So so so so so so so so hello, hello, hello folks, i am so incredibly happy to be back at it. It is monday january 10th and we're going to talk about everything that is dumb money. Welcome, welcome! Welcome! We had a couple days off there. I had some traveling and once in a while, it was one of those things where i could check in on my internet and in between, like the i guess, rides and when you get that crappy plane wi-fi.

But i am back. I am back, and hopefully we have a full week ahead of us and hopefully it's a good week, but we have a lot to talk about like this will be an incredibly important week, not only for the month. But honestly, it could be setting up the tone for the entire calendar year. Half the calendar year a lot of things going on from the higher level, especially related to the federal reserve, and i don't know if you've had the opportunity yet to kind of check in and see what is or isn't going on in your p l.

But there's a very, very good chance that it's, it's probably going to be a little red, a little red and there's a couple things all occurring at once and we're seeing quite a bit of downward pressure. So what i want to do this morning before that bell goes ding, ding ding. I want to do my best to articulate what i believe to be going on and kind of how i see things playing out. But, more importantly, i want to talk about.

I guess the main things for us to be looking for it's more of you. We know that you can make money, no matter what the market's doing. If it's going up down or even chop, there's a way to make money. The best thing we can all do together, especially as a community, is doing our best to identify what particular market regime we are currently in and, like i said a little bit ago, what we're about to happen, i guess between tuesday wednesday thursday and then really fri.

Honestly, just for the remainder of this week, we have a lot of important things. So with all that being said, let me switch us right over and we will talk about it all. Let me just make sure i had all this set up. Let's go: let's go, let's go all right.

So, yes, the market is a little bit red right now, as you can see so here's the spy. Let me go through some of the main things the spy is down. The cues are down. The russell is down.

We have some individual stocks, amc's down, gme gme's down you're, seeing quite a bit of red, so let's hop into it according to cnbc. Well also, if you just look at the futures, dow s, p, nasdaq oil, all red red red red yields - are up so kind of signaling to me at least as we're about to get a lot of information related to inflation. What you're about to find out is basically, this week the headlines that are going to rule the market are mainly going to be inflation and then starting on friday. It's the start of earnings season, so you're going to see a lot of earnings reports and, if anyone's paying attention to till ray this morning, they're signaling, some, hopefully positive things and we have some mixed bag on some other individual companies.

But the fact that yields are going up that is telling me that we're seeing an outflow from what's considered to be higher risk such as these common tech plays such as crypto. I will talk more about crypto, obviously at the crypto stream. Uh 2 p.m. Today but the yields are going up, so people are going risk off.

They would rather be involved with bonds and get more of the lower growth. Sure thing opposed to the higher risk higher growth for what's going on and it's an interesting setup for sure nasdaq s p 500, both set for to drop for the fifth straight session. So i mean i don't know. I leave you guys for two days.

I leave you on thursday and friday, and this is what you let happen with the market when i'm gone duck gang. What's going on moon gang, i'm leaving thursday and friday, and i get that some of those fifth straight session like i'm involved in some of that. Maybe in the start of last week, but i thought i left this in good, capable hands and i turn away for a second. You guys think let things go red red red.

I mean i'll, be getting into it right as the market opens. I didn't i. I don't want to look at my tesla calls right now my tesla cause they they can make a grown man cry. It's it's something, okay, so a couple of things you need to specifically know beyond.

Inflation is well actually. First, let's start a little bit on the political front, five things to know as u.s russia seek ukraine solution. So there are some diplomats being sent from the u.s this week to speak with some russian diplomats. Uh there's growing tension over there.

Basically, russia has moved over a hundred thousand troops to the border of russia, ukraine and obviously, when you're moving soldiers to a border with another country, tensions are going to get high, so this week diplomats will be speaking and hopefully there's some resolution there uh. I don't know if this isn't i what i would consider to be a main driver of the red, the sea of red, we're seeing in the market, but it's definitely something where, whenever you have these types of, like literally military-based concerns, there's going to be some play. There, but outside of that there are notable notable spikes in what's going on in the world of rona and also this unicorn variant, so on average there's an increase about 650 000 cases a day um. On top of that, remember we've been discussing how there is that mass exodus from the workforce.

So when you have the workforce mass exodus, but on top of that a considerable amount are staying home sick. It's estimated that around five million people at a given time are not working because they have an illness which represents about three percent of the labor force. Now, when you have three percent of the labor force, like three percent, you might be like uh, i don't know like that. Doesn't seem that much that's actually very, very considerable, and the this network effects the spiderweb effects of three percent three in every 100 people not working those have some serious implications.

Uh also related on that note we're seeing um i mean even me recently. I flew both of my flights were delayed and it's just. There are clearly labor shortages. There's people are sick, they're, not working.

It's causing serious problems, fortunately not so, but right now, with the newest, the newest set of data on the newest variant. There is the silver lining, yes, the numbers are high, the magnitude is high, but fortunately - and i'm always going to be driving this home, because i think it is an important silver lining is the fact that the mortality rate is low. I mean, i guess, maybe call me an optimist, but, like i don't want to just completely harp on negative negative negative, i don't think it's good to ever fear monger. Let's do our best to look at the situation for what the situation truly is.

Are the numbers higher yes, but the mortality rate does not seem to be going higher, definitely not at a proportionate rate. So i like that silver lining, but on the other side there is now about one in five about roughly 20 of hospitals are saying that they're actually having critical labor shortage issues, which these are some of the highest numbers that we've seen since december of 2020. So there's some bottleneck concerns there. All this i'm not making a political stance, i'm not telling you what's right, i'm not telling you what's wrong.

I'm just saying: hey, we've lived through this before and we know these types of headlines and reports clearly have an impact on the stock market. If you want to apply this to whatever your particular ideology, is congratulations have at it. I hope you're right, but i think for this we have a little bit of attention. What's going on with russia and ukraine we're seeing the numbers go higher and higher and as that relates to this rona stuff yeah, we know that's going to have an impact on the market.

So it's important to keep our finger on the pulse of that situation, but in reality, oh actually before i go on to like what i think is really going to be driving it. I just thought this was interesting. First dose vaccinations quadruple in quebec. I have restrictions at liquor and cannabis stores uh, so basically to be able to get liquor or cannabis.

They're saying you have to have your first dose and when that was put into effect, you are seeing that it absolutely jumped up quadrupled. I don't know why made me laugh all right, but let's move on goldman sachs ups fed rate hike forecast to four times this year, which is nuts goldman predicts the fed will hike rates four times this year, more than previously expected. So, obviously, over the past six months, seven months, ish we've gone from they're, not gon na do any rate hikes in 2022. To now goldman's saying we actually might have four this.

This whip saw this whiplash i mean it could break someone's neck. The estimate comes amid rising inflation and a tightening jobs market, along with the rate hikes goldman, sees the fed shrinking its bonds holdings soon. So i know that might seem a little bit like okay, like what does that mean, but that little sentence right there and what's going on huge, huge implications and you're very much seeing the impact on it in these higher risk, plays think of the nasdaq 100. Think of crypto think of these meme sucks higher risk if you're thinking of high risk, they are getting demolished right now and it always comes back to this very common, well-known stock market.

Market-Related adage do not fight the fed. This is nuts. Let's take a little walk down memory lane about half a year ago, they were buying 120 billion with a b bonds a month. They there was no talks of what are they going to do with their balance sheet? They're, like we'll worry about that later, and the interest rates were incredibly low.

They're like we're, probably not even going to raise interest rates, they were as dovish as dovish comes, it's referred to as qe quantitative easing. It was unlimited, quantitative easing and it was one of the most historic qe sessions programs attempts ever ever ever and now in half a year they're trying to undo all that we went from a point where hey inflation, it's transitory interest rates are low, let's buy buy, Buy, let's push, let's backstop everything, push it higher and higher and higher, and their main focus was, as they say, price stability, which i don't know. I have some personal qualms with that, but their main focus was the unemployment they want to keep unemployment as low as they possibly can, and it seems obviously like their focus was not much on inflation, especially when they're like yeah, it's just transitory and then fast forward About six months later and many sessions of gaslighting, i might add, within those six months we're now in a situation where everything's flipped on its head, we're going from no interest rate hikes at like, as a first initial thought to now goldman calling out four most people Accepting three, but it keeps they're like okay yeah, maybe we'll digest one okay, yeah two might be reasonable. Then the newest one is like okay, three on the card and now goldman's up in the ante and they're like.

We actually think the fed's gon na go for four, so that got completely switched on its head. Let's talk about the actual bond purchasing. They were purchasing 120 billion all the way up till november and they're tapering that down so they're still actively buying like money going in to the overall economy. The money supply.

That's they're printing they're hitting that like copy control, paste copy paste, copy paste, copy, paste, control, c control; v, that's what the fed's doing all day. They just copied a picture of a us 100 bill control, c control, v, control, v, pos, p space. That's what they've been doing and they're actually still doing it they're just doing it to less of a degree, and they should stop putting money in by roughly march. But here's the crazy thing is goldman and some other highly respected.

People are thinking that the fed's actually signaling. They will be trying to normalize their balance sheet very very soon, and this is one of the most hawkish things that we've heard in a while. Remember dovish is one end. Hawkish is the other hawkish you're fighting inflation, dovish you're, basically trying to keep unemployment as you possibly low, as you possibly can uh just for anyone.

Anyone who's hopping in right now, so we're in the scenario where they were buying a hundred and twenty billion a month, and now we're going to go to zero and they're going to try to normalize their balance sheet so previously in 2018. They were attempting to do this at a rate of 50 billion, and now some estimates that were raining are coming in at 80 billion, as in we were adding to the economy 120 and now fast forward, six months, they're going to be trying to take out 80.. That's a swing of 200 billion in less than six months. That is crazy, as in a five-month time frame, we're talking about a trillion dollar swing, this stuff, the money.

This is just nuts, it's nuts, it's nuts, it's nuts and that's why i'm saying that this is so incredibly important this upcoming week, because tomorrow, tuesday, on capitol hill 10 a.m. That's when they're expected to reaffirm the senate is expected to reaffirm jerome powell as the chairman and then we have the fed governor brainard. So that's at 10 am tomorrow tuesday, on wednesday at 8 30 before the market opens, we have the cpi, the consumer price index and that's going to be very, very important if that comes in really hot and we're still getting these headlines that our federal reserve is Going to be hawkish look out below, but if inflation actually comes in less hot, that would be nice and people are already digesting what the fed's doing. Okay, that might be a better scenario, so the cpi on wednesday will be incredibly incredibly important if it's too hot look out below.

If it comes in less hot, that will be good for the overall market. Then, on thursday we have the producer price index, the ppi. So that's consumer, it's like! Basically how much are we feeling it and then manufacturers, that's their inflation number, so that's thursday at 8, 30. and then friday is the start of earnings season.

So you're going to be hearing from various here. I actually have that list. So if you want to know all these times, write them down once again: 8. 30.

8. 30. Wednesday, thursday tomorrow is the capitol hill reaffirmation of pal um. There was one i just wanted to get the list of companies.

Basically, a bunch of banks are going to start reporting on friday and there's like oh right here - jp morgan, citigroup, wells, fargo delta, so we're going to get some of that information starting friday and friday kicks off earnings season. So a lot of things that are going to be important in the headlines. Just so everyone knows, speaking of some of these companies, ttw ttwo take two interactive. Maybe you've heard it discuss it before it is in the world of esports, i'm bullish on esports.

They are buying zanga, uh ttwo is taking a hit this morning, while xanga is actually up a decent amount, but that's why that one's moving lululemon, it's down basically signing supply chain issues. It's citing rona issues on more of a positive note: uh crocs, you know for all the dads that are listening right now. You must have been buying crocs at a crazy, crazy rate, because crocs are due were doing great in the fourth quarter. Sales were up 42 um, i'd like to think of the fourth quarter as the quarter that that dads could really show off who they were, and so, if you're in crocs, i have no position in take two.

I have no position in lululemon. I have no position in crocs, but if you're in any of those you're going to be selling seeing volatility and if you're long on crocs, especially congratulations because it's looking pretty pretty good now, let me just make sure i want to let's do a little bit of A market check because i do want to say a couple things about amc, gme and then, of course, if there's any questions about anything, i've discussed more than happy to do it. But yes, the market, we're feeling some pressure and hey i'm, not a financial advisor. Do what you want all i'm ever doing is letting you know my opinion and how i'm handling things is, in my opinion, this particular week with the volatility that we're expecting.

This is the time to not overstay your welcome on anything. If there's times that i'm in and out, i want to get out quickly if i have some profit, because it's just going to be any single day, there could be a new headline that swings the market in your direction, which would be awesome or it could swing. It in the opposite direction over when i was without internet or when i had spotty internet at the best. I just saw that i was getting my teeth kicked in on tesla, so i still have that tesla position from last week.

I will be looking. I had tesla calls and obviously everything's been going down, so i've been getting very, very beat up, so i'll be looking to get out of that early this morning. I might hold on to that micron just because i have some more time, but man things are definitely definitely under pressure. So we have the russell coming down.

The cues are coming down the spies coming down and with it does it suck if you're long yeah i mean. Obviously that means you're getting beat up money but hey. If you have some of that, like reserve capital and you're. Looking for your position.

Well, you might be able to keep your overall portfolio afloat by hey, getting into something such as a put or, if you don't want to do it at all or if you want to start selling some calls. There are various tactics like you. Don't only have to make money when things are going up. There are ways to make money in any environment.

The game is to identify what environment you are possibly in, but right now we are seeing some overall pressure. So, let's see how things really open up in those first 10. 15. 20 minutes.

Let's talk a little bit about amc, so amc hang on. Let me switch over to the technicals, we're basically getting a double bounce. So let's hope that this double bounce actually holds. If it breaks below 20, that's not going to be the best scenario.

The low back on december 14th was 20 80.. The low recently was 20 80 once again, so i'm referring to january 6th and then also december 14th. We hit the exact same low. What's interesting here and i think i could show it better right here, these two, the exact same level but check this out.

The rsi was actually higher. So if you're paying attention to the relative strength index, that's a mismatch. The price is at the same level, but there's less bearish momentum. This is called bullish, divergence so from a technical scenario.

Let's see if that actually does or does not play out, it's definitely something i will be paying attention to. But with this play, it's becoming pretty obvious that it's not necessary in any manner to watch the chart day in and day out. You don't have to watch every minute bar watching it isn't going to make it go up or down. So i've been trying to pay attention to the bigger picture and i'm particularly interested in obviously the bounce back of the overall box office, which we will be going into, but also i want to see that expansion in amc as a business.

I want it to become a better business, a stronger foundation of a business, and i think that the answer to that will be through crypto, so very excited that they're continuing to get their toes a little bit wet with nfts. And i'm just looking for them to take that full plunge into the world of crypto, but let's talk first, a little bit about their balance sheet and their balance sheet, which we know they have a lot of debt that will come to maturity in 2025 2026. They have a little bit before that, but overall okay, so we have some time so in between that time, i think a lot of the focus is: are they going to go ebitda positive and then also just what's the overall box office looking like? Is it going to continue to grow and grow and grow and check this out, so this was posted on gower street? If you want to just see it yourself, so we know 17, 18 and 19.. The box office was growing.

This is the global box office. Just so, everyone knows 41 billion, 41.8 and 42.3 and then we obviously got hit with rona everything shut down and the global box office in 2020 dropped to 12. and then the 2021 were roughly coming in at 20 billion and right here this, if you want to Know the color coding the orange is domestic, the us, the gray is china and international without china. So for us we could be focusing on some of these numbers, but overall you don't even have to get really bogged down in those specifics.

I'm trying to point out their forecasted growth of roughly 12 to 21 to 33 for the overall global box office. Obviously this is incredibly important, especially to the likes such as amc that has the biggest market share of the theatrical experience. So, overall, i just thought that this was very, very interesting global box office set for 33 billion a year, so hopefully this comes to fruition. Hopefully we do even better, but some of these movies that are expected to come out, i think, are going to be wildly wildly popular if you want to see the whole list right here, i mean check this out, but this growth i mean, i think graphically.

This is a great uh basic data, visualization of the core business of amc, we're expected to go better and better and better year over year and then, hopefully, by 2023, we're actually back in kind of the fighting weight of above 40 bill. I think that would be awesome just so you know before we go on to amc right now. The estimated short interest on amc is 17.7. Now, let's talk about gme, which has an estimated short interest of 16.66, similar to amc.

My i guess biggest excitement for the upcoming year is what can gamestop do in the world of crypto and this one's pretty obvious? This is going to be their nft marketplace, which i know mainstream the wall street journal i mean i had even tweeted it out that wasn't really like. Oh it's officially going to happen. It's just more of hey. Mainstream is now paying attention to it.

If you've been watching gamestop or hearing about loop ring or really anything within this particular ape community there's a good chance, you already knew that gamestop was really attempting to pull off this nft marketplace to buy, sell trade, and i think that's incredibly incredibly important and smart And i think it could really really help the business. So these recent reports we've been seeing. It's not saying that it's new news, it's saying that mainstream is actually picking up that news and i think there were actually some positive things that came of it. Okay, so of course, of course, this news should not come as a surprise to our readers and it shouldn't, because many many people have been talking about loopering, nfts and gamestop for a while, so that report that came out from the wall street journal last week, it Just means it went mainstream, it doesn't mean that there was um any confirmation from the company or really a step forward.

It's just that no mainstream is now paying attention to it, but i did like this little excerpt. Gamestop also is close to signing partnerships with two crypto companies to share technology and co-invest in the development of games that use blockchain and nft technology, as well as other nft related projects. So i've been talking about this and it was in a video that i posted on saturday. I think one of the biggest trends we're going to see in 2022 as it relates to crypto are kind of a pivot in the world of nfts, but particularly the like paid to play.

Nft based games - and i think the way things are trending gamestop - has a unique opportunity to really take advantage of it uh. Where are we? The retailer expects to enter into similar agreements with a dozen or more crypto companies to invest tens of millions of dollars in them this year. That's great so whether it's there's so many paid to play, games right now, they're getting more and more popular. I would say one of the biggest most well-known ones is axi, so i think there's a very interesting opportunity there, but first of all you have to get the marketplace out like that.

That's obviously going to be step one and there's a lot of assumption, and i think they're going to be right is it will be with loopring now. Is this confirmed by either company? No, it's not, but we're just. I think we're literally just waiting on that public announcement, because there are some pretty obvious signs that gamestop will be pairing up with loot brain. We have reason to believe that gamestop and loot bring are closer than ever to signing a formal partnership.

Loot brings github. If you don't know what github it's a versioning tool in the word world of coding, so you write some code. You need to improve it, so you can put it in there and blah blah blah, but yeah it's a versioning tool for what version of code you're. Currently, on um so anyway, their github has references to gamestop meta in the nft dev, amended code branch suggesting a high likelihood of integration, with gamestop's upcoming nft focus platform and beyond that we just it's.

It is pretty obvious, like socially the people who are following the other people on twitter, some various commentary, other things going on in their github, it's pretty much all but confirmed especially when you look at gamestop's job postings. They were looking for a product owner head of web3 gaming remote in seattle. They had to have experience with layer two, which is exactly what loop ring. Is it's one of these things that literally everything, but the public announcement is out there.

So i think we're going to be waiting on that, maybe for a little bit, obviously the sooner the better. I think that'll prompt, more excitement, but overall, i'm so incredibly thrilled for gamestop and what's going on with loopring, i obviously own gme, i own lrc, and i think both of them it's going to be an awesome partnership. I think gamestop through all this insanity and we're almost what one year in now, it's almost the the birthday in about two or three weeks, um of how this all started to go nuts at the end of january in 2021. I think this is marking the and it already started, but this positive improved trajectory for the company.

I am so absurdly bullish on the intersection of nfts and games, and to me i mean, as i see this and how it's growing from a technological standpoint. It makes me so incredibly confident in being a gamestop investor and the way these both tie together as in gme and amc man, uh amc, is making its move into nfts too uh. I think their path is a little bit less well defined. I mean gamestop they're.

Just making the entire marketplace so amc, it's getting its toes west and i think it's just gon na end up getting more and more serious and excited to see what the leadership team ends up coming out with. So that's your update right there on what's going on in the world of these moon stocks, but overall pay attention this week, especially because those are both kind of a medium to longer term of like. Where are the companies going like? I said it, you don't really need to spend your time watching the minute to minute chart of either of these unless you're actively training it. But in terms of watching charts and seeing what's going on this week, huge setup for the overall market, the spy, the cues, the russell tesla apple, microsoft, nvidia amd all these will be impacted by whatever the inflationary based headlines are saying.

Remember tomorrow, tuesday federal chairman jerome powell, capitol hill should be reaffirmed by the senate same thing with defend governor brainard wednesday cpi at 8, 30. thursday, 8 30. We get the producer price index the ppi, and then friday is the kickoff of earnings season. We're gon na have huge volatility, huge swings.

What does that mean? It means stick to your plan as always, but be as disciplined as you particularly can about this, because also remember we're. The seasonality is changing. We are getting to the point where the santa rally of positive impact is kind of concluding and we're now getting into chop and then, by the time you get to the latter half of january till the end of january, there's actually some bearish seasonal influence. So remember, seasonality is even getting to that choppy point right now.

So overall, that is the setup. I know we have a couple seconds to go. Let me drop to the one minute chart. We will watch the opening and, with all that being said as we're watching the opening, please let me know if there's any questions comments concerns.

Maybe you agree, disagree we'd, love to chat about it all right. Let me make sure we are all good here. All right. Ding any ding, ding ding ding, ding, ding ding, the casino is open all right.

What do we have? What do we have? What do we have? How are things opening, oh, i'm kind of afraid, to check my tesla at this point. Folks, i'm not gon na lie. I know i'm getting beat up on tesla. The question is just how much? How much is the golden question? Micron, hey the pelosi play at least that one's a little bit green.

Let's focus on the point two percent green, rather than the horrific amount of red we're seeing across everything uh. Do i still own amc? Yes gladly. If you ever have questions of uh, what equities i own, don't forget! You can check it out on public. If you just go to public.com course sign up, you can see my account for free.

You can see what's in it. If there's any concerns of what stocks i am or i'm not in just go to public, that's the one where anyone who follows my account and it's free to do. You can see what stocks i'm in options are a little bit of a different story. That's what i'm using the new td account for and the td account was doing super super.

Well, we were up, i mean 70. It went from 10k to 17k, but given what's going on with tesla right now, not so good, oh i'm getting so beat up. Oh wow yeah the pretty much all of those gains that we made i'm now currently giving back on tesla. The current tesla trade is down 6k.

Oh, this is brutal. I just need to cut it. I can't no! No, no! No! Stop stop! Freeze the market. Let me get out create, closing order, create closing order, confirm and send okay.

I got out of tesla at whatever that was i needed out. That was brutal. I got out at a dollar 22.. I still have the micron just so everyone knew knows, but like tesla, i just got annihilated annihilated: okay, um jay, buggy marius scott shout out shout out.

I appreciate you sending in those questions, but just so everyone knows in terms of uh like those. I would personally appreciate it if you could send those through on rumble. That would be great just for future reference, a tip of the tinfoil hat to you, fun fact rose parades, flowers, amc had a flown, it were provided by a company called ftd coincidence. Maybe that's pretty funny.

I actually that's actually really really funny um matt the pain. Please make it stop. I don't know if the pain will be stopping this week, if i'm being honest, but i don't want people to think of it as pain because remember, we know how to play it in all directions: don't think of red as pain, think of it as like. Okay, if you think it's trending red, you got ta play that direction um, so i i think we need to as a community - and i was thinking about this a lot when i was just sending.

Oh man, things are going the ways they shouldn't be going um. I was thinking about this quite a bit recently and as a community, it's that's what we have and that's one of the coolest things so like as a moon game community like i. I don't want us to get into that mindset that, like, if everything is red, we're bummed out and like we're losing money. No like i'm hoping that we're all getting to the level that we could play it in various directions and just whenever there's a big push.

One way or another, i want us to all be breaking out those money rates. Getting that money we shouldn't it shouldn't just be exclusively happy when everything in the market's green, if everything's in the market is green, okay, cool, i hope we're making money. If everything in the market thread also cool, i hope we're making money and more of the difficult ones are like when it's like a mixed bag, where there's some sectors that are red, some that are green and chopped. Those are kind of the tough days but hey for us.

Those are just going to be the learning days where we can talk about new strategies. We can learn a little bit about options or crypto or whatever have you, but when things are like just that, choppy mess uh. I think those are the days. Those are like the good education talking days, but this trending days.

Those really, ideally should be the days that we're breaking out those money. Rakes ape king cores, the sava the savages need your help. Reprehensible shorts, keep life-saving medication uh. What is the sava short interest? Let me check that savasavasava savasavasava.

I also want everyone to know that. Okay, the savage so you know, sava's short interest - is 37 percent uh they've been falling apart. It's nuts and deez nuts. All right, where are the buyers? Where are the buyers where in the world are the buyers? Oh um wall very quickly, while we're waiting for the market to open, because i'm just trying to let it breathe for about 10 more minutes, i need to share a story with all of you.

Man, gamestop and amc are getting hit, but everything's getting hit. Look at how red all of this is um. Well, hopefully, this story will distract you i'll share some of my pain, so hopefully you're feeling less pain, so i had to catch a flight last night and because of i guess, whoever was working or lack of working. Everything was getting delayed, delayed delayed, so i'm walking up to the airport and i'm not through security.

Yet and i get up to security - and i say hi and if we're being honest for a second, i look like one of the least intimidating least dangerous people. Ever when i go to the airport, there's a very good chance that my five foot, nothing completely totally real girlfriend. They look at her more than they look at me like i don't know what it is about me, but, let's be honest, you're watching me right now and you're you're, just i i don't have an intimidating, um presence to me whatsoever. I just people look at me and they're like wow he's not gon na, do anything and that's not just you and it's not just on youtube.

It literally goes up to the highest levels of um, like police, the tsa and, in this particular account time and time again, the tsa looks at me and they're, like whatever kid just go to wherever you need to so that's my like. I've realized that and that's how i always think, i'm like whatever it's tsa like i just they're, not worried about me, uh whatever it is, it's my vibe or something they just i'm not a dangerous looking person. So i get up to the tsa pre-check and i put my phone on the thing to scan the ticket and then i give them my license and she i thought i said she said something and with everyone having masks on - and i probably had one headphone in, I thought she said something, and i said yes, i'm matt like m-a-t-t, like i thought she was asking me my name because she like had it up to like check to my face. So i was like yes, i'm matt.

What she heard was i'm mad and i didn't know that she heard me saying i'm mad, because i heard myself saying i'm matt and she said. Oh, are you and i said yes, i am because i'm thinking yes, i am mad because i know my own name and she's thinking that a guy came up to the security and just told airport security that he is mad and when asking to reaffirm it, he Said yes, i am, and she said oh, why and i was just like i am and like now we're both confused and i was like i didn't know what was going on and she called someone else over and like at first it was a lady, but she Called over a guy and they don't grow guys this big anymore. So i look up at him and he's looking down at me and he's like do we have a problem and i was like no, i don't think so. I was like i honestly, don't know.

What's going on and then this dude, this mountain of a dude he's like she said that you told her, you were mad and then, when you asked when she asked you about it, you just reaffirmed and doubled down and said that you are. I was like no, no, no, no, i am matt matt matt, like i thought they were asking for my name and then he chuckled and then she was confused and she forgot about me, but at the end i obviously just walked through and it wasn't. It wasn't like they took me in like a back room or anything, but it got tense there for a second it got. It was super weird.

I was big confusion, so if, for any of the mats out there make sure you are properly enunciating your own name, because it could go south very very quickly. So in my entire life that was the first time that etoro closed uh. That was the first time. I've actually had problems with security, all right etoro on what's going on with etoro etoro news, i've never used etoro, i'm just trying to see.

I see some people comment: sansa capitalized, what's are people having issues with etoro right now, aaron love the rant this morning matt. I found you on rumble in july 2020, been following you ever since keep up the great work makes my mornings go by so fast shout out. Aaron shout out rumble gang the rumble grang all right, so we are finally getting a s: bounce back, which is nice, nice, nice, nice, nice, nice, nice, nice, uh, gamestop, unfortunately, holding out sub 130, but we're seeing the spy trying to come back. We're seeing tesla trying to come back um where let's do a quick little check on the overall market apple, never really, fortunately, holding above that three trillion market tapped it and just didn't want to hang out there amd 127.

corsair almost down to 20., lucid all right. Yeah some equities are closed on etoro, seemingly for no reason, that's why you make sure to say you're matt from mad strats. Do you know who i am? I am matt from mad strats. I think i don't know if tsa is really up to date on the the newest list of pico influencers, all right, i'm going to do my best to make an emotional trade and get my tesla money back.

Let's do it, let's do it. Let's do it. Tesla tesla tesla tesla all right all right. Let me make sure that actually went through.

It did. Okay, just so everyone knows i need to write this down. I got some tesla puts. I know it's two minutes before my own rule.

I just kind of like the current setup um the 950s for a 950 put for this friday, jan 14., tesla put the strike is 950 and i paid 21.05 and i'm not particularly interested in like swinging that this far just because i know starting a little bit Tomorrow, but really starting on wednesday, we're just going to see that volatility um so with it we're my 15 minutes in it's just that rough, like i don't like getting in in this like morning, volatility push, i waited for it. Okay, it came up. I saw some weakness right here and my risk is very well established at 9.95 yeah, it's a bummer if i have to cut it because that means i burn a day trade, because the count is below 25k. But hey, that's part of the game.

Right now is the fact that you have to battle with pdt, but i am seeing. I guess i wanted to get it as close to my risk, as i possibly could, and i care more about my risk rules than i do my particular time frame when it's just the deviation of less than a minute at that point. But overall my reasoning is this is until we find out what's going to happen on wednesday. We know the fed is very, very hawkish.

In a high inflationary environment we see yields are spiking right now, so money is going out. There's a flow out from these high risk investments and i'm seeing some weakness in the spy. Is there weakness in the queues? For some reason, this is taking a bit to update. Let me put the spy over here and we'll see how this goes, we'll see how it goes, we'll see how it goes, and it's doing that jumpy thing what's going on wall street, if i can.

Oh thank you wall street viking for sending that in on rumble, do i still own prague? Yes, if you have, if you ever have any questions of what equities i own, i'm telling you make a public account. It's absolutely free free trading, there's no options trading, but they are sending 75 of your orders to a lit market. The only time it goes off market is legally when they have to because they found you a better price somewhere else. But it's free to sign up.

You could you actually get paid for signing up, and on top of that, you can see my account. If you go to public.com coors, you can see exactly what i'm in. If you ever have any questions about the public equity portfolio, i do have a long-term portfolio. That's not that one, but if you just ever have questions about it.

Let me know, and i'm more than happy to answer it more than happy to answer it all right. What kind of flow do we have coming in 11.? Okay, it looks like they updated this. A little bit all right, so a tesla call roku put. We have a microsoft put another tesla call 11 days out, but a tesla put a tesla put an amazon put we're definitely seeing an inordinate amount of puts coming, uh relative to even what we were seeing at the start of last week.

So some of the bigger money - some it's not like a wall of - puts i'm not saying like everything's a put. Obviously we had a tesla call, a tesla call, a facebook call and a tesla call. It's not straight up puts, but some of the bigger bets, the biggest one i'm seeing thus far is 1.9 million, and that was an amazon put for march. The march monthlies 3 18 2800 strike all right.

Let's see how this is actually playing out, the queues may be attempting to make a bounce how's. The russell looking russell came down kind of flat everything trying to get its footing right now. So let's see how this all really plays out. What filters do i use? Uh, that's a great question.

So here are my filters. Uh, i use a minimum of a hundred thousand uh. The size range actually doesn't really matter to me. I can make that as zero uh.

I care more about the money. Be said. 100. 000 uh.

I have the ask side toggled just because i want it to be aggressive. I want it to be aggressive, as in they are traversing the spread uh. What else do we have not the bid side um? I have all basically the all selected for the expiry uh dte, don't have anything there, that's pretty much otm only so i don't want to be doing the in the money ones um. That just has some slightly different connotations.

So basically, i want aggressive out of the money, calls or puts uh, so it just it shows sizeable as in 100, 000 plus aggression, so it's out of the money and also um, sometimes i'll filter it by like a shorter dte uh days till expiration. So right here, 67 days, 11 days, sometimes i'll do the shorter ones, but right now um. This is like more of the generic one. More of the generic one, uh crypto is getting smoked right now, um.

I will this similar to the nasdaq 100. You could pay attention to the dollar uh. You could pay attention to yields, but basically, depending on what's going on, if you're seeing the dollar, especially the dollar index, dxy, go up and up and up uh, there's, probably a good sentiment to the correlation of crypto. Going down, but i will be talking more about that in the crypto stream - all right, let's see if a base is actually going to get made here.

Oh one thing and i completely forgot about this yesterday - i wanted to point out the gaps, so you have a gap in the s p. 500. Right now you have four gaps below you have one gap from december 20th at 4, 55 to the downside. You have another one right here around 447, another one at 442 and another one at 436.

So you have four gaps to the downside, but then now because of the gap down, you actually have one gap to the upside. So this one's at 460 480.. So one upside fill gap and then a downside, downside, downside, downside so four to the bottom, one one to the top just so we're all on the same page there. Yes, the reason i bring up these gaps is because there is a statistical advantage to playing a gap fill, but remember that advantage not necessarily associated with a time frame.

It's not like gaps have to get filled the next day. You can do that math. You can do that breakdown to say. Okay, like i think, gaps get filled here.

I feel like they don't get filled here. Um. There are better odds for certain days, but overall, the edge is clearly in your favor to play a gap film, especially if you're playing an agnostic of time, uh ssr is on for gme shout out the prophet. Do is it.

Let me just double check this. Yes, it is, it is it is, it is um. So for those of you who don't know what ssr is, it is short sale restriction basically to get onto the ssr. You have to drop 10 from the previous days closed at any point as soon as you drop 10 in that intraday trading, the next day you were put on to ssr that lasts for the remainder of the trading day and the entire next trading day.

So, for example, right now with gamestop, let me throw it up um because of the sell-off this morning it got put on ssr. It will be on it all the way up till 4 pm today and then obviously all day tomorrow. So now that you're on it. What does it actually mean? What does it actually do? Uh, that's when you're going to want to look up what's referred to as the uptick rule.

So, basically, you cannot take a short position if it's trending down so, for example, even though it's on ssr this push right here, that's a positive push, which means that a short could be taken. But if it trends downward it's attempting to stop the dog pile effect. It doesn't want new shorts to enter the game if it's already trending down now, that might sound all good and dandy, but does it actually help us? Unfortunately, not really we've been watching this stuff now, basically like a hawk over the past year, and it seems like ssr - is one of those things that it sounds like a good rule. It's it sounds decent, but then it just doesn't really stop it, and one of the reasons for that is because market makers can still short um whenever you have equities that go on to the ssr.

That's also, naturally, when you see a spike in short, exempts so short exempt. Is you it's literally that name you're exempt from these rules, so it's the shorts that are taken when really the rest of the market can't short, but someone like a market maker. Can it's kind of weird because they're their own, like policing force for lack of a better analogy, lack of a better term, but they when they think it's appropriate? They can still short, even if the rest of the market can't short. So when the data comes in over the next two to three days, you're going to see a spike in short, exempts on gme, just because market makers are still going to be shorting, even though the rest of the market won't be shorting as long as it's trending Downward, so it's i don't know, i remember back in february february february 2021 is like right when we all that was like kind of a hot topic at that time of, like oh, like we're on short exam blah blah blah, and at that point there was like Some misinformation going out that it was like super protective and it was.

It was good that we had this rule and, like some people i remember were trying to pitch it as like. Oh a friendly whale dropped. It because they're, like oh there's, going to be no shorts now over the next two full trading days, the remainder of the first day and the entire additional trading day after that. But in reality we never ever ever saw it play out in that manner like it was pretty much just a negative like occurrence.

I would rather just not drop it as i just don't believe. Ssr really protects us uh, the hood investor. I don't even want to look at my portfolio today. Hey i mean there's always that way.

I'm attempting to balance out my portfolio with my tesla right now, which thus far is not doing good whatsoever, but let's see, let's see how it actually plays out i'll, throw um i'm looking for that breakdown of 980. Remember i bought those 950 puts for this friday. I would be more than happy to lock in a profit today i maybe i'll end up swinging it. I guess it depends on how the remainder of the day really plays out, but we'll see what does it mean that when they can blow the ssr rule by shorting on downticks? So when ssr is on you're not supposed to be able to short when it's trending down on downticks, like that, it's trending downward, as in the newest tick like the newest um agreement between a buyer and seller, the newest transaction.

If it's lower, that's a downtick! So, if you're down tick down tick down tick, when ssr is on, no one should be able to short, but market makers are exempt from that and that's why you naturally see a spike in ssr exempt trades when it's on, because market makers are still going to Be shorting they're still providing sell side liquidity uh shout out see so some people have been asking me about rumblestock. I don't own any uh at this moment in time. When i see a nice opportunity, i probably will get it, but i just want to be clear that i have no investment, but i'm definitely watching this support at 10.70. Actually, this 30 cent region between 1070 and 11 um nice region of support.

Overall, though, i'm kind of watching some of these, like larger macro effects of just look at the spy all day down down down down down the cue's down, but not at such a steep angle, amc amc is just chopping right now, better than getting nailed like the Spy prague is down, five percent is anything. Green is tilray. At least green tilray is up 18 percent uh. If you don't know the news until rory.

Well, first of all till raise a marinara play for any of my marinara investors. Marinara enthusiasts till ray is the biggest marinara company uh out of canada, but anyway uh they are potentially going profitable, maybe definitely a narrower than expected loss like just fundamentally their company had a pretty good quarter talking about earnings season before that's. What's going on with tilray they're saying no like actually we're beaten down and our company's performing better than that, and hence why it's up a decent percentage, a decent percentage, all right what's actually happening here. The spy and the q still getting hit all right.

Let's check in on disney disney holding constant flat at 156 kind of chopping right. The support around here - 150 750 - that's right where it ran into resistance right now. Disney's gon na have a very tough time continuing higher if the qs and the spy are both getting hit. Like this, let's map out some potential support for the spy, i would say the first support is 458, so i think there might be another dollar push to the downside before we get to technical support and then from there i'd be watching this gap fill at 455..

So 458, these are the two levels, i'm watching 458 and then 455 and a half. Those are the two levels on the spy i'll be paying attention to in terms of the cues. This is a very obvious technical breakdown. We had a breakout, some consolidation, a next another breakout and then support support, support all at 379..

We gap below it and we're going lower uh. I guess on the qs on the nasdaq i'd be watching maybe 465 ish. It there's definitely some downside to this. 465.

Ah, maybe 370, first on the qs so 370.. So that's like another two dollars of down sign before i see major support, um disney, obviously doing its best to hold its own, but it's going to be tough for it to outperform when the s p. 500 is being so perfectly walked down, so perfectly walked down. Where do i see support on nvidia? I would be watching 250 another nine dollars.

Well, it depends on your time frame um if you're playing it for this week, like if you have a very short term expiration on nvidia. I would just ride the trend and when i see some buyers happen, i would lock in my profits. But if you have a little bit of a longer time frame, i would be watching this consolidation area at 250 and if it breaks below that i'd be looking for the gap fill on the high of october 25th, which would be 2 33. I am very very curious about it seems like tesla is actually on an intraday basis.

I know not on a percentage basis, but on an intraday basis. Tesla is holding stronger than the qs in the spy. Pretty much range bound, tesla's, just doing a good job of really not going anywhere, as i say that, and it moves against me, but um, i'm almost confused on why it's doing on just the intraday chart so much better than the spy and the qs um. So we have a tesla call that just came in 200 000.

Amazon call a 1.3 million bet. An apple 170 call 360 000.. So this just came in a 1 000 call for this friday, interesting uh.