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The short interest confusion what apes should know – Matt Kohrs

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The Short Interest Confusion
What Apes Should Know
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Video Topics:
gamestop, gamestop stock, gme, gamestop short squeeze, gamestop stock explained, gamestop explained, amc, amc stock, amc stock prediction, amc live, amc stock live, amc short squeeze, amc squeeze, amc price prediction, gme stock live, gme stock prediction, gme stock analysis, gme stock explained, gme stock short squeeze, gme stock news, tesla, tesla stock prediction, tesla stock analysis, tesla stock today, matt kohrs, matt kors, stocks, stock market, investing, trey trades

What's going on moon gang, i hope you're having an absolutely fantastic day, because i know i am and welcome back to another dumb money wrap up for today, thursday august 12th. This will be a very quick breakdown of what's going on with amc and jimmy, but most importantly, i want to dive into. I guess an important data point that i see, causing some confusion and a lot of people misinterpreting what it does mean, what it doesn't mean. So i want to be diving into that: that'll be the main concept of this update.

Video amc did close out the day in the green game, 4.82 percent at 33.07 and then jimmy gained 2.25 and that closed out the day at 162.35. Honestly, i'm feeling good, i mean amc and jimmy both in the green, robin hood and the red i'm gon na take my wins where i can get them. The overall market did hit a new all-time high. Today, ding ding ding ding ding ding ding, today brand new all-time high s, p 500.

The etf exchange traded fund spy is tracking 500 of the biggest companies in the us and right here hit a new all-time high. Uh, you've probably heard this terminology, but that's the concept of melting up right now, that's exactly what our market is doing. We are slowly but surely melting upwards. Honestly, i i don't i'm not saying this is going to peak.

I honestly think that this is going to continue a little bit higher a little bit higher and a little bit higher in terms of the russell 2000, a different index that we'd like to talk about, mainly because amc is a part of it right now, we're right At this level of resistance of 223, i'm looking for this to hold, and then i want to see a test of 225 and after that i will be watching 227.. So mainly these major indices that we pay attention to the s. P. 500.

Russell 2000. Both are looking pretty bullish right now in terms of crypto. So yesterday, when i was talking about crypto all of them, the crypto sector at large was looking pretty strong today overnight session into today, all kind of taking a dip uh at the same time. But finally, we're seeing them bend back around, so bitcoin went from basically 47 000 down to 44, but turning around as i'm filming this same with ethereum went from 3 000, almost 300 down to sub 3 000 back above it now same with doge very nice movement.

On doge i mean it went from 23 cents up to 29 cents, back down to 25, bending back round cardano great run from 140 up to 190, now bouncing off of 170.. I don't know what tomorrow's going to bring, but overall it does seem as if the crypto sector earlier in the year april may was very hot. Taking a breather and now hopefully fingers crossed that it's kind of waking up again, because i would love love another rip within the sector, especially with bitcoin. Now that amc is targeting to accept it for ticket and concession sales by the end of this year and honestly, that's just one of the many companies that's looking to adopt crypto as a payment mechanism.

Speaking of these before we get into a technical breakdown of amc and gme, let's go into the kind of the the core of this video so in terms of vortex amc, short interest after today of 18.81, when we started today off, there was a utilization of 94, But there was a net bar of 2.86 million, so i'm expecting that to go up tomorrow shares on loan. We started off the day at 107.5, so that's probably going to be around 110 and the thing i'm seeing here is that we need a quick explanation. Explanation, excuse me of utilization, so just so you know short interest. That's the amount of estimated short shares divided by the free float shares on loan.

That's just a magnitude number, it's not a percentage of how many shares are out on loan and then we have utilization. I'm seeing a lot of confusion about this, and how can it go up when one goes down and vice versa - and i thought i could put this together to kind of uh - make it a little bit more palatable. So right here, utilization is the amount of shares on loan. What we just saw right here, the 107 divided by the pool of total loanable shares, so it's x, divided by y.

So right here i just have util utilization right here, divided by shares on loan and divided by the pool. Just so you know the shares on loan and the overall pool both of those are dynamic and they change throughout the day overnight session. Both are dynamic. So i'm, where i'm seeing confusion is how can it go up, but the short interests go down.

How can the short inches go up, but the utilization down and there's a bit of confusion? So i want to go through the four possible scenarios because i don't think the i guess the disconnection the movement is maybe as nefarious as some people are trying to point out. So, let's start with the base case: let's say that there's five shares on loan and the pool is 10. so right there. That means that your shares on loan are five divided by ten.

You have a utilization of fifty percent. That's going to be our base case. Let's work off of that so case a we have a higher short interest and because of instead of five, let's just say this is all for a basic stock. Let's call it stock moon mmon.

At first, there was five total loanable ten utilization of fifty percent, with uh short shares of five. I'm not talking about a short interest, i'm just talking about the amount of short shares you would to get the answers. You would then divide it by the free float, but anyway, so now, let's move that number up to eight and let's not change the pool at all. So now it's eight divided by ten.

So this is a higher short interest because we have eight instead of five and now we also have a higher utilization because instead of fifty percent, we're at eighty percent now scenario number two, let's go even higher in the short interest. We went from five to eight to ten, but now let's say that the total pool people willing to lend out the share instead of 10, let's jack it up to 30.. So in this scenario the utilization is 30, but we actually have the highest short interest. We've seen now, let's move on to the third case, a lower short interest, but a higher utilization.

So in this scenario, let's say that the short shares drops all the way to three or not really. The short shares the shares on loan. And let's say in this scenario, that it is exactly correlated to short shares. But that's not fully accurate, because shares can go out on loan without actually being shorted, but for this basic scenario, let's say that all the shares on loan are actually shortened.

I should have probably said that at the start, but anyway, let's assume all the shares on loan are actually shorted and that's why i'm connecting it to short interest, hence higher short interest, higher short interest anyway, in this scenario, lower short interest instead of five eight or Ten, we now have three, but let's say the total pool is also only three so a lower short interest, but now the instead of utilization being 50, 80 or 33. We actually have the max value of a hundred percent and then obviously the final scenario would be a lower short interest and a lower utilization. Let's go back up to our original pool of 10 and 10, but let's keep the shorts. The short shares at three the shares on loan, which we once again we're going to say: there's one for one well, now we're looking at 30.

So, overall, these are the four possible scenarios and i'm using it off this base case, and i hope that these numbers really kind of drive it home for you of the interplay and the interaction between short interest shares on loan and utilization. When you see one go up and the other go down, that's not necessarily indicative of something kind of weird going on in the back end, it's more of like a slight of mathematical hand, and these are the four scenarios that it could play out where you have One higher one lower both higher both lower. These are the four possible scenarios, so i i'm hoping that for someone out there, this might be the aha moment of understanding how the short interest interplays, with the shares on loan interplays with utilization overall, that's it for amc in gme. Today there was a net return of 128 000.

The short interest is at 10.3 percent utilization. To start today, off was 42.34 shares on loan was 6.83 million and the short interest uh we started today off, but obviously with the net return and now to wrap this up, let's quickly dive into the technicals. So here we have amc, looks like we have this nice double bottom off of 30 and we almost so close to breaking out of 33.50, which is a major resistance. Now, that's what i'm going to be looking for tomorrow.

To put it very, very simply, let me just zoom in on this chart. We see this double bottom in the 30 region, undershot it in the extended hours training previously on august 5th and right there. This time we did once again bounce off of 30 and we are looking for the follow-through. Today we tested 33.50.

It was kind of a fake-out breakout, so my fingers are crossed that tomorrow is an official breakout and then from there i'm going to be watching 38. Just because that's a recent relative high, but i'm mainly watching the region between 40 and 42. in terms of gamestop very quickly, here's a look at its daily chart. Uh we did find support at 158 and similar to amc.

It ran into resistance today fake out breakout, but this one was a little bit more minuscule. Let me show you on the two hour: we poked our head above it just a little bit rejection same thing with amc, so tomorrow i'm looking for the follow through at 164 and then after that, i'm watching from 174 to 176, mainly, let's just call it that Key psychological level at 175 and after that, we're talking about kind of to 200, but we'll talk about that when the time is necessary so overall, a great great great great day for ape nation aim c and the green game stop in the green robin hood in The red it looks like i did just briefly talk about crypto. It looks like it might be kind of turning right back around, and i want to see this all ripping again but overall, a very, very good trading day. So i would love to get your thoughts on amc and jamie below, but maybe more importantly, let me know if you need to know a little bit more about utilization short interest cost.

To borrow any of that stuff, i am trying to put more of just the short clips of explanations on the backup channel matt coors clips so feel free to check that out. We also talk about some option. Strategies covered calls, credit, spreads kind of the breakdown of that terminology, but if i confuse you more than i helped you please let me know in a comment below just so. I know like the things that i should be addressing, because i want us to get all on the exact same page of knowledge and reality.

So that's what i have for you today and until i catch you next time from me and share best of luck in the markets. You.

30 thoughts on “The short interest confusion what apes should know”
  1. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars mpforeverunlimited says:

    Short interest isn't as important as utilization. It's going down because blackrock bought a ton of shares and lent them. Apparently an etf is buying 25mil later this month which will dip it even further. But I think we can hit 100% in September which is when the fun begins. Short interest will likely be between 20 and 25 by then

  2. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Noak The Dog says:

    A while since ive looked on any amc youtuber but i see people still belive in this squeeze… Peoples hopes are strong in this one for sure. Dont get me wrong i have stocks aswell in amc… but i have lost hope in both the squeeze and all youtubers who has predicted the squeeze just around the corner… You can call me whatever you want but that wont help…

  3. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars mike martin says:

    Agenus Inc. (AGEN) PT Raised to $11 at B.RILEY
    Current stock price is $6.11

    Agenus (ticker symbol AGEN) is an immuno-therapy clinical stage company. They also produce vaccines and cell therapy (INKT’S) through their subsidiary company Agentus. 

    Agenus recently announced the confidential submission for proposed IPO of its subsidiary company, MiNk Therapeutics. Long shareholders are extremely happy to hear this long awaited good news!

    Their main product and near future revenue generators are their PD-1 and CTLA-4 CPMS. The FDA just recently accepted priority review for the BLA filing of AGEN2034, their PD-1 molecule in second line cervical cancer. They have a PDUFA date set for December 16, 2021. They’re also on track for a BLA filing with their PD-1 and first generation CTLA-4 in combination for the same indication. Agenus will be presenting new data for the combo trial at ESMO In September which the CEO Dr. Armen said he’s “very excited about.” For the record, the CEO doesn’t loosely use the word “excited” unless it’s warranted.
    Agenus’s PD-1 has shown clinical proof to be differentiated from the other PD-1’s that are already out there on the market; mainly it’s superiority over keytruda (in second line CC). More importantly, Agenus’s PD-1 works in both PD-L1 positive AND negative tumors. Keytruda’s does not. 

    Agenus also has the most powerful adjuvant (QS-21 stimulon) on the market. Not to be confused with the other  QS-21’s that are out there. QS-21 stimulon is basically an ingredient that increases the efficacy of a vaccine/drug (COVID-19?) QS-21 stimulon is one of the main reasons why GSK’s shingrix vaccine has taken up most of the market share. Agenus is currently working on getting funding from the government to rapidly increase production. Dr.Armen stated that this will be one of the significant value drivers by the end of the year.

    Agenus is partnered with Incyte, Merck, Gilead, Glaxosmithkline and most recently, Bristol Myers Squibb. Agenus set a previous record for money given for three preclinical molecules with Gilead for ~150m upfront cash (30m in equity) along with future potential royalties and milestones worth around ~1.7B. However this year, BMY beat that figure by acquiring only one preclinical molecule which is a TIGIT BISPECIFIC to the tune  of ~200m along with  future potential milestones and royalties worth ~1.36B

    However, the most exciting molecule they have could be a potential multi blockbuster which is their next generation CTLA-4 AGEN1181. This is what most investors are banking on. It’s currently in phase 2. It was generating partial and complete responses in phase 1 which is very promising ‘cause phase 1 is administered in low dosage to monitor toxicity levels and showing very promising results. Ctla-4 is notorious for being toxic but agenus has manufactured a version that has sustained tolerable toxicity levels. This is huge. They will be presenting data at the next big venue which will either be at ESMO in September or SITC in December.

    They have a vast pipeline for such a small company. Probably the most robust pipeline out of any company their size.

    Finally, they have a clinical trial with their INKT cell therapy that’s showing positive signs in patients with severe symptoms from COVID-19. So far, 3 out of 4 patients have been extubated (taken off ventilators) within 24 hours. These trials have been running a little slow but they’re expecting additional  clinical data soon. However, COVID-19 is not their primary objective with INKT’s. It was nearly an afterthought during the pandemic. Their INKT’s will mainly target Cancer cells. 

    Final note: institutions have recently taken more of an interest in Agenus. I believe institutional holdings have increased by over 10 percent. Agenus has about ~319m in cash as of last quarter which would give them about roughly 2 years of cash runway. GLTALS

  4. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars lisa cyr says:

    Definitely holding what I have and just added another 50 shares to my stash.

  5. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars RobTackettCovers says:

    So I wake up this morning, and this song comes to my mind…a song called Black Friday from Steely Dan…now I know typically, Black Friday is supposed to be the Friday directly after Thanksgiving going into the December Holiday season…and has been historically the day when people get the best deals on stuff they are buying for Christmas…but today is Friday the 13th, which is another type of what I consider has been portrayed as a Black Friday…so anyway I never really paid attention to what the lyrics in Black Friday actually say…with me it's been "When Black Friday comes…" then "Bla bla bla…"…I just didn't pay any attention to it…so, this morning, I was like what does that song say?…so here is what I found:
    When Black Friday comes
    I'll stand down by the door
    And catch the grey men when they
    Dive from the fourteenth floor
    When Black Friday comes
    I'll collect everything I'm owed
    And before my friends find out
    I'll be on the road

    When Black Friday falls
    You know it's got to be
    Don't let it fall on me

    When Black Friday comes
    I'll fly down to Muswellbrook
    Gonna strike all the big red words
    From my little black book
    Gonna do just what I please
    Gonna wear no socks and shoes
    With nothing to do but feed
    All the kangaroos

    When Black Friday comes
    I'll be on that hill
    You know I will

    When Black Friday comes
    I'm gonna dig myself a hole
    Gonna lay down in it
    'Til I satisfy my soul
    Gonna let the world pass by me
    The Archbishop's gonna sanctify me
    And if he don't come across
    I'm gonna let it roll

    When Black Friday comes
    I'm gonna stake my claim
    I'll guess I'll change my name

  6. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Williams Osses Medel says:

    I will wait for whatever is necessary, while you dedicate yourself to doing your things, enjoy life while the HF's time is running out! buy and hold ready

  7. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars michael malick says:

    Matt your awesome. I’m 40 years old. Whoever raised you. Did one hell of a job. I wish all young men were like yourself. This world would be a better place. Keep doing what your doing.

  8. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Trushar Rathod says:

    Do you own any shares of AMC Matt? If you answer this I will keep subscribed to your channel or I’m out.

  9. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Michel Schiminski says:

    I would love to see a explanation video about what the revers repo is.

  10. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Oak Steel says:

    The little boy from Bulgaria who was supposed to have potential crying in front of the mirror today 😂

  11. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Kevin Williams says:

    Fellow Apes remember buy and hold we ride in the morning! Apes together strong 💪

  12. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Kiel Frank says:

    Maybe I'm just dumb, but that short interest thing didnt make sense to me at all.

  13. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Fedex Life says:

    Seriously , you guys need to stop giving this guy your hard earned money ! He is donating to avoid paying taxes!

  14. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Private Investor says:

    Hi Matt, can you show your portfolio and prove you are still invested in AMC ?

  15. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars MORE KNOW says:

    Sorry~don't get it. Synths can be created endlessly, right? FTD by HF isn't being "penalized". Margin fees? HF can sell long positions & no margins calls in sight. AMC squeezing now with the "world" piling in keeping price avg at $30? I hodl, but confused 🤷‍♂️🐵

  16. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Dwayne Kidd says:

    We should not desert AMC after the squeeze. After the squeeze and we make the big money we should buy back in with same number shares at the lower price. We need to strand behind Adam Aron.

  17. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars st4yf1y29 says:

    I wonder if they’ll use most of those 7m shares borrowed today to hit us as we come up to the top up the pendant. Jmo

  18. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Stickboy Fpv says:

    Ive got 60 shares…. If these guys would show their positions….. like alpha status does…………….. ITD REAALLLLYYYYYY help the movement… Nobody needs an explanation…. we just need to see your ACTUALLY AN APE……. THANK YOU..

  19. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars zerphase says:

    What the Apes need is a DAO that incentives hackers to hack corrupt businesses. For instance, they could hack the hedge funds, and expose their naked short positions. This DAO would financially incentive bad actors to engage in the behavior, and the anonymous members (even anonymous to each other) would vote with their privacy coins to payout the whistleblower.

  20. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars WeGonnaBeFreakingRich Ape says:

    Who cares about the technicals! We need a leader to protest. It's a movement not a stock.

  21. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Jackson Gosselin says:

    I wonder what he will get chair🤔. Whatever it is I’m sure it will be nice

  22. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Aquarius Stocks says:

    Invested heavy into cardano tezos chain link polygon the graphic grayscale doge in my crypto portfolio holding until 2030

  23. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Prdarkfire Caro says:

    Apparently hedgies think they're the only ones who can hold. Two can play the same game, bitches! The only difference is that one player doesn't have to pay in order to hold. So you tell me who can hold the longest?

  24. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars C Schlecht says:

    Something seemed different today with AMC. I’m pretty new, maybe 6 months in, but I watch it closely. The buy and sell orders, the way it was all playing out just seemed different. Hopefully a good sign 🙌

  25. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars texan says:

    awesome video. Thanks. Can we see the number of the pool of total Loanable shares in ortex?

  26. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars FlipFlop says:

    I’m going to save my money not go to any movie and buy more shares.

  27. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Bowman says:

    I'm holding my AMC stock and no "breaking news" FUD will get me to sell. We are an army and all have Diamond hands. I'm sick of the market manipulation by the hedge funds and whales. It's past due time to teach those greedy b's a lesson.

  28. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars MuadDib(kevpimp5) says:

    (whispers) The Spice! Shrooms! Cybin! CYBN! The Sleeper Must Awaken! – Hey can't wait for DUNE in October at AMC!!!

  29. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars K Mac says:

    Per swaggy stocks, gme max pain at 160… am guessing will land exactly there tomorrow. Hope I’m wrong and it lands on the moon, but would bet on 160

  30. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Aldreth says:

    Man, I really wish I could loan out my shares, I’d love to get that free money of them paying me to borrow my shares

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