I just invested in Alibaba Stock, and I'm preparing to buy more! Personally, I think BABA is trading at a discount and this video explains the specific price levels I'll be watching as things develop.
Let me know your thoughts on BABA in a comment below.
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Let me know your thoughts on BABA in a comment below.
#AlibabaStock #BABAStock #AlibabaPricePrediction
π Join the #MoonGang: http://bit.ly/MattKohrs
π Trading Group: http://bit.ly/SMDTrading
β Charting Software: http://bit.ly/TradingViewChartingSoftware
Want FREE stocks? Once you deposit money, we both get free stocks!
Checkout these brokerages:
π° Robinhood: http://bit.ly/MattKohrsRobinhood
π° Webull: http://bit.ly/MattKohrsWebull
Please be sure to LIKE, SUBSCRIBE, and turn on them NOTIFICATIONS.
Let me know in the comments if there is anything I can improve on moving forward.
Thanks for Watching!
RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Performance results are hypothetical and all trades are simulated. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Video Topics:
alibaba stock, alibaba, alibaba stock analysis, alibaba stock prediction, alibaba stock forecast, alibaba stock review, alibaba stock news, baba, baba stock analysis, baba stock forecast, baba stock price prediction, baba stock news, baba stock prediction, buy alibaba stock, buy alibaba, should i buy alibaba stock now, top stocks, best stocks, high growth stocks, best stocks to buy now, best stocks to invest in 2020, best stocks to buy right now, kaswrp, meet kevin, stock moe
What's going on moon gang, i hope you're having a phenomenal day in this video, i will be discussing the chinese titan alibaba. I will be going over some recent regulatory news related to the company. I will be doing a technical breakdown of its stock and at the end i will be sharing exactly where and why i just invested in alibaba, but before i get into all that fun stuff. If you're new to the channel don't forget to join the moon gang by hitting the subscribe button, i'm attempting to hit 5 000 subscribers by the end of this year and your help with that would be truly appreciated.
And as always, if you enjoyed this video, don't forget to drop a like, because it really helps with getting it in front of other people who may be interested, and now that i got that out of the way. Let's get started in my most recent video related to alibaba. I spoke about how china regulators are drafting new anti-trust, anti-monopoly rules that will most likely have a negative impact on the company if you're interested in that i'll make sure to link it in the description of this video. But now to the dismay of many investors, alibaba is facing issues with u.s regulators on tuesday november 17th.
This article came out on bloomberg. Sec pushes urgent plan that could delist chinese companies. Now there is quite a bit of detail in this article and i'll only be going over some of the main points. So if you would like to read the entire thing, it can easily be found with a google search.
The u.s securities and exchange commission is pushing ahead with a plan that threatens to kick chinese companies off u.s stock exchanges, setting up a late clash between washington and beijing. By the end of this year, the sec intends to propose a regulation that would lead to the de-listing of companies for not complying with u.s auditing rules. At issue is the problem that has vexed u.s regulators for more than a decade. China's refusal to lit inspectors from the public committee accounting oversight board wow, that's quite a mouthful review, audits of alibaba and other firms that trade on american markets.
This lack of oversight is what allowed the accounting scandal at luck and coffee to be possible, and it caused a lot of people to lose a lot of money to clarify, though at this moment in time, this whole delisting thing is just a proposal and it doesn't Necessarily have to end in a political bloodbath. In fact, the vice chairman of the china securities regulatory commission sounded a positive note on resolving the issue at a panel discussion earlier this week, saying it's important to ensure that chinese companies have access to the international capital markets. He continued by saying, i think, during the biden administration, we should be able to resolve that problem because it's not an intractable problem. In other words, this may not develop into anything whatsoever, but i just wanted to bring it to your attention because it could become serious i'll make sure to keep you updated in future videos and now, let's switch over to the charts alrighty. Then, when the stock market closed for the day, things did not look the best. The s p, 500 dropped 1.2 percent, the tech, heavy nasdaq, 100 dropped 0.74 and the subject of this video alibaba dropped, 0.38 alibaba trades in the ticker b-a-b-a, and the stock is currently sitting at 255. At this price level, alibaba is still huge with a market cap. Just under 700 billion dollars, as you can see from this chart, it has been selling off recently and over the past month, it's down 17 over the past three months, it's down 0.76, but from the start of the year.
Until now, it's up 21, if you've been keeping up to date with my technical breakdown videos, you will be familiar with this current technical situation. Overall alibaba has been in an obvious uptrend from the start of 2019. Until now, of course, there was a sell-off at the start of this year, just like with every stock, but the overall trend has still remained bullish. More recently, in july of this year, alibaba was consolidating in this bullish wedge, where it was making higher lows and lower highs, and then in mid-august there was a breakout and a run to the key psychological level of 300.
From here there was a small sell-off that found support at the top of the wedge from july. Then there was another rally to the current all-time high of 319. Unfortunately, after posting, this high alibaba was hit with the ant ipo being delayed, china regulations and u.s regulations. All of this prompted a sell-off and from this high alibaba is currently down just over 19 percent.
Today's close officially marks the second close below the trend line that was formed in july and august. If the stock continues downward. The next major support would come at 246, which would be a decline of 3.7 percent and below that we have 241, which would be a decline of 5.8. I have this area highlighted in green, because if the stock were to drop to it, i think it would represent an excellent buying opportunity, but i'll talk more about that in just a bit whether the stock pulls an early u-turn or bounces.
Off of this support. The next resistance would be at 268, which served as previous support in september and resistance in july from the most recent close. That would be a gain of 4.8 percent if and most likely, when the bocam pushes the stock. Above this, i would then be watching the gap region between 280 and 290, which also happens to include the relative high from mid-september at 284.
This would roughly be a gain of 11 percent and, of course, for those of you who are curious to get back to the all-time high at 319, that would be a gain of 25 moving forward. I think that alibaba stock will bounce sooner rather than later. Fundamentally, the most recent earnings report was pretty solid. The company did extremely well with the singles day event, and i honestly think that the regulation issues will eventually blow by and from a technical perspective. The stock is coming up on an incredibly important area of support, and on top of that, if we look at the rsi, we are getting very close to the oversold zone. It's just a matter of time before investors find value at these prices, which will most likely be a huge discount years down the road to better explain why i invested today. Let me switch over to the four hour chart so, as you saw on the daily timeframe, alibaba's rsi value was not yet in the oversold territory. The same cannot be said about the 4-hour chart.
I want to bring your attention to these three points from november 11th. Until the 18th alibaba stock was making new relative lows, but the rsi wasn't, this is referred to as bullish divergence and it commonly means a bounce or at least a period of consolidation is about to ensue. So i knew i wanted to buy shares of alibaba, because i like the company's fundamentals and when i saw this technical development today, along with the upcoming region of support, i decided to invest a partial position for my portfolio and the cost basis is exactly 255.. I want to emphasize that i said partial position because in all honesty i would love to buy more shares between 241 and 246, but now, if the stock bounces early because of what we're seeing in the rsi i'll already be invested in some shares.
So it's a win-win. I'm fully planning on holding these shares for years to come, and that's because i believe in alibaba. I think that the ant ipo will be huge for the company. Tmall is an excellent revenue generator and in more of a general sense.
Alibaba has great exposure to the massive chinese market, as things continue to develop, both fundamentally and technically, with alibaba i'll make sure to keep you updated in future videos and also keep you posted on when i buy more shares of the company. So make sure you have your notifications turned on. In my personal opinion, alibaba does have some regulatory challenges ahead, but i ultimately think that the stock is trading at a discount. In fact, i would love the opportunity to buy more shares at the upcoming level of support, because i believe that the stock will be trading much higher years down the road with that being said, though, these are my own opinions and i'm not a financial advisor.
So i would highly recommend that you do your own research. I would really like to know your thoughts on alibaba in a comment below at what price would you buy the current dip? If you made it to this point in the video, i would like to say thank you. The support that this channel has been receiving lately is truly mind-blowing. If you have any suggestions for what i should cover next or any questions, please feel free to.
Let me know if you enjoyed this video, don't forget to drop a like, and if you haven't already don't forget to join the moon game by hitting the subscribe button. All that engagement really helps me out thanks for watching and until next time. Best of luck in the markets, you.
Matt do you know that BABA is a Cayman Islands variable interest entity and what that implication of that can be?
Baba is one of my largest positions. Nice video ty. ππ
Thanks for your information, I still didn't bought alibaba, should I buy alibaba stock current price $270?
Donβt take this guy seriously. Heβs wearing a pajama shirt
Why is Andrew Shulz giving stock opinions on youtube now? This is weird.
I would never invest in a public company that refuses auditing.
I was hoping it would dip down to 250 to trigger my buy order but it went back up :c
Made 25% on Tesla this week cash no options, sold and switched to BABA at $260.
Hey Matt how large (percentually speaking) is the risk of delisting and/or China declaring the VIE structure illegal?
got 13 shares @$195, added 3 more @$263… I might add more if it dips to $250
Just added 100 shares at $246.8 from HKEX today. I will add more shares when the price goes down again tomorrow but I donβt think I will get further discount tomorrow unless tonight BABA shows red again in US ( 9 in a row??? ).
Can you do a video on NETFLIX!!!! All you videos are very informative you are on π₯π₯π₯π₯π₯π₯π₯π₯π₯ keep posting videos boss
I wanna buy calls, when do u think all their issues will be resolved?
Nice video Matt as always. I think the daily chart MACD indicates itβs close to a bullish divergence but I think the bears still got room to push to 240. Iβm looking to get a call at least 3 months expiration.
I have been buying since the price dropped due to ANT IPO suspension. I thought that it was a good buy at 280. The past few weeks of drop gives me lots of opportunity to buy in at great price for this good company. If it drops again tomorrow to below 250, I will surely buy more. I
Do you think Iβll be able to make a nice flip on BABA? I bought a call today at 257.5 until next Friday I was hoping to see it around 262.5 or above I was also making 15% and didnβt sell thinking it would go higher..
Quite a lot of people bought it at the 300s when Ant IPO is about to begin.
Letβs assume Chinese stocks were delisted. I presume those stocks would trade on the Hong Kong stock market, right? Itβs not like stockholders would lose ownership of their stock. So how would stockholders be adversely affected?
Hello Matt, I got in earlier at 286. Didn't expect it to dip even further. I am contemplating to buy. What would you suggest?
$230 is my average price, great company, planning on adding more this coming week