We're F**ked
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The Matt Kohrs Show
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RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites. The video is accurate as of the posting date but may not be accurate in the future.
If you want to know why the market got kicked in the balls today, I have the answer. So sit back, relax and let's talk about why the stock market is burning down. Wall Street Selloff intensifies with the Dow losing 300 points after Fitch downgrade. You know, with the day we're having and the amount of people who are probably yoloing into calls, this might be about one letter off on what people are really wanting to call it.
Fitch downgrades us long-term rating to a A plus from AAA. So to put that in layman's terms, you have a rating of credit worthiness and that includes the US government and many other governments and businesses and municipalities and blah blah blah blah blah. So when it comes to the US government and their credit worthiness, the tippity top of the peak, you are the most reliable government out there. That's AAA that's where we were and then Fitch came in and said, well, we're gonna move you down in Peg Is this functionally actually do anything? Does this mean that whatever, insurance plans and hedge funds and investors are all going to start selling this? because like, the US is no longer the tippity top No, not really.
because double A Plus is still in a relative basis. Pretty freaking. High Treasury Secretary Yellen and says surprising Fitch downgrade is entirely unwarranted. So basically the smeagle character of the US government is not happy with what's going on and says, hey, that's not fair Play by the rules I Want you to play by Treasury secretary Jenny Ellen called Fitch's credit downgrade surprising considering the nation's strong economic recovery from The Rona period Well It had nothing to do with the recovery.
The reason which I'm about to get into has to get into the almost sad aspect of how our government acts Yellen touted recent robust U.S economic numbers and said treasury Securities Remain the world's preeminent safe and liquid asset. Once again, they weren't arguing that they were just saying our government. In fact I wrote down some of their quote they've lost confidence in the government's physical fiscal management JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon calls Fitch rating U.S downgrade Ridiculous but says doesn't really matter It's honestly the latter point that I kind of find into interesting that I did what are you talking about Man, it just doesn't matter. But obviously it clearly does have a pretty vast impact.
I mean right now the Spy as I'm filming this is down 1.5 percent. Yesterday we closed out in the realm of 456 and some change. We're currently trading below 450. so clearly there's some sort of impact, so it's worthwhile to dive into.
What are they looking at? What was the decisioning? and is this the start of a downturn? Now before we get into it, I Think it's silly to call for doomsday. The Market's been ripping since March It's been over a month and a half 40 plus trading days and the market hasn't gone down one percent in a single day. That's a long record, if anything. We were kind of due for a healthy pullback. I'm not calling doomsday, but to think that everything is green and ripping all the time. That's just simply not how the markets work. But anyway, here's Fitch's reasoning: The Fitch Analyst behind the US downgrade breaks down the decision and how the country can regain the top rating according to the analyst and a representative from Fitch. This is a steady deterioration we've seen in key metrics for the US for a number of years.
In 2007, General government debt was less than 60 percent, and now it's 113, so there's been a clear deterioration. Furthermore, we're expering fiscal deficits to rise over the next three years, and we expect debt to continue to rise over the next three years. Francis Said that in addition to the January 6, 2021 Insurrection The rating agency has noted a constant brinksmanship surrounding the debt sailing among both Republicans and Democrats that has hindered the U.S government from coming up with meaningful solutions to deal with growing fiscal issues, particularly around entitlement programs such as Social, Security and Medicare. That's pretty sound reasoning.
They're looking around and saying, hey, do they really deserve the best credit worthiness rating Whenever it comes to budgets and deficits and government shutdowns, there's always just political infighting. If anything, it's more of commentary on the gridlock of politics within the U.S kind of the divisive nature that we have between red and blue, left and right, and everything else that we apparently get divided on among these days now. I Do want you to note that this has happened before previously a different rating agency. The S P rating agency actually downgraded the US.
It lasted for a little bit. there was a bit of a hit, but then we ended up coming back. So yes, in the very short term, depending on when you're watching this, I'm expecting the Bears to feel a little bit more confident. the bear is to feel a little bit more lively, a little bit more back to life because they've been getting their skull kicked in lately.
Will it last forever? No. I don't think so. I Think this is something in the media cycle that we're going to be covering for a day or two. There's going to be some bearishness in the market and then out of nowhere.
Basically, I think the world's gonna end up forgetting. So that's what's going on. That's why the market took such a hit. Big hit today.
I Do expect some bearishness to continue, but this is more of a short duration thing. I Don't think this is going to have a massive lasting impact on the stock market or really the overall economy. Obviously, if you have any questions, let me know.
do you remember a while back 14-15 months when your guest explained why you can't win? you were shell shocked as the guy stated why AMC was not 'going to the moon'….its same, day traders will never win and legality of things is neither here nor there….the small man will always pay the artificially created markets back, put that in your bank
Crappy sound
I've definitely heard some bear thesis's. if two or three more things pile on, jobs miss, cpi data comes in bad. amazon or apple bomb on earnings this could just be the start of bad times. Do i think it is? No, but when the floor falls out, you rarely see it coming.
they say the downgrade is unwarranted, trust me they are afraid to downgrade as well, which means its much worse than AA+
Printing and spending more money should solve the problem.
"I object that he interrupted me while I was watching Ow! My Balls! !!!!
Ow My Balls!!! Epic Mike Judge
I've seen this happen a lot of times the marker will be back to the highs eventually
🤔 Here is the reason for the Fitch downgrade. U.S. debt is $31 trillion (that is 31, followed by 12 zeros). Consider this, if we paid $300 million toward the debt every week, it would take 2,000 years to pay it off. Don't believe me, then do the math. The U.S. is screwed!
So how does the government reduce its debt? Inflate your way out of it! 12% annual inflation and debt cuts in half in 6 years!! Great for government, terrible for the people. 😊
Fitch downgrade= doesn't matter… I'm up 26% ytd. I'm good…gonna buy these dips
I am shocked they were even AAA.
Whoa whoa whoa, Biden said inflation is how we get out of inflation. You know the theory of spending money that you don’t have creating more and more debt to get out of debt. This is bidenomics 101 guys, come on man!
I made 25k Tesla long put today good stuff Biden is great for my wallet 😊
Rememner last year when the stock market was pumping then J Powell waltzed into jackson hole and then proceded to blow up the market. It seems as if when the market is pumping they have that catylist in their pocket they know that will crash the market its almost to predictable and its always a matter of when not if
I don't know if your title really belies what you've explained tonight Matt. That said I'm interested to see what happens in the next couple of days as it might present an opportunity to ride the downtrend
Time for me to buy more BTC!
Just put your money in Shiba and ride this out
I disagree with this pull back as the dollar should have dropped not the stock market.
Bidenomics 😢
Abercrombie and Fitch ruined my calls 🙁
I hope. I opened agency like fitch so I can buy puts 🙂
It's simple. The economy has been artificially propped for quite some time. It was just a matter of time before we crash.
💪🏼