, thank you and Abc news live will bring you full coverage of president biden's. First state of the union address tonight, starting at eight p.m. Eastern they're, starting at eight, but it's talks at nine - continues with news context. Everyone knows, and if i'm wrong on that, please feel free to correct me.

Uh prime minister, boris johnson, nato, secretary general and east estonian, prime minister, are holding a news conference, so this must be the estonian prime minister. No doubt belarus is a go aggressor in this conflict. The whole international community must now spy was able to recapture 435, but let's see if it actually holds, or if it's a bit of action. This is the very beginning and i'm very glad to say that we have witnessed the fundamentals get much out of that.

Let's see what the whales are doing, all right, they are getting puts on kss and vail. Some calls unveil some a tesla put for three days. Three days for that sc thing, a spy puts by puts six days, 4, 10 and 4 30.. Those are some aggressive ones.

This was actually sizable right here. What i have highlighted, you have 1.5 million betting on the spy in a week getting to 430, and then you have 875 000 betting on it getting to 410. In a week, um that's noteworthy uh. You have some tesla calls.


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