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The Matt Kohrs Show (Sep. 12th)

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RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

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Thank you Foreign yo check this out! I was going to start I was going to start today's with like a a Batman like a Rachel thing but my little kitty just jumped up. she climbed up my pants. oh Piper oh paper paper cam Paper Cam this is uh, your size. check on how much he's growing.

Yeah, look how long that cat is Long cat, that's a Look at her. uh look at that cat. dude. She's so chill with anything.

She's just so calm all the time. She's put her down there on the chair she can hang out with the chair. today. she's just so chill all the time.

All she does all she does. let's kind of relax. once in a while she eats some kibble, she's just vibing. She's always just like permanent.

Vibe 100 Vibe 100 of the time 110 Vibe 110 of the time just soon just doing cat things. uh am I on Trt testosterone replacement therapy? No I should be though. uh I just want to take boat. oh I guess she's leaving.

Uh I want to take testosterone I'm gonna take whatever it d-ball is I've heard that in like the lifting Community um uh I've heard about Trent I wanna I wanna take it all I just want to take like a big heaping helping of all of that stuff just to see what happens just to see how big I can get before Deca whatever Deca is I want to take that? is that what a d ball is? Whatever that is, throw it in there I want more of it and just put it all together I Just want a big smoothie concoction every morning of all that stuff just to see how big and ripped and vasculine I could get before my heart gets out as of this point I I Do I don't even take pre-18 no less creatine or creatine I Don't take pre-workout I don't take protein I don't take creatine I don't take anything I just get up and take a Zyrtec Like the major thing I ingest in a day is an antihistamine. so I don't get the sniffles when I'm playing with Piper um and I take that because I'm like okay if I take it now and then go on the stair stepper in the morning. it'll go through my system faster so I don't have allergies by the time I start the show if anything I under eat I've been doing fasting so I don't really eat till 1 pm and even when I do that, my first meal of the day is usually a factor meal and they clock in at like four or five hundred calories and then I eat a normal dinner I guess like my carb loading I Recently bought a gallon of Reese's uh ice cream which is amazing. If any of you are in the market for a ice cream selection this evening this weekend, whatever it is, uh I I would humbly humbly humbly recommend you get Reese's ice cream.

Um, so that's my main. That's the main thing I do to get ripped these days is Reese's ice cream. So shout out to Reese's if you want to sponsor me because obviously that's like the exclusive thing that's making my body. um I guess almost reflective of a Greek god atop a throne of Olympus That's pretty much my secret My secret is very much Reese's ice cream so anyone can do it.

It's easy peasy, lemon squeezies. Shout out. someone's asking me my fishing level. Much appreciate that I am all the way up to 65.
So I'm at the point where I've been using the dragon Harpoon to catch swordfish and some tuna. Now that means I'm I think six levels away from finally being able to catch sharks. but uh, I need to take a break from it because I've I've just been catching way too many. What have I been catching lately I guess jumping trout and jumping salmon and I just I'm just getting tired of it.

so I need to take a break and work on some other things, but we're getting up there. Um, as you guys can see, my life is really coming together between my Zyrtec Reese's ice cream stair stepping Health routine not only physically but mentally and then I would say spiritually I'm becoming awakened by how much digital fishing I've been doing I've caught thousands of aquatic creatures. At this point things are just looking together. Things are really, really starting to come together for old Maddie Boy and I Just want to say thank you to all you guys because I actually don't think it would have been capable without thousands of my closest Digital internet friends supporting me saying yeah Matt You should be eating a third of a gallon of ice cream every single night after crushing the stair stepper.

The Majors, you should under eat and just only take Zyrtec Um, so thank you guys thank you thank you thank you Uh I I'm very very very much appreciate it. Um oh oh I completely forgot about this I'm just seeing the comments over here right now. um Housekeeping Moon Game Community Update: A lot of you may have noticed that there was no Power Hour stream yesterday. that was by Design Uh, it was decided at the last minute I was talking with my producer trying to figure out okay like should we do it again this week and the reasoning for why we chose to not do it was.

first of all, there wasn't that much interest. So for all of June all of July all of August we've had the power hour stream and the numbers. It just the juice wasn't really worth the squeeze. We were consistently getting about two, two and a half thousand views when in reality if we put our efforts into a different style video such as I did yesterday, it seems like they pay off is a bit more so historically.

A year ago last summer, what we did were daily updates that were filmed so a little bit more condensed, a little bit more quicker in the realm of 10-ish minutes, but still a daily update. So we're gonna revisit that to see if there's a bit more popularity there are you guys? okay with that? So basically the morning show. If anything, the morning show might get a little bit longer we're thinking, but that's not decided yet so we're still gonna have the morning show. But we're thinking maybe a post-market wrap-up video on a daily Cadence So you'd get five a week basically Sunday through Thursday with a daily wrap up.
Um, and then obviously if there's like specialty events like fed meetings, things like that. Of course we're going to stream it, but we're thinking about the normal schedule being the morning show. The Mad core show Daily wrap-up videos, specialty streams, and then also some shorts and that type of a thing. Um, no, no, no need clothes.

Well, there would still be the wrap-up where it's not like we're taking away content. we're just like I get it's almost redistributing what the content is like because we're starting to notice a lot of weird changes in the YouTube algorithm where just that other stream is in no way being promoted. The amount of people in here who are like I am subscribed to you I have my notifications on and I just don't know what's ever going out I I don't know what's going on and we're just doing our best to try to get our content obviously in front of our actual core audience. So we're gonna go with that for a little bit potentially from now to the end of the year just to test it out where we have the morning show not changing whatsoever and instead of having a Power Hour show, we're going to take that time to actually create a wrap-up video a little bit more condensed but obviously still covering all the major topics of what's happening in the economy, what's happening in politics that just like updates of my the trades opportunities, things like that and another advantage of going that way.

And once again, we're testing it out just to see if there's a bit more traction there is it. Allow me more time to spend in the Discord when that successfully gets up and running. we're still on Pace to get the beta version of that going this month and then ideally the first major release of it should be coming in October And obviously you guys are all familiar with Discords training. discords are a pretty common thing.

We're just trying to put effort into ours being the best by actually having robotic signals getting piped into it being like hey, the signal of this being overbought, this being oversold. we're getting this zero DTE strategy signal. Uh, we want multiple robots with high accuracy predictions or basically just net positive predictions to be piped into it because we're not seeing that in any discords whatsoever and we just want to present the community with actual mathematically backed statistically. I Guess reasonable call outs, predictions, things of that nature and as of now, the technical overhaul is like being actually it's surprising I Think we underestimated the difficulty in it, but we're going to be able to pull it off.

So the emphasis of it was too is the way my own personal day is structured. I Want to be able to spend more time actively trading with a community of you folks such as in this: Discord So um, still the Morning Show, We're trying to free up more time to be in the Discord And then there's still going to be the daily, obviously specialty streams. We're still going to be doing all that Evergreen content that's on Rumble and also the secondary YouTube channel. So no contents being lost.
It's just kind of the difference in time that it's going to be posted. but hey, you're still going to get it all. Um, if you're supportive of that, Great. That's awesome.

If you have an issue with that, um, I think maybe I'm just not doing my best at explaining it. So for example, if you're like no, no I really like this Power Hour stream Well, I'll just be in the Discord we'll just be there talking about it. So instead of it being one way you'll we'll be able to bounce ideas off of each other. If you're promoting another service like Rumble then YouTube will throttle Shadow ban The video very well could be I mean I've been posting on Rumble now pretty consistently.

Um, if anything I look at the views on the YouTube space is with the sub niche of finance and all Finance content creators right now are taking a huge hit. Look at the average views A year ago to now there's no Finance Creator right now who's actually increasing? Everyone is taking about an 80 to 90 percent hip. The average views of Graham Steph and Andre Jake meet Kevin myself Keenan it just goes on and on and on. everyone's taking.

There's just less interest in the market right now. Um, and I think that's it's natural. There's like an ebb and flow in all aspects of life. and there's right now just a clear downtrend in the interest in finance content and it happens.

And that's when I get to I don't know, hang out with the true Legends Who want to stick through this and to generally trade with me? Um, and I like it because I get well I get to like hang out with you guys, more like learn a little bit more about the core community and that's obviously some of the driving factor in the Discord as well. Um, as of right now, there's no way you can sign up for the Discord We're working on it as soon as I do have it. I'm going to be asking a group of you, maybe 30 to 50 of you to kind of be like, okay, the initial test with me to see like what's working, what's not working and then as I go through all those steps obviously I want to open it up to the public at large. Uh, starting in October that's currently the time frame and we're going to see how it is all going.

Um, so that's kind of the update. so there's not going to be a Power Hour stream today, but obviously we're going to be starting to post those new update videos today just so everyone knows a little bit of a change. and I know, maybe some of you like change, some of you don't But hey, we're gonna get through it together because that's exactly what degenerate gamblers end up doing. We're a team team in the team team, so on that note, we should probably actually, uh, talk about the market.

First of all, shout out to TOP Step Um, they're pinned to the top of chat in the description the video. it's an affiliate link. This is the prop account trading that I've been using. In fact, let me switch it up to over here.
you can see it better. So we're going to be trading this again today. I'm still In the net. Positive, it started at 50k, it's now at 50.4 So yesterday was a losing day.

but hopefully I'll be able to make it back. So anyway, if you're at all interested in this prop account trading basically you have to pass a demo account a challenge account and if you can do so, then you get funded by them. I'm by no means some expert prop person. this is the second month of my life I've ever tried it and I think it's just a fun Challenge and I'm learning a lot about like my own trading style and it's interesting just to see a different data set.

But anyway I think right now they're running a pretty big deal. Instead of 165, it's 50 so you can click on that if you're at all interested. Pin to the top of chat in the description of the video. but I'll actively be trading on the prop account today.

Speaking of trading, we should probably check out the market. so obviously the market recently had a sell-off bounce higher under shot this. High uh, we still have this upside. Gap Bill to 455.49 The market came back down putting in a higher low so maybe a cup and handle.

I Really want to see how the market reacts to 451 which is the high from last week, so I'm curious on how that's going to play out. So spy 451. Interesting level to me. Uh, obviously we're opening up a little bit down.

Let me go into the 10 minute charts here. So yesterday was a pretty strong day in a close. Uh, we're seeing quite a bit of weakness right now. I'll be covering that Amazon Holdings Tesla Holding We're seeing some of the tech sector looking pretty strong right now, not necessarily all of the tech sector.

I Also have some commentary of what's going on with oil oil now ripping up to 88.50 so energy sector if you're an Energy Trader investor. Obviously, if you've been on the bullish shot recently, you've been making some good money. We need to talk about Apple what's going on there. They're going to have another like the iPhone The new iPhone is going to be announced this week.

So a couple of things to say there: The arm IPO should be priced today. the IPO should actually be tomorrow. Um, and there's other I Guess maybe not so popular equities, but still I Think interesting updates. Still like just to go over and cover with everyone.

So that's the current scene is we've had a bullish day yesterday and now the question is will it be continuing today? Stock futures lower following winning day for Wall Street So right now obviously Futures are a little bit down in pre-market Will it continue? Obviously, time will tell or are you glad Trump is going to be the nominee if he is. So a little bit of an interesting conversation on Squawk Box this morning I was listening to them and I just thought this was interesting I wanted to get your thoughts because obviously, uh, it feels like a lot of the Show recently has been talking about the Chinese economy and what's going on in the global situation and a lot of that is obviously going to get impacted based on who is the next president. Obviously we're a little over a year out from the next election, so it's important to pay attention to this. but more exciting is actually going to be the next clip, but just to get us all warmed up for the day, why not start with the pretty I don't know divisive subjects such as who are you going to pick to be your president, but Trump's going to be the nominee if he is I want a younger nominee? You glad Biden's gonna? You want a young or not President Biden's running for I Think we all want a younger nominee and you think he is.
Yes, you watch all everything that's going on. Seventy percent of Democrats don't want to to run so you're in the 30 percent. Why? just just because you need someone to hold on to power? Well look. I think that this.

President Um, like he's accomplished so much in terms of the chips and science act, the bilateral by I'm sorry the bipartisan infrastructure question for you. That statement right there. President Joe Biden has done so much as an average God-fearing American Do you think that Biden has actually done much on a relative basis to other presidents like if we were to stack rank the efficient progress of a president. Do you think Joe Biden has done so much? I'm like just your knee-jerk reaction, not necessarily like trying to get into like a debate here of this detail that detail I'm just saying as like an average voting American Here do you like does that statement resonate with you? Nope, Absolutely not.

Yes, No trash, No, no I don't think so. So mostly knows a couple yeses, interesting structure Bill and other major legislative achievements and not all. Republicans Really think those are all great things over time, but even if you buy that, it's gonna be he's gonna be 86 years old when he's done and vice president Harris is waiting in the wings? Sure. Uh, you know sometimes I'm not letting it fool me.

I was literally just asking you guys I Want to know where you were at on Congress over the last few years? Um I think that going there are no age issues with you and and watch watching him you have to have age issues with all of these people. None of those are issues for you. Well I think that you have to have issues you know I've dealt with President Biden I'm not like best friends with him or anything but I've dealt with him several times over the past few years. Extremely cogent.

Um, very much on top of the issues. and I think that shows in his. uh, let me make it more complicated for you. Yes sir, let's say Trump is not the Republican nominee.
Let's say it's Nikki Haley or make it Chris Christie Okay, is that change your view at all about how you would think about President Biden as the nominee? Um, no. I Think that he is going to win I Think he's going to be the our nominee and he's going to carry the flag forward. Don't just sit there at the G20 in that bizarre press conference. I Don't think just the latest chat.

That's right. Okay, so put it like we do: China right? Wait, what happened at G20 Republic of China by at least five years? So and again. listen, our our nominee will be as old. We'll be as old as Biden was when he took office.

So let us let us step away from the Boomer sort of controlled bureaucracy and embark on a new generational ship. Actually, Biden's so old, he's not even a boomer. I Think he's a member of the silent generation. So I think the American people want sort of a better set of choices, but we'll see.

Okay, all right too. Yeah, we got to thank you both gentlemen. All right, So just wanted to share that I guess Obviously, over the next year, clearly the world is going to get a lot more focus on U.S politics because we're in a political cycle, so a lot whether you like it or you don't basically starting at the end of this year, all the way up until November is going to be so politically heavy, that is probably going to get a little bit nuts. So it's important for us to pay attention to not just to be an informed voting person, but on top of it.

There's clear implications on politics and thus the economy and thus stock market. So I think we should all put in that effort to kind of fact, check each other and ensure that our own political biases aren't getting in the way of good Investments and trades and also aren't like I Guess forcing us to do bad and stupid things because like yeah, have your political bias I Hope you're informed I hope you're voting the way I am. but whatever, as long as you're informed, as long as you have a developed opinion, I support your right to be able to express that to the world, but more so the interaction with the market. I Just want to clearly state that hey, don't let the bias make you do something that's silly in either direction.

Uh, obviously, through Trump's presidency, through Biden's presidency, a lot of people are saying uh oh no way, not good. Market's going to get crushed. We got to get out. We got to get out.

Um, and obviously it was the people who at first were anti-trump and then it was people who were anti-biden And guess what in both scenarios, it basically paid to be a bull in like over their full presidency. Uh, and I'm not saying that to say I support one or the other I'm just saying hey, it's very easy for your political bias to get into the way of what you should be doing in the market. Um, so just wanted to bring that up. Also, on that note, Mexico's moment the biggest U.S trading partner is no longer China It'll be interesting to see how things play out with our trade relationship with China A Lot of it seems to be currently centered around what's happening with semiconductors and restrictions Here There and Everywhere billions of dollars are pouring into America's Southern neighbor.
but will it seize or squander the opportunity? Uh, it would be interesting I Would have to say on a geopolitical level all of a sudden if we keep sticking with Mexico who maybe arguably is a a better trade partner and a closer Ally obviously than China So interesting to see how that all plays out, especially if you're a Forex Trader you might be wanting to watch what goes on with the peso. It might become a little bit more volatile, might become a little bit more popular, so just something to pay attention to there. Especially when we have these types of developments. with Putin and Kim Jong-un set to meet the West fears What Russia and North Korea are planning.

deepening, military, economic and geopolitical cooperation is on the agenda for talks between North Korea and Russia or at least the agenda we know about behind closed doors. However, White House officials believe talks between North Korea leader Kim Jong-un and Russian President Vladimir Putin will focus on arms deals. Talks are likely to Center on what Pyongyang can give to Russia to help it continue its war in Ukraine and what Moscow could give North Korea a country far more economically isolated than Russia itself. Bringing this up because as the recent movements of okay, obviously we're talking about arms deals.

but also whenever you're talking about Russia, you have to talk about energy. Um, finally this thesis is playing out. I've been in this for over a year I Very much thought oil would continue higher back in I Guess the summer period here? Uh, but oil ended up tipping out at 124 and came all the way down to 64. Where yes, we should have refilled here in the U.S to Strategic Petroleum Reserve we didn't because we're dumb and now we have this cup and handle and things are looking.

My apologies: Uh I understand if you are now going to leave the show because I have the sniffles and I had to sneeze if you want to leave I Completely understand I wouldn't watch me. that is a disgusting disgusting act and I fully understand why I'm not invited to go on Kelly Ripa's show I'm sorry I'm sorry I'm sorry. But anyway Back to Black Gold we have a cup, we have a handle. So technically this is bullish.

price action is bullish, higher highs, higher lows. and also if we just look at the fundamentals of what's going on we're seeing construct a continuation and constrained Supply demand staying the same price obviously goes up I'm looking for oil to touch 90 and then after that I'm looking at the next Battle of somewhere in the mid 93. so paying attention to oil and energy Jamie Dimon says it's a huge mistake to think the economy will boom with so many risks out there now. I'm not really in the camp of wanting to support Jamie Diamond but I have to admit that I think this high that we saw in Late July of roughly 460 is going to be the high water mark for the year and that's more so just my interpretation and my personal opinions of what's going on with monetary policy.
Uh, right now I do think that there's a decent chance we get one more rate hike I Don't think it'll come at the September 20th meeting. So what's that? In about a week a week in a day, we're probably going to get the announcement that there's not a rate change this time around I Believe in the November meeting, we'll probably get another 25 bips, but of course that's going to be related to the CPI report. The Pce reports the unemployment reports, so obviously there's a slew of reports between now and that next, not not even the next meeting. September I'm talking about the November one that will probably influence the FED Most likely to give us one more rate hike, we're still seeing pretty strong consumers, We're still seeing a pretty solid labor market, and unfortunately, we're still seeing High inflation.

The FED is trying to take care of that. so I think they have more of a fear of underdoing it than they do overdoing it. And my reasoning for that is hey, they've already caused the second and third largest bank blow-ups ever, and it looks like they're more than willing to keep rocking with that type of Mantra. But anyway, I do think this is the high water mark I Think things just got a little bit overextended looking at some of these major players, especially Tech players I Think things are just fundamentally overvalued right now.

I Mean, look at the P E ratios of just some of these biggest companies. Now that by no means um, like I'm not trying to say that I'm protecting some sort of catastrophic downfall. No, if anything, I think we're gonna get more just choppy moves like this. So instead of a beautiful trend of The Upside I think it's just going to be short of Trends Okay, we'll go down a little bit up a little bit.

So I think we're just going to be shortening our time frame of how long these Trends will really survive. So that's my thesis of what's going on. but obviously we're going to be updating that as new information comes in in one way. Hopefully if our information is right, and hopefully if our thesis is right.

Hopefully we're making a lot of money and one way you could do that is on 0 Dtes amateurs pile into the 24-hour options. Quote: Unquote, It's just gambling. Hell yeah! brother. Rookie speculators tried to strike it big on short-term Investments that often act like lottery tickets.

Yes, they do average daily options. Volume: This goes back to the 1990s. Up until recently, options, especially short-term options have become all the rage. Share of all options volume that expire in five days or fewer is now almost half of the options.
Market I Love it. We should stop pretending. that's what's going on is investing. It's just gambling says Benjamin Edwards a professor of the University of Nevada in Las Vegas who has studied Securities Law Yeah, it's gambling, but so it's fun.

It's fun gambling. and I guess if you want to do it with your money I'm not your mom and I hope you crush it I traded myself In fact I actually want to talk about this I gave out two different zero DTE trades yesterday. they both hit a call Credit spread on the Spy 449 By 450, it was Max profit. If it closed out the day below 449, it did.

the other one was on the cues. Another call Credit spread 377 by 378 and then it got Max profit because we closed out the day below 377. So we started off the week with two winners. If you want these zero DTE trades you get on Locals macross.locals.com check it out and that's where.

I I Don't know. thus far the strategy has been profitable. Does that mean it's going to be profitable every single day into the future? I Don't know. Time will tell.

Obviously, you can use this information. If you think it's wrong, you could play the opposite of it I don't really care I'm just trying to explain some statistical aspects of the market to you and you can do whatever you want with that information. So to say it's just gambling I'm not going to agree with that because I think there are certain circumstances where you can find a positive Edge If you're doing it appropriately, it's a really big revolution for the market. In the US at one point it will be dangerous.

The Boom in training he said has helped suppress stock market volatility at times this year, but also can make any turbulence worse leading to a deeper Market swim once again. I My argument is like stop complaining about it. It is how it is and people have the freedom and the right to do whatever they want with their money in the market. Mentions of one day options called Zero DTE on social media.

As you can see just getting more and more popular, there's clearly a Zero DTE Boom! This is the author of the article from The Wall Street Journal He's an Xmis in the old days but usually on Oxford on expiration Friday you could do it so you're telling me this can be done every day. Why there there are an educate me because they've been out of that business for what in this business. but there are options that expire every day. Joe The casino is now open every single day.

Hell yeah. brother in place options. Hell yeah. The same day tied to the S P 500 Index to the cues and they expire the same day.

What we're going to see shortly? Hang on I Want to come back to this? but I know the Market's about to open. so hang on one second. Let me just get this updated. I Don't want to miss Market Open with all of you cool cats and kittens.
So I'm going to come back to what's happening in the world of Zero DTE Training We will come back to that. Other things you should know: On the day after Nvidia is 200 rally this year investors looked at Arm IPO another semiconductor play Ipoing tomorrow should be priced out today. Apple iPhone 50 event will tell Enhanced Camera Titanium excuse me titanium finish so pay attention to that with Apple. Uh, we talked about those trades I'll be posting more today.

Don't forget to also get on locals because you're going to get this. Weekly Newsletter In terms of macroeconomic events, we're waiting for tomorrow where we get the CPI In terms of earnings, Nothing really going down today, but in terms of seasonality for today, Tuesday September 12th I would argue that the Bulls are favored. Other than that, I think we're ready to go for the market today. And on that particular note, dignity, ding ding ding.

The casino is open Play responsibly if not, have lots of fun I Hope you absolutely crush it. So if a signal were to produce itself today, if there is some sort of statistical Edge to the zero DTE strategy that I've been working on kind of refining, I'll let you know around 10 a.m today. Um, so just want to throw that out there. So waiting for a little bit for Market open if I see any interesting opportunity before that or after that.

obviously I'm going to be seeing if I can get this prop account a little bit higher. If you're all at all interested in proper account trading, try it out there. You're going to get a discount if you click on the affiliate link. ping to the top of chat.

Um, just follow that link I think right now what is I think it's 50 bucks? uh to take the challenge which it's normally 165. so instead of 165, it's 50 for this account. but there's a 50k account, there's 100K account. there's 150k account and if you use that link obviously I use my own affiliate link after I blew up the first one I was offered another 50 off.

so instead of 50 bucks, it was 25 bucks for me to just reset and take the challenge again. So if you want to see if you can cut it, if you want to see if you could pass the challenge and become a funded Trader I think it's a cool challenge I Myself am trying to get a little bit more used to it because I think a prop account is the most realistic way for me to host and participate in a trading challenge. a trading. League When we're all in competition with each other whether it's singos Duos quads and we could do weekly challenges monthly quarterly, we could give out trophies, we could give out prizes, we could do challenges, we could do bounties.

so I think it's going to be beneficial for me. and that's why I'm trying to learn a little bit more about how the prop world even works because it seems like it's the most reasonable Avenue to successfully run a trading League against each other. So check it out, see if you're interested in it. If you have any questions, I'm by no means an expert, but I'll do my best to answer it.
The the link is pinned to the top of chat. it's in the description of the video and that is how you will get some of the discount if you are so interested. Other than that, I'm going to be waiting for. Oh actually, so I was looking at a little bit of a trading strategy and I might try to do it today, but it's an opening range breakout on the first five minutes.

so I'm gonna see if that one works for me today. Uh, because why not? It's a little bit of fun. a little bit of Fun in the Sun So I'm gonna wait for those first five minutes to pass. In terms of macro economic reports, please do not forget, uh, that there's nothing major coming out today, so it's not like we're waiting for something at 10 A.M 10 30 1 p.m 2 p.m today.

If anything, it's a little bit more quiet. The party really gets going tomorrow when the CPI report comes out an hour before the Market opens. Which also means that we're going to be starting the stream early tomorrow. So uh, make sure you get to bed early tonight.

I Don't want any of you to have excuses of oh I slept in I Missed Man Yeah, no, this is. this is what's going on. So uh, just be be ready for that. Be ready for that, You know I have a bot for that.

It works. A bot for what bought for? What about for what? Um, Also, just so you guys know this video is out there I it's on Rumble for sure I just want to double check that it's actually on YouTube that we got this new video posted. Yes, um, the easiest profitable trading strategy. So it's on Rumble it's on YouTube It's live.

It's been live for a little bit under a day. Um, but basically in there I explained a strategy, the exact entry rules, the exact exit rules, and I give you historically how it's performed over the past 20 years, maybe the past 23 years. Um, so I just wanted to let you guys know that if you're looking for, uh, mathematically back-tested statistically relevant trading strategy that is incredibly easy, it's up on Rumble It's up on YouTubes It's up on Rumble It's up on YouTubes Uh, and Tesla has had the push lately. Hang on.

How is AMC doing? A lot of people like the AMC video yesterday that I posted. A lot of people did not like the AMC video that I posted yesterday and it's just the realization that I don't think I'll be able to switch everyone's mind by any means. Uh, risk 500 Reward 4 000 trail of a thousand for What? Five minute open range breakout? So you're saying risk 500 for a reward of four thousand and you're trailing by a thousand? Interesting on. wait Supernova on what uh, are you talking about like the S P 500 futures Market Are you talking about the NASDAQ Like what? Market are you talking about for that? The video yesterday was great on AMC Dude, appreciate your honesty I Got on the mid 40s and happy I did I'm stoked for anyone who made money I lost a shitload of money.
but I am stoked for anyone who did it. Uh oh oh oh. Order filled. Nope, this is not looking right I messed up I was a little bit behind the ball today.

Uh, 30? 50. 32.50 All right I'm just trying to build this prop account up, so a little bit of the opening range breakout play obviously I Know this seasonal bias for today is a bit to the upside. I'm also aware that the daily chart arguably looks pretty solid. I mean I'm seeing higher highs, higher lows today.

um, obviously opening in the lower range of yesterday. but I'm still looking for that test of hopefully 449 and hopefully after that, uh, 451. But we'll see once again sometimes when you're looking at the daily chart I Think it could kind of screw up your bias of what's happening in the very short term. Obviously, we could have the most bullish day, the most bearish day, but maybe not the most impact if you're just going for a quick 100 gain here on the Es.

But watching. watching. watching watching. trying to give it a little bit of room to breathe.

But obviously I don't want to give it the most room to breathe. That could be a bit problematic. I'm on the five minute chart, right? I'm on the five minute chart. Uh, bye bye bye stop Market limit order submitted All right I think I did that right.

I've been having to learn a bit more about the Ninjatrader um setup. but I think this is the sitting the proper sitting order that I need. So I'm gonna make sure that that gets executed properly. Most of my Futures Trading Um has been on trade station, but none of the proper counts allow you to connect to tradestation.

The two most popular ones are Ninjatrader and Quant Tower or something like that. So I I've heard a lot more about Ninjatrader, so I'm just trying to do my best to familiarize myself with that platform just so I could do things a little bit more efficiently, a little bit more accurately. Uh, and basically I'm trying to convert a lot of my tradestation code over to Ninjatrader script just to get that going. Someone said Mullen's going wild I mean it's up 17 cents but it's it's at 52 like this.

it's not going wild I mean look at its daily chart here it it recently has gone from 250 all the way down to 52. this is like, if anything, just like a little mean reversion bounce because it's so incredibly trashy. I mean if you're in Mullen I'm I'm begging you to take just like a second to look up any information whatsoever about the CEO David Mishary or whatever it is, it's scary stuff. He does not seem like the kind of guy that you would want to be like having dinner with.

Um, am I I'm not even close. I'm actually still underwater on the Spy right now. Granted, not by that much, but what's going on? I was promised that this would work promised. Uh oh.
Running into a bit of an issue here Tonto Running into a little bit of an issue here I should have just done the one minute breakout we broke to the upside: I already beat up my money? Screw this. Why am I waiting five minutes for the market when I could have just bought after one minute I Wonder if there's an edge to that? Does anyone think that there's an edge if I were to wait one minute? Just whatever that first minute bar is, if it breaks to the upside, go long. If it breaks it. The downside? go short.

Does anyone is there like an edge? Do you think there's an edge to that? I mean I Could back test it and we could find it out pretty quickly. but I wonder if there's an edge to the one minute bar Breakout Do you think the breakout to the upside of the first minute bar the breakdown I Wonder if it's at all statistically significant in suggesting where we're going to go for the rest of the day? Huh? Something worthwhile to back test. Maybe that'll make that my next video. If you get out before nine nine, the Market's not going till 9 30.

sounds like a cat. More strategy I Think we can make it work I Think we could totally make it work. Hey folks, if you haven't already, smash the like button. That's the only way for me to possibly get these gains today.

If you are at all interested in me hitting this trade and making money and just really making my parents proud, uh, you're gonna annihilate the like button because every time you hit the like button, it just it helps the market go up. It really does I mean you could test it yourself. like if you hit the like button, watch the market pop on it sorry I was entering trades and typing I Have a bot for the Es NQ five minute opening range 500 order film uh four thousand a thousand Futures uh close last five minute candle sorry I was interested I have a bot for the ES enqueue five minute open range risk stop filled What the fuck was that? oh it got in I didn't want that to happen. Order filled that? the risk was not where it needed to be.

I'm in at 27 so I want to capture 40 there. Okay, sorry I'm all over the place I was trying to read this. uh that risk was way too close. so sorry I had to replace that trade.

Um currently because of that accidental train, my current realized p L is a hundred, but my unrealize is up above that so should be in the green if it keeps going all right. about to lock in? Come on, give me the money. No whoa. Why Why does it happen to me that I get so close to my targets and then it just doesn't fail.

It starts sort of feel like this game is rigged. you know, starting to feel like I'm just not a fan of how this all goes. You know Matt can use El I5 how Futures perpetuals work can you E l I I don't know what that means I'm sorry, you know yeah I I don't I'm sorry I'm not quite sure what you mean there if you're asking about Perpetual contracts I've actually never really traded those so I'm definitely not. Uh, I mean the best I would be able to do is open up Investopedia and look at it.
but I've traded Futures but not perpetuals. Oh explain like I'm fine El5x, that's what that means. Explain like I'm a 5 El i5 see you guys teach me something every day And I love it I Love it I Love it I Love it. Day in and day out.

You're coming up with weird things and you're like hey, Matt You should know this. You should know this. You should know this. You should.

Target Field Money. Ooh all right on total p L 2 or 75 locked in, but unrealized. We're going for it. We're going for it.

We're going for it. Can he do it? Can he do it? Fuck yeah. Dude. Fuck yeah.

Brother Hell yeah Brother: Oh yeah. What are you doing Step Bro: Sorry. that button's right by the one I meant to hit Wall Street Wall Street that uh like that was honestly a mistake. This is what you get from the best fisherman, the best digital fishermen on this side of the Mississippi Honest mistakes, Honest mistakes.

You know I'm not gonna be able if you're If you're coming to this show for just like Perfection and someone who hits the right sound on the right sound board at the right time. I'm not your guy I'm human I'm a human just like you sometimes I hit the Step Bro sound instead of the Wall Streets like it's not my fault that what are you So it? The way they're on your soundboard is alphabetically so. Wall Street Wa is right by what are you doing Sepro wh So the two buttons are like they're neighbors. Um so my bad Bro that played on my speakers and my co-workers thought I was watching explained to them that it was an honest mistake.

Just if anything, you should come after the soundboard company for doing it alphabetized and having the Wh and the was right. Like you know, come after whoever invented the alphabet. This isn't my fault and dare I say it's not even the soundboard company's fault. I Think we should all have a real good look at who invented the alphabet.

You're explaining this a lot. Seems suspicious. Hey, I get it, you're on to something. You're you're on to something.

You know what's good. All right. Well, AMC is actually going up at 769, a rare gain of 36 Cents for the company. Um, this is I Feel A pretty solid point for us to actually review this concept of zero DTE Trading and if the signal produces itself, I will post it on locals around 10 a.m 10 A.m is the first point in the day in which the signal could produce itself.

Just so everyone knows. They've seen this movie with Oex's and Xmis in the old days, but usually on Oxford on expiration. Friday You could do it. So you're telling me this can be done every day.

Why there there are they're talking about Zero DTE Options They're out of that business in this business, but there are options that expire every day. Joe The casino is now open every single day. Oh yeah, brother, that's what we want to hear. That's that.
Expire the same day tied to the S P 500 Index to the cues and they expire the same day. What we're going to see shortly after the opening bell at 9 30 is there's going to be a rush of activity. People wanting to trade these one-day benefits. They've listed options.

They are they. There are other options that expire every day every single day at the Sibo Global. How many strike prices can you get all the money? It really ranges from the bearish bets to bullish bets on the S 500 and exchanges have expanded. how many strikes are available? they've expanded.

Generations Moving brother. This activity really heated up last year when Sibo Global Markets decided to listen. I'm almost back to break even expiring every single day of the week and then spy Energy's looking good. Financials are looking good, utilities are going down Health Care is going down Industrials are going up to do anything and technology is going up.

So a little bit of a mixed bag, but Market Green Thus far you can make one percent on these. You can make five or six times your money or a thousand percent. People are looking to hold these for seconds or minutes or hours and they're really looking to. My question is, what's wrong with that window? If that's what you want to do, their return.

That's what you want to do. They don't want a one percent game. When do I cut my ACB turbocharged their Investments And that's why investors and analysters I would say use it. trailing stop loss.

You never know how much it's going to Trend So just keep riding it. and if there's a turn back then just lock in your profits. No one on this planet can tell you how much it's going to go, so maybe just use like a breach of an important EMA or an important recent load. that's kind of up to you.

But hey, congrats if you got it really even it's up 20, you're crushing it man. congrats If I were in the play, I would just use the trailing stopwatch and I would not let it go negative Against Me By any means, if I was up a decent percentage, my worst stop loss would be breaking big players I wouldn't let me go. It cost me giving up into little trades to to mess their their Uh activities I'm sure there's some of that happening, you know. I Got some data from Sibo Global markets and they said that around 30 to 40 percent of one day.

S P 500 options trades are stemming from retail investors and they really order bills and I've spoken with scores of individual investors. They really want to get in on this. They're hungry to take these giant risks in the market. So the the S the rise that we've seen in the S p this recent rally.

So I guess there's been a lot of long active people wait. Okay, so that's been something. What about the magnificent in the long term? I Think it would be silly to do so because it's so popular We're buying things for what a hundred dollars trying to make ten thousand dollars I was a little preemptive on that breakout and I might get punished I Can trade weekly options on them and what we've seen is I think we should get hourly options to expiration. Those recently made up around half of all options activity up from you know, like a third just a few years ago.
So this activity has really really taken over the market. and it's not just in Texas Robin Hood So you can do this for free. You can do this at Robinhood Charles but no commissions because in the old days there was. Does he really not know this like why is he playing so like uninformed? uh oh.

100 000 shift of commissions at the end of the year is bad. It's gambling, it's not good for you I Can tell you that people should not be doing this. What does it says replace DraftKings oopsies Was my stop really that like this? what is it indicating in your view shit about the market sentiment for for people that are doing normal things look I think a lot of people thought that what is normal. it was wiped out of the Market last year, but as stocks fell, people started taking less risk.

We've just seen that come roaring back this year and people are still so hungry to take pictures it's gonna pick up again. Um, they don't want to back down. They want to play stocks. I Think the only thing I could reasonably do in this scenario is Double Down percent returns.

They want to really, really place these high octane bets in the market and there's just a ton of risk taking out there. And by the end of the day was worth 80 bucks. so that's people need to keep that in mind. Uh yeah, Well, of course it's degenerate.

No one's arguing that it's not degenerative. The biggest thing is you should be able to do degenerate things if you want when you do. management. Uh, we almost got a little overextended there, but we didn't get hardcore over extension readings about 300 game again I Want that high again? Almost.

And they really get hooked to trading options and some of the investors I spoke with said exactly that. Ouch is right. I mean thank you, thank you. This is an author or writer comment whatever you want to call her for the Wall Street Journal She wrote that article that we talked about before.

but yeah, they're statistically is a massive massive explosion in the world of short-term options trading. That's if you don't know what you're doing, you can like get really destroyed and a statistically high amount of people will. But if you do know what you're doing, it is a good money making opportunity. In my research on the subject matter, the best Edge You have in such short term to consistently make money I'm not talking about like a one-off like crazy good trade.
I'm talking about like consistently time and time again is going to be in the realm of selling premium. For most people, that's most likely going to be iron Condors Just because of the account size like restrictions and that type of a thing. Hang on one second, hang out one second. Okay When In Rome When in Rome Are we gonna pop out of this? We're gonna pop out of this.

That's a big risk though. Do I Really like this. Could blow up the account if it goes wrong, which is not smart. Risk management order filled.

All right. If that hits, that'll be a big gain I probably should have played so big. Why did I do that? I Really need that to go up I Really I Just put it at that. High Why did I get two? I did two because obviously I wanted to hit and if it does hit, that's a beautiful gain.

But if it goes against me, it'll go against me at 2x like double the amount I really needed to be going against me. That could be problematic very quickly. Come on, it's holding the one minute. EMA I Saw a little bit of a pop right here.

popped up, came down, bounced off of I Believe this is the 34 started to wake up I'm just looking for a return to the intraday. High There we go. There we go wait. The data.

Uh oh oh there we go. It wasn't loading for a second I was freaking out. Come on. Go go go go go go go go go Go go Actually should I be greedy and move it up to 50.

thumbs up or thumbs down I'm being greedy today. Should I just go for the intraday high or should I go for a push past the intraday High Thumbs up for greedy Thumbs down for not being greedy. Someone needs to tell me really soon because decisions are going to need to be made. I Need You People I'm not seeing any messages coming.

Answer the question. Tear out. Um tear out. Bob Bob Come in with some legitimately.

Sound Advice There's no way this is not. Why is my data a little slow this morning? Freaking out. agreed by 2 p.m up up shark shark All In Command Well I know I Can't risk this much because my account would blow up. so I'm going to move my wrist to right where I'm technically positive.

Go Go Go Go Go Go Go Go Go Go Go Go Go Go Go Go Go Go Go Go Go Go Go Go Go Go Go Go Go Go Go Go Go Go Go Go Go Go Go Come on. don't come back because it'll just knock me out I Can't risk money on it I'm already down too much on the day. Keep going. Keep going brother.

Come on. just I I Be this is the NASDAQ on the Futures Market I Just need the cues to go. just don't pull back, just pop off. pop off King Do your thing the king of the market the NASDAQ They like to think that the S P is the king but we know all the fun Tech plays.

We know where they're at. we know all the high-flying tech plays means the Nasdaqs the real king. Oh come on, just dude already give me my money. uh oh.

really struggling at this 3 76-25 area and the volume showing up the volatility unless I'm having data issues but we're not moving that well at the moment, we're not moving that well. 629 and we're we're up. I mean I could go positive on the day. now if I just take this money.
Uh, unrealized. So my total P L would be back in the green which is what I need, but it could be in the green more which is always an interesting point to bring up there. We go there, We go. Come on, let's do it.

Let's do it. Lock it in. Go Go Go give it all right. This is the point where maybe it was done because originally I had my profit Target at the intraday High which it would have got filled and I moved it up.

a couple points that I didn't get filled. so I'm gonna feel really really stupid like if this comes up close and I don't get a fill and then pulls back I'm gonna be pissed. no come on come on. no no no oh it's so close.

no Oh Come You right like it. ha like it's gonna hit right like it'd be crazy for it to not hit on that. Come on. just give me my fill.

Give me my fill. Go Go go go go there we. Ah Target the anticipation. Holy shit my heart all right locked in.

um five or total. p L is 550 now so we are back in the green where we need to be my heart. That's how you do it. Wall Street Wall Street Wall Street Wall Street Oh yeah brother, all right so we did that.

If this trade hits right here you know we could be a little bit I guess wider with this one because if it pushes which it looks like it's about to push I could just as soon as it goes up here I could just move the stop to break even and then I have a free play because I'm already happy with the locked in gains the realize p L is 5.95. Um, so if this pushes maybe up to 33 34, I'll just move the stop loss up to break even and then I have a free ride for the remainder of the day. So if the market keeps going great, I have a position to take advantage of it. Um, so that's worked out well.

once again, this is all on a prop account and basically I'm on the 50k account. So if I make 3 000 if I go up to 53 without having a two thousand dollar pullback and some other I guess rules. uh, then I will pass this actual prop Challenge and if I do pass it, that means I'll be a funded Trader and I'll be able to use their money to trade instead of my own. Um, The Challenge itself To pass to actually get funded is difficult, but if you want to try it out, if you want to trade a 50k demo account to see if you can pass it.

um, it's all pinned to the top of chat. It's in the description that's the affiliate link. You're gonna to get a nice discount if you're using it instead of 165. If you click on that link, it'll only be fifty dollars.

I Think it's fun. Um, obviously. I like the concept of less risk. Uh, just because you don't have to risk your own money at first, you're risking nothing because it's the demo account.
And then if you are good enough at trading and can pass the challenge, well, then from there it's still not your money. You're like you're risking the Prop Accounts money and that's that's why they have the test is they want to make sure you can pass it before they make you a funded. Trader Uh, Matt you can pass it I Hope so. it took me six or seven tries on Apex I think six tries and this is currently my second try on Top Step.

Uh, the challenge is a little bit more difficult, but I've also heard that people just like the website better. Um, so obviously that's just what I've heard I don't know I'm trying it out myself to see if I like it. My real purpose in doing all this is to see which system which account which one makes the most sense to be partnered up with to do a trading League where we can all compete against each other for obviously prizes but most importantly, bragging rights. Um, so I'm just trying to learn the lay of the land a bit more.

Um, just so I know hey, like what's credible because like I mean I have heard bad things about the world of Prop account trading and this and that and the other things. So I'm just trying to get a little bit more used to it. So if you're offered Trader and you lose money, you're losing your money or someone else's someone else's This is how it works. You sign up for the prop account and they you do the challenge you're gonna pay.

if you use the affiliate link, you're gonna pay 50 to take the Challenge From there you're trading on a demo account, a paper trading account not real money and they want to see if you can pass their tests. If you do pass their tests, they fund an actual account for you. Uh obviously it has like rules and restrictions. like they're not going to just let you blow 50k 100K 150k.

Um, but you're trading someone else's money and then uh, if after certain points you're in some sort of like profit sharing agreement with them. uh TOP Step funded Traders develop stronger skills, healthier habits, and keep 90 of their profits. So basically you're using like an investors money right here. Funding: Trader Payout since 2020 14 mil accounts funded in August 5000.

So it takes two days if you're really good at it and most people are going to take longer than two days to like actually pass the test if they could pass it at all. Average payout processing times: seven hours. So um, a profit count is basically if you can prove yourself, you're then trading with someone else's money. Um, I Think it's a really good in between uh of paper trading where you're risking nothing because that it doesn't really necessarily have the same emotional risk like the emotional feeling if you're if you know you're on a paper count, you're like whatever bye bye bye so so sell and you don't really care.

But then if you're doing it with your own account, your own fully funded account, well, you're risking all your own money. So I want to make this clear that account is not easy to pass like it's not easy to get funded. The challenge is particularly difficult, but if you can pass it, it's a good in between. Where okay, you have a little bit of risk because you paid to take the test and then if you do pass it well, you're risking someone else's money.
So I think it's a nice in between a paper count and fully funding your own account I think it's a it's a good in between and that's my initial take on it. Maybe in the future I'll be changing my mind. Um, but thus far uh, it's a fun challenge. it's it's a fun challenge I guess I enjoy it to see what's going on to.

Well, really. the first couple times with Apex were pretty brutal because I realized that the risk I was taking per trade was like statistically nowhere close to getting me to pass their test by any means, by any means, by any means. Uh, all right, let me just prep up some of these things. Um, so I still have that one trade on Long on the market right now right here I think it's a bit underwater.

It's a tiny bit underwater down by 75, but locked in 5.95. Um, so I guess maybe I do just get out of this if it goes to break even as of right now I'm risking Five Points which is 250. So the worst situation is that I have a realized gain of 350 if my stop losses hit here. obviously I don't want that to happen.

Maybe I do cut it now. but I don't know. To me, things are still looking a little bit to the upside. I see the cues turning back around I don't know I I see some at least the way I View Price action at least the way I view the market.

Um I see some some bullishness going on right now? Uh, oops, hang on I'm just sending some stuff into chat right here. Okay, did that? Uh, where are we at on the Spy where are we at on the Spy the Spy is at 447.60 currently. Oh, actually, technically it's a little red on the day 46. All right, 440.

where are we at 447.55 All right, good foreign. The signals might be producing themselves I'm just looking over here I was just quickly checking some things. uh for the zero DTE Trading strategy. Uh, like yesterday.

So yesterday, if you didn't see this yet on the stream earlier today, Uh, I Reviewed the zero DTE trades from yesterday. Uh, at one point in the day they were questionable, but fortunately they both ended up hitting by the time the market closed. So uh, for this week, we're thus far two for two on the Zero DTE strategy. Um, I have my own alert system up over here if the signal produces itself again today.

I'm going to be posting it in locals for anyone who's interested in some Zero. DTE Shenanigans Matt you ain't watching Apple I mean I'll watch whatever you guys want me to watch. Bring the market down. What's Apple's daily chart look like? Not so good.

Upside gapple to 181.47 It looked like it was knocking on that door yesterday at 180. but see how it man. I actually would have really been confident about that so we sold off it came back, they tried to sell it down, but it bounced up decently I Really thought we would have got that Gap bill today. this.
uh, not what I would have statistically suspected by any means by any means by any means. Geez, Apple skin, is there something going on with Apple The Apple event has already started I didn't think it started until later. Uh, hang on. Let's just usually Bloomberg and Wall Street Journal I Thought it'd start like because they're on the West Coast time.

Is it just anticipation of the event or did the event actually get going? Paying some ass risky deposits unions? amateurs. We covered that. It's buying too old to run again. We asked people born on his exact birthday.

That's actually kind of interesting. Um, let's look at that in a little bit. We'll cover that later. Uh Apple Event Apple Event I Don't think it has started.

They're on the west coast. Uh, what to expect iPhone event will tell enhanced Camera Titanium finish Wanderlust Just what exactly do you think you do things And the smart watches? yeah I mean I don't necessarily think the the name of the event Wanderlust is hinting at much. Uh. but if you look at the app should I just closed this in the invitation.

The colors in there will be the colors of the Next Generation Pro Phones There's going to be a navy blue. Uh, there will be a new version of the space black. Uh, there's going to be a new gray which is closer to the look of natural titanium. The material they're switching.

come on, turn around. Tesla's uh in Pro Max and then it's also going to be another new color. uh, silver. A new version of silver and white.

My stop just got hit. the colors I'm completely flat. currently up 345 Powdered Metals of the Top Step Prop account trying to get funded, but definitely this is going to be around. Three products the iPhone, the Apple watch and the air pods so the high-end and low-end iPhones looking a bit better and second generation Apple watch Ultra and updated airpods Pro with a new charging port USBC you know Mark The colors important.

My smartphone of choice is blue for Chelsea Football Club But are we actually going to get any hardware updates in the 15 relative? You can slow down every other pho

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