Uh Oh! (Stocks Down & Crypto Up)
The Matt Kohrs Show
⇒ Goonie Discord/Trading Group (FREE Month w/ Code GOONIE): https://bit.ly/LocalsMG
⇒ Discord Link: https://discord.gg/3dxBRVrgGG
Sponsors & Affiliates
⇒ Goonie Newsletter (FREE Premium w/ Code GOONIE): https://bit.ly/LocalsMG
⇒ Streetbeat Robot Trading (FREE Month w/ Code MATT): https://bit.ly/AICopilot
⇒ SpotGamma Options (FREE 2 Weeks w/ Code KOHRS): https://bit.ly/SGKohrs
⇒ Apex Prop Trading (Discount w/ Code TPBMGLUS): https://bit.ly/ApexKohrs
⇒ Top Charting Software: https://bit.ly/GoonieCharts
⇒ My Trading PC (Use Code GOONIE): https://bit.ly/GooniePC
⇒ Options Picker: https://bit.ly/Tiblio
Socials
⇒ YouTube (Show Clips): https://www.youtube.com/ @GoonieClips
⇒ Rumble: https://rumble.com/c/MattKohrs
⇒ Twitter: https://twitter.com/matt_kohrs
⇒ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/matt_kohrs
#LiveTrading #Stocks #Options #StockMarket #Finance
Please be sure to LIKE, SUBSCRIBE, and turn on them NOTIFICATIONS.
Let me know in the comments if there is anything I can improve on moving forward.
Thanks for Watching!
RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites. The video is accurate as of the posting date but may not be accurate in the future.
The Matt Kohrs Show
⇒ Goonie Discord/Trading Group (FREE Month w/ Code GOONIE): https://bit.ly/LocalsMG
⇒ Discord Link: https://discord.gg/3dxBRVrgGG
Sponsors & Affiliates
⇒ Goonie Newsletter (FREE Premium w/ Code GOONIE): https://bit.ly/LocalsMG
⇒ Streetbeat Robot Trading (FREE Month w/ Code MATT): https://bit.ly/AICopilot
⇒ SpotGamma Options (FREE 2 Weeks w/ Code KOHRS): https://bit.ly/SGKohrs
⇒ Apex Prop Trading (Discount w/ Code TPBMGLUS): https://bit.ly/ApexKohrs
⇒ Top Charting Software: https://bit.ly/GoonieCharts
⇒ My Trading PC (Use Code GOONIE): https://bit.ly/GooniePC
⇒ Options Picker: https://bit.ly/Tiblio
Socials
⇒ YouTube (Show Clips): https://www.youtube.com/ @GoonieClips
⇒ Rumble: https://rumble.com/c/MattKohrs
⇒ Twitter: https://twitter.com/matt_kohrs
⇒ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/matt_kohrs
#LiveTrading #Stocks #Options #StockMarket #Finance
Please be sure to LIKE, SUBSCRIBE, and turn on them NOTIFICATIONS.
Let me know in the comments if there is anything I can improve on moving forward.
Thanks for Watching!
RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites. The video is accurate as of the posting date but may not be accurate in the future.
Around the czy like church C The going crazy quiet like a church M with the Cin we never get it out. Chur ch C Church M Oh brother oh brother oh brother. what up duties? What's up Nerds? What's up Degenerates What's up My degenerate Casino Stock Market Options Crypto Future 11 Degens it is Friday This ain't no normal Friday though this is the only Friday November The 10th of the entire year. Check it.
Fact. Check me on that one. Feel free. I'm not wrong.
You could look into it if you want to believe me. Believe me. If you don't want to believe me, don't believe me. But if you fact check it.
this is the only Friday the November 10th of the entire year. you can look at all 365 days of this particular year and I'm telling you I'm right on this one. I am telling you I 100% right on this particular call out. Um, so the way to use it and celebrate it is to just crush it today.
You know, you know, use the day for what it is You: You're only on this particular day. This is the only day you're going to have. so uh, make sure that you are using it appropriately. Folks, it's Friday Which means it's going to be fun.
Friday Uh, so obviously in a little bit here. I'm going to be asking you for your thoughts and opinions on the day. I'm going to be asking you if you're bullish, you're bearish and I will take that trade at open the way a true degenerate would and then from there maybe we're going to see some good options trading opportunities. I'm kind of waiting for the market to open because o in the overnight session things were looking weak, but over the past hour or two things have been kind of bouncing up a little bit and there are some various things to pay attention to throughout the trading day.
Today yes, we do have some more fed members fact: uh oh, get off that sorry. the cat's on the the soundboard. so I'm cutting in and out because depending on the BET buttons that she steps on, come on, come over here. Piper Come over here.
come here. just take an nap. It's your nap time. She was up all night midnight 1 2 4:00 a.m.
I Just hear this cat like crying, throwing her body into various walls and doors in my apartment. Yeah, it's just bedtime. Let's just chill. let's just chill.
It's okay. it's okay. it's okay. it's okay.
Uh well. apparently it's not okay cuz she just saw a pen. Dude, if you show her a pen or if you show her like any form of a a string or a shoelace, anything like of that I guess style, she loses her mind. Show us the cat.
I Just I Just had the cat. She's right here. She's just doing cat things. She's not really in sleep mode yet.
Yeah, she's a little. Restless I don't know, we'll see what she does. We'll see what she does. Are you going to stream with us today? We're going to have to make some good Market Call outs You ready? She is the head investment professional at the hedge fund here at the Moon Gang Hedge Fun.
Say hi. Nope, She doesn't want to do that. There you go. just take a load off dude. Catti Na life. So anyway, we're going to watch the Michigan Fed numbers. Those come out at 10: a.m. There are fed speakers throughout the day.
We're pretty much at the end of earning season. There's two main earnings I'm going to be paying attention to for the remainder of the month. on Monday we hear from Rumble shout out to everyone watching on Rumble and then on Tuesday November 21st two weeks out we're going to be hearing from Nidia which actually had a crazy good day yesterday because they think they've come up with a way where they can successfully sell CPUs to China so we'll be getting to that. Nvidia Ripping to the upside.
On the flip side of that, we actually have Tesa getting crushed. But then Microsoft is ripping to the upside. So there's a lot going on in the world of the Magnificent 7even and just what's going on in highflying stock. But obviously we should also talk about the overall Market the Spy the cues, what's going on with bonds, what's going on with yields.
And for those of you who are big Crypto supporters ERS Crypto's ripping man eth is looking good. potential spot eth ETF coming out Bitcoin's holding 36 37k Even my Pepe my degenerate Pepe investment is somehow now into the green which I should probably sell and just convert over to Bitcoin at this point. Uh, but Pepe Absolutely crushing it. So we have a lot going on.
We have a lot going on. and before I give you a breakdown I'm going to forget about it. So let me just start the poll now. So I am asking you mark Market at Open I'm not asking you what the day will be I'm asking you the very first minute of the market from 9:30 to 9:31 Do you think that the Market's going to be green? or do you think that the Market's going to be red? uh, whatever.
The majority of you vote I'm going to be taking that trade at Open I'm starting the poll right now on Rumble Unfortunately, the polling it it's being built but it's not out yet. Uh, so when that's out, I'll be able to pull you guys as well. but when the time a little bit closer I'm just going to ask you like 925 92 I'll be like yo what's up Um, on that note, let's take a little looky see at the market market getting crushed yesterday. The Tldr of what happened yesterday was at 100 p.m.
100 p.m. Eastern time. We got the results of the 30-year treasury bond auction. They sold under 50% which in the world of fixed income is a big big Miss and that dropped the market.
People were like whoa whoa whoa Why is there not demand for the 30-year Bond If there's not demand for that, That's basically saying there's not that much trust in the system for the next 30-year period. What's going on with the government? Yada yada, yada. So that caused bonds to drop and also yields to spike. And obviously in this circumstance, when we're seeing bonds drop and yield spike in the current phase of monetary policy, that's equivalent to downward pressure on the equities market. So that's why out of no nowhere at 1:00 P.m. we saw a jolt to the downside that continued for the remainder of the day. Uh, things got even a little bit more exciting around 2 P.m. because that's when the chairman of the FED Jerome Pal had a public conference I believe with the IMF and honestly, we'll go over what he said.
But the truly exciting part of it was when he said close the effing door because there were once again more climate protesters there which I don't get why there's climate protesters coming after Dr Pal This isn't like commentary on like climate or climate change, it's just more of commentary. He has literally nothing to do with energy policies or energy regulations like at all. so they're kind of trying to get the attention and yell at a dude who has nothing to do with climate at all. So obviously he got angry and then you heard his hot mic where he's like closed the effing door which Honestly made my day.
So I'm here for it. But anyway, yesterday a red day really all developed in the second half half of the day. Today your guess is as good as mine. I Think the easy trade is to the downside, but first we'd have to see some bearishness.
So if there's only bullishness at open, it's just going to be more of a difficult trading. Friday But once again, you guys know me and I'm not saying that this is the appropriate style for everyone, but I like to wait the first 10 15, 20, 30 minutes just to see how the Market's opening. especially on a Friday where we have the Michigan expectations coming out at 10:00 a.m. and on top of that, it's just a big options expiration day.
So for me I there's enough money to be made from 10: a.m. to 4 p.m. I don't need to feel the pressure to get in right at 9:30 I'm not going to be missing the best of an opportunity I Might miss on some opportunities, but over the long run over many, many trades I believe with my trading style that it's beneficial to wait for the market to truly open, but once again, those are just one man's opinions. All right.
So let's see what the world of mainstream Finance media want you to know about today. S&P 500 futures are little changed on Friday after higher bond yields spur selloff. Once again, this all went down because of a pretty disastrous 30-year treasury bond auction. The results came out at 1: P.m.
yesterday. they didn't even hit 50% of what they were tendering. Not good. The S&P 500 had its longest winning streak in two years.
Here are the stocks that led the run. It's going to be talking about the High Flyers particularly Invidia and I Want to get into that? but if we look at the daily chart first major red day I mean we went on a 1, 2, 3, 4, five, 6, seven eight day win streak. We were looking good for nine. Then we got the bullish engulfing. Channel If you've candle excuse me, not a channel a candle. That's when you have a higher high than the previous high and then you end up closing below the previous low. So it's kind of a whipsaw thing where you're looking really strong. and then something happens where you sell off hard and it completely engulfs the previous candle.
And since it closed downward, that's why it's called a bearish engulfing candle. Anyway, this is thought to be obviously a bearish development, which gets me pretty interested in the concept of the downside Gap fill to 43092 which is the high from Thursday of last week. Also, another bit of a weird strange whipsaw day. uh, when you compare the Spy to the acces.
But anyway, that's besides the point. So if there is bearishness today and I'm not saying there's going to be your guesses as good as mine I'd be looking at this downside Gap fill of 43092. But first, it would have to snap kind of this shelf flow at 433. So I'm watching 433 followed by 431.
That's to the downside. obviously. right now in pre-market trading, we're making a decent recovery. So I'd be watching 436.
it's just some recent support. and then past that, I'd be watching maybe 437 438 somewhere a little bit higher. So as of now from 6:30 this morning until this exact point, the spy in the Qes have been recovering. Will it hold once again? I'm not making that guess cuz it doesn't really matter.
I'm just going to let the price action tell me what to do anyway. Uh, S&P 500 was on a nice streak longest streak since 2021. similar thing with the Q's and then just between the dis disastrous Bond auction yesterday and also just pal pal says fed is not confident has done enough to bring inflation down. Um, all of a sudden he went from being a bit more dobish last week to now he's leaning back more into the hawkish side.
and in the current phase of monetary policy, the stock market is interpreting doish to be bullish and hawkishness to be bearish. So he went from being very, very hawkish recently sounding a bit more dovish, and now if you listen to his commentary at the IMF conference yesterday sounded a bit more hawkish. Again, not absurdly hawkish, but something to note in terms of today at 10: A.m. ET today we're going to be getting the Michigan expectations.
So the one year the 5year consumer consumer sentiment these four reports come out at 10:00 a.m. and I don't know why. On investing, they have like a a two star implication moderate volatility. When recently, they've definitely been worthwhile to like call out as a three star excuse me that comes out at 10 A.m.
today, a half hour into the trading day. Please pay attention to it since we're talking about major macroeconomic events, this is for the upcoming week, but on Tuesday we get the CPI numbers, on Wednesday we get the PPI numbers and retail sales, and then later in the week I'm Friday we get the CPI numbers coming out of the Euro zone. So next week we're going to be getting big, big big updates on the current state of inflation or really the state of inflation in the month of October. Uh, you get the CPI, the PPI retail sales, and then also CPI for the Euro zone. So Tuesday, Wednesday and Friday are all going to be pretty exciting days for next week. Speaking of that, don't forget to sign up for the newsletter Mc. Locals.com You can get the newsletter for absolutely free I break down the previous week What? I'm looking looking towards for the upcoming week all the major macroeconomic events such as CPI PPI all that stuff. Um, this this is for last weeks I'm going to be posting the upcoming one this weekend.
Uh, earning season. This section is going to get a little bit light just because we're pretty much done with earning season. Uh, but what I want to talk about is the seasonality update Today, Pretty much neutral, it was trending down. This is how the S&P 500 futures Market performed on this individual day over the past 25 years.
buying at open selling at Clos slowly but surely drifting down for about 23 of the years and then over the past two years skyrocketing higher. For the past one year skyrocketing higher. So kind of an interesting day. If if we didn't have last year's data, I would been like yeah, leaning a bit bearish.
But then considering this kind of I don't know undoing itself and that's why I would say today uh, from a seasonal basis is neutral. No seasonality guarantee? No, it's it tells you Like if you're a little bit better, a little bit worse than flipping a coin, the Bulls have won this day 54% of the time. Equity curve looks a little bit weak, looks a little bit strange. So the way I would interpret this and this is just once again my opinions.
I'm not telling you what to do. it's your money I'm not your mom. It's neutral like in my trades today. I'm basically just saying I'm not considering seasonality to be benefiting me or to be hurting me.
It's just not really coming in my equation today. Five things to not before that: stock market Bell goes dingy ding ding ding today Friday November Nomber 10th snapped. We had a nice winning streak To the upside yesterday in both the Spy and the Q's it ended up breaking it. Not confident this is just a super sad looking chair of the FED Mr Jerome Pal Uh, he's probably just like man I'm going to get yelled at because I Swore at the climate protesters yesterday but basically saying hey, uh, this inflation ordeal is not a done deal.
We still have very serious things to take control of. So he he's he's right to not be confident. Uh. new thresholds.
This is the IRS and what's going down And um, are we going to get the new agents? Are we not going to get the new agents? How much money can you put into your retirement? How much you can't So if you're a big tax retirement account person, something to pay attention to seeding his seat? Joe Mansion uh, what's he West Virginia I Want to say yeah? West Virginia Uh, so they're saying he actually might be running? Uh, so like that's why he's um Senator Joe Mansion won't run for re-election in 2024 for clearing a path for the GOP to clean majority in next year's senate elections a conservative Democrat who's become highly critical of Joe Biden's policy so uh, making some moves there and they're like okay, is this setting up for the next leg in his political career? We're not the biggest political commentary Channel but I just want to put that on your radar. Anti-aging Alphas Ulta Earnings makeup. It's popular. That's what you need to know. uh, little Side Story that I just want to bring up I have a couple Side Stories I Want to run through this morning? Uh, and this is just a stock that I've said this before I'm going to probably have to say it again. it is a stock that you apparently just cannot bet against because in every moment we like dude Nvidia is going to get crushed shoulder, head, shoulder neckline breakdown doesn't matter, it's a fake out ends up ripping to Kingdom Come Even this like it, just it just does not stop. Nvidia is a monster you I don't know I just it doesn't seem that you can ever actually benefit from betting against Nvidia blows my mind and the recent push higher is because of this. Nvidia will reportedly sell new Chips to China that still meet Us rules.
So October of last year the Bidon administration made a lot of sanctions against giving these high performance chips to China uh and these chips are used for AI uh data centers Esports crypto and they basically said hey because of the AI part we don't want you to be benefiting them in like growing their technical capabilities. So these sanctions were on the the entire semiconductor industry for companies in the US So Nedia said okay we hear you, we'll make a less powerful CPU So they did that and then this October they said uh-uh honey you can't even sell those to China and when that came out that was this drop right here because they were working on it, they spent a lot of money and it was just like clearly a revenue driver if they could sell it to China and this is where it got cracked and a lot of people were like well on that news and on the price action and the technical breakdown. Nvidia's finally going to fall and then guess what we have this, they figure out a way to do it anyway. us Chipm Giant NV Video has reportedly found a way to sell high-end chips to Chinese companies while remaining compliant with Us restrictions Nvidia set to deliver in coming days three new Chips to domestic manufacturers Chinese Financial Media Uh Press has said on Thursday Nvidia the US Department of Commerce and the Bureau of in industry and security did not immediately respond to CNBC for requests for comment. Now just because it meets the current rules, please understand that they could just make new rules. Um, so Nvidia is obviously going up on this assumption that maybe it goes through and okay, maybe the US will accept it. but the I don't know if you ask me. I Think the US political scene and the tensions with China and really even the Biden Administration.
They're not so keen on selling higher quality Tech Hardware to China and they literally might just make new rules that say no, yes, can't do that Um, so just something to pay attention to and that's why I wanted to spend some time sharing this with all of you this morning because I do think it's of importance. Uh, right here. World's biggest bank forced to trade via USB stick after hack incident caused Icbc's clients to reroute some treasury trades. A true shock to Banks around the world.
They were trading with a USB stick because they got hacked. Crazy story on Thursday trades handled by the world's largest bank in the globe's biggest Market Traverse manhand on a USB stick. We're talking some serious chaing some serious money going through the streets of Manhattan on a USB stick. That's crazy.
The Icbc's US unit had been hit by a Cyber attack, rendering it unable to clear swast of US Treasury trades after entities responsible for settling the transactions swiftly disconnected from the stricken systems that forced the ICBC to send the required settlement details to those parties by a messenger carrying a thumb drive as the state-owned lender race to limit the damage. This is crazy, crazy crazy crazy. Uh, so here's a bit of an update. Um, and it's just another like Cyber attack type of a thing.
Gang Lockit. What do we know at this point about this gang lock bit? Is it? That's right. So we know that this was a ransomware attack. Essentially, they're using software that decrypts decodes and then they ask for and they threaten to release information that they have got for in exchange for funds.
So right now we've heard finally from ICBC they put out an their own statement saying that the trades that were happening yesterday have been settled. They said repo trades happening today have also been accounted for. So now we're just awaiting some further updates that we're assuming are going to come out through these statements on their website. Um, and there's also all of the US Regulators um are are either in contact with the company they're looking into it.
Um. Market Participants have been getting on calls all day today with trade groups. Um, everyone is just trying to make sure that they're aware of how their own firms are potentially impacted. Um, but it depends on, um, really, what time of the day? Uh, earlier in the morning there was a lot of concerns about liquidity in the treasury market. Those concerns seem to have dis ipated throughout the day. Um, it seemed as if ICBC was uh, a corner of the disruption, but otherwise there were trades they were able to settle um elsewhere. We had some banks that were stepping up um to to cover the disruption. So overall, this might not be the the biggest impact, but it does raise some red flags about what potentially could come down the line.
Anytime that you have cyber attacks it it raises questions fls about the risk aspect as well, right? Is it sort of usual for banks to have this type of vulnerability? So I mean what's say, they're all super regulation that Uh is currently being um, value valuated? Um, because these these attacks, all of the banks um have safety measures in place. but sometimes it's it. It is the things that uh, you? you don't see there's a reason why um, the attackers will often go through third parties. Um, they'll go through any Avenue that they can um that hasn't been looked at or attacked before and often those are the cracks and the reasons that you have these sort of instances that do get resolved.
Um, but it it will often, um, mean that there will be responses from Uh, both the industry and The Regulators that are in contact with industry Market participants that are making sure that they updating their systems that they are constantly, um, re-evaluating and if it means that it's more costly to update those systems, that's often um, still the the safety measure that needs to be put in in place to avoid an attack like this. Um, and uh, potentially uh, down the line customers um, asking for for further updates that um, even if they are costly, uh, are worth avoiding a situation like we had today. Look, who what is this? H I Don't want to really listen to Clinton this morning it's supposed to be a fun Texas Roadhouse Base Friday So like, why make everyone angry right now? Uh, so before we go into a little bit of like the market breakdown, shout out to today's stream sponsor to today's stream partner Meta PCS I Know not every single day of your life you're buying a new Pc, but at the next point in your life you're like hey, I need a new pc? Check them out and obviously if you use the code goon pin to the top of chat, that'll get you a discount. But if you don't know about Meta PCS they have Decades of experience.
The company started in 2020 uh but it was filled with people who really know what they're talking about. They used to be in the world of high-end gaming, they're still there. high-end enthusiasts. They're still there and now they're finally getting into the world of creating computers for Traders Like you like me, That's what.
I Have very excited Metap PC I mean not only I mean you can see what they have they have ready to ship PCS you can create your own, they have accessories like they have all like if you need a new mouse if you need a keyboard. Uh, they have financing options and from there it's just I Get it like I Just want to bring it up now because obviously they're going to have some Black Friday deals coming up. Um, and just with the holidays I wanted to put it on your radar now and I I Get it I Get it. PCS are not the cheapest thing, but eventually you're going to need a new Pc and I just from talking with the team and my own experience with them I am more than happy to be partnered up and just say hey the next time you're considering a PC especially if you're trying to get like a higher performance a higher quality PC I Highly, highly, highly recommend checking out Meta PCS pinned to the top of chat in the description of the video obviously let them know that I sent them like I sent you their way and make sure you're using the code goon for a bit of a discount. but check it out! they do have a Black Friday I know the holidays are coming up so I just wanted to put it on your radar and obviously shout out to Meta PCS for being a partner in today's stream. All right now o Market's actually still holding this bounce to the upside: Tesla Getting absolutely merked because it got downgraded by HSBC Um, but still holding above 200 Nvidia having a good day obviously on the news related to like they might figure out better ways to sell to China uh I Wouldn't be surprised though if they still end up getting like into a fight with the you the administration and regulations of what they ke can or can't sell to China So just bringing that up Microsoft hit a new all-time high and it's continuing just to push and push and push hit a new all-time high of 364779. This is one. I Don't actively trade but it is a Cornerstone of my long-term account I Just like their balance sheet I like their product I like their growth and it's it's a slow burn to the upside.
has a decent dividend so that one like I said, don't actively trade it. but I am 100% just like I Just let it sit in my long-term account. just sit and sit. Sit and sit.
Can you wish my wife uh Juliana a happy birthday? Happy birthday Juliana uh Dom I Very much hope I am pronouncing that properly. Uh, but shout out to you Lanna Happy Birthday Happy Birthday I Hope you get to go to Texas Roadhouse tonight! Speaking of Texas Roadhouse Today Friday November 10th Not only is it a Texas Roadhouse Friday as every Friday is here, but on top of it. Today is the conclusion of the first ever, the inaugural Gooni Discord trading competition. By the time the market closes today, we will have crowned our first trading champ Ever Ever Ever ever.
I'm still in the running I Know a couple of other people have blown up and I also know some couple people are still alive, they're still kicking. some are doing better than me, some are doing worse than me. It is a week-long trading competition and there's a lot on the line and when I say there's a lot on the line I'm not just talking about bragging rights to say that Poten potentially you might be joining the ranks of the best Trader on this side of the Mississippi but there is a $100 Texas Roadhouse gift court on the line and a limited edition gooni shirt. so that's what the winner gets bragging rights. Texas Roadhouse gift card and a limited edition goon shirt and today it's the it's going to be the first champ. It's going to be the first champ and I'm excited obviously. I Want to be the winner I Want to take myself to Texas Roadhouse because you know what? I feel like I've earned it I Feel like I've had a long, arduous week and my foot still hurts. but the only way to really get there to get to the tippity top of the mountain and to prove that you are the best Trader in the goony Community It takes perseverance, it takes grit, and it takes some quality trading.
So this is it. This is it. This is it. we are.
We're on the final lap. We are on the final lap of this. Five Laap Mile So it's a very strangely shaped track and we're going to see if obviously if you folks want to be in the next competition, it all is going down on the Discord. If you want to be in the Discord you just sign up through Locals Macor Locals.com It's also in the description of the video.
If you're already on locals and you're having a tough time getting the Discord I put the direct link to the Discord in the description of this video. so check it out in the Discord Yes, you get trading competitions. You get weekly private lectures with the Discord Community This weekend we're talking about call Credit spreads put credit spreads. Maybe just vertical spreads in general.
So credit spreads maybe debit spreads as well. So we're doing some education in there training, competition, education, weekly newsletters. I'm in there trading after the show from 11 to 4 every day. There's other traders in there all day.
Uh, we're going to get some bot AI stuff hooked up to it as well. that should be rolling out either this weekend or this upcoming week. Um, you could get in for free if you want to try it out without spending any money. use the code gooni G N IE that will give you a one month trial and I think within that trial I'll prove to you that there's enough value that's worth a dollar a day.
but if it's not your speed I totally get it. No harm, no foul. I don't want anyone to feel like they got got um but I mean this week alone barring the fact that I blowed today up this week alone in all the trades that I've posted in there like my account personally is up 13k on the week which I mean it's $300 for a year so someone would have to do that math on it. Uh what? I paid for 40 years of the Discord in this one week.
So in terms of just value I think the value is there. Oh shoot no no no no I forgot that the Market's open. you guys voted bearish. HH ah ah no no order F order failed uhoh I didn't do the right something hit Target so three of them hit. uh let's just do a fill. uh by order submitted. All right. my bad.
my apologies. that could have been bad. Uh so three of the six hit the other three order. F also hit Thank you for 405 on the day.
Much love I Can now go afford my Texas Roadhouse um thank you uh much appre like thank you I I I needed that I was worried I was like dude, how's your boy going to pay for Texas Roadhouse today Um, this is not my competition account. My competition account is this other one that I should probably switch to now. So I don't mess up your account that you're trading for me. but seriously, uh thanks guys! I mean that was as easy as could be.
Thank you for the $400 that'll probably pay about a third of my bill at Texas Roadhouse for tonight. Um, thank you thank you thank you thank you Uh Mucho Muchas Gracius! You know, uh you? what? Who wouldn't want an extra $400 Also obviously on that note, dingy ding ding ding The casino is open. Best of luck to all. Play responsibly if not have buttloads of fun it is Friday TGIF happy Texas Roadhouse Friday Crush it crush it crush it crush it.
Uh. also probably probably worthwhile to say to anyone just because we might not be talking tomorrow. but I do also want to say happy early Veterans Day For anyone in here uh, who is a veteran? uh I Don't think we're going to be like unless you want to watch the Michigan P Penn State football game with me. Uh, we're probably not going to be talking much tomorrow.
So uh, to all the veterans Happy early Veterans Day Happy early Veterans Day Uh so um. also a reminder to all of you that if there's a veteran in your life, don't forget to give him a call tomorrow. Don't forget to give him a call and be like yo what up brother you want to go to Texas Roadhouse Uh, so do that? Do that. Do that.
Do that. Uh Market's opening. Uh, we kind of went over the levels that I'm watching. Uh, but I mean we did the degenerate Market Open Well, you guys did it I Just used my account and my money.
Uh, but you guys called called out that trade. so I very much appreciate that. Um, right now I'm just waiting for a movement. To the downside: a movement to the upside today would be easier in my book if things break to the downside.
if it is an upside movement, I mean that could be kind of a difficult trade. but I'm not here to predict I'm here for the price. Action be like I want it screaming in my face I want the market to be telling me which way I should be trading As obvious as like my F tells me to wash my dishes. you know, like I need the market yelling in my face like I told you stop putting the dishes in the sink, put it in the dishwasher I'm going to smash your face into the side of the refrigerator.
That's the type of messaging I need in my life not only to do dishes, but also to trade I Don't need to predict I don't need to predict Am I going to wash dishes today Am I going to leave them in the sink Am I going to put them in the dishwasher I I don't need to do that I just need someone to scream in my face about it and it just makes my trading much, much much easier. So I'm not I'm not in the guessing game of are the dishes dirty or not I'm in the game of someone needs to like exclaim it to me right in my face and then I finally pick up on the messaging uh dishes. Did I did it come through the mic? weird? Did I stutter did I St. stutter did I say something weird I don't know Hey um actually I was going to make a a handshake deal with all of you guys that if you got the likes over 500 on both Rumble and on YouTube I was going to turn the Piper cam back on but I can't say that in good conscious. Uh because Piper has now left she has left her perch to potentially nap in the window. She's a big window Napper these days. So I have nothing to bait you into smashing the like button. so don't do it.
Uh, don't do it. Don't do it. I I Have to be honest with you at all times I was going to be like dude, we're going to jack up the likes today. We are absolutely going to jack up the likes today.
with a Piper Cam And she's if I'm being honest with you, she's not the best employee. Uh, she sleeps on the job a lot. She's really loud and says rude things commonly. Her food bills low, so that's a positive.
Um, she's the hairiest employee I definitely have. So there there's some. There's some very evident cons in hiring my cat. Unliked good.
Take them all away, doesn't matter. I'm going to be emotionally destroyed anyway, so not doesn't really matter to me. Um, paying attention to this. The 30 minute right here.
Uh Market open. We are coming up to this 48 EMA it was below it big 2 and half hour push. to the upside coming right down to test the EMA Cloud on the 30 minute and you could see a similar situation playing out in the 10 minute. So watching this and that's why I like to wait and see how things do or don't perform throughout the day.
Um I Know it's a little bit early, but let's just dive into the world of options. You know? let's get crazy with it. It's anything can happen. Texas Roadhouse Friday So if anything could happen, I could bring up the options data as early as I want and no one's going to stop me.
Um, so it is a little early. Like I said, we're only 6 minutes into the day. Price: trending down options a little bit flat, so nothing too much to discern if you will from this situation. Oh, as the Market's opening folks, we haven't done word of the day in.
Forever Where's my word of the day? Placid Calm Peaceful. The Placid Lake surface was as smooth as glass. Placid PE P L A C I d Placid Calm and peaceful or peaceful. Calm.
peaceful, chill vibing. so that's your word of the day. Um, that one's not that special of a word of a day if I'm being completely honest with you cuz I think if you are anywhere near my age, you probably watch the movie Placid Lake A A lot growing up, does anyone remember that? I don't really want to uh, was it PL not Placid Lake Lake Placid um was that the name of the giant alligator movie? Yeah Lake plasted the horror I'm not talking about the one that was like where we had the Winter Olympics I'm talking about the movie which sorry my brain is short circuiting because this is these are memories that I haven't thought about in forever. But the amount of times my sister and I watch that movie growing up when we were like sub 10 and it's a horror movie and it's just the story of a giant alligator that starts murking an entire town. um and there's like oh wait, what's that actress's name that like the OG comedian female actress who uh oh what's her name that she passed away recently? what's that she she? was like the OG female like the Golden Girl era. what's her name? first person who says this Betty White Rahul Guess who gets a gold star for today? Rahul Rahul Rul You are, uh, officially getting a gold star on the day you were the first one to say Betty White it was Betty White You are right. Um, she was in it. It's it's a great movie dude.
Great movie. There's scuba divers. There's little minnows. there's giant alligator, crocodile things.
there's some cows. there's big guns. Um wait. Betty White died I'm pretty sure she died like a year or two ago.
Go! Betty White was hot back in the day. Dude, let's be honest, she was hot up until the day she pass away. Betty White OG A true comedic OG I liked her I don't think she ever did anything I didn't like. Dude, she's just she was on the ball.
She crushed it. She crushed it day in and day out. Um, spy bouncing off the low from two days ago. That's the dash line while the Q's are kind of not really near any levels.
Um, similar to yesterday where the tech sector is outperforming the spy. Uh, Tech sector outperforming the overall market oil down to the mid 70s as the apparent demand in China is seeming a little soft. So with demand down, price is going to drop So uh, and obviously they're no longer pricing in The premium of the conflict within the Middle East spreading. So we see oil coming down from the recent peak of 94 down to 76 bitty bitty bitty Bitcoin ripping bitty bitty bitty bitty Bitcoin holding 37,000 eth holding over 2K Uh I Know there's a lot of salana bots in here, so let's make the salana Bots happy uh.
salana pushing 50 salana? really pushing to the upside. um and then the one that I'm in ooh I was over break even at 7 this. oh wait yesterday. Thursday I should have got out.
This is roughly my break even. I need to get out of Pepe before it gets rugged and I'll probably maybe I'll just move it over to Solana or Bitcoin or something like that. um AMC Is anyone in here surprised that AMC is getting slaughtered? Quick question for the audience and there is a correct answer to this question. This isn't rhetorical. This is not opinionated. This is very subjective. Uh, or excuse me, it's not subjective. It's very objective and measurable.
Um, does anyone in here still like AMC Um, because if you do, I have some bridges to sell you Adam Aaron is a scammer. Uh, he's a scammer. He's a piece of. He's a grifter.
He's a scumbag. I'm trying to really dive into my lexicon to articulately explain this: Rusty Dandruf ridden Kmart Looking grifter? Um, it's just he's a scumbag dude. They they should make sure that the bed is all tidy and nice right by Sam Bakman freed. So when Adam Aaron gets there um, obviously we just want a cell to be made up for him.
We don't want him to feel unwelcome when he ends up in prison. He's an absolute scumbag. Matt did you watch the earnings call? No, um, actually what I was doing during the earnings call was eating a pizza at the hotel bar and it was a much better like use of my time. I got a a Petto pizza and I was having uh, some spicy morgs with it like at the exact same time and hon, dude, if I'm being completely honest with all of you, uh, it didn't even cross my mind until the next day where actually Christina on Rumble started dming me and saying like yo, did you see what's going down and I didn't even know that there was delution going down until the entire next day.
that's how much I didn't care about it I was just dude I was I crushed the whole pizza. it wasn't a large pizza like I don't want to like come in like oh Matt's being braggadocious about how much pizza he can eat. No folks, when do I ever brag about anything in here? I Think we could all admit that I'm the most humble person in the chat right now out of all of us. I'm the most humble one so I'm not I don't want you guys to be like like dude that K kid he could eat a whole large pizza.
No, it was like a medium personal pizza and I still crush it I also crushed a couple spicy Mars So um, you know we might be running that back at Texas Roadhouse tonight obviously not with the pizza. we're going to be switching through order over to like a full rack of ribs, but spicy margs might be the move for the night. If we're being honest. um, it, it might be the move bragging about not bragging Shannon You understand I'm just the most humble dude like I'm just I'm I'm so freaking humble.
Uh so yeah. uh. AMC's getting slaughtered because of the fact that they're deluding it. Again, it it it.
It's almost as if what I predicted would happen is now happening. and then yet you have. I I Took screenshots of all the stupid things that I saw on Twitter last night and I posted them all and I was like Ah that's a little mean so I deleted them all but one. But let's go through some of the dumbest things that I heard about. a on AMC don't worry, it's in my phone and I'm Petty enough uh that here. Let's go through it. Uh, this one is from Grifter Scumbag AMC Bams there is an offering so they tank the price if people are wondering. can't let us raise cash? Good level.
Um so please Overlook the third grade level of grammar. And let's just focus on the fact that he thinks that they're driving it down so they can't do the offering at a good price. And it's not the offering itself that's crazy. So that's one of the dumbest things.
I Saw this one was from AI Harash AMC Theaters Raising Cash Again, fundamentals are improving. Well, this the chart would tell you otherwise. Remember: uh, it's trading at $8.30 so at like split levels that is 83 cents. So like this thing arguably like close would have been close to being Dlisted Next one this one is from Bam investor The guy whose model has been more right than like never you know it is literally just he's never had a proper call out ever.
Um, good trading environment for options. Next two sessions on: AMC There's an 805 vibration and hidden levels at 950 and 1090. So U maybe you shouldn't advertise that because those lens levels are hidden. Um, so like no one's heard of 950 before or 1090.
Uh s the meme. Lord I'm more annoyed at the surprise of the offering than the offering itself. but I Also understand that Adam didn't want shorts to have the time to short it down before share sales began like the prior offerings. Once again, they people are trying to say that offerings themselves don't push it down.
it's just some magic other force and not the fact that the supply is being increased. So he's another like grifting piece of Uh AMC 2 Moon So immediately after great earnings and the the strike ending AA Delut No. Sherlock this is the guy who's like gargling Adam Aaron's balls professionally and he's still somehow thought this was a good idea. Uh Peter Han apologies for the absence, change my password and xut me in security lockd for 24 hours? go figure.
No, that's a lie. Any of us can change our password right now and you're not going to get locked out for 24 hours. so he's stupid. um, and then.
So offering now at 7:30 cash on hand can only think AA wants to retire some debt ASAP Like these, these are the dumbest people ever AMC Cheerleader Uh, AMC beats best Third Quarter in stocks history yet stock is down 14% This was one of the most significant evidences of price evidences, significant evidences of price manipulation over the course of the last three years and should be our motivation to stay in the game. Dude, these are really bad person. Many of you just just don't seem to understand at this point. and I just don't understand how that's possible.
The price of AMC is not controlled by buy and sell orders, nor is it part of supply and demand system. You heard it here first. AMC Is outside of the world of supply and demand. It is not controlled by buy or sell orders. If you're in here thinking that the market is controlled by buy and sell orders, well, I need you to find the closest door because you need to leave. If any of you ever get the stupid stupid notion that the market is controlled by buying and selling. if you get the idiotic idea that the market is controlled by supply and demand, I implore you to find the closest door because you're going to need to leave because you just don't. You Just you just don't.
You just don't get it you ju you just don't get it. and I if you don't get it at this point I don't know what's going to make you get it. You know that kind of a deal. dude.
So wild and that's just what I found last night in in one evening. Imagine what I could find if I spent more than 15 minutes looking it. It's insane. These people are scumbags.
They're scam artists. They're grifters. but I don't think they're doing any of it necessarily intentionally cuz I don't think any of them have the intellect to pull it off intentionally I think they're actually this stupid. Um, this is like this is a missions by like they're dumbness.
not even like in like I just I think they're all dumb and they don't know what they're talking about. and they are so mentally deep into this cult and the echo chamber of what's surrounding them that they they mentally can got not get out. They don't have the brain capacity to realize the world that's going on around them and they're just going to keep burning money. And as much as I want them to not burn money, What's sad Like on on a real note here, what's sad is the people who are supporting him the most are going to get burned the most.
So really, the people who Adam Aaron is relying on to keep this grift alive. Those are the people who are going to get burned the most. Um, people who were quick on their toes. They got out some of you guys in here.
you secured a profit. Massive. Congrats Some people like me who are only medium stupid. uh, too slow to see it coming.
So seriously down. Uh, but at least. and I'll hang my hat on this. at least.
By the time Ape was out there, it became extraordinarily evident. and even right before the re of Ape I talked to everyone about how I thought this was going to lead to basically borderline Infinite delution. And guess what we're getting, we're getting borderline infinite delution. Um, so I'll hang my hat on that that I try to like sound like you got it If This Were A battle.
This is how it all played out. Some of you guys were particularly excellent warriors on the battlefield. You were slaying some Ene enemies, you made some money, and you moved on with your life. You went to the coolest new hottest Village in town. Then there were people like me who I took a bunch of arrows to the front of my chest but at least right before I collapsed I was able to muster the strength to ring the warning Bell like I like with my dying breast on the play I was like but everyone else needs to be warned and I was like I was like the British are coming, the British are coming and then I got steamrolled but we now still have people who are like, you know what. Uh, it's still a great play and like this is awesome so that that's insane. uh I I wish I was more in the superior category making a ton of money off of this, but no, it cost me multiple six figures. Um, but at least I know I can like, uh, sleep good at night morally sounding the warning sign when it became apparent to me that there was some crazy stuff going on and then obviously the British are, they're here.
they're they're at the gates. You can see it. If you don't believe me, look look if if you don't believe me that the British are here. just just look at this.
it's actually Red Rockets To the downside now here, how do I I don't know what these drawing I should move this over to a giant red cratering rocket. Um if you need any more proof that the British are here, just just look at this. look right here. you see if you hit control I or wait is it all I This is what it's supposed to look like when you want to be bullish.
This is what it looks like when you're bearish. You know you know. Let's let's put this up on the big screen just cuz I think this is important. So this is what it looks like when something is bearish.
This is what it looks like when something is bullish. Case a bearish case, be bullish. Bullish Bearish. Bearish.
Bullish. And you could tell that by the way that it is. If something's going up into the right, that's bullish. If something is going down to the right, that's bearish.
Bearish. Bullish. Bearish. Bullish.
That's how that's how it should that. That's how things play out once one more time. Because obviously based on the tweets that I read to all of you I know there's some people who probably need to hear something like 18 times. Uhoh, I broke it now.
Bearish Bullish Bearish Bullish. It looks bullish when you put it upside down. It looks bearish when you look at it right side up. Uh, welcome to my TED Talk I Should probably clip that and send that to those grifting accounts just to help inform them.
You know, sometimes in a just Society sometimes you have to like go through painstaking detail to help your weakest members. That's what people do in develop societies. Years and years ago, that low level of intellect we would have K kicked them out of the tribe. They they wouldn't have survived because they're like obviously literally a net negative.
but now in more of an advanced Society it's we. We should be nice and you got to help them. and some you just do it when society. When culture reaches a certain point, sometimes you have to help out your weakest links and that's what we're seeing with them. So just remember we're helping them out. It it's more of you're it. It's a charity with your own Time is probably the best way you should mentally think about. it is like okay, you're You're dedic dting some of your time to those who are less fortunate.
Not everyone's going to be blessed with the intellect that you were all born with other people. They they were dealt a worse hand and sometimes you just have to help those people out. Matt farted. Who else was there for fartgate? I didn't fart.
It's not fartgate, it's chat bullies. Matt Gate Hey sock boy is there news at 10: A.m. There most certainly is 10:00 a.m. ET Today we get the Michigan inflation and consumer sentiment expectations.
Um, uh, do your AMC Diamond hands gone? Do your AMC Diamond hands gone I don't know what that means. Do them gone? Do your AMC Diamond hands gone I don't know I heard Rumble chat sniffs farts. Is that true? helps home be shoer Big Poppy Bio deep think pod you guys Sniff and farts over here. Is that what Rumble chat is is a bunch of hands confirms hands Diamond Ball says yes and then Des says no we sell them and then bios man biom man Sam says ask Chad Gbt they're not really arguing.
they're like no, like yeah, whatever accuses whatever you want. Money is money, doesn't retail own the float oh gez gez oh gez gez oh ge's did you sell your AMC shares? uh you can see that I still own AMC on in public my position is publicly available on public the name of the brokerage. You can see that I own it. um do I wish I owned it No no I don't at this point in time knowing what I know right now on November 10th 2023 um I wish I sold when it like broke back down below 60 and I wish I took all that money and bet against Adam Aaron hindsight bu is like I don't think anyone had the foresight to actually do that.
Maybe you guys in here did I didn't have it um I I wish I took all I wish I sold everything, took all the money and did a full full full leap level bet against it and let it die. Um but I didn't have the balls to do it I didn't have the knowledge, the balls, or the foresight. So why don't you sell your AMC positions? Because I'm down like 98% 99% There's no point to it I Still want AMC to be successful because they employ a lot of people I like movies. My particular issue is with: Adam Aon I think I think AMC has a chance if they get new and better leadership.
My very specific issues is with how much of a scumbag Adam Aaron is not AMC I never been to Texas Roadhouse what do you get? Half rack of ribs? uh, green beans, mashed potatoes or sweet potatoes depending on which one you're bias to and before that, go in an empty stomach because you're going to be eating a lot of their heavensent golden bread buns with cinnamon butter before you eat your main meal. Um, he's buying Lambos on our dollar. He's just I Mean, look at them, look at the guy. He's a disgrace. It's it's sad to see. All right. we have a couple minutes until the Michigan numbers come out and then after that maybe some signals are going to be produced to make some trades. I'm a little amped up because if I make trades today check How crazy is this? If I make good trades today.
if I make good trades today I can officially double up the account right here I funded it with 30k started the zero DTE Dgen strategy on October 19th. Uh so from October 19th until now. So basically what three weeks of trading if I can get this above 6K Officially a 100% return in about 3 weeks so it's possible it can make it a really, really fun Friday So that's that's what your boy is looking at. Maybe if the opportunity presents, just need to lock in what 3.6k if I can make 3.6k officially would have doubled this entire account.
Uh, trading zero DTS Well no, there were a couple not zero DTS but it was all premium selling Matt Someone wants to know about your thought on Tesla for today and next week to help them out Tesla for today I mean that's that's tough. Remember the shorter the time frame. Uh, the main thing I'm watching on Tesla is this downside. Gapville I Want to see the reaction to 206? It's the high from Wednesday November 1st.
But really Tesla's going to be majorly going the way of the spy and particularly the Qes. So if the Q's are ripping, that'll be good for Tesla If the Qes are vomiting, it'll be bad for Tesla. So then the next level question is what impacts the Spy The Qes? Well, right now, everyone's paying attention to bonds and yields. If bonds are going down, I.E yields up.
that's going to be bearish and then vice versa. If bonds are up and yields are down, that's going to be bullish for the spy in the cues. So in terms of such a short-term prediction, I don't know I I I Can just tell the levels I would react to. The game of predicting in the market is really not in my opinion of how you win.
It's reacting to specific developments. So I have no idea your Tesla could be green. it could be red. All I can tell you is it gets interesting If it can get above and hold above 216 220 and I want to watch the reaction to 206.
To the downside: I'm here to react I'm not here to predict what the next minute bar is going to be the next five minute the next day the next week. I could give you my thoughts and reasons, but I'm going to be right 50% of the time. Just like everyone else who throws out predictions. bro.
Tesla Longterm Love it. Longterm Uh, love it, love it, love it. Uh, and we are about. We are 10 seconds away from getting the Michigan numbers.
Let's see if CNBC is going to have the numbers. If not I know profits in here and he'll be really really quick with it. Uh, but this should be starting in here. Well, not the best, not the best initial reaction. Um, profit? What are they CNBC is not playing? Uh, let's see if I can you know what? Honestly, Twitter probably has it Michigan Consumer sentiment Actual 60.4 versus 63.8 The estimate was 63.7 so the consumer sentiment lower than anticipated. Uh Good Friday Morning welcome to another hour of Squ on the street I'm Carl a recover I have not made any Trad since that market open TR Morning off Market Still trying to get a second weekly gain here, the Dow needs another 100 points or so, but S&P and NASDAQ have that put together at the moment as treasuries are pretty well behaved here, especially in light of that week 30-year auction yesterday and the hawkish comments out of Pal. Yeah, and the movers that we're going to watch today don't really reflect the broader index's pretty big declines on specific stocks. Here we're 30 minutes into the trading session.
Here are those movers: we are watching shares of Hydrogen Fuel Cell Company Plug Power Plunging Dou after 63.7 That was missed expectations and they pulled guidance after quote. Unprecedented Supply challenges shares of Digital Advertising company trade Desk also slumping today. Guidance came in light there despite a solid quarter currently down about 18.2% and watch wind shares today also yes, in the red after a key measure of Maau operating profits below Revenue at its Encore Boston Harbor property were also lower than the same period last year. those shares down about 88.8% Uhoh! getting some consumer sentiment data a couple moments ago, let's get back to Rick s right there Rick Good morning! These are November preliminary reads on University of Michigan sentiment Uh, headline number expected to be a bit under 64.
Well, it's under 61 60.4 That's the weakest since May of this year getting little bit of Anem vomit 65.7 Also the weakest since May of this year We're looking for a number North of 70 and if we look at expectations, what may lie ahead? We're looking for a number 61 61, A5 56 .9 And you guessed it, that is also the weakest level. Uh, going back to May of this year. Now let's get to onee: inflation expected 4% up 4.4% So let's let's look at this if you look at where we were in: September it was 3.2 last month was 4.2 That means we went from a six-month low to a 2 and 1 halfe high in one month. Now we're moving up to 4.4 which remains a comp going back to April but it's awfully interesting.
2 and 1 half year low 6mon high all in a couple month period And If we look at the five to 10e rate also kicking up from 3% to 3.2 boy, 3.2 you have to go back all the way to May and June of 2008 to find a higher number which would be 3.4 But to be fair, we equaled 3.2 in March of 2011. and there's been several 3. Tws, but these are hot on inflation, cool on growth, and we see that interest rates they're all down on session outside of 20 and 30 year, all maturities are up on the week Carl Back to you All right? interesting Rick Thank you Rick Santelli Meantime, the FED chare warning of the Fed's fight against inflation is not over and that future raate hikes are still on the table. His comments come on the back of that disappointing auction yesterday Ste Lean of course covered that in detail and weer than similar to yesterday the tech sector really a wakeup call for the market that two potent risks that are out there a further rate hikes and the challenge of financing the government's massive debt haven't gone away with a Stern Talking to by the Fed chair in a sloppy 30-year auction in what some saw as a tougher a tougher talk from Powell about the possibility of future rate hikes. He said the FED would not hesitate to hike further if it's appropriate that stronger growth could cause the Fed Fed to move and that the FED is not confident yet that it's at the quote sufficiently restrictive level for rates. Some of what he said he' said before, but Fed Watchers like Krishna guha Evercore isi said the speech that the IMF represented a Sterner tone though maybe not a change in policy. he said quote um, we do not interpret this as representing a substantive shift in policy signaling as opposed to a tone correction and do not for in see any serious effort to put a December back in Play It's kind of how the market market December trading at just 9% uh and January at just 16% B higher after po talk. Still, the message was received a bit more forcefully espe after the Rel not well received.
The bond market seemed to be having a better time today though, digesting the issuance with the long-term bonish out of the way for a couple weeks Now, all that te up the inflation data next week as the next markers for where the Rate rates are going to be headed. Also tees up our exclusive interview at 1M with San Francisco Fed President Mary Deli So uh, Leslie rest easy this week and it doesn't get any easier next week it doesn't But in the meantime, we can look forward to that interview. I'm sure you have lots and lots of questions for her. Thank you Steve uh and that's also a great place to start with our next guest.
Moody's Analytics Chief Economist Mark Xandy who says dangers to the economy appear less threatening at these levels? uh Mark thanks for being here just just quickly. On Uh Powell's talk yesterday, there was some suggestion that the hawkish tone was a result of some loosening market conditions namely, the yields declining over the past few weeks. Do you think that's uh, that's part of it there? Yeah, that's my interpretation I mean we saw the stock Market rally We saw Bond long-term bond yields come in, financial conditions eased, and I think uh chair pal just wanted to make sure that the financial markets don't get ahead of themselves. that I think he feels pretty good about where Financial conditions are. feels pretty good about where inflation expectations are. Doesn't want to change that. so I think the speech was more strategic in that sense than anything else in terms of just kind of specific metrics that they may be watching to actually raise rates from here. How high of a bar do you think that needs to be? Just a slight tick up in inflation? A pretty substantial tick up in inflation? Uh, you know Leslie I Think it's inflation.
Expectations is really very important here. I mean if inflation ticks up because you know we've got oil prices up and gasoline prices rose with it. Uh, no big deal. Uh, if it's deemed to be temporary.
But you know, if uh Bond investors start marking up their expectations for future inflation I Think that's when the FED goes on high starts raising rates I Guess the other indicators that's related is wage growth. You know if Cons: workers start to think inflation is going to be higher and start Dem 30 Saed itself to whether they should. saving itself Bas On the watch the low of the day if we get below and close below the low of the day on the spy and the that's just not a good situation, the Bears might have the upper hand. I Think they're symptomatic of a very tight labor market selling off the options Market selling off since optioning, even on this recent price, pop options are not foll suit on that.
You know? Uh, labor markets are working pretty well here. You know the the key in the labor market uh is really the the quit rate. You know the what is this Biden Just heard someone fall during his UAW speech and said I want the press to know that wasn't me. That's actually kind of funny.
Too much to ask you. Okay I want the press to know that wasn't me. That's actually pretty funny For him. that's actually pretty funny for him I Want the press to know that wasn't me.
It's sad that he can make that joke and make it funny, but a funny joke nonetheless. A funny joke nonetheless. All right, just marking out some of these recent pushes. Once again, the Spy appears to be weaker than the tech sector spy up.
3, but even intraday it looks weaker. The Q's are up 0.55 Uh, holding still above their opening range while the Spy is below its opening range right here. Um, so watching this level right below 435 on the Spy is trading at 43510 s
FTX was a big scam.
A lot of people lost a lot of Money because of you.
Damn grifter.